0x9one

It turns out that what is called compensation is a compensation apology

rather than monetary compensation

Chinese culture is vast and profound

The current cryptocurrency circle is indeed in disarray because of these few KOLs

$BTC

Newly opened communication group, are there any brothers who want to chat together?

This old guy from Ireland has a really tough life, and he's really unlucky.

He has worked as a security guard, kept bees, and even won a few awards. Later, he thought growing marijuana would be a quick way to make money, so he rented houses nationwide to grow it and sold it in Dublin. After six or seven years, a friend pulled him into the crypto world. He used the money he made from growing marijuana to buy $30,000 worth of Bitcoin, hiding the private key in a fishing rod box.

Within a year, he already had a million in his account.

Five years later, at two-thirty in the morning, he was checking the market with his phone in the forest when the police caught him. After he went in, the landlord cleared the house, and the fishing rod box was thrown away as trash. Inside were tens of millions of Bitcoin.

While he was inside, that money grew from tens of millions to 750 million, and now only 400 million remains.

400 million, not a cent can be touched. The money is still there, and he is still here, but he just can't reach it.

Opened his eyes. $BTC

ETH IH

Yesterday our ETH strategy was to start closing positions at a rebound of 2200, but there may be slight differences across platforms, that's okay.

At this moment today, all short positions from 2400 to 2600 will be closed, taking profits.

Mid-term strategy: Wait and see

Short-term strategy: The rebound strength is relatively weak, so we will observe for a day.

BTC 1H

Yesterday our BTC strategy was to start closing positions above 72000, and then the market ran very favorably according to our strategy, haha

This allowed most investors with short positions between 76000-75000 to take profits.

Current mid-term strategy: temporarily observing

Short-term strategy: go long around the current price of 72800, with a quantity of half of usual, stop loss at 71800

ETH 1H

Due to serious turmoil in the oil-producing regions, especially as the risk aversion expectations have not played a role.
This has instead become the biggest hidden danger in our market, and at this point, technical analysis is no longer important.

The main task remains to protect our short position, which after increasing the position, has an average holding cost in the range of 2600-2400.

Medium-term strategy: If it rebounds to 2200, we can reduce the position by half, or exit all at once.

Short-term strategy: Due to the turmoil in the oil-producing regions, there are too many uncontrollable factors.

BTC IH
Due to certain regions internationally experiencing force majeure, issues have arisen in oil-producing areas. As per our theory, there should theoretically be a significant reaction, but from the market conditions, it seems that the expected risk-averse sentiment has not appeared.

This is unexpected, but~~ for our short positions, it is quite attractive. NICE!~
Current technical analysis is no longer the focus; now it is about how large the resistance in the oil-producing areas can be? How long can it last?

To emphasize again,
The main responsibility now is still to protect our short positions after increasing our holdings, with costs between 76500-75000.

Mid-term strategy: Start reducing positions at 72000 on the rebound, or take profits all at once.
(The turmoil in the oil-producing areas is the biggest uncertainty)

Short-term strategy: The turbulence in the oil area is still a hidden danger; we will observe first.

I still like the old you

The current you is a bit too good

Everyone has learned it, right?

If everyone has learned it, it won't be useful anymore, huh.

ETH 1H

The market has also entered a cautious sideways phase. After the drop stopped at 1 AM, it has started to rebound slightly.

The main task is still to protect our short position, which has an average holding cost of 2600-2400 after increasing our positions.

Medium-term strategy: If it rebounds to 2200, we can reduce our position by half or exit all at once.

Short-term strategy: Wait and see
$ETH

BTC 1H

The current market slightly dips below the previous low, beginning a noticeable small movement. If it were to drop around 1 AM today, it would instead create a good story, but it rebounded.

The main responsibility now is still to protect our short position between 76500-75000.

Mid-term strategy: Reduce positions starting from a rebound at 72000, or cash out all at once.

Short-term strategy: Wait and see
$BTC

ETH 1H

As mentioned yesterday, there is a certain entanglement relationship between ETH and BTC. However, unlike yesterday, the sideways range after the strategy was issued has been broken again. The primary target, like BTC, is to protect the 2600-2400 range after adding positions.

Mid-term strategy: Protect the short position, do not cut the knife at 2300, do not exit the short position in hand, hold it tight.

Short-term strategy:
Conservative: Due to the prolonged decline being less than ideal, continue to observe.
Aggressive: The market has now broken below 1950, short it, with a stop loss at 2000. However, it is more advisable to reduce the quantity and enlarge the stop loss to 2050. But the premise is that the trading quantity is significantly less than usual, remember that.

BTC 1H
Currently, it's quite humorous that we only reached yesterday's short-term strategy line today. Today's strategy is basically consistent with yesterday's.
The main focus now is to protect our short positions, especially the average holdings from the added positions in the range of 76500-75000.

Mid-term strategy: If there is a rebound to 73000, we will all take profits and exit, cashing in for safety. As for the future strategy for adding positions during a decline, you can refer to the profit situation after stable opening positions in the short-term strategy.

Short-term strategy:
Conservative: After such a long time, the decline is not significant, and the short-selling momentum is not strong enough; let's wait and see.
Aggressive: Short-sell if it breaks 67000 (keep the quantity small), stop loss at 68000, target 65500----64000.

ETH 1H
Theoretically, there is some entangled relationship between ETH and BTC, with a general direction being consistent. However, during the calm consolidation period of BTC, ETH tends to experience significant fluctuations. At this time, although the mid-term direction is unclear, it does not hinder intraday trading.

Mid-term strategy: After a round of increasing positions, our cost is concentrated between 2600-2400, and the current direction is not very clear. Let's continue to hold. Unless it rebounds to 2300, all short positions will exit.

Short-term strategy:
Conservative: Short at the rebound of 2160 (Note: this cannot be used to increase positions in the mid-term strategy), stop loss 50-100, target 2000, 1900.

Aggressive: The current price level at 2000 is quite awkward. If it breaks below 1950, enter the market short at the chasing price, seeking a correct direction. Stop loss at 2000, targets 1900, 1860, 1820.

BTC 1H

Yesterday, BTC did not fall as expected. Fortunately, there was no need to activate plans for an unfavorable direction. A steady state is the real situation. As the market continues to weaken, the accumulated strength will grow increasingly larger. Like a gathering storm, building up strength, with the threshold for disaster response set at 68000 on February 7.

Mid-term Strategy: After increasing positions, continue to hold short positions between 76500-75000, unless it rises to 73000, at which point all should exit for profit, securing the gains. As for the future strategy for adding to short positions during a decline, one can refer to the profit situation after a steady opening in the short-term strategy.

Short-term Strategy:
Cautious: Observe for now
Aggressive: Short if it breaks 67000 (keep the size small), with a stop loss at 68000, and a target of 65500----64000

ETH 1H

Some people say I don't take ETH seriously! That's not true, brother. That's not true! The trend of ETH resembles BTC, but ultimately, due to its smaller base, the precision in operation is insufficient. It has never been possible to operate as precisely as BTC.
Main topic:

ETH, like BTC, has also experienced a significant decline, and there was a rebound at 8 o'clock today. Although it was during the early peak period, very few could take profit on short positions, while simultaneously going long. As the trend continues, signs of decline have begun to appear again.

Medium-term strategy: Hold on to 2780-2800. If short positions were taken at 2100-2200 according to yesterday's strategy, it can be counted as an increase in medium-term shorts. It can be ignored unless it rebounds to 2000, at which point the short positions from yesterday should be closed for the same amount to secure profits. Maintain the amount of 2780-2800 unchanged.

Short-term strategy: For aggressive traders: Short at the current price of 1875, stop loss at 100, take profit at 1820-1800. For conservative traders: If it rebounds to 2000 and then shows a decline, short when it drops to 1950, stop loss at 100, take profit at 1820-1800.

After experiencing an absolute counterattack this morning, BTC has seen a significant rebound. Although the medium-term downtrend has not changed, there is still a slight impact in the short term.

Medium-term strategy: continue to hold short positions at 83400 and 81000 without any changes, and because it has broken below 72000 or 71000, the quantity of previously taken profits has been replenished. nice

Short-term strategy: On February 25, the short positions at 72000 and 71000 can be partially converted into medium-term strategy holdings.
A: If you already hold higher-priced short positions, you may choose not to exit at your discretion, accumulating medium-term short positions.

B: For traders who have completely taken profits and hold no positions, there are two situations:
1. Conservative traders: wait for a rebound failure at 69500, and then short again during the next decline.
2. Aggressive traders: short when the price breaks below 63000, with a stop loss at 10000, and a profit target of 2000--3000 points.

【2026.01.30 ETH Market Analysis】

📉 ETH 1H current market has clearly broken below the low since the 26th, officially entering a breakout range trading mode.

Macroeconomic Background:
ETH/BTC exchange rate continues to decline, with the market favoring BTC more. DeFi TVL growth is slowing down, and spot ETF capital inflows are also slowing down, making the overall macro environment unfavorable for ETH.

Market Sentiment:
ETH investors lack confidence, with selling pressure greater than buying interest. Many investors are waiting to exit on a rebound, and this concentrated selling often indicates there may still be space for a short-term decline.

Strategy Signals:
• Medium-term: Continue to hold short positions until a rebound to the 26th low
• Rebound 2780-2800 → Short, stop loss 50 points

Core Idea: Short when breaking below support, do not try to catch the bottom.

#ETH #行情推演 #交易策略分享

【2026.01.30 BTC Market Analysis】

📉 BTC 1H market has clearly fallen below the low point of 86000 on the 26th, a position that we have repeatedly emphasized in our strategy—breaking below is a signal of mid-term bearish confirmation.

Macroeconomic Background:
This week's trend is weak, breaking multiple key supports, and the market is digesting the pullback pressure from previous gains. The macro funding environment is cautious, and institutional sentiment is heavily wait-and-see.

Market Sentiment:
Current market sentiment is bearish, with a decline in the long-short ratio, a decrease in contract positions, and a reduction in social media discussions. The market has shifted from "fear of heights" to "fear of falling," which often signals a continuation of the trend.

Strategy Signals:
• Mid-term: Hold short positions unless there is a rebound to 85000 points
• Rebound to 85000 → Short, stop loss 1000 points
• Around 83400 → Try short, stop loss 1000 points
• Breaking below 81000 → Key short point, reduce position and widen stop loss to 1300-1500 points

Core Idea: Trade with the trend, short when breaking support.

#BTC #行情分析 #交易策略

ETH 1H Chart

The trend is basically the same as BTC, but note one thing: the current price rebound is already near the previous high point of 2955, not far from 3000.

The operating space is further compressed. Very short-term trading can participate, but be careful with stop-loss.