The pancake retraced to 73, and currently seems to have temporarily stopped falling. Yesterday's plan was "not to go long this week," but still bought a bit. The biggest regret yesterday was $PIEVERSE, which entered the group at 0.52, almost at the stage's bottom, and finally sold a big fly near the previous high. Who knew the previous high could double overnight, damn.
Aside from the calendar cat, there is also $GUA; you can pay attention to these two during the day. If it stabilizes after the retracement, you can give it a try.
As for $BTC , still sticking to the original plan of waiting at 78-79, if it doesn't reach, then forget it, no mid-course intervention.
This week due to negotiations, it will fluctuate up and down. Be cautious at intermediate points, regardless of long or short.
The plan was just completed in the morning, and the market has shown some live examples $币安人生 resurrected, $我踏马来了 rebounded even more However, it fell, the leader dropped by 10%, and the supplementary rise seemed even stronger, but then it fell by more than 20%, this is, the leader has fluctuations, and the supplementary rise will return to zero #山寨币复苏?
客人
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0419 Plan: Last week no shorting, this week no going long
The day before yesterday hinted at an upcoming retreat, gradually entering short positions, the market is as planned without further elaboration, $BTC has not yet broken the structural level (73-74), there may still be one more resurrection (stimulated by information), if there is a double top at 78-79, please cherish it, go hard.
On the counterfeit front, the day before yesterday hinted that the bulls gradually took profits, and most should have exited the peak in the past two days, $RAVE collapsed, if last week saw a big rise, the first reaction was to chase, then this week is to wait for a spike to short.
As for which to short? Although $币安人生 , this leader is also about done, it is still not recommended to short, look for simultaneous supplementary rising mixed positions to short, for example, $Binance life resurrection, you just short $I’m coming for these, the leaders may fluctuate repeatedly, but supplementary rises will really go to zero.
Waiting for the moment when the Grand Leader wins big, shoot your bullet.
0419 Plan: Last week no shorting, this week no going long
The day before yesterday hinted at an upcoming retreat, gradually entering short positions, the market is as planned without further elaboration, $BTC has not yet broken the structural level (73-74), there may still be one more resurrection (stimulated by information), if there is a double top at 78-79, please cherish it, go hard.
On the counterfeit front, the day before yesterday hinted that the bulls gradually took profits, and most should have exited the peak in the past two days, $RAVE collapsed, if last week saw a big rise, the first reaction was to chase, then this week is to wait for a spike to short.
As for which to short? Although $币安人生 , this leader is also about done, it is still not recommended to short, look for simultaneous supplementary rising mixed positions to short, for example, $Binance life resurrection, you just short $I’m coming for these, the leaders may fluctuate repeatedly, but supplementary rises will really go to zero.
Waiting for the moment when the Grand Leader wins big, shoot your bullet.
0417 Plan: Resolving Discrepancies, The Old Demon Returns
Yesterday morning, discrepancies widened ($RAVE rebounded to 10 in the morning), but quickly resolved, leading to a rebound; simultaneously, the old demon returned ($ORDI surged, skyrocketing), and in the evening, all flowers bloomed, with the old mainstream also catching up for a rebound. However, there are several concerns:
1.$BTC shows obvious signs of fatigue. The rebounds are getting lower, and it cannot refresh the high points; a deeper correction is approaching. A fluctuation of one or two thousand points will not crush the shanzhai, but a deep correction is hard to say.
2. The return of the old demon usually occurs at the end of a market trend. The inscriptions represented by ORDI, the first wave of warming represented by SIREN, and today’s doomsday vehicle of the TON ecosystem indicate that market exploration to the end means a recession.
3. Negative feedback from the rear has intensified. BLESS, ON, IN, and other once top gainers are experiencing serious negative feedback.
What to do now? 1. Gradually short the mainstream, but do not fully commit your position at once. Enter the initial position at 76, without expecting a sudden crash.
2. Based on the spot trading band mode, it’s more important to consider whether to sell rather than whether to buy, gradually realizing profits in line with the rise.
3. Based on the contract leader mode, seek short-term opportunities in newly launched strong shanzhai, aiming for small gains with big risks, taking what comes without subjective fantasies about the pattern.
Those who follow the rise and fall of the big pancake are not good imitations $BEAT What cannot kill the big brother will always be the little brother #Bitcoin price trend
Yesterday's cycle definition: Transitioning from a peak to divergence, or reversing to pick up people, operate according to Script One, but the effort was actually very weak. The major coin is basically yanked up by US stocks. In comparison, the major coin's pullback rebound did not break the high point, while the Nasdaq basically had no pullback and reached a new high.
Therefore, in terms of operations, we have to look at the US stock market's face. Subjectively, the major coin wants to plunder liquidity downward, anchoring large shorts in the major coin, with a reference to the clearing map, planning to gradually enter shorts at 76-78 (intraday 753-757) and to long at 68-69 (intraday 72, or simply give up).
On the counterfeit side, focusing on the leading stocks as mentioned yesterday, looking at the supplementary rise $币安人生 , providing two divergence opportunities, the strength is obviously stronger than RAVE, and it can still be played.
Unexpectedly, an old friend $ENJ is getting bolder, the large divergence consolidation and pull-up technique is skilled, the divergence time is getting shorter and shorter, and the pull-up range is getting larger and larger. The earliest long position at 0.029 has already been sold off; this coin should still have opportunities.
At the same time, warning $BLESS, it's too violent, who the hell plays this! #US Military Blocks Strait of Hormuz
To add a point, although the leader $RAVE is making great strides, with a supplementary increase of $币安人生 , the back row like the same period's $ARIA has already started to offload, and the emotional cycle is weakening. Caution is required regarding the mixed signals; one can only hold on to the leader.
In other words, the overall divergence in the imitation is intensifying, but based on the leader's model, one can still buy on divergence, although it needs to be done with a light position, as there have already been major divergences twice. When buying the leader, be cautious at the first divergence, especially at the third divergence, but still, shorting is not recommended.
Startup, fermentation, climax, divergence, recession, and conclusion; we are experiencing the process of transitioning through the climax and divergence.
客人
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0415 Plan: Backward Pickup or System Crash?
First, qualitative analysis: backward pickup. Why? The US stock market has reached new highs and is holding steady, precious metals are rising, crude oil is still sluggish, and large funds are voting with their feet, following the trend. Therefore, for those looking at 40,000 or 50,000, it may be difficult to achieve their wishes in the short term.
$BTC Where to enter for more purchases? Current price 737-740 (previous day's high, forming the latest support and resistance swap) 725-733 (pullback to the upper edge of the descending channel, approximately today’s range) 705-708 (7+ stage bottom, bulls are holding firm) 68-69 (daily K upward trend line, approximately this week’s range) No sudden events, intra-day may just be script one; if there is a pullback to the descending channel, it is worth entering for more purchases.
Now let's talk about the counterfeit leader $RAVE Twice rapidly dipped to entice shorts and then recovered; the number of bears is increasing. If we apply the big A board strategy, there's a catchy term—“Ground to Sky Board,” which is an extreme form of transitioning from weak to strong. So, how high can it go? Brother, it actually depends on how strong your shorts are. Take a break, Azu!
Next, let’s discuss the new dragon; it could be unexpectedly $币安人生 There are countless reasons, but just looking at the market, a small “Ground to Sky Board,” a large group of bears is assembling, and the shape of the leading stock is being built. Another one worth noting is $BLESS , as there are too many buyers, it needs to be washed out.
Last year’s counterfeit “bear market” needs a change in thinking. #Cryptocurrency Market Warming Up
First, qualitative analysis: backward pickup. Why? The US stock market has reached new highs and is holding steady, precious metals are rising, crude oil is still sluggish, and large funds are voting with their feet, following the trend. Therefore, for those looking at 40,000 or 50,000, it may be difficult to achieve their wishes in the short term.
$BTC Where to enter for more purchases? Current price 737-740 (previous day's high, forming the latest support and resistance swap) 725-733 (pullback to the upper edge of the descending channel, approximately today’s range) 705-708 (7+ stage bottom, bulls are holding firm) 68-69 (daily K upward trend line, approximately this week’s range) No sudden events, intra-day may just be script one; if there is a pullback to the descending channel, it is worth entering for more purchases.
Now let's talk about the counterfeit leader $RAVE Twice rapidly dipped to entice shorts and then recovered; the number of bears is increasing. If we apply the big A board strategy, there's a catchy term—“Ground to Sky Board,” which is an extreme form of transitioning from weak to strong. So, how high can it go? Brother, it actually depends on how strong your shorts are. Take a break, Azu!
Next, let’s discuss the new dragon; it could be unexpectedly $币安人生 There are countless reasons, but just looking at the market, a small “Ground to Sky Board,” a large group of bears is assembling, and the shape of the leading stock is being built. Another one worth noting is $BLESS , as there are too many buyers, it needs to be washed out.
Last year’s counterfeit “bear market” needs a change in thinking. #Cryptocurrency Market Warming Up
Brothers, no matter how good the tokens are, the standard fee is 0.1%, don't rush, wait until it stabilizes
客人
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0414 Plan: The King of the Mountain Mixed Battle, Alternative Shanzhai Season
The mainstream represented by Bitcoin has become a supporting role. Last week, it was said that Ethereum would surpass Bitcoin, and that has become a reality. We'll see if it can hold today; if it can maintain around 2370, we might soon see the small wife starting with 26. Bitcoin could hit 79? Otherwise, it might pull back to 69.
If the mainstream doesn't cause a ruckus, the altcoins will start to surge. Yesterday, based on the theory of A-shares hitting the boards, I discussed the upcoming pattern. $BLESS $ON $WET and EVAA topped the gainers list this morning, with BLESS currently leading, which I favored the most yesterday. The key observation going forward: while REVA is in a tight spot, who can stand out in the opposite direction?
How can retail investors participate? Buy the dip for spot trading, move stop losses, avoid contracts. This time may not be a flash in the pan, but the buying point needs to wait for divergence. The skills of losing money in A-shares have surprisingly been applied in the crypto space.
I will release several trading plans for coins shortly; if interested, you can follow along.
0414 Plan: The King of the Mountain Mixed Battle, Alternative Shanzhai Season
The mainstream represented by Bitcoin has become a supporting role. Last week, it was said that Ethereum would surpass Bitcoin, and that has become a reality. We'll see if it can hold today; if it can maintain around 2370, we might soon see the small wife starting with 26. Bitcoin could hit 79? Otherwise, it might pull back to 69.
If the mainstream doesn't cause a ruckus, the altcoins will start to surge. Yesterday, based on the theory of A-shares hitting the boards, I discussed the upcoming pattern. $BLESS $ON $WET and EVAA topped the gainers list this morning, with BLESS currently leading, which I favored the most yesterday. The key observation going forward: while REVA is in a tight spot, who can stand out in the opposite direction?
How can retail investors participate? Buy the dip for spot trading, move stop losses, avoid contracts. This time may not be a flash in the pan, but the buying point needs to wait for divergence. The skills of losing money in A-shares have surprisingly been applied in the crypto space.
I will release several trading plans for coins shortly; if interested, you can follow along.
$LAB Historical new high pressure, suitable risk-reward ratio, short one hand, gambling for fun, substantial breakthrough new high stop loss #霍尔木兹海峡再次关闭
客人
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0410 Plan: Find a few spirited girls ﹉﹉﹉﹉﹉﹉﹉﹉﹉﹉﹉﹉﹉﹉
Riding the spring breeze of negotiations, the heartbreaker is performing again. 71-72 is a no-go for both long and short positions. The market looks strong objectively, but in chaotic times, how many dare to hold positions over the weekend? It's better to find a few spirited girls (Yao Mountain Village) to have some fun, but remember not to get too deep; just sample lightly.
1. The $LAB mentioned earlier, I sold it off; watch for a pullback at 0.38-0.39. {future}(LABUSDT) 2. $TNSR , buy near 0.048, take profits in batches at 0.058 and 0.066, stop loss below 0.045.
{future}(TNSRUSDT) 3. $ENJ 0.029, buy at 0.033, take profits in batches at 0.037, take part of the position with a stop-loss to see 0.046. {future}(ENJUSDT) The spirited girls are all crazy; it's not suitable to get too involved. #霍尔木兹海峡再次关闭
0410 Plan: Find a few spirited girls ﹉﹉﹉﹉﹉﹉﹉﹉﹉﹉﹉﹉﹉﹉
Riding the spring breeze of negotiations, the heartbreaker is performing again. 71-72 is a no-go for both long and short positions. The market looks strong objectively, but in chaotic times, how many dare to hold positions over the weekend? It's better to find a few spirited girls (Yao Mountain Village) to have some fun, but remember not to get too deep; just sample lightly.
1. The $LAB mentioned earlier, I sold it off; watch for a pullback at 0.38-0.39. 2. $TNSR , buy near 0.048, take profits in batches at 0.058 and 0.066, stop loss below 0.045.
3. $ENJ 0.029, buy at 0.033, take profits in batches at 0.037, take part of the position with a stop-loss to see 0.046. The spirited girls are all crazy; it's not suitable to get too involved. #霍尔木兹海峡再次关闭
Last night before sleeping, just less than a day after the ceasefire, after attacking Iran, Iran closed the strait again, looking like a total slut. If you chase her, you're just asking for it. So in this world, if you want to feel a bit more comfortable, you can only counter-pua. When the crowd is furious, you just throw cold water; when emotions are low, you just lick a bit. If you chase too much or chase too little, you're just a pure fool. Personally, I also temporarily set up a short outside of my plan.
But in the end, you have to make it to bed, so the key is to focus on fleeting ties, and the best strategy is to stay for a short night at a critical moment.
In the big structure, focus on (limit order 1000 points loss) 735-740 short 668-675 long
Day trading watch (watch 500 points loss) 719-725 short 693-696 long
#The United States and Iran agree to a two-week ceasefire
Setting aside the news, since the market has chosen a direction, let’s believe that the market trend is very similar to the last time when Ethereum made a rebound.
The possible difference is: Last time, at the end of the bull market, Ethereum's rebound successfully concealed Bitcoin's downturn. This time, with the public in a bearish sentiment, will Ethereum's rebound still cover for Bitcoin?
Regardless, Ethereum is very likely to have—— A leap beyond Bitcoin.
0408 plan, supreme leader, for generations to come
Indeed, "everyone takes a step back and wins big"; yesterday's plan “678-682 more” was perfectly executed, objectively following the trend. Don't think about what's gained or lost, temporarily set aside the empty, and focus more on going long during the day.
According to small rumors, there was last-minute intervention from the East University yesterday, which means there might be fluctuations, but the overall direction remains unchanged. Manage your stop-loss well, go for it, and don't worry about the bullish or bearish talk. #美国伊朗同意停火两周 #crypto market rebound
客人
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0407 Plan: Negotiating while fighting, jumping up and down
The battle situation has entered the phase of "negotiating while fighting, bargaining". Iran is unlikely to actively escalate the situation; now it depends on whether the Supreme Leader still wants the midterm elections. It is highly probable that both sides will take a step back and win big, referring to the Korean War.
Yesterday's plan $BTC "699-702 Short", hesitated for the first time, didn't see it the second time, entered the "679-682 Long" range in the morning, went long at 685, estimating an upward fluctuation,
Intraday planned points (500 points loss)
701-703 Short 679-682 Long
Major structural fluctuation points (can set orders, with 1000 points loss) 715-720 Short 663-668 Long
0407 Plan: Negotiating while fighting, jumping up and down
The battle situation has entered the phase of "negotiating while fighting, bargaining". Iran is unlikely to actively escalate the situation; now it depends on whether the Supreme Leader still wants the midterm elections. It is highly probable that both sides will take a step back and win big, referring to the Korean War.
Yesterday's plan $BTC "699-702 Short", hesitated for the first time, didn't see it the second time, entered the "679-682 Long" range in the morning, went long at 685, estimating an upward fluctuation,
Intraday planned points (500 points loss)
701-703 Short 679-682 Long
Major structural fluctuation points (can set orders, with 1000 points loss) 715-720 Short 663-668 Long
AI hardliner, structural highs and lows refreshed The market is stable, likely to break through the 2 level Not anxious or impatient, independent trend, building momentum
1.93 to buy, 1.84 stop loss, pay attention to 2 If it breaks through, can look towards around 2.6
Everyone is building short positions, looking forward to the floodgate of the ceasefire. Crowded and public opportunities are all knives for slaughtering pigs. From a technical perspective, the three trend lines at 107 will converge tonight.
Buy between 106.8 and 107.5. Stop loss below 106, take profit near 114.
Dog dealers use the war situation to seize liquidity. After a careful look, the volume breakout, the intraday plan is as follows (with a 500-point loss)
678-680 Long (retrace to trend line) 699-702 Short (upper edge of the channel)
At this point, it's highly likely to grab the liquidity at 72. Observing without making a move is also a correct choice.
Why didn't we just collapse him at that time! #BTC行情
Contract positions surged sharply, the new buds are just beginning to show, the profit-loss ratio is appropriate Let's go, 10% stop loss, 30% take profit