SnowyYeti
524 Posts
SnowyYeti
白绒雪怪 雪山巨人 手工Lv2 搬运Lv4 伐木Lv3冷却Lv2
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Today’s portfolio adjustment boils down to one thing: betting that the FOMC won’t go hawkish, and that semiconductors continue to be in a risk-on mode.
I did three things:
1. Bought SOXX
Expressing overall beta with a semiconductor ETF instead of just going long on AMD. Asian semiconductors have already bounced back aggressively, with strong performances in A-shares, KOSPI, and Nikkei. Companies like Samsung, SK Hynix, and Kioxia in the memory/AI hardware chain are also signaling bullish trends.
2. Placed a NET 7/17 240/290 call spread
Cloudflare is, in my opinion, the foundational infrastructure ticket for the AI coding/agent/web app auto-generation era. More and more people will be deploying websites, APIs, edge services, security, CDN, and AI Gateways; Cloudflare is becoming like the utilities of the internet, not just your average SaaS.
3. Sold a 7/31 800C after AMD spiked
This isn’t a bearish move on AMD, but rather a way to collect some premium at an extreme uptrend position. If AMD truly hits 800, I’m okay with taking some partial profits there. The key is that I didn’t sell any near-term low strike calls, as I don’t want to expose myself to the short gamma risk again.
The core judgment of this trade:
AI is the main theme, and FOMC is just a disturbance.
The Fed might not be dovish, but I’m betting it won’t be hawkish enough to flip the table directly.
If it does turn hawkish, I’ll take the loss; if it doesn’t, I want to capture the upside exposure in semiconductors and AI infrastructure.
This is a personal trading record and does not constitute investment advice. #美国伊朗终战协议 #BTC突破6.6万美元 #半导体
I did three things:
1. Bought SOXX
Expressing overall beta with a semiconductor ETF instead of just going long on AMD. Asian semiconductors have already bounced back aggressively, with strong performances in A-shares, KOSPI, and Nikkei. Companies like Samsung, SK Hynix, and Kioxia in the memory/AI hardware chain are also signaling bullish trends.
2. Placed a NET 7/17 240/290 call spread
Cloudflare is, in my opinion, the foundational infrastructure ticket for the AI coding/agent/web app auto-generation era. More and more people will be deploying websites, APIs, edge services, security, CDN, and AI Gateways; Cloudflare is becoming like the utilities of the internet, not just your average SaaS.
3. Sold a 7/31 800C after AMD spiked
This isn’t a bearish move on AMD, but rather a way to collect some premium at an extreme uptrend position. If AMD truly hits 800, I’m okay with taking some partial profits there. The key is that I didn’t sell any near-term low strike calls, as I don’t want to expose myself to the short gamma risk again.
The core judgment of this trade:
AI is the main theme, and FOMC is just a disturbance.
The Fed might not be dovish, but I’m betting it won’t be hawkish enough to flip the table directly.
If it does turn hawkish, I’ll take the loss; if it doesn’t, I want to capture the upside exposure in semiconductors and AI infrastructure.
This is a personal trading record and does not constitute investment advice. #美国伊朗终战协议 #BTC突破6.6万美元 #半导体
spcx short short short
It's just a safety net for xai, and the folks in xai aren't even that skilled, plus most of them have already left.
My high school buddies can land a post-train co-leader role in xai, so what does that say about the company's level? They couldn't even make it into a computer training squad, ended up gaming World of Warcraft every day after getting their guaranteed admissions, couldn't even apply for a PhD, settled for a master's, and then had to rely on family connections to find a local mentor for their PhD. Now, Musk has brought them into xai, and what they're producing is total garbage, now they're pulling out spcx to cover their losses.
It's just a safety net for xai, and the folks in xai aren't even that skilled, plus most of them have already left.
My high school buddies can land a post-train co-leader role in xai, so what does that say about the company's level? They couldn't even make it into a computer training squad, ended up gaming World of Warcraft every day after getting their guaranteed admissions, couldn't even apply for a PhD, settled for a master's, and then had to rely on family connections to find a local mentor for their PhD. Now, Musk has brought them into xai, and what they're producing is total garbage, now they're pulling out spcx to cover their losses.
This week’s schedule and execution strategies to watch in the US stock market, sharing with friends who have bought US stock tokens.
This wave hasn't really dipped much, haven't you seen BTC at 519 or 314? Back at 519, BTC dropped 50% in the time it took me to eat a meal, wrecking a million. I jumped back in with another 500k to keep pushing. After the rebound, expect another big drop, though to break through 52k, it's probably gonna take a couple of weeks.
btc can go to hell, my mining rigs are wiped clean, I can't even pay the electric bill, zeroing out, zeroing out, let the chain fade into oblivion! Ponzi schemes can die, die, die, die, die!
Broadcom's earnings report is dropping in 7 hours. I'm planning to scoop up 11.5B of no on Polymarket at 3:55 and hedge it with a spread call. The only scenario where I’d take a double loss is if the earnings report is stellar but the stock price tanks, which I don't think is likely in this market condition.
Also, I'll be opening a isolated margin long position.
#AVGOUSDT
Also, I'll be opening a isolated margin long position.
#AVGOUSDT
Only trading semiconductors
After the liquidation in the crypto space on 10.11, I bounced back thanks to AMD. Shoutout to Su Ma! #amdyes #amdtothemoon#苏妈
Liquidity is overflowing in the crypto space; BTC's trading volume is twice that of NVDA in the US stock market. Can we expect another moonshot?
The gentle morning breeze
气运大阳哥
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$Binance life Hu Chenfeng was criticized by CCTV today, the life series has another narrative
Now altcoins have no new things, it's better to directly trade AI. Since April, both NVDA and AMD have doubled or tripled in value. The trading volume is still large, and there are options trading as well. Who wouldn't play with semiconductor stocks like NVDA and AMD instead of playing with cryptocurrencies? What else can you call it but foolishness?
哟西妮基君
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Koreans are no longer trading cryptocurrencies, the truth behind the biggest exit in the crypto circle
This data is a bit frightening, South Korea's largest exchange Upbit's trading volume has plummeted by 80% year-on-year, the Bitcoin-Korean won trading pair has cooled off, while the South Korean stock market has surged by 70% this year, reaching an all-time high. Now the atmosphere in South Korean chat rooms has changed: retail investors who used to study altcoins every day are now discussing AI semiconductor stocks. Indeed, the world's speculators are the same; they run where the money is.
In my opinion, when the profit effect of traditional financial markets rises, funds in the crypto circle will inevitably be diverted. This wave of withdrawal by Koreans may trigger a liquidity crisis for altcoins, and it is worth being vigilant about whether the global enthusiasm for trading cryptocurrencies is cooling down.
However, let's not be too pessimistic. Once this wave of AI stock bubbles bursts, Koreans will likely return to the crypto circle with their wallets. After all, those who are used to trading cryptocurrencies find it hard to tolerate the fluctuations of the stock market.
#巨鲸动向
This data is a bit frightening, South Korea's largest exchange Upbit's trading volume has plummeted by 80% year-on-year, the Bitcoin-Korean won trading pair has cooled off, while the South Korean stock market has surged by 70% this year, reaching an all-time high. Now the atmosphere in South Korean chat rooms has changed: retail investors who used to study altcoins every day are now discussing AI semiconductor stocks. Indeed, the world's speculators are the same; they run where the money is.
In my opinion, when the profit effect of traditional financial markets rises, funds in the crypto circle will inevitably be diverted. This wave of withdrawal by Koreans may trigger a liquidity crisis for altcoins, and it is worth being vigilant about whether the global enthusiasm for trading cryptocurrencies is cooling down.
However, let's not be too pessimistic. Once this wave of AI stock bubbles bursts, Koreans will likely return to the crypto circle with their wallets. After all, those who are used to trading cryptocurrencies find it hard to tolerate the fluctuations of the stock market.
#巨鲸动向
This ugly shape has indeed appeared
The crypto world really has a bit of a rotten smell, just a slight increase and it’s smashed down. What has happened to the US stock market? The crypto world really can't last much longer; it will cool down sooner or later.
This round of BTC will only reach 126000, and the next round will go to zero.
Miners are quitting; after 4 years of halving, the costs haven't doubled back yet.
Therefore, to maintain the fund, at all costs, it is best to hit 69000 multiplied by 2 and ideally move a little higher, which is between 140000-170000. If it can't be reached, just leave the market and never touch the crypto world again because this thing is not going to go uphill anymore.
Miners are quitting; after 4 years of halving, the costs haven't doubled back yet.
Therefore, to maintain the fund, at all costs, it is best to hit 69000 multiplied by 2 and ideally move a little higher, which is between 140000-170000. If it can't be reached, just leave the market and never touch the crypto world again because this thing is not going to go uphill anymore.
Shanzhai coins will迎来 a wave of空行情
This market really isn't quite normal. The CPI data release buried the orders and couldn't get in, after the CPI data was released, US stock futures rose while falling all the way. The opening rose all the way, and these BTC, ETH, etc. have been falling since the data was released at 8:30. Is this human?
The collapse of gold is a signal for the US stock market to start the next round of soaring
Expected rise in US stocks = foreign capital buys US dollars = short-term US dollar appreciation
AI services concentrated in the US = the appreciated US dollars are directly consumed in the US, and will not be exchanged for other currencies to take out
This closed loop will make all other currencies rush to exchange for US dollars, so when interest rates are lowered, the US dollar actually strengthens. Moreover, as long as AI researchers continue to develop new technologies, this entire closed loop will not end. The collapse of gold is just the starting point. Nasdaq sees 50000 points in 3 years.
Expected rise in US stocks = foreign capital buys US dollars = short-term US dollar appreciation
AI services concentrated in the US = the appreciated US dollars are directly consumed in the US, and will not be exchanged for other currencies to take out
This closed loop will make all other currencies rush to exchange for US dollars, so when interest rates are lowered, the US dollar actually strengthens. Moreover, as long as AI researchers continue to develop new technologies, this entire closed loop will not end. The collapse of gold is just the starting point. Nasdaq sees 50000 points in 3 years.
Tomorrow at 8:30 PM, CPI PPI, market volatility will only decrease after that.
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