Diamond Sutra of the Cryptocurrency Circle, Don’t Think I’m Long-winded——(The Deepest Insights of Top Masters)
In the art of trading, the strong are easily broken. Only the most yin and soft can dominate the world. Nothing in the world is as soft as water, but the highest good is like water. Success is equal to small losses plus large and small profits accumulated many times. It is very simple to avoid big losses. Survival is the first principle. When there is a danger of hindering this principle, abandon all other principles. Because no matter how many 100% excellent performances you have had in the past, if you lose one 100% now, you will have nothing. The way of trading is to defend the invincible position and attack the enemy that can be defeated. A 50% loss of 1 million yuan becomes 500,000 yuan, but a 100% profit is required to increase 500,000 yuan to 1 million yuan. Every success will only make you take a small step forward. But every failure will make you take a big step back. It takes an hour to walk from the first floor of the Empire State Building to the top floor. But if you jump from the top of the building, you can get back to the bottom in just 30 seconds.
12.9 Bitcoin short-term begins to rise, hitting 96000
Bitcoin has indeed oscillated as expected recently, but the short term frequently performs a V-reversal, making it hellishly difficult for short-term traders. The current upward channel trend pressure gap has been raised to around 95800. Today's round of rising will likely fill this gap, with an additional 4000 points of space above in the short term. Ethereum's parallel pressure remains unchanged at 3250, and the upward trend pressure has decreased to around 3180-3210, with a breakthrough testing around 3350.
Operation Suggestions:
BTC 90000-90500 long position, target 93500 -96000, stop loss at 89000
ETH 3060-3100 long position, target 3250 - 3350, stop loss at 3000
12.8 The pancake once again inserted the needle to probe the bottom, the bears are done, and the bulls are about to counterattack?
Currently, the market has stabilized in the range of 88000 to 89000. Tonight, it once again inserted the needle to probe the bottom at the 87600 line, quickly rebounding after hitting the bottom, and currently remains bullish. The 4-hour chart reached the bottom support, while the daily chart shows that the bottom is forming. As time goes by, the bearish momentum is about to be exhausted and has transformed into a bullish trend. So, it's time to calmly wait for Monday's volume surge.
The overall Ethereum market has once again retested the support near 2900, closing with a long lower shadow. This position is basically the bottom. In the future, even if it falls, it won't drop much. Currently, there is a lack of a catalyst for a surge. Just wait for Monday's breakout with volume. For friends who have not had ideal operations in the recent market, consult btc0796 to find me and discuss the market together.
Operation suggestions:
BTC 88500-89000 go long, target looking at 92000 - 94000 stop loss 87500
ETH 2950-3000 go long, target looking at 3250 - 3350 stop loss 2900
12.7 Can the monthly line break 80000? A big market is about to start, layout for a ten-thousand-point market!
The market that started with a crash last week has passed. This week is basically a stable upward market. I have to say that the washout was still quite intense. From 83000 it V-shaped rebounded to 94000. In two days, there were daily fluctuations of ten thousand points. Basically, the current market has stabilized in the range of 88000 to 94000. I have already brought my brothers to bottom at 88000. Currently, I still see bullish. The position at 94000 will accumulate strength to break through. At least to 98000 is not a problem. The daily level is forming a bottom. And as time goes by, the bearish trend has turned into a bullish trend. So just wait calmly for Monday's volume to rise.
The overall Ethereum market tested 3250 before being suppressed. It retraced to around 2980 yesterday. This position is basically the bottom. Subsequently, it won't be able to retrace much anymore. Currently, it just lacks an opportunity for a rise. Just wait for Monday's volume to break through. For friends who have not had ideal operations in the recent market, consult btc0796 to find me and discuss the market together.
Operation Suggestions:
BTC 88500-89500 to go long, target at 92000 - 94000, stop loss at 87500
ETH 2980-3030 to go long, target at 3250 - 3350, stop loss at 2940
12.6 Bitcoin has frequently staged roller coasters in the short term, and a trend reversal is about to come!
Currently, the technical aspect of Bitcoin has broken through the downward channel trend pressure, with the second high point gap of the upward channel near 95000. In the short term, this position will be tested; if broken, it may expand the upward space. If it does not break 95000, it will drop to around 86000; Ethereum's parallel pressure of 3250 has been tested, with trend pressure around 3280~3300.
From the perspective of the big cycle monthly line, BTC is supported near 85000 below the closing midline. The daily line has ended its second exploration, bouncing against the weekly lower trend line at 94000 pressure. The daily line has reached the upper trend line of the weekly; if it does not break 90000, it continues to rebound to around 110000. The ETH monthly line closes around 2700, rising from 2700 to about 3200 overnight. The daily line is currently under upper pressure; if it falls back to 3000 and does not break, it will continue to rise to around 3500. For friends who find recent market operations unsatisfactory, consult btc0796 to find me and discuss the market together.
Operation suggestions:
BTC 89500-90350 go long, target looking at 92000 -94000, stop loss at 88500
ETH 3060-3100 go long, target looking at 3250 - 3350, stop loss at 3000
$BTC $ETH 12.1 Bitcoin has found a bottom and is stabilizing, waiting for further rallies.
This weekend, BTC saw slight fluctuations in the overall market, with the global cryptocurrency market capitalization dropping to 3.24 trillion, but BTC remained relatively stable, showing its safe-haven property as "digital gold." Over the past week, BTC has been consolidating in the 90,000-92,000 range, influenced by macroeconomic policies and investor sentiment. Institutional capital inflows into ETFs have begun to warm up, with last week recording net inflows into BTC ETFs, the first since late October, which may drive a short-term rebound above 92,000 to 95,000. Looking long-term, BTC still has upward potential by the end of the year, with key attention on December's interest rate cut data.
Today's ETH market analysis shows Ethereum currently fluctuating around 3,000 USD. ETH has outperformed the market today, slightly retreating 2.2% from the high of 3,099 before rebounding. By the end of the year, it may rise to 3,800-4,000, with short-term resistance at 3,070. If it breaks through, it could reach 3,150-3,250; support is at 2,960-2,900. For those struggling with recent market operations, consult btc0796 to find me and discuss the market together.
Operation suggestions:
BTC 90,500-91,000 go long, target 92,000 - 94,000 stop-loss 89,500
ETH 2,960-3,010 go long, target 3,150 - 3,250 stop-loss 2,910
11.29 Bitcoin's bottom support has stabilized, and there will be further upward movement!
The main large orders have shown unusual activity, and BTC's short-term direction is about to be chosen. Combined with the latest 1-hour K-line, although the price is above the EMA24/52 moving averages, the J value is extremely overbought, so be aware of the force of the pullback. In addition, the current trading volume has significantly increased, with the 10-day average volume rising by 44.46%. Market activity has surged, which may pave the way for further operations by the main force.
Today, the market continues to move sideways. During the fluctuation process, the Ethereum gap was filled, and a short-term rise occurred. Bitcoin broke the trend pressure in a sideways manner; currently, the downward channel trend pressure gap for Bitcoin has decreased to around 96100, and the short-term outlook is bullish, waiting for a rise, with Ethereum looking towards 3250, and the upward trend pressure around 3260. For friends who are not satisfied with the recent market operations, consult btc0796 to find me to discuss the market together.
11.28 Bitcoin is only under short-term pressure; if it doesn't break support, we continue to look bullish!
BTC's current 1-hour candlestick pattern has continuously shown bearish signals such as shooting stars and top formations, and the RSI is in the overbought area, indicating a clear demand for a short-term pullback.
Bitcoin's current technical downward channel pattern is in an upward wave, with the gap around 96500; the trend pressure near 97500~95000 has been reduced to around 92000. This pressure has been filled today, currently facing resistance and testing support without breaking through. The smaller support level is still around 89000~89500, waiting for a pullback to this support to go long with a target towards the upward gap around 94000. The larger level remains unchanged towards 104000. Friends who have not been satisfied with recent market operations can consult btc0796 to find me and discuss the market together.
Operational Suggestions: BTC long at 89000-89500, target at 92000 - 94000, stop-loss at 88500
ETH long at 2910-2950, target at 3050 - 3150, stop-loss at 2870
11.26 Is the Bitcoin rebound weak? Can it break through the 90,000 mark again?
Bitcoin has rebounded but the structure is fragile: BTC has risen 1.67% from Friday's low of $81,000 to $87,000, with the ratio close to zero (similar to the market bottoms of 2019, 2020, and 2022), indicating a risk-return signal. Over the weekend, liquidations exceeded $200 million, alleviating selling pressure, but the "fragile" market structure may further test the $85,000 support.
The US BTC spot ETF recorded a net inflow of $238.47 million (on Friday), but there has been a cumulative outflow of $1.2 billion over the past four weeks. The short-term rebound in the market is supported by ETF inflows and macro expectations, but institutional outflows and liquidation risks remain. Pay attention to liquidity indicators and key support levels.
Ethereum successfully broke through 2880; tested key resistance at 0.382, breaking through to around 2980 facing pressure; continue to focus on key resistance levels (3K 3.2K); BTC also reached the psychological level of 88K, repairing the 1-hour rebound range, focus on the pressure zone (88K 92K 94K). For friends who are not satisfied with recent market operations, consult btc0796 to find me and discuss the market together.
Operation suggestions: BTC 85500-86500 go long, target at 88500 -90000, defend at 85000
ETH 2820-2860 go long, target at 2950 - 3050, defend at 2770
11.13 A small-level head and shoulders pattern for Bitcoin has formed, waiting for a breakout.
In recent days, the main force has shown a strong willingness to short. This directly suppresses the price rebound space. Combined with the current trading volume shrinking to an average of 43.58%, market activity is sluggish, further verifying the signs of major funds leaving the market.
In the 1-hour K-line cycle, top distribution and bearish engulfing patterns have appeared consecutively, along with a KDJ death cross and RSI breaking below the 50 midline, indicating a bearish technical resonance. The main behavior and technical indicators point to downward risks, and in the short term, caution is needed for further pullbacks to test the bottom at the 100,000 line.
From the 4-hour chart, both major coins are currently under pressure in the middle band area of the Bollinger Bands and are clearly leaning towards a bottom rebound trend. Bears have repeatedly tested downwards, and bearish volume has been released, with the bottom support basically confirmed. Since it failed to break through the key support level of 101,000, we continue to maintain a low long operation strategy, looking for opportunities to enter based on the bottom support range: Friends who find the recent market operations unsatisfactory can consult btc0796 to connect with me for market discussions.
11.11 The big pie has successfully built a bottom, act decisively, any pullback is a buying opportunity.
After the big pie rebounded and finished yesterday, it faced pressure and fell back, currently maintaining a downward trend. We still need to wait for a bottoming rebound. The overall bullish trend has basically formed! The big pie and Ethereum still need to wait for a pullback to touch key support at the bottom before stabilizing in order to move forward. After yesterday's upward trend, it has left the weak range, waiting for a pullback to repair and finish.
From the 4-hour chart, both major cryptocurrencies are currently in the middle band area of the Bollinger Bands. The bears are clearly trying to test the support level near 104000 downwards, but the selling pressure continues to shrink and has not been able to break through this key support level. The upward channel will inevitably continue to open, and the rhythm of the bullish rebound has not been disrupted. We continue to maintain a low-buy operation strategy, relying on the bottom support area to choose the right time to enter: for friends who find the recent market operations unsatisfactory, consult btc0796 to find me for market discussions.
Operation suggestions: BTC 103500-104200 buy with a target of 106000 -108000, stop loss at 102900
ETH 3470-3520 buy with a target of 3620 - 3755, stop loss at 3430
11.5 The big pancake weekly line has broken, can it stabilize at the 100,000 mark?
Today, the accelerated downward trend continues. Currently, from a technical perspective, Bitcoin has broken the acceleration position at 106,000, and the current low point has come down to around 103,000, which is only 1,500 points away from the previous low. It is expected that tonight it will break below 102,000 to test the support at the 98,000 line. In the short term, those looking to buy the dip need to seize the opportunity and act decisively!
Ethereum has also arrived near 3,450 as expected, engulfing the last pin's lower shadow. The lower segment has parallel support around 3,350, and the key upward trend support neck line is near 3,150~3,180. If there is a pin, the rebound strength at this position must be observed. For friends who are not satisfied with recent market operations, feel free to consult and find me to discuss the market together.
Operation suggestions: BTC 101,500-102,500 go long, target looking at 104,000 - 106,000, defensive at 100,500
ETH 3,400-3,455 go long, target looking at 3,605 - 3,755, defensive at 3,350
11.2 Sunday Night Big Cake Ethereum Strategy Analysis:
The big cake has been oscillating in a narrow range over the weekend, currently in an upward trend structure. The daily chart shows a characteristic of 'stepped high and low points', and the 5-day moving average has formed a golden cross with the 10-day moving average, continuously providing support without any signs of trend reversal. During the narrow consolidation over the weekend, the 4-hour Bollinger Bands are fluctuating around the central point of 110000.
Although the MACD indicator is currently below the zero axis, the DIF line and DEA line have completed a low-point reversal, and the bearish selling pressure continues to weaken. Combining various signals leads to the conclusion that the trend has clearly shifted towards bullish; maintaining a buy-on-dips strategy is advisable, and continuing to be bullish is correct. For friends who have not had ideal operations in the recent market, feel free to consult and reach out to me for market discussions.
Trading Suggestions: BTC 110200-110800 long, target at 112200 -113700, stop loss at 109500
ETH 3840-3880 long, target at 3980 -4100, stop loss at 3790
10.31 The 110,000 mark becomes a key decision point, with bulls and bears at this critical juncture.
Bitcoin currently faces resistance at 111,500-112,000, which needs to be broken to alleviate short-term downward pressure. Among them, 112,500 is a more important resistance level. The core resistance zone is 115,200 - 115,600, which is the key threshold for confirming a new round of upward trend. A close above this area on the 4-hour chart may trigger greater buying pressure. Short-term support is at 108,800, which is the first line of defense. If it fails, it may further dip to around 108,000 or 106,500. The strong support area is 106,500-107,000, where the Fibonacci retracement levels and cost support converge, making it a crucial fortress for the bulls. For those who are not satisfied with the recent market operations, consult btc0796 to connect with me for discussion on the market.
Operational Advice: BTC 108,500-109,000 go long, target at 110,500 -112,500, stop loss at 107,500.
ETH 3,760-3,800 go long, target at 3,900 -4,000, stop loss at 3,710.
10.28 A new round of bulls is about to arrive, strike decisively when the opportunity is clear.
The current price of Bitcoin is 114600, with intraday support at 114280 being the short-term bull-bear dividing line. If it stabilizes, the bull target can be viewed at 117225, with ultimate resistance at 119200. The hourly chart shows prices running along the upper Bollinger Band, KDJ forming a golden cross, and MACD red bars expanding, indicating that short-term bull momentum still exists. Daily level: The double bottom pattern is not confirmed, but institutional capital inflow (this week’s ETF net inflow of $446 million) provides bottom support.
The current price of Ethereum is around 4134, with support below at 4060. If it does not break down, the target can be viewed at 4224 → 4294 → 4350. The hourly chart shows continuous bullish candles breaking through the 4200 mark, with the funding rate soaring to 0.90 (historical high), indicating that leverage shows bullish dominance. Weekly level: A bullish engulfing plus double pin bottom pattern is forming, waiting for a breakthrough at 4294 to start a new round of upward momentum. For friends who find the recent market operations unsatisfactory, consult btc0796 to connect with me for market discussions.
Operation Suggestions: BTC 114500-115000 go long, target 116500 -118000, stop loss at 113500
ETH 4090-4130 go long, target 4280 -4380, stop loss at 4050
10.27 BTC key support level appears: The concentrated area of main force chips may become the watershed between bulls and bears.
Currently, the BTC price is around 113500, with a strong support level at 111500 where the chip peak accounts for 4.88%, and the buying ratio is close to 92%, indicating strong support. The main force chips are well locked, showing no signs of large-scale distribution, which indicates strong support. Combined with the K-line pattern, the current 1-hour cycle shows a flat bottom structure, with two consecutive K-lines stabilizing near the support level, further strengthening bullish expectations.
Short-term moving averages indicate that the upward trend is still continuing, with EMA24 and EMA52 forming a golden cross for support. However, one should be wary of the continuous shrinkage of trading volume, indicating that market sentiment is becoming cautious, which may limit upside potential. Pay attention to whether 114000 can break through and stabilize to confirm subsequent rebound momentum. For friends who find recent market operations unsatisfactory, consult btc0796 to find me and discuss the market together.
Operation suggestions: BTC 113000-113500 go long, target 115000 -116500, stop loss 112000
ETH 4010-4060 go long, target 4200 -4350, stop loss 3950
10.23 BTC is mainly bullish, ETH is waiting for a breakout.
Whether it's Bitcoin or Ethereum, it remains in a daily-level consolidation and fluctuation pattern. We have been observing this oscillation for several trading days now. Under the current fluctuation pattern, Bitcoin is closer to the lower edge of the oscillation, so our main strategy tonight remains to buy on dips.
Bitcoin surged to around 114000 last night before experiencing a sharp reversal, followed by another significant drop. This market has been continuously washing out positions. Currently, the 4-hour structure is testing the bottom support trend, and once stabilized, we can continue using a buy-on-dips strategy. From the perspective of Ethereum's price movement, it is still in a probing bottom support situation, with strong support around 3700. Currently, Ethereum's price is around 3800, and the 4-hour chart also shows a triangular oscillation, awaiting a breakout. There is a resistance level around 4050, which allows for buying on dips within the triangular oscillation. For friends who have not been satisfied with recent market operations, consult btc0796 to find me for market discussions.
Trading Suggestions: BTC 107700-108200 buy with a target of 112000 -114000, stop-loss at 107000.
ETH 3790-3830 buy with a target of 4150 -4250, stop-loss at 3750.
10.21 The pancake once again tests the bottom support, continuing to pull back to mainly long positions.
BTC rebounded yesterday, and today it once again shows a downward trend, with the current upper pressure level at around 112000. Next, it should test the upper pressure in a fluctuating manner. Currently, Bitcoin is in a high-level consolidation after a surge, and the short-term bullish sentiment is weakening, indicating a demand for a pullback against the pressure. The operational strategy should focus on the 4-hour mid-track support around 108000 this evening; as long as it does not break below this level, it should continue to rebound and attack the resistance. If the short-term support on the 4-hour chart breaks, the support below is around 106500-107200.
For ETH, if it drops to the support around 3800, it is recommended to decisively enter long positions, as the short-term ETH is weakening. One can choose to enter the market when it stabilizes around 3850 after a pullback. For friends who find the recent market operation unsatisfactory, consult btc0796 to find me for market discussions.
Operational Suggestions: BTC long positions at 108000-108500, target at 112000 -114000, with a stop loss at 107000.
ETH long positions at 3820-3870, target at 4150 -4250, with a stop loss at 3770.
10.21 BTC bulls continue to fight back, Ethereum's fluctuations are about to end.
Bitcoin's recent price has fluctuated repeatedly in the range of $110,000-$112,000, with a relatively solid support base. Maintain a low long strategy; if it falls back to around $110,000, it is recommended to consider low-position layout to bet on support rebound. If it breaks above approximately $112,500 (viewed as a short-term resistance level), you can try to increase the position to go long, following the upward momentum. The stop loss is suggested to be set below about $108,800 to control risk. The take profit can be set at $115,000 or adjusted according to the on-site sentiment.
Friends with long positions in ETH can start trying to enter low long around the current price of 3950, with a target looking to the above expected levels of 4200-4300; partners with short positions need to wait for the actual situation after reaching the strong resistance near 4300. Today's operational thinking shows signs of a second retracement and stop-loss on the daily level; it is recommended to look for signals in the 1-hour cycle in the support area of 3900-3950. For friends who have not been ideal in recent market operations, consult btc0796 to find me for market discussions.
Operation suggestions: BTC 110500-110000 go long, target at 112000 -114000, defense at 109500
ETH 3930-3970 go long, target at 4150 -4250, defense at 3890
10.19 BTC is about to break out in direction, bulls will take off again, looking forward to a rebound in the future. BTC large transactions reveal bullish intentions: 2-hour period key breakthrough In the past 12 hours, the large transaction indicator shows that the main forces are accelerating their accumulation. The current K-line stands firmly above EMA24, combined with KDJ golden cross and RSI breaking through the 50 midline, further confirming the bullish trend. BTC is showing a fluctuating upward trend on the 4-hour chart, with prices slowly accumulating and consolidating above the support level of 108000, waiting for a breakthrough of the previous resistance level.
From a technical indicator perspective, MACD red momentum continues to release, with DIF and DEA dual lines showing the embryonic form of a golden cross, indicating that the rebound power in the short-term market is gradually accumulating. Overall judgment, tonight's market is likely to usher in a big rebound. For friends who have not performed well in recent market operations, consult btc0796 to find me for market discussions.
Operation suggestions: BTC 107800-108350 go long, target look at 110500 -112500, stop loss at 107000
ETH 3945-3975 go long, target look at 4100 -4200, stop loss at 3900