吴总说趋势

新手如何选币？仓位怎么管理？老吴公开核心逻辑！！！

大部分找到我的粉丝最常问的问题是：
1.不知道该买哪个币这。市场上币种太多，信息杂乱，新人很容易失去方向。

2.看到别人推荐的币，不知道买多少，也不知道什么价买、什么价卖。经常是重仓冲进去，价格一波动就心慌，最后亏损离场。别人发的操作信息往往有滞后性，等你看到时机会可能已经过去了。

3.不断押大小，结果往往不理想。这么做和赌博的区别确实不大，盈利的确定性非常低。

针对上面这些问题，我的应对理念很直接：首要目标是控制风险，追求稳定盈利

牛市虽然听起来很长，但真正快速拉升的“主升浪”阶段可能很短。在现货交易中，宁可错过一些不确定的机会，也尽量不要做错。耐心等待高确定性的机会，比频繁操作更重要。

#特朗普暂停“自由计划” #比特币突破$80K

Tonight at 20:30, the highly anticipated April CPI data from the US is finally dropping!

The market expects a non-adjusted year-on-year rate of 3.3%, down from the previous 3.7%. If it beats expectations, the hopes for a rate cut will be dashed. $BTC and $ETH could face a sell-off!

In times like these, big players are waiting for the shoe to drop. If you're unsure whether this move is bullish or bearish, don't know what the whales will do next, or even if you should cut your losses on your holdings... then you should definitely catch up with the rhythm at → 扫码进聊天室!

#CPI数据 #美联储主席交接临近 #伊朗拒绝美国和平方案

$XAU 暴涨暴跌！哪里才是上车机会？

目前BOLL极度收窄，上轨在4708附近构成天花板，单边行情随时会来！

MACD水下金叉，短期有反弹的意思；但现在还在零轴下方，说明空头的压制还在。

为什么走这么纠结？
​今晚美国4月CPI是关键。市场在博弈降息预期。数据热、美元走强，XAU还要跳水；反之，才有一线生机。

我今天的思路是主空辅多！
等反弹到 4710​ 附近受阻回落就空，止损设 4715​ 上方，止盈看下轨 4694，跌破再看前低4680​ 附近。

XAU目前是弱势整理期，今晚CPI之前大概率会向下变盘走一波回调，千万别追高！

今晚盘面会非常激烈，想第一时间跟上我的喊单节奏，来→扫码进聊天室顶峰相见！

#XAU #BinanceOnline即将开启 #比特币Ordinals浏览器Ord.io将关闭 #特朗普5月13日至15日访华

$IRYS Peak Waterfall, RSI has plunged to the depths! Should we scoop up the corpses or run for our lives?

The recent cliff-like drop left the bulls with no chance to fight back! The bears are dominating, and the bulls are fleeing.

BOLL is opening downwards, entering oversold territory, and in this one-sided downtrend, oversold can get even more oversold. For now, the bears are still in control, and short positions remain strong!

On-chain data shows that significant funds are experiencing net outflows at high levels, while many retail traders are trying to catch the falling knife during this drop.

No beating around the bush, here's the most straightforward advice for the current market:
For a short-term rebound: Wait for a retest around the lower bound at 0.047 to stabilize, then if a volume spike green candle appears on the 15-minute chart, consider going long.
Set your stop loss at 0.046; if it breaks, there’s still room to fall below.
Take profit target is around the middle band at 0.0528; quick in and out!

Was this analysis helpful for you? If you want the latest precise entry points, hit me up at → 扫码进聊天室 for detailed sharing, let’s recover together, don’t miss out!

#Irys #美联储主席交接临近 #BinanceOnline即将开启

Is the big player trying to shake out the weak hands before a pump?

$LAB Right now, the spot market is seeing continuous outflows from the major players, so be ready to pull back; on the futures side, trading volume is picking up, but open interest is dropping.

The whales have a long to short ratio of 4:6; the big players who shorted at the highs can’t hold on any longer and are starting to bail. The bears are weakening!

Last night, we broke the trend, and logically, we should have seen a waterfall drop, but instead, the major players directly bought back the chips to shake out the weak shorts! They wiped out all the stop losses and liquidity of the bears, and already started to gather momentum for a pump in the early hours.

I personally believe that as long as the support at 3.6-4 holds, this drop is merely a scare tactic, and the market will move upwards afterwards! If you're looking for a precise entry and exit point, hit me up → 扫码进聊天室!

#LAB #美联储主席交接临近 #MARA一季度净亏损扩大至13亿美元

$BTC 82000 it's time to go bold and short!

The weekly chart is currently ranging within the previous big box, looking like it might go up, but it just can't break through. The bearish wedge hasn't broken yet!

Personally, I believe that this position is a mid-to-long-term short zone, and opportunities are laid out here. The daily MA200 has been tested after 188 days, and the first test usually acts as strong resistance, making it hard to pass directly.

The price is barely at a new high, but the MACD is not following, showing a clear bearish divergence, and the volume is still shrinking, making the bounce look weak; the bulls lack strength!
The support level is at 79200; as long as it doesn't break down effectively, the bulls can still breathe; but once it breaks, going short with the trend is the way to go.

At this stage of the market, mindset is more important than technicals. If you need some strategic advice, hit me up →扫码进聊天室!

#BinanceOnline即将开启 #美联储主席交接临近 #MARA一季度净亏损扩大至13亿美元

个人觉得$BTC 这波反弹就是在拿空军当燃料，并且可能二次下砸！

政策面：美联储的加息概率直接卡死上涨；
资金面：交易量萎缩，没力气冲8万3；
全网持仓下降，资费转正，但8万3上方有巨量空军，庄会先除掉这些，再掉头下砸！

更别提美股现在高位，回调就带崩币圈。

新美联储主席上任，再加后面的世界杯，流动性都会被抽走。这可能又是一次大机会！觉得风险大的来→扫码进聊天室，别等到真砸下来又后悔。

#BinanceOnline即将开启 #美联储主席交接临近 #MARA一季度净亏损扩大至13亿美元

Binance's latest update is here! Let's check it out~

BTC: ratio 100.22%, exchange wallets are dominating.
ETH: ratio 100.00%, on-chain and account balances are highly consistent.
USDT: ratio 104.27%, performing well, currently the largest stablecoin holding.
BNB: ratio 101.68%,
SOL: ratio 100.00%,
USDC: ratio 106.66%, showing the strongest performance, with higher on-chain balances.
USD1: ratio 100.77%,
XRP: ratio 101.02%.

Overall, Binance still has a strong liquidity reserve. Core asset performance is close to the benchmark, with manageable volatility; major coins continue to appreciate.

#灰度计划推出ADAETF #BTC市值超越特斯拉

This week, with low liquidity in the market, market makers are dumping a massive $BTC directly into a thin order book, liquidating leveraged longs and shorts!

The upward liquidity has basically been harvested clean, and now it's time to hunt the lower range.

We also have a super data week:
On the 12th, the last heavyweight CPI report before the transition, and you never know, there could be some manipulation!
Then we have Trump visiting China and bilateral talks, the variables are off the charts.
On the 15th, the Fed chair transition, with Waller stepping in.

If we can't hold this 80200 level, the bears will take the win! Personally, I think the downside risk is glaring, and there's plenty of room for movement in this operation. If you don't know how to respond or find opportunities, come hit me up at → 扫码进聊天室!

#伊朗拒绝美国和平方案 #特朗普5月13日至15日访华

In this game, you can't have your cake and eat it too!

When trading crypto, you can't expect to score those 10x or 100x gains while perfectly timing every dip and peak!

Whether it was the previous altcoin season or <a>$BTC </a>, the ones who really bag those massive returns typically have one strategy: HODL!

Over the past couple of years, altcoins have been all about quick flips, and I totally get it because that's your risk choice. But if a real bull run comes next, constantly trying to scalp will leave you missing out on the major waves.

So in the face of a big market, being too clever by half can cost you big opportunities. If you agree with my perspective, hit me up at <a>扫码进聊天室</a>; let's share strategies one-on-one and make sure you hold onto what you need in the upcoming market!

<a>#CLARITY法案5月14日听证在即 #特朗普5月13日至15日访华 #伊朗拒绝美国和平方案 </a>

Since breaking below the MA200 last November, $BTC has fully entered a bear market.

Now we've seen a rebound, testing the MA200 at 82036 for the first time; it’s nearly impossible to just charge through on the first attempt!

Typically, it takes a second or even third test to have a shot at breaking through, and this time the chances of a breakout are pretty low, while the odds of a dip are much higher!

This rebound started at the end of March and has lasted over 40 days with minimal pullbacks, and the slope is getting steeper.

Market sentiment is heating up, with retail traders chasing highs, resulting in a classic pump and dump scenario. I’m sure many are getting caught at this level. Avoid getting wrecked or need help getting unstuck? Hit me up at 扫码进聊天室, let's manage the risk together.

#BTC #特朗普5月13日至15日访华 #Strategy恢复购买BTC

山寨长牛要来了？原因就一个！

有利可图，是大大的利！

我不是说所有山寨，我指的是美国本土项目和大公链，包括以后新出来的美国系项目。

机构和项目方什么都不缺，钱多脑子活，还会讲故事。只要规则边界清楚，他们就能放开手脚干！

后面肯定会有比DeFi、铭文更牛的创新，我看好这个趋势，同时也在里面布局。想一起抓这方面机会的，来→扫码进聊天室找我，把这波肉吃到位！

#山寨大涨 #伊朗拒绝美国和平方案 #特朗普5月13日至15日访华

$ZEC is pumping again! Should you FOMO in now or wait?

ZEC is experiencing a pullback, hitting a peak of 634 today; volume is increasing, and the RSI is at a high level, indicating that the whales are accelerating!

On the 1H chart, the Bollinger Bands are opening up, and after stabilizing at the middle band, we shot up to the upper band; up 57% this week and nearly 90% in a month, far outpacing the market!

Watch for resistance at 650-700 historical levels above, and support at 610-580 below. Technically, the bulls are in control.

On-chain data shows 5 million ZEC has entered full privacy mode, with significant inflows from whales.

What should you do now? If we hold above 630, consider a light long with volume, set a stop loss at 600, and wait for a pullback on the hourly to add more, eyeing 700 as a take profit at historical resistance.

Want to receive my trading signals on time and hop into the next potential coin? Hit me up at 扫码进聊天室, and may everyone feast on this wave!

#zec #a16zCrypto称RWA规模超300亿美元 #日本国债上链和全天交易

We've got two solid five-star data points! Get ready~

Unemployment rate is holding steady at 4.3%, last month's non-farm payroll added 178K jobs, which looks decent, but April's actual forecast is only about 60K, falling short of expectations! The signs of economic cooling are pretty clear, and the Fed's interest rate cut window is wide open!

This is super bullish for the crypto market, with $BTC hovering around the 80K mark, and $ETH is also holding back. Weak employment means rising expectations, and that brings in the funds!

Last time similar data dropped, market sentiment exploded, and everyone was able to feast. But remember, the macro environment can flip at any moment. If you're feeling lost, hit me up → 扫码进聊天室. I'm here to watch the charts and recap, helping you dodge pitfalls and seize opportunities, giving you the most grounded analysis!

#非农就业数据 #Tom Lee谈BitMine放缓ETH买入 #日本国债上链和全天交易

$BTC We're definitely in a bear market, and here's why:

Yesterday, there was an ETF outflow of $269 million, and the daily chart printed a bearish engulfing candlestick. The weekly chart is also being pressured by an uptrend channel, signaling full-on shorts.

Right now, the price is hovering in the top zone, and a bearish setup has formed on the 4-hour chart, confirming a downtrend. Once the bearish setup stabilizes, I'll consider positioning for a right-side mid-to-long-term short. If we break below 78k, we'll continue to head down. If you want to hop on board, hit me up at →扫码进聊天室!

#BTC #Tom Lee谈BitMine放缓ETH买入

Yesterday, we just hit 82k on $BTC , and last night it dropped below 80k. The whole network is dead silent; it's a real eyesore!

The Fed's not likely to cut rates in June, and with the four-year casino World Cup coming up, funds are definitely gonna run to gamble big, just look at the 2022 Qatar situation.

With the US-Iran ceasefire and Trump's visit to China, once those headlines drop, it'll be a sell-the-news scenario, and can accelerate a drop.

Right now, emotions are all over the place; it's time to be the clear-headed trader. If you want to strategize the next move with me, hit me up at → 扫码进聊天室.

#木头姐与CZ谈AI和稳定币 #BTC

Will $TON sustain after the big pump? What are your biggest fears? Fear of chasing highs and getting stuck, but even more afraid of missing the main uptrend.

Today, TON shot up to a high of 2.9, pumping 20%, with trading volume going through the roof, and a strong breakout above the upper resistance. There’s short-term pressure, but the structure remains bullish.

This wave of action is a profit-taking cleanout, with solid support around 2.5. Volume is aligning, and funds are still stepping in at these highs, entering an uptrend phase.

On-chain demand is picking up, with daily inflows hitting $190 million, and whales are continuing their positions at these levels.

If you're looking to open a position, how should you play it?
Buy on a dip to the 2.5 support, set a stop-loss below 2.38, with initial targets at 2.8, and if the previous high of 2.9078 breaks, we’re looking at 3.2. A pullback that doesn’t break key support is your chance to add to your position.

Missed the last Telegram hype? Do you want to miss out again? Join us → 扫码进聊天室, and we’ll hook you up with more high-probability trade signals!

#TON #美国4月ADP就业超预期

$SIREN We're currently seeing a high-level stagnation, with heavy resistance above, and a waterfall is imminent!\n\nWhat’s with the AI+Meme sea monster narrative? It’s pure hype, lacking any real value support.\n\nThe project is even more questionable, with no genuine users, a narrative of token burns that's gone bust, and AI options protocols that haven't materialized—it's basically a pump and dump Meme.\n\nThe whales are tightly controlling the market, creating a false illusion of volume while actually cashing out at these highs.\n\nThe technicals have already broken down, and the bulls are out of steam. I’ve already set up my short position; if any of you are still trapped, hit me up at → 扫码进聊天室!\n\n#siren #美国4月ADP就业超预期

$BAN just tanked to 0.07, and the MACD is showing a golden cross again. Is diving in now going to get me buried?

BAN shot up violently from the 3rd, and now it's fading with low volume. How many brothers chasing the highs are stuck at the peak?

Let’s check the 1h candlestick:
Currently, the price is hugging the lower band, which should form support nearby.
The RSI isn’t oversold, but momentum is fading, and the slope of the decline is slowing down. A sharp rebound could happen at any time.
The MACD has a golden cross below water, which is what I value most! The DIF line is turning up, showing the big players are scooping up low!
So, I still think we’ll see a wave of corrective bounce. It's not time to panic sell!

If you're itching to enter and don’t have any positions, how should you play BAN?
Buy low for a bounce: 0.0699 long, stop-loss at 0.0678. If it breaks the lower support, it means the trend is turning sour.
Take profit first at 0.071, then look for resistance near 0.0735.

That’s it for today’s market analysis. Still debating whether to jump in at market price or wait for more dips? Hit me up at → 扫码进聊天室, I'll send you detailed entry and exit points, first come, first served!

#BAN #美国4月ADP就业超预期

When the good news drops, the market tanks instead, just as I predicted!

Institutions went on a buying spree three days ahead—$630 million on the 1st, $530 million on the 4th, and $470 million on the 5th. Once the news hit, they dumped on the FOMO traders and cashed out.

Whether we pump or not really hinges on the Fed's liquidity! No matter how many crypto regulations Trump signs, we’ve still dropped 25% over a year and a half—what good is regulatory cheer? Every major bull run has been fueled by central banks printing money; now the Fed isn’t lowering rates, no cash means no pumps!

Right now, we just have to wait. If we see a pump before the meetings on the 14th and 15th, that’ll be the best shorting opportunity!

If you want to ride this wave together, hit me up at →扫码进聊天室, keep your rhythm and avoid the traps!

#特朗普称美伊很有可能达成协议 #美国4月ADP就业超预期 #特朗普暂停“自由计划”