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May 7th Trend Analysis: Bitcoin Facing Key Resistance, Ethereum Continues to Slide, Are Bears Taking Over?

The Bitcoin market yesterday pretty much hit our previously discussed range of 82000~83000, but now it's facing pressure and pulling back. The long positions were spot on, going long from 75000 to around 83000! Currently, the weekly and monthly moving averages are a struggle; if we can't hold above 83000, it looks like we've hit the top of this bounce, and we might be heading for a significant drop, with a long-term target eyeing the previous support around 60000.

From a technical perspective, Ethereum is looking weak, having faced strong resistance multiple times before. This time it barely tested 2420 before quickly retreating. The support gap has now risen to around 2000, and we could see a sharp drop towards that level in the short term.

Trading Suggestions:

BTC Short at 81000-81500, targeting 78000 - 75000, with a stop-loss at 82000.

ETH Short at 2350-2390, targeting 2200 - 2000, with a stop-loss at 2430.

The views, conclusions, and suggestions in this article are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. The market carries risks; invest cautiously.
$BTC

$ETH

May 6th Market Analysis: Bitcoin Confirms Breakout with Volume, Ethereum's Weak Follow-Up?

Bitcoin has effectively stabilized above $77,000 and broke through the psychological barrier of $80,000 at the start of May, hitting a three-month high with a 30-day increase of 21%. The current price is hovering around $81,500, showing a bullish trend on the daily chart.
The first resistance level is in the range of $81,800-$82,000. This area is not only near recent price highs but also has seen significant selling pressure, leaving a long upper shadow; it's the first psychological and technical barrier for the bulls. More importantly, $83,000 is the current key macro barrier on the daily chart, representing the most crucial psychological and structural obstacle. If we can close above this level on the daily, it will open the door for macro expansion.
The first support level is in the $80,000-$80,150 range. This area aligns with the recent candlestick structure's pullback stabilization point and the ascending trend line support on the hourly chart. Additionally, the 24-hour low is also within this range, serving as the last psychological defense line for short-term bulls.

Ethereum is currently priced at $2,360, following Bitcoin's upward trend but showing noticeable weakness in comparison. Its structure displays features of linked corrective rally and a slightly bullish but momentum-lacking oscillation. The first resistance level is in the $2,375-$2,400 range, which has been a strong resistance zone repeatedly tested in recent candlestick charts. This area is also a key liquidation line in the derivatives market—data shows about $403 million in short positions above $2,412. A breakout here would trigger massive short squeezes. If $2,400 is effectively broken on the daily close, the next target range looks toward $2,550-$2,650 (about 7% upside potential), further pointing towards the historically significant resistance zone at $2,800.

If this breakout fails to continue, the price is likely to linger within the current range. The first support level is in the $2,330-$2,360 range, including the 4-hour moving average support and the intraday pullback stabilization point; the core structural support is around $2,300, which is a critical defense line for the recent upward trend. A drop below this level would invalidate the short-term bullish logic.

Trading Suggestions:

BTC Long at $80,100-$80,600 with a target of $82,000 - $83,500 and a stop-loss at $79,500.

ETH Long at $2,280-$2,320 with a target of $2,500 - $2,600 and a stop-loss at $2,240.

The views, conclusions, and suggestions in this article are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. The market has risks; invest cautiously.

$BTC
$ETH

May 5th Market Analysis: Bitcoin Breaks Out, Ethereum Poised for a Rally.

The market has been pretty stagnant for the past couple of days with no significant movement. This morning, Trump's comments sparked a candlestick surge, pushing prices up. The day session has been tricky with both FOMO and shorting opportunities. The initial breakout was a false move, followed by a real breakout. Over the past month, it’s clear that altcoins are dancing wildly—are we entering alt season or is this just a final hurrah?
Bitcoin's breakout point is at 79500, establishing a solid foothold. We might see some high-level consolidation before continuing the upward trend, targeting the 8.2-8.3 region for a weekly reversal, potentially higher.
Ethereum has its trend resistance line drawn between 2463-2400, with 2355 being a key resistance level. This morning, it also had an entity breakthrough and has since retraced. We expect another leg up, and it’s all about whether Ethereum will catch up. Previously, Bitcoin hit 79k while Ethereum surged to 2460; now at 80k, Ethereum is still near 2370. This time we can expect Ethereum to aim for a rally up to the 2500-2600 zone—let's hold strong!

Trading Recommendations:

BTC 78500-79000 long, target 80500 - 81500, stop-loss at 78000

ETH 2260-2300 long, target 2450 - 2600, stop-loss at 2220

The views, conclusions, and suggestions in this article are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. The market carries risks; invest cautiously.

$BTC
$ETH

May 2nd Market Analysis: Bitcoin continues to eye breaking the 80k mark, while Ethereum bulls are closely following with momentum.

The recent outlook has been bullish since 75k, and today we’re still holding that long position. Short-term targets are set to break 80k and test the 81k-84k range, with the overall direction still pointing towards a significant rally, and short-term longs are in profit. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's upward channel resistance has been raised to around 83k, while trend support has been lifted to about 76k, with short-term parallel resistance at 80.5k.

For Ethereum, the technical setup shows that channel resistance has increased to around 2515, support has been raised to near 2000, mid-channel support at around 2250, and the strongest parallel resistance remains unchanged at 2620!

Trading Recommendations:

BTC long between 77k-77.5k, targeting 79k-80.5k with a stop-loss at 76.5k.

ETH long between 2240-2280, targeting 2450-2550 with a stop-loss at 2200.

The opinions, conclusions, and suggestions in this article are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. The market carries risks; invest with caution.

$BTC
$ETH

My mindset is shot; it's been a whole day and night, and the market is still stuck in place. This is really dragging on and messing with my head. It looks like unless we see a deep dip or a sharp drop, we won't easily see a pump. It's like this same old story keeps playing out. Come on, drop already! I'm just waiting to DCA hard when it does.

$BTC
$ETH

April 30 Market Analysis: US-Iran Talks Completely Collapse! BTC and ETH Face Off at a Critical Juncture, Tonight Will Set the Direction.

The crypto market is gearing up for a storm. With the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision approaching, Bitcoin is maintaining a narrow range between $75,500 and $77,000, while Ethereum is consolidating in the $2,250 to $2,300 zone, both showing signs of reduced volume and market indecision. From a naked candlestick perspective, prices are encountering clear resistance at key levels and are testing support below, with the market awaiting macro catalysts to confirm the next phase of movement.

BTC's main resistance is at $77,150. If the daily close holds above this level, it may trigger a bounce back towards $77,500. Strong support exists below $75,500, where approximately 298,560 BTC have accumulated purchases, aligning with the 20-day moving average and the lower boundary of the 100-day upward channel. A significant breakdown would target $74,000 next, and if $73,000 is lost, the daily uptrend structure could face substantial damage.

From the candlestick patterns, ETH has repeatedly tested the $2,350-$2,400 resistance zone since mid-March, with each attempt ending in rejection marked by long upper wicks. Recently, it has formed several engulfing bearish candles, dropping to around $2,256. The hourly MACD shows increasing bearish momentum, indicating that sellers are still firmly in control and have not eased up.
Ethereum's main resistance lies in the $2,330-$2,350 range, where it faces pressure from the 21-period moving average and EMA50. A volume-driven breakout above $2,400 with a daily close could open up space for a rally towards $2,500-$2,550. Support is at $2,220, and a clear breakdown would target $2,180 next, with deeper critical support around $2,120. Long-term value remains concentrated in the prior accumulation zone of $1,980-$2,277.

Trading Advice:

BTC Long at $75,000-$75,500 Targeting $77,500-$79,500 Stop Loss at $74,500

ETH Long at $2,210-$2,250 Targeting $2,350-$2,450 Stop Loss at $2,170

The views, conclusions, and recommendations in this article are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. The market carries risks, and investments should be made cautiously.

$BTC

$ETH

April 28th Market Analysis: Bitcoin made a high but faked out; what's next, a pullback to gather strength for another pump, or are we starting a bearish trend?

From a technical perspective on Bitcoin, both attempts to breach the 80k mark faced strong resistance. The upper channel trend resistance gap is around 79,500, with parallel resistance remaining at 80,500. This 80,500 level was previously a key support zone, but if it breaks, it turns into strong resistance. Above 80,500, we have the big cycle 100-day moving average pressure around 82,000. Short-term support for volatility is near 75,000.

Looking at Ethereum's technicals, it followed Bitcoin's second pump this morning but quickly retraced in the afternoon, dropping to around 2,307 where it found support for a bounce. After maintaining narrow fluctuations, the evening action followed Bitcoin's final pump, showing a weak rebound before breaking the 2,307 support. Currently, it dipped to around 2,263 and is in a consolidation phase. The price is back at the key previous long entry point near 2,250; as long as it holds above, the long strategy remains unchanged.

Trading Recommendations:

BTC: Long at 75,000-75,500 with a target of 77,500 - 79,500; stop-loss at 74,500.

ETH: Long at 2,210-2,250 with a target of 2,350 - 2,450; stop-loss at 2,170.

The views, conclusions, and recommendations in this article are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. The market carries risks; invest cautiously.
$BTC
$ETH

April 24th Price Analysis: Highs and Pullbacks – Is This a Re-Test for a Second Surge or the Start of a Downtrend?

From the effective highs and lows formed on the candlestick charts, the range between 74000 and 75000 has become a core short-term support zone. This area houses multiple technical supports including the 100-day moving average, the 2025 low, and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. The second support lies around 70000, which is a momentum pivot for the short-term; if this level breaks down further, we risk a drop into the 65000 to 68000 dollar range. On the resistance side, the 76000 to 78000 dollar zone has proven to be the most stubborn resistance over the past two months, with Bitcoin attempting to break through four times without holding. The current psychological and technical resistance is firmly at the 80000 dollar mark.

Options market data shows that the probability of breaking through 80000 dollars before the end of April has surged from 44% the previous day to 83%. Once this level is effectively breached, there's a CME futures gap at 81000 dollars, and the next key resistance zone is between 83000 and 85000 dollars.

Ethereum is currently in what traders call a decision zone. The 2400 dollar level is the crucial dividing line for buyers to take control, while the 2250 dollar level serves as an important defense line for sellers to gain momentum. In a bullish scenario, if Ethereum breaks through 2400 dollars and holds, the expected price path is 2400 → 2550 → 2650 → 2800 dollars. In a bearish scenario, if it breaks below 2250 dollars, we could see a gradual slide towards 2180 → 2100 → 1950 dollars. Liquidation data also confirms this key range: significant liquidation positions exist above 2420 dollars and below 2197 dollars.

Trading Recommendations:

BTC Long at 76500-77000 with a target of 78500-80000 and a stop-loss at 73500.

ETH Long at 2260-2300 with a target of 2450-2550 and a stop-loss at 2220.

The views, conclusions, and recommendations in this article are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. The market carries risks; please invest cautiously.

$BTC
$ETH

April 23 Market Analysis: Bullish Sentiment Prevails, Dip Buying Opportunities, Can Bitcoin Break the $80K Barrier?

The selling pressure from bears has clearly diminished, and a slight pullback in the short term presents a prime opportunity to go long at lower levels.
Supported by positive news, overall investor sentiment is gradually warming up. Yesterday, the entire crypto market rallied, with Bitcoin's price climbing to around $79,400 before steadily gaining strength, as the bearish pressure continues to fade. Currently, the market is experiencing a brief pullback, but the downside is limited, with prices firmly holding above the critical support level of $77,000.
The daily candlestick chart shows a robust bullish candle, and although there are minor upper wicks, there are no signs of a significant downturn. The Bollinger Bands are expanding upwards, and the moving averages are collectively rising, indicating an overall bullish technical outlook.

On the four-hour chart, the upward structure remains intact. The current slight pullback after hitting resistance is just a normal technical adjustment during the upward move, and the overall bullish trend has not reversed. In terms of trading strategy, avoid aggressively chasing highs; wait for the market to gently pull back and stabilize, prioritizing long positions at lower levels.

Trading Recommendations:

BTC Long at 76,500-77,000 with a target of 78,500-80,000 and a stop-loss at 73,500.

ETH Long at 2,260-2,300 with a target of 2,450-2,550 and a stop-loss at 2,220.

The views, conclusions, and recommendations in this article are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. The market carries risks; invest cautiously.

$BTC
$ETH

April 21 Market Analysis: The US-Iran negotiations are repeatedly pulling back, how should we operate with Bitcoin and Ethereum?

Currently, the price of Bitcoin is hovering around 76000, continuing the rebound momentum from yesterday's low of 73700, with an intraday increase of more than 2000 points, and market sentiment is leaning towards optimism. The short-term downward momentum has clearly weakened, and indicators like MACD and KDJ have formed bullish signals in a short cycle, indicating that there is still demand for further upward movement in the short term.
The overall daily ascending channel has not been broken, and the price remains above key support levels, maintaining a bullish pattern for the time being. However, it is important to note that the upward momentum has weakened, with the KDJ indicator turning at high levels, suggesting that the pressure for a correction is building.

Strong resistance range 76300 - 77300 is the primary hurdle that needs to be overcome for the rebound; if it cannot break through effectively, the rebound may end.
Key support range 74400 - 74900. As long as the price does not fall below this area, the short-term rebound structure still exists.

Currently, the US-Iran conflict is still in a phase of repeated tug-of-war, and this uncertainty continues to disturb the pricing of risk assets, making it difficult for the market to form a one-sided trend, more characterized by pressure above and support below in a volatile pattern. Market sentiment is still dominated by US inflation data and Federal Reserve policy signals, which directly affect market expectations for liquidity. Currently, there is intense competition between bulls and bears in the market, leading to disagreements in operations.

One approach is to short on rallies: Given the significant pressure above and the weakening upward momentum, consider positioning short orders in the range of 77300 - 77800, betting on a correction after the end of the rebound.
Another approach is to long on dips: As long as the key support level of 74500-75000 holds, the short-term rebound structure still exists, and opportunities for long positions can be sought in this range, targeting 76000 - 77000.

Operational Suggestions:

BTC 74500-75000 long, targeting 77000 - 79000, with a stop-loss at 73500.

ETH 2240-2280 long, targeting 2450 - 2550, with a stop-loss at 2200.

The views, conclusions, and suggestions in this article are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. The market is risky, and investments should be made with caution.

$BTC
$ETH

April 21 Market Analysis: Geopolitical Factors Drive Market Sentiment, Bitcoin Remains Volatile, What Lies Ahead for Ethereum?

The prospects for US-Iran talks are bleak, with Iran stating it has no plans to participate in the next round of negotiations and is prepared for "renewed conflict." As a result, international oil prices surged over 7% (US oil, Brent oil), while gold and silver fell, and US stock index futures dropped across the board.

In the morning, Bitcoin experienced severe volatility, briefly falling below $74,000, hitting a low of $73,820, and is currently reported at around $75,400, with a 24-hour decline of about 1.3%; it briefly rose above $76,000 last night but then retreated.
Ethereum fell below $2,300, with over 160,000 people liquidated in the entire market in the past 24 hours. On-chain data and capital movements indicate that whales are active.
In the past 24 hours, whale entities have withdrawn/transferred 3,824 BTC from exchanges, directly lowering exchange liquidity and creating pressure for spot buying; this led to a short-term increase of 0.58% in BTC within 15 minutes.

If BTC breaks through $77,867, the amount of mainstream short liquidations will reach $1.271 billion.
If BTC falls below $70,847, the amount of mainstream long liquidations will reach $567 million.

The current pullback is primarily driven by geopolitical factors, representing a "macro-driven cooling," rather than a trend reversal.
The $72,000 area is a key demand zone, and the recent decline resembles a "corrective pullback."
Strategy suggestion: In a range-bound market, do not chase highs at resistance levels; gradually enter near support levels, controlling single trade risk at 1-2%.

Operational suggestions:

BTC 74,500-75,000 go long, target 77,000 -79,000, stop-loss at 73,500

ETH 2,260-2,300 go long, target 2,450 - 2,550, stop-loss at 2,220

The views, conclusions, and suggestions in this article are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. The market has risks, and investors should be cautious.
$BTC
$ETH

April 19 Market Analysis: Bitcoin shows a technical pullback, with signs of a bottom rebound already evident, precise layout to follow.

The Strait of Hormuz is open, and crude oil plummeted 12% during the day, instantly restoring risk asset sentiment; expectations for easing U.S.-Iran relations are rising, and the market has shifted from risk-averse logic back to risk appetite; Fed interest rate cut expectations are resurfacing, and liquidity expectations are warming up. In conclusion: money is starting to flow from safe-haven assets to risk assets.

The trend of Bitcoin is no longer a rebound but is in the trend confirmation phase within the rebound. The capital flow back into altcoins is obvious, and the movement has begun to follow BTC but with stronger elasticity, initiating a补涨 logic, which may have more explosive potential than BTC later. It’s altcoin season, and small cryptocurrencies can easily move dozens of times; sentiment-driven movements far exceed the fundamentals. Value? No, it’s the flooding of liquidity, and what often appears to be opportunities is actually fraught with crises!

After the altcoin rebounded to 2460, it quickly fell back, breaking below the hourly moving average of 2350. Currently, it is tightly stuck in a four-hour range of 2300-2400, with intense long-short battles! Key defense below is 2300, strong pressure above is 2445. If it breaks below 2290, it will probe the key support at 2250. Stop-loss defense should closely watch 2250.

Operational advice:
BTC 75000-75500 go long, target at 77300 - 78800, stop-loss at 74500

ETH 2290-2330 go long, target at 2450 - 2550, stop-loss at 2250

$BTC
$ETH

April 19 Market Analysis: US-Iran Negotiation Failure, BTC Weekly Midline Resistance, Can Bulls Break Through the 80,000 Barrier?

BTC dropped and then recovered; in the early stages of the negotiation breakdown, Bitcoin will be regarded as a risk asset and sold off, with a short-term decline potentially exceeding 5%. If geopolitical conflicts continue to escalate, some funds may treat it as an alternative safe-haven asset, driving a mid-term recovery for Bitcoin; if the negotiations send soothing signals, its rebound strength will be weaker than gold, and once the conflict escalates, liquidity tightening will further weaken Bitcoin.
BTC rebounded after a drop following the monthly closing; after the weekly closing, it stretched. If the closing does not fall below, a weekly double bottom will form. Currently, the weekly midline is under pressure; 76,000 has not stabilized effectively yet. Once it breaks through and stabilizes, it could reach around 80,000. The closing on Monday is very critical.
ETH monthly closing looks bullish, weekly closing breaks the neckline, coming to the midline around 2,400 resistance. The weekly has already golden crossed, and there is a need for a pullback on the four-hour and daily charts, with 2,280 as the last defense. If it doesn't break, it will continue to rise to around 2,500.

Trading Suggestions:
BTC 75,300-75,800 go long, target at 77,300-78,800, defense at 74,800

ETH 2,310-2,350 go long, target at 2,450-2,550, defense at 2,270

$BTC
$ETH

April 16th Trend Analysis: Bitcoin surged and then fell back, can the bulls continue to break through?

Currently, Bitcoin's high point is blocked and has pulled back, forming a parallel trend pressure point. Combined with the upward trend support between 65000 and 68000, it has formed a parallel ascending triangle. Currently, this support has been raised to around 71000, with short-term support at around 72500.

From the technical perspective of Ethereum, after reaching the pressure around 2420, it quickly closed in a 4-hour level. Currently, there is a double support point at the gap below around 2180. In the short term, if 2420 does not break, look towards 2300 for testing!

Operation Suggestions:
BTC 72500-73000 go long, target look at 74000 -75000, defense at 72000

ETH 2250-2290 go long, target look at 2400-2500, defense at 2210

$BTC

$ETH

April 13th Market Analysis: Bitcoin rises and falls, with a strategy of buying on dips continuing; don't miss out again.

The previous day’s strategy of buying on dips resulted in profits, so don’t miss out this time; the strategy remains unchanged. Bitcoin's daily chart has stabilized above the short-term moving average system, with MACD golden cross and increasing red momentum. The Bollinger Bands have shifted from a narrow squeeze to a slight opening, with prices operating above the middle band, breaking free from the previous one-sided downward trend. However, there is significant selling pressure near the upper Bollinger Band around 73156, as well as in the dense area of positions between 75000-76000; furthermore, the EMA120 moving average is still trending downward, and the medium to long-term downward trend has not fully reversed. A rebound needs to break through key resistance to open up upward space.

Ethereum's daily chart is forming a short-term upward arrangement. The MACD indicator has golden crossed and is continuously moving upward, with significant volume on the red bars, and bullish momentum is being released; the middle band of the Bollinger Bands has shifted from resistance to support, with prices operating above the middle band, transitioning from a downward trend into a consolidation rebound channel. However, there is pressure from the upper Bollinger Band near 2258, and the EMA120 moving average is still trending downward, with the medium to long-term downward trend yet to be completely reversed. A rebound needs to break through 2300 to confirm continuity.

Operational Suggestions:
BTC 70300-70800 go long, target 73500 -75000, stop loss 69800

ETH 2140-2180 go long, target 2350- 2500, stop loss 2110

$BTC
$ETH

April 11 Market Analysis: Bitcoin's rise is not over yet; can this surge break through to 80,000?

BTC monthly closing is bullish, continuing to stretch after a pullback. The weekly closing shows a bullish engulfing pattern, and after a pullback, it continues to attack the resistance level around 73,000. Currently, a double bottom has not formed, and the daily chart is stabilizing at the middle track, with MACD successfully showing a golden cross and increasing volume. Therefore, as the middle track stabilizes, it continues to attack, and after breaking 73,000, the target is around 80,000.

ETH monthly closing is bullish, with a weekly closing showing a bullish engulfing pattern, and a golden cross is about to happen. Currently, it is pressured around 2,300, and breaking through will see it rise to 2,500. The four-hour chart shows a double top, which may have a pullback to 2,150, and if it holds, it will continue to rise.

Trading Suggestions:
BTC 71,500-72,000 go long, target at 73,500 -75,000, stop loss at 71,000

ETH 2,170-2,210 go long, target at 2,350 - 2,500, stop loss at 2,130

$BTC
$ETH

April 6 Market Analysis: Bitcoin and Ethereum strongly rebound, oscillating and gathering strength for a major weekly trend.

Recently, the strategy has repeatedly emphasized going long on dips, and Bitcoin has made thousands of points in profit, while Ethereum has made hundreds of points in profit. It was previously mentioned that the strong support below is effective; BTC did not break below 66000, so go long on dips; ETH did not break below 2010, so go long on dips!
Once again, congratulations to the loyal friends who followed along; a good result has been achieved in just 3 days.
Last Thursday, it was said that Bitcoin confirmed a bottom at 66000; if it does not break below, the bottom reversal will begin, and the market reversed as expected. Bitcoin has already soared 4000 points, with a brief small breakthrough; as long as the weekly channel pressure is broken, things will improve.
Last Thursday, Ethereum's lower parallel support did not reach the gap below, with a minimum of 2015. Our entry position also perfectly reached this point, and the daily closing was quite good. The short-term pressure area above is around 2180-2200, with the lows continually rising, which is the direction of the trend! Business cooperation btc0796

Operation Suggestions:
BTC 68500-69000 go long, target 71500 -73000 stop loss 68000

ETH 2120-2140 go long, target 2250- 2400 stop loss 2080

$BTC
$ETH