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Friday Morning Trading Strategy Analysis

Yesterday, Bitcoin exhibited volatile fluctuations at high levels, rebounding after finding support near 730, but faced resistance at the 755 level with insufficient upward momentum. The entire day showed a pattern of range consolidation, with both bulls and bears in a stalemate. The previous high shorting strategy successfully yielded profits, and the upward pressure remains significant; the rebound process is still suitable for placing short positions in line with the trend.

From a daily perspective, the moving average system is intertwined, and the price is in a high-level consolidation phase. The 755 to 760 area constitutes strong resistance, while 730 below is a key support level. If this support is lost, the downward trend may continue. The 4-hour chart shows no clear directional guidance, with the market repeatedly fluctuating within a range, waiting for a breakout.

Trading Suggestions
BTC: Place short positions in the 753-758 range, targeting a downward move to 730-710
#加密市场回暖

Thursday Afternoon Operation Strategy Analysis
The overall intraday range is fluctuating, repeatedly oscillating around 74500 in the morning, peaking near 75400 and then falling back, with support at 74400 stabilizing, and the overall focus has not moved upward. ETH is synchronized, fluctuating under pressure below 2370, oscillating around the 2350 center, with intense tug-of-war between bulls and bears, and no single-sided trend continuation at the moment.

From the four-hour level, it remains in a weak consolidation at a high level, with multiple tests of the upper pressure failing to stabilize effectively, and the continued selling pressure persists.

BTC short-term pressure is 75200-75500, support at 74400, and if support is lost, it is highly likely to test downwards at 73800;

ETH pressure is 2365-2380, support at 2330, and if broken, it is expected to look towards 2290-2310.

The current rebound lacks sufficient volume, and the selling pressure release upon retreat is evident, maintaining a weak market structure. The subsequent strategy continues to favor short positions, avoiding blindly chasing longs at low levels; only with increased volume stabilizing above resistance can the market structure turn strong, and at this stage, a bearish outlook is maintained.

#比特币价格走势

Wednesday Morning Trading Strategy Analysis
Bitcoin tested the previous high point yesterday but fell back due to strong resistance at the 760 level, failing to break through after multiple attempts, showing weak upward momentum in the short term. The long and short positions were perfectly grasped yesterday.
Currently, under pressure at high levels, the overall situation remains in wide fluctuations, with a phase of downward trend starting, mainly focusing on short positions in the short term.
The daily chart maintains a downward trend, with continuous fluctuations in the market, the strong resistance at 760 remains unchanged, and rebounds quickly encounter pressure and fall back. The daily line shows a long upper shadow bearish candle, with a clear double top pattern. The hourly indicators are turning downwards, showing weakness at high levels, and short positions can be arranged upon intraday rebounds.
Trading Advice
Position shorts in the BTC 748-750 range, with a target of 720-700, and maintain good defense $BTC #加密市场回暖

Thursday Afternoon Analysis of Market Trends

This round of BTC and ETH corrections is a technical adjustment triggered by liquidity expectation disturbances, not a trend reversal. The core logic of the global monetary easing cycle remains unchanged, and the Fed's interest rate cut expectations have only been delayed in the short term. The implementation of policies in the second quarter will still drive the valuation recovery of risk assets.

From the market perspective, BTC's selling pressure at 66000 and ETH's at the 2000 level has continued to diminish, with the strength of the bulls gradually increasing. Coupled with long-term institutional ETF allocation needs and on-chain whale accumulation, the current range has valuable bullish layout potential, and a rebound recovery market is about to start.

Operational Suggestions
BTC: Position long in the 655–663 range, targeting 675–680
ETH: Position long in the 2000–2040 range, targeting 2080-2150

#亚洲股市跳水

March 26th Crypto Market
The US-Iran negotiations are ongoing, and reports suggest that Iran's nuclear facilities have been bombed. The US has increased the deployment of ground troops, and it seems like everything is escalating towards war. However, the real situation reflects that Iran is not backing down, and Trump is getting anxious. The war may really be coming to an end.
The market has a narrow fluctuation, and trading within a range is not cost-effective. Here, I choose to open some spot positions to bet on a potential news surge, with a shallow stop-loss placed below; even if I incur losses, it won't be much.

🔥 Survival Guide After the Crash

Family, don’t panic after the crash in the crypto world! Please keep this survival guide, focusing on living on a low budget👇

1. Never sleep on overpasses, streets, internet cafes, or parks; it's windy and you can easily be kicked out, and it’s too embarrassing!
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2. The best option for overnight stays is the airport terminal! There are sofas, hot water, free charging, and Wi-Fi, 100 times more comfortable than internet cafes, and no one cares how long you sleep.
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3. After waking up, head straight to McDonald's, pick up a used coffee cup from someone else, go to the counter for “unlimited refills,” pretending it’s yours, focusing on having thick skin.
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4. At noon, find a hotel that just had guests check out, sneak into an empty room for a hot shower while the cleaning staff is not around, instantly rejuvenating yourself.
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5. In the afternoon, go to Haidilao for free snacks, and in the evening, hang out at the Hema tasting area. When expiring bread is thrown out, just pack it up and take it away; this is called “resource recycling.”
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6. If you're extremely hungry, go to KFC, pick up leftover burgers, fries, cola, and chicken nuggets from others; don’t mind the dirt, surviving is the most important thing! $BTC

Lastly and most importantly: Follow me, and I’ll help you sing songs as you rise from being a peasant; next time in a bull market, we’ll stay in a hotel together!

Today's Thoughts: From the 4-hour level, the price has broken below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands and has once again retreated to near the lower band. The Bollinger Bands are diverging downwards, indicating a clear bearish trend; short-term moving averages have formed a death cross and are moving downwards, with the price under pressure below all short-term moving averages.

It is recommended to short in the 651—659 range, with a target of 640-631, and to manage your defense according to your personal position #比特币重新站上7万美元大关 $BNB

Wednesday

71400 is a key resistance zone from earlier, if broken, it will continue the bullish trend; otherwise, it will maintain a weak oscillation. Yesterday, the price tested this level twice and encountered resistance, surging to 71700 before retreating, confirming the pressure of a false breakout.

The daily line shows a long upper shadow, and the two consecutive bullish candles lack strength in the upward attack, failing to break through the upper resistance. Bullish momentum is insufficient, and today is very likely to trend weakly downward. The key support below is 68400; if it breaks, the bullish trend ends, and it may weaken further; above, 71700 is a short-term boundary between bulls and bears. If stabilized, it will look towards 75000, with the overall trend leaning bearish. This is not a one-sided market, and the transition between bulls and bears needs to be handled flexibly.

Operational Suggestions
$BTC Short in the 705-714 range, target 690-684. If it breaks below 68400, the bearish trend is established; if it stabilizes at 71700, then adjust the strategy again.
$ETH Short in the 2060-2090 range, target 2000-1970

The above is a personal opinion for reference only #特朗普称伊朗战事接近尾声

Tuesday Morning
In the early morning, Bitcoin's second rebound tested 69500 in vain, facing pressure and falling back. Currently, it is fluctuating around 68500; ETH is also weakening, rebounding to 2050 but encountering resistance. Both key resistance levels have been validated.

The price on the 4-hour level rebounded near the upper track and faced pressure, with the Bollinger Bands closing and flattening, indicating that the market has entered a range consolidation. 69500 is a key resistance for the downward trend line; if it cannot effectively break through, a short-term decline will continue; if the second retest does not break below the 67500 support, a short-term long position can be considered.

Operation Suggestions
BTC: Long at 67500–68000, target 69500
ETH: Long at 1960–1980, target 2050

The above is a personal opinion for reference only.

ETH
🔴 Short (Main Idea: Resistance at Bounce)

- Entry: 1980–2000 Facing Pressure and Reversal
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- Stop Loss: Above 2020–2040
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- Target: 1950→1900→1850
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- Logic: Weak trend, clear pressure at 2000 level

🟢 Long (Secondary Idea: Buy on Dips)

- Entry: 1900–1920 Stabilizing and Stopping Decline
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- Stop Loss: Below 1880
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- Target: 1960→1980
Short-term bearish, prioritize shorting on rebounds; only buy on dips for short positions; until direction is clear, trade lightly, set stop losses, and avoid holding positions. $ETH

Ether, during the weekend phase, overall maintained a fluctuating downward trend, with the current price dropping to around 1916 at its lowest, followed by slight support and then rebounding to around 1965 before being pressured again, with the strength of the short-term rebound gradually weakening. In the four-hour chart, after a previous high of around 2200, it has continued to decline, and the current price is fluctuating above the lower track. The short-term Bollinger Bands are once again diverging downwards, suggesting a further continuation may be on the horizon. It is recommended to short near the rebounds at 1955 and 1975, with attention on the 1880-1800 area below.

3.6 Friday

The recent short-term rebound has still not been able to sustain itself. Yesterday morning, the big coin surged to 74000 and then fell back, hitting a low of 70600. We maintained a bearish outlook throughout yesterday, and overall the gains were good. The price is now fluctuating around the 71000 level.

From the 4-hour structure, the upper level of 74000 is clearly a resistance point. If it can't break above, it will be pushed down. Although there was a rebound in between, the strength was very weak. The moving averages have started to align bearishly, MACD has also formed a death cross and is moving downward, and KDJ is similarly diverging downward. In the short cycle, bears are basically in control, and overall there is still the possibility of further declines.

Trading strategy:
Big coin: Short around 71200—71800, target looking at 68000—66000

Auntie: Short around 2090—2110, target looking at 1970. #伊朗新领袖 #中东局势升级

Today's public thoughts:

From the daily perspective, it strongly stands above the 5/10/20-day moving averages, with the moving averages in a bullish arrangement, indicating a trend reversal.
It breaks the downward channel since February 9, and the bearish structure is destroyed.
It breaks through the psychological barrier of 70000 with increased volume, turning into strong support.

Big coin: Can buy near 72000-71500 with a target of around 73000-75000.
Second coin: Can buy near 2100-2080 with a target of around 2200-2300.

For better wave analysis, feel free to communicate.

Wednesday Morning Operation Strategy Analysis

The current market structure is clear, with a bearish trend dominating. The strength of the rebound remains weak, maintaining an overall weak oscillation rhythm. Based on technical patterns and cyclical rhythms, there is a high probability of a short-term technical rebound during the day, but the rebound space is limited, belonging to a weak repair market. Operations must strictly control entry points and position risk management. Short on rebound, trade with the trend.

Operation Suggestions
Bitcoin Short around 682—695 on the rebound, target 670. If it effectively breaks down and confirms a continuation downward, further look towards below 660.

Ethereum Short around 1985-2020 on the rebound, target 1955-1900.

Personal opinion, for reference only #X移除加密禁令

In the last 24 hours, everyone has been buying long positions, and it seems no one is speaking because they are all trying to catch the bottom. The biggest difficulty in going long is that there are too many bulls; the market can't rise even if it wants to. We can only hope for a rally when the market completely shifts from long to short. In 24 hours, 701 million was liquidated, mainly among long positions, yet there are still people continuously trying to catch the bottom. Didn't we say we were looking at 60k? Why is everyone trying to catch the bottom!

Evening Analysis
The daily chart shows a long lower shadow bearish candle, seemingly with support on the downside, but in reality, selling pressure still dominates the market, and the overall pattern has not undergone a fundamental change; during the rebound phase, trading volume remains persistently low, with a serious lack of buying interest, typical of a resistance-style rebound within a bearish trend, merely a technical correction, with no reversal signals. Clear judgment: Bitcoin has officially entered a bear market cycle, and the previous 73000 level is by no means a bottom; blindly bottom-fishing is akin to licking blood from a knife edge, with extremely high risks! In terms of operation, it is essential to maintain a bearish mindset, primarily focusing on shorting during rebounds at high points, and do not go against the trend.
Operating Suggestions
Layout a short position near Bitcoin 76000-76500, target 73000-74000
Layout a short position near the second coin 2240-2270, target near 2080-2110 $BTC
$ETH
#沃什获提名利多还是利空

1.27
ETH price is approximately $2939, with a strong intraday fluctuation, repairing within the 2880-2950 range, overall still in a daily downtrend structure, with heavy selling pressure during rebounds.

Key Price Levels (USD)

- Support: 2880 (lifeline), 2840-2860 (strong support), 2780
- Resistance: 2940-2950, 2970-3000 (strong resistance), 3050

Technical Indicators

1. Daily: RSI around 47 indicating weakness; MACD in bearish territory, green bars converging but not reversing; moving averages in a bearish arrangement, price below key moving averages.
2. 4-hour: RSI 48 neutral to weak; MACD below zero axis with bears in control, rebound momentum insufficient; multiple upper shadows with heavy selling pressure above.
3. Hourly: Fluctuation is repeated, insufficient volume, prone to sharp rises and falls, overall correlated with BTC.

Trading Strategy (Risk Control First)

1. Short on Rebound: Enter at 2940-2950, stop loss above 2980, target 2880-2860, break down look at 2840.
2. Long at Low: Enter when stabilizing at 2880-2890, stop loss below 2850, target 2930-2940.
3. Position: Single position ≤ 20%, strict stop loss, quick entry and exit in fluctuating markets.

Risk Warning

- Market sentiment remains in the fear zone, the outflow pressure of ETF funds has not dissipated, if 2880 is broken, it may accelerate the drop to the 2840-2780 range.
- There are a large number of long positions near 3000 that may become a point for bears to add to their positions when the rebound is weak.
#美股七巨头财报 $ETH