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BTC逍遥子
47 Posts

BTC逍遥子

思危 思退 思变,君子不立于危墙之下。擅长小倍率慢复利。
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Posts
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The market has no right or wrong; the long-short game has nothing to do with you or me. At its core, trading is a battle against oneself. I’ve always been trading. But I found that these so-called KOLs and technical gurus only know about the same things, and they don’t understand more than I do. So I stepped back from some groups, unfollowed certain people, to avoid affecting my independent judgment of the market.
The market has no right or wrong; the long-short game has nothing to do with you or me. At its core, trading is a battle against oneself.
I’ve always been trading. But I found that these so-called KOLs and technical gurus only know about the same things, and they don’t understand more than I do. So I stepped back from some groups, unfollowed certain people, to avoid affecting my independent judgment of the market.
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Bullish
At this point, if you make a wrong move, just cut your losses immediately—no romantic notions here, just be a player, get in and out fast. Find the right opportunities while bouncing around the market, and stack those small gains together to compound your profits. That's the right approach, not a get-rich-quick scheme. #比特币ETF净流入1.31亿美元
At this point, if you make a wrong move, just cut your losses immediately—no romantic notions here, just be a player, get in and out fast.
Find the right opportunities while bouncing around the market, and stack those small gains together to compound your profits.
That's the right approach, not a get-rich-quick scheme. #比特币ETF净流入1.31亿美元
If you believe your judgment about the future is spot on, how much crypto are you willing to throw in? The market doesn't have right or wrong, and neither do the trends or the whales; it's the volatility that makes trading exciting, and you'll find a ton of divergence in the same market. Right and wrong aren't what matter; what's crucial is which camp you're in right now. Currently, crypto feels more like the meme sector of the US stock market, with BTC being the biggest meme of them all. Looking at US stocks, the NASDAQ keeps hitting new highs in a straight line; at this point, you might want to go long, but it's best to avoid going heavy. #TrumpChinaVisit
If you believe your judgment about the future is spot on, how much crypto are you willing to throw in?
The market doesn't have right or wrong, and neither do the trends or the whales; it's the volatility that makes trading exciting, and you'll find a ton of divergence in the same market.
Right and wrong aren't what matter; what's crucial is which camp you're in right now.
Currently, crypto feels more like the meme sector of the US stock market, with BTC being the biggest meme of them all. Looking at US stocks, the NASDAQ keeps hitting new highs in a straight line; at this point, you might want to go long, but it's best to avoid going heavy. #TrumpChinaVisit
I've been thinking lately about why I've been flipping my trades, and I've come to some conclusions. Many folks are hesitant to make moves at this price for various reasons, like historical resistance levels, the need for a pullback, Middle East tensions, the yellow-haired diplomat's visit to China, influencers making calls, ETF inflows, and so on, all leaving the market confused. Some are stuck in long positions, while others are trapped short, and honestly, it’s a complete mess on both sides. We often use past historical logic to define the current market conditions and scenarios, but you know that all indicators are lagging. If you try to understand future trends based on historical price movements and your past understanding of Bitcoin, you're likely to be wrong. So, how do we make money in this situation? Two methods: 1) Keep your hands off the trigger and wait for the market to move; this can beat 90% of traders. 2) Clear your mind of all distractions and historical baggage, and trade purely on technical setups—go long at support levels and short at resistance levels. Don’t worry about the past or future; just focus on what’s in front of you. #Strategy限定条件出售BTC
I've been thinking lately about why I've been flipping my trades, and I've come to some conclusions. Many folks are hesitant to make moves at this price for various reasons, like historical resistance levels, the need for a pullback, Middle East tensions, the yellow-haired diplomat's visit to China, influencers making calls, ETF inflows, and so on, all leaving the market confused.
Some are stuck in long positions, while others are trapped short, and honestly, it’s a complete mess on both sides. We often use past historical logic to define the current market conditions and scenarios, but you know that all indicators are lagging. If you try to understand future trends based on historical price movements and your past understanding of Bitcoin, you're likely to be wrong.
So, how do we make money in this situation? Two methods: 1) Keep your hands off the trigger and wait for the market to move; this can beat 90% of traders. 2) Clear your mind of all distractions and historical baggage, and trade purely on technical setups—go long at support levels and short at resistance levels. Don’t worry about the past or future; just focus on what’s in front of you. #Strategy限定条件出售BTC
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Bearish
It all started that day when I checked out a few coins and thought everyone here was trash. Who knew that the other ones were trash too, except for you ZEC; didn't expect you to be the king of the hill. Bro, can you just pull back a bit? I admit I was wrong, just 15% would be fine, you won't be hurt too much. I'll get out once I break even, and I won't mess with you again, okay? 😂 #zec If it doesn't dip, well, sorry, I'm only at 7% position right now, so don't blame me for being ruthless.
It all started that day when I checked out a few coins and thought everyone here was trash. Who knew that the other ones were trash too, except for you ZEC; didn't expect you to be the king of the hill.
Bro, can you just pull back a bit? I admit I was wrong, just 15% would be fine, you won't be hurt too much. I'll get out once I break even, and I won't mess with you again, okay? 😂 #zec
If it doesn't dip, well, sorry, I'm only at 7% position right now, so don't blame me for being ruthless.
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Bullish
Another month has gone by, let’s wrap up last month's trading results and insights. Last month, I made a 31% gain with a maximum drawdown of 8%. I was long for most of the month, but then got hit by a candlestick that brought me down, with my unrealized profits peaking at 38%. Honestly, it shouldn’t have happened because most of April was a one-sided market, but after mid-April, I managed to control the drawdown, and correspondingly, the profits followed suit. That’s a good thing. At the end of the month, during this big correction, I held a bunch of long positions, and there are three key takeaways worth deep reflection: 1. That bearish candlestick negated the gains of the past three days, and I was blindly holding onto my longs. 2. I failed to think independently, and when we hit the highs, I opened two hedge shorts but couldn't hold onto them. 3. I improved by taking profit on half my position at the highs, which kept this drawdown within 3%. Let’s crush it in May!
Another month has gone by, let’s wrap up last month's trading results and insights.
Last month, I made a 31% gain with a maximum drawdown of 8%. I was long for most of the month, but then got hit by a candlestick that brought me down, with my unrealized profits peaking at 38%.
Honestly, it shouldn’t have happened because most of April was a one-sided market, but after mid-April, I managed to control the drawdown, and correspondingly, the profits followed suit. That’s a good thing.
At the end of the month, during this big correction, I held a bunch of long positions, and there are three key takeaways worth deep reflection: 1. That bearish candlestick negated the gains of the past three days, and I was blindly holding onto my longs. 2. I failed to think independently, and when we hit the highs, I opened two hedge shorts but couldn't hold onto them. 3. I improved by taking profit on half my position at the highs, which kept this drawdown within 3%. Let’s crush it in May!
This is my regular spot; I swing by the river every morning or evening to chill for a bit and think things over. Right now, the situation is quite contradictory—institutions and the news are bullish, but the technicals are looking bearish. The bearish candlestick from the day before yesterday wiped out the gains from the previous three days. This signals that this pullback won't be small, so I opened two hedge shorts that day, but I exited too early. I'm still holding onto my longs which are at a critical level now. Like I said, I'm staying put for now; the retracement isn't even at 3% yet. The fishing bro just caught a fish and headed home for dinner. It's the dry season now, and in this position, I can only sit and zone out; otherwise, it's a prime fishing spot.
This is my regular spot; I swing by the river every morning or evening to chill for a bit and think things over. Right now, the situation is quite contradictory—institutions and the news are bullish, but the technicals are looking bearish. The bearish candlestick from the day before yesterday wiped out the gains from the previous three days. This signals that this pullback won't be small, so I opened two hedge shorts that day, but I exited too early. I'm still holding onto my longs which are at a critical level now. Like I said, I'm staying put for now; the retracement isn't even at 3% yet. The fishing bro just caught a fish and headed home for dinner. It's the dry season now, and in this position, I can only sit and zone out; otherwise, it's a prime fishing spot.
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Bullish
Today while chilling by the river, I suddenly thought of a saying: the whales never lack patience, what they lack is time. Retail traders have all the time in the world, but what they lack is patience.
Today while chilling by the river, I suddenly thought of a saying: the whales never lack patience, what they lack is time. Retail traders have all the time in the world, but what they lack is patience.
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Bullish
Last night, while the US stocks dipped, Bitcoin didn't follow suit. When US stocks rise, Bitcoin takes off first. After closing down, Bitcoin flies solo—if that's not a strong signal, then what is? These days, BTC is as hard as an 18-year-old. After getting blocked from shorting, it's time to close that position and flip to long. That's just the reality; follow the trend, trade what you see, not what you imagine! #加密市场反弹
Last night, while the US stocks dipped, Bitcoin didn't follow suit. When US stocks rise, Bitcoin takes off first. After closing down, Bitcoin flies solo—if that's not a strong signal, then what is? These days, BTC is as hard as an 18-year-old. After getting blocked from shorting, it's time to close that position and flip to long. That's just the reality; follow the trend, trade what you see, not what you imagine! #加密市场反弹
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Bearish
Right now, everyone's bearish. Some folks have already taken their positions, while others are still waiting for the right opportunity. Currently, Bitcoin is showing strength, while Ethereum is looking weak. There's nothing wrong with going short, but what if we see a strong push above 80k? Should you average down or cut losses? If you average down, how much should you allocate, and what's your liquidation price? What if we break 83k? Should you cut losses or hold firm? Once you've thought it through, you can go short right now! When you're making a trade, you need to manage that position well, including price, size, slippage, averaging down, stop-loss, and so on. Try to limit the number of trades; you can also play the swings within a single position. After averaging down this many times, my total position is at 20%. #加密市场反弹
Right now, everyone's bearish. Some folks have already taken their positions, while others are still waiting for the right opportunity. Currently, Bitcoin is showing strength, while Ethereum is looking weak. There's nothing wrong with going short, but what if we see a strong push above 80k? Should you average down or cut losses? If you average down, how much should you allocate, and what's your liquidation price? What if we break 83k? Should you cut losses or hold firm? Once you've thought it through, you can go short right now!
When you're making a trade, you need to manage that position well, including price, size, slippage, averaging down, stop-loss, and so on. Try to limit the number of trades; you can also play the swings within a single position.
After averaging down this many times, my total position is at 20%. #加密市场反弹
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Bearish
Stepped out to run some errands and found a dime early this morning. Can't remember the last time I saw one of these coins. My teacher always said that even a little bit of cash counts; a person's attitude towards money reflects their attitude towards wealth. It's time to make some gains, brothers! Let's go short together! #Strategy增持比特币
Stepped out to run some errands and found a dime early this morning. Can't remember the last time I saw one of these coins. My teacher always said that even a little bit of cash counts; a person's attitude towards money reflects their attitude towards wealth. It's time to make some gains, brothers! Let's go short together! #Strategy增持比特币
This is the state! The sense of the盘 is quite nice! I closed all shorts and opened long positions, $币安人生 lost but now I have earned it back, dash as well, made 2 times profit and ran away, why go back for what retracement long, kept adding positions, just now, when it hit a new low, I was rejected, decisively added a large order, from unrealized loss to unrealized profit. Now I feel terrifyingly strong, if it weren't for those few dog trades that lost a bit more, I could have compounded around 50% this month. Others earn more, that's their skill, currently my system has stabilized, about 20-40% each month, the average compound interest for the first three months is around 35%. Let's see in the future, the larger the capital, the smaller the profit I might make, starting from 1600U, currently 3500, aiming to reach 1wU before I start taking orders.
This is the state! The sense of the盘 is quite nice! I closed all shorts and opened long positions, $币安人生 lost but now I have earned it back, dash as well, made 2 times profit and ran away, why go back for what retracement long, kept adding positions, just now, when it hit a new low, I was rejected, decisively added a large order, from unrealized loss to unrealized profit.
Now I feel terrifyingly strong, if it weren't for those few dog trades that lost a bit more, I could have compounded around 50% this month.
Others earn more, that's their skill, currently my system has stabilized, about 20-40% each month, the average compound interest for the first three months is around 35%. Let's see in the future, the larger the capital, the smaller the profit I might make, starting from 1600U, currently 3500, aiming to reach 1wU before I start taking orders.
Once again, I admit my mistake, and this time I've really learned my lesson. Last time I was beaten up by Binance, playing with those popular coins only to slap myself in the face! Damn it, $币安人生 loses every time, what I earned from TAO, DOT, and PUMP all went in, and with 3X leverage, I can take a loss of 140%. Forget it, I will just stick to some leading coins in the future, there are plenty of opportunities. With my current nearly 70% win rate, I can steadily earn around 30% each month, and still play with some low-cap controlled coins. #The Strait of Hormuz is closed again
Once again, I admit my mistake, and this time I've really learned my lesson. Last time I was beaten up by Binance, playing with those popular coins only to slap myself in the face! Damn it, $币安人生 loses every time, what I earned from TAO, DOT, and PUMP all went in, and with 3X leverage, I can take a loss of 140%.
Forget it, I will just stick to some leading coins in the future, there are plenty of opportunities. With my current nearly 70% win rate, I can steadily earn around 30% each month, and still play with some low-cap controlled coins. #The Strait of Hormuz is closed again
I've really struggled to read the market action over the past couple of days, so I just closed out all my profitable positions. Then I opened a few short positions, but I'm still not quite getting it. I just came across a video that said when in doubt, read the greats. I opened the book and the first line was: the greater the patience, the less the anxiety. It hit me hard; sometimes it's easy to get swept up by external factors. I've recently taken a long break, focusing on living well, catching up with friends, cooking some good meals, and even doing a bit of fishing, which is pretty nice.
I've really struggled to read the market action over the past couple of days, so I just closed out all my profitable positions. Then I opened a few short positions, but I'm still not quite getting it.
I just came across a video that said when in doubt, read the greats. I opened the book and the first line was: the greater the patience, the less the anxiety.
It hit me hard; sometimes it's easy to get swept up by external factors.
I've recently taken a long break, focusing on living well, catching up with friends, cooking some good meals, and even doing a bit of fishing, which is pretty nice.
Can't say it's exactly the same, it's simply exactly the same! Next, we should step on position 2280. If it holds, there will be fluctuations; if it doesn't hold, we will go down to find liquidity. $ETH #加密市场回暖
Can't say it's exactly the same, it's simply exactly the same! Next, we should step on position 2280. If it holds, there will be fluctuations; if it doesn't hold, we will go down to find liquidity. $ETH #加密市场回暖
Do you play with strong coins like rave? $RAVE , it’s better not to play, as there are very few who make money. I used to always want to leverage small funds, but in 10 actual tests, 7 times I lost money, and yesterday I was also hit by a loss on Binance. Many things that look like food in the forest are often traps, like animal traps. $币安人生 #美军封锁霍尔木兹海峡 {spot}(币安人生USDT) {future}(RAVEUSDT)
Do you play with strong coins like rave? $RAVE , it’s better not to play, as there are very few who make money. I used to always want to leverage small funds, but in 10 actual tests, 7 times I lost money, and yesterday I was also hit by a loss on Binance. Many things that look like food in the forest are often traps, like animal traps. $币安人生 #美军封锁霍尔木兹海峡
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Bullish
No matter what the market conditions are, there are always people going long or short, which is quite interesting; the market's charm lies in its changes. We are all responsible for our own interests; there is no right or wrong in going long or short, it just depends on the perspective taken, leading to different outcomes. Just like predicting the market, the world is essentially a huge casino, and both sides are responsible for their own countries. From a macro perspective, it seems the U.S. has lost, but upon deeper reflection, both sides are actually winners and losers; it all depends on the angle from which you view the issue. #币安钱包上线预测市场
No matter what the market conditions are, there are always people going long or short, which is quite interesting; the market's charm lies in its changes.
We are all responsible for our own interests; there is no right or wrong in going long or short, it just depends on the perspective taken, leading to different outcomes.
Just like predicting the market, the world is essentially a huge casino, and both sides are responsible for their own countries. From a macro perspective, it seems the U.S. has lost, but upon deeper reflection, both sides are actually winners and losers; it all depends on the angle from which you view the issue. #币安钱包上线预测市场
Since the last time I shorted with a stop loss, I have been in cash, thinking continuously, from technology to geopolitics to finance, and then considering some game theory concepts. I figured out some things, and last night I opened some positions with pretty good returns. $ETH #特朗普最后期限施压伊朗
Since the last time I shorted with a stop loss, I have been in cash, thinking continuously, from technology to geopolitics to finance, and then considering some game theory concepts. I figured out some things, and last night I opened some positions with pretty good returns. $ETH #特朗普最后期限施压伊朗
Article
Do you know which category you belong to among all crypto players? Let's look at the data.According to incomplete statistics, there are 560 million people globally who have invested in or held cryptocurrency, which already includes everyone in China. But this data is inflated: 1. Some people hold multiple accounts, for example, some crypto KOLs hold more than three accounts, not to mention the overlap of registrations between CEXs. 2. On-chain active addresses, 40-70 million, this inflation is even larger, by changing some IPs you can register many wallets at the same time, theoretically one person can control many wallets. 3. Among these 560 million people, there are a dozen of my friends who have left the scene. So we can offer a 50-60% discount, let's go with 60%, about 300 million people are valid users.

Do you know which category you belong to among all crypto players? Let's look at the data.

According to incomplete statistics, there are 560 million people globally who have invested in or held cryptocurrency, which already includes everyone in China.
But this data is inflated:
1. Some people hold multiple accounts, for example, some crypto KOLs hold more than three accounts, not to mention the overlap of registrations between CEXs.
2. On-chain active addresses, 40-70 million, this inflation is even larger, by changing some IPs you can register many wallets at the same time, theoretically one person can control many wallets.
3. Among these 560 million people, there are a dozen of my friends who have left the scene.
So we can offer a 50-60% discount, let's go with 60%, about 300 million people are valid users.
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