#btc In short: the last ones in get wrecked. This is referred to as a 'pump and dump' for trash coins, and here's how it works: ### 1. Who's pulling it up It's usually a small group holding a lot of coins at rock-bottom prices. They use cash, bots, and community hype to pump the price up +6%, +20%, +100% in just a few minutes. The goal is to create FOMO. ### 2. Who gets wrecked when the price is pumped - Group 1 - FOMOing at the peak: They see a strong green candlestick and, fearing they’ll miss the trade, they chase the price higher. At this point, the pumpers already have sell orders set above.
#FLOKİ This is the FLOKI/USDT monthly chart, it's a memecoin like SHIB, so read the candlesticks with extra caution 😅
### 1. Long-term trend structure - *Still in heavy downtrend*: Peak at 0.00034900 from 2024, now price is 0.00003033, down 91%. - *MA7 at 0.00003424 > Current price*: Price just hit the monthly MA7 and got rejected. MA25 at 0.00010114 is far above, sloping down. - *Price is testing the old bottom 0.00002769-0.00003033*: This is the bottom zone from August 2023 and May 2024. Losing this area means no nearby support left.
### 2. Notable signals - *This month's candle is a small Doji/Hammer*: After a series of 6-7 consecutive red candles, this month shows indecision at the bottom. Usually signals that the bears are losing strength. - *Volume is shrinking*: Looking at the volume column below, from the peak in 2024 until now, volume has dropped by 90%. Few sellers, but also few buyers. - *Average buy price at 0.00002769*: On the chart, there's a tag "Average buy price" right at the bottom. There's a chance a whale is accumulating here.
### 3. Important zones - *Critical support*: 0.00002769. Losing this area would send FLOKI down to 0.00001524, which is the historical bottom. - *Nearby resistance*: 0.00003424 MA7. Breaking this would open the door for a bounce back to 0.00007198. - *Strong resistance*: 0.00010114 MA25. This is the boundary between downtrend and sideways.
### 4. Practical conclusion FLOKI is at a long-term bottom, but there are no clear reversal signals yet. It's like SHIB: it only pumps when there’s a memecoin wave + news + liquidity coming in. Technical analysis on the monthly chart is just to identify risk zones.
*If you're holding FLOKI*: 0.00002769 is the red line. Losing it means cut losses, holding could see a bounce back to 0.00003424-0.00007198. *If you're looking to catch the bottom*: High risk. Safer to wait for a monthly candle to close above 0.00003424 along with increased volume.
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