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Thoughts on the Bull Market
Consider a question, what stage are we in now?
First, clarify the existing content and the content that has occurred.
The game between the two major economies, China and the US.
US Stocks: Historical Highs
Interest Rates: About to enter a rate-cutting cycle
Commodities: Crude oil is okay, but silver and gold have skyrocketed.
The financial war has lasted so long, and it seems that no major economy has experienced a significant crash, giving up resistance.
Let's get straight to the conclusion; I can't write much more, I just feel that there is still one more bull market coming, it feels like the end of the bull market.
Many people are wondering, after such a long financial war, with US stocks so high, is it unreasonable to still have a bull market?
I also can't figure it out, there are some analyses that cannot be concluded, but perhaps this is just my experience, my intuition, my conclusion based on my understanding of this world.
I am about 70% sure that the bull is still there, and the market is entering its final frenzy.
If the bull market comes,
Let's talk about what to pay attention to, which is the final stage of the bull market.
Everyone may not have experienced the last stage of the bull market.
Let's talk about precautions:
First, BTC: Sideways or slightly up, with an expected increase of 150,000, Bitcoin is unlikely to be the mainstream of the rise.
ETH: As the second, the early stage has limited gains, likely to be the main force of the rise, and will experience a catch-up, very likely to double, targeting 6,000-10,000.
Altcoin Market: The time for chaos has arrived, whether it's people or ghosts, everything is rising.
Of course, a few representative tokens will emerge, such as meme.
Binance Life also has a lot of potential, I temporarily favor 0g.
Anyway, everything is rising, I'm running out of words. I have experienced several bull markets, I didn't make money, nor did I lose my pants, maybe I just didn't have much money to begin with, but every time I learned a lot, I encountered almost all major events in the market, various things, the logic of rising and falling of various tokens, systemic risks, which cannot be articulated, only understood. I have gained an understanding of this world; I can comprehend and predict the underlying logic. This experience is my most precious wealth.
The bull market is highly likely to come. In terms of directional judgment, I have hardly missed it; my losses are due to personal issues, not thinking problems $ETH

Let me break down my overall grasp of the market, step by step, to clarify the logic. First off, let's pinpoint that the crypto market is just a small pond in the bigger environment. Starting with the US stock market, I believe it's currently in a FOMO phase, and a price surge is highly probable. Once that FOMO kicks in, we could see an endless climb. The stock market's peak might coincide with some mega IPOs, like SpaceX and OpenAI. Historically, stock market tops are closely linked to these super IPOs, which in turn stirs retail investor sentiment and is a source of FOMO. However, this also drains market liquidity and puts pressure on the market. Iran: Oil prices are definitely high, no doubt about it. Trump: He wants to bring oil prices down (on the surface: to reassure the domestic crowd), but in reality, it keeps pushing oil prices up. The US may not have the largest oil reserves, but it's the biggest producer, thanks to extraction technology. The core issue revolves around Japan. Japan is already on the chopping block, surrounded on all sides. Raise interest rates, and it's game over; don’t raise them, and it’s just a slower death. The US is being intentional with oil prices, and time is limited; we won't dive into details. Right now, the focus is on the yen exchange rate at 160, which has already broken. I think Japan will abandon the 160 mark as long as the exchange rate remains stable and doesn't plummet. If there's a big drop, the Bank of Japan might turn a blind eye. As for cryptocurrencies, I'm feeling very bearish due to the market's lack of trust; there’s no confidence out there.

I'm trying to update daily and share my personal views. I'm not a big fan of trading on Binance; it seems like there are too many opportunities there, and the volatility is higher compared to other exchanges. Before Zhao's exit, the overall volatility on Binance was relatively low, seemingly to protect users. After Zhao stepped down, everything changed.
Right now, I'm bearish on #lab $$LAB , and my short entry is at 0.6874.
The operator's strategy is also to poke the stops with up-and-down spikes, with a long/short ratio of 0.7. Is there a risk of a short squeeze? I don't think so, though I do have my concerns. Why? This coin has relatively poor liquidity. Observing the order book, the order execution speed is slow; for instance, with coins like Rave, the execution speed is lightning fast. If there are no users participating, it’s just a poor operator, similar to the BSB logic, only knowing how to liquidate retail traders. The big players can't be taken out, so the endgame is just to run with the spot. Therefore, I believe the chances of a short squeeze are minimal, so I'm proceeding cautiously with my short position.

The square is filled with noisy transactions, seemingly covering up the real sound

ETH starting with 2 may be hard to see for a long time, the big one is coming, a crisis is on the way.

Currently something is very wrong, the big one is on the way, 1500 eth is expected to be seen soon.

Hustle and bustle, sideways movement, someone has picked up at 1.6

This is the top, md, I just lost 500u, I'm back again, if I lose again I won't play anymore

Once, twice, three times, it can't be four, can it? This might be the top.

Why is this thing so hard? The big pancake Ether is crashing. But this thing will end after the injection, probably waiting for another shot at 2 o'clock. Then it will violently rise.

There is a particularly large divergence in this position, but I have seen more.

Are you the clown sent by the monkey?

So thrilling, so scary, this dog house is so ruthless, after killing a lot, it can reverse 10 points in 1 minute, although it opened at a high point, it can't withstand such fear.

I know he will insert needles, 0.85 empty, but I am still afraid, this庄 is too ruthless.

Isn't it supposed to be just 1 line? Hahaha, why is there not even 1 line?

This庄估计逮了一个大鱼, otherwise it wouldn't be like this

Still not running? Rationality tells you to run, greed tells you not to run, this is human nature, this庄, absolutely

This is an evil village, cruel, too cruel.

The facts show that as long as there is an increase, there will be people shorting; as long as there is a decrease, there will be people buying the dip

If I were a dog stock, opening more positions would definitely close smart money, and it would help you discover it.