李大仁
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Short selling essentially involves predicting a decline in cryptocurrency prices for profit. First, you borrow coins to sell, then buy them back at a lower price after the drop to return them, earning the difference.
In practice, you choose a cryptocurrency to short on a futures exchange, and you can profit as soon as the price falls after opening your position; the more it drops, the higher the returns. However, the cryptocurrency market is extremely volatile, with no limits on price increases or decreases, and when combined with high leverage, a sudden price surge can easily lead to liquidation and losses, even wiping out your principal.
Additionally, regulatory risks, project failures, and malicious pump and dump schemes can lead to extreme market conditions, making ordinary investors, who lack risk management, vulnerable to significant losses. Short selling may seem straightforward, but it carries very high risks and is not a stable way to profit. Blindly participating can easily result in total loss.
Is there anyone else who wants to short it with me!
In practice, you choose a cryptocurrency to short on a futures exchange, and you can profit as soon as the price falls after opening your position; the more it drops, the higher the returns. However, the cryptocurrency market is extremely volatile, with no limits on price increases or decreases, and when combined with high leverage, a sudden price surge can easily lead to liquidation and losses, even wiping out your principal.
Additionally, regulatory risks, project failures, and malicious pump and dump schemes can lead to extreme market conditions, making ordinary investors, who lack risk management, vulnerable to significant losses. Short selling may seem straightforward, but it carries very high risks and is not a stable way to profit. Blindly participating can easily result in total loss.
Is there anyone else who wants to short it with me!
#谷歌量子AI警示加密安全 CZ (Zhao Changpeng) latest statement, directly gave everyone a sense of reassurance!\n \nAfter the release of Google's quantum computing paper, everyone panicked, thinking that cryptocurrency was doomed. But CZ said: Quantum computing is not a threat at all!\n \nWhy? Because cryptocurrency can upgrade!\nBitcoin has survived so many storms over the years, it can fork and evolve. With quantum computing coming, we just need to upgrade the signature algorithm a bit to easily cope with it.\n \nWhat we should really worry about is not whether we can withstand it, but how long it will take to resolve.\nDon't be fooled by the fact that 2029 seems close, the speed in the crypto circle is absurdly fast; big things can be accomplished in half a year, there is plenty of time!
Under lockdown, what is the reason? Is there anyone else facing the lockdown? Is another wave of lockdown coming?
Conclusion: If a bull market starts now, Bitcoin is likely to rise stronger than gold, but the volatility and risk are also much greater.
1. Historical Patterns: BTC's elasticity far exceeds that of gold in a bull market
• Second half of 2020: BTC increased by 214%, gold only increased by 7%
• 2021 Bull Market: BTC rose from 30,000 to 69,000 (+130%), gold rose from 1,800 to 2,070 (+15%)
• Early 2024-2025: BTC breaks 120,000 (+300%+), gold rises from 1,900 to 5,600 (+195%)
• Core Pattern: In the early stages of a bull market, gold stabilizes first, but in the mid to later stages, BTC's elasticity and increase completely crush gold.
2. Why BTC is more aggressive in a bull market
• Differences in asset attributes
◦ Gold: Low-volatility safe-haven asset, mainly held by central banks and institutions, with a volatility of about 15%
◦ BTC: High-volatility risk/growth asset, speculation + institutions + retail investors resonate, with a volatility of 50%-100%
• Different driving logic
◦ Gold: Safe haven + anti-inflation + central bank purchases, slow bull, solid bottom
◦ BTC: Halving + liquidity + narrative + ETF funding + leverage, explosive power is extremely strong
• Scarcity and elasticity
◦ Gold: New annual supply of about 2%, rigid supply but low elasticity
◦ BTC: Total supply of 21 million coins, halved every four years (supply growth rate plummets), elasticity is 5-10 times that of gold
3. Key variables as of March 2026
• BTC:
◦ The halving in April 2024 has already occurred, and the potential for the main upward wave of the bull market is large.
◦ Spot ETF still has room for capital inflow, and institutional allocation has just begun.
◦ Price is about 68,000, still has over 76% space to the historical high of 120,000.
• Gold:
◦ Has risen over 70% from 2025-2026, high-level fluctuations digesting profit.
◦ Central bank purchases continue, but marginal increments are slowing down.
◦ Price is about 4,500 USD/ounce, institutional targets are 5,400-6,300, with a space of 20%-40%.
4. Risk Warning (Must Read)
• BTC Risks: Regulation, hackers, leveraged liquidation, single-day volatility of 10%-30% is common.
• Gold Risks: Strong dollar, rising real interest rates, high-level pullback risks.
• Investment Advice:
◦ Seeking high returns and can withstand large fluctuations: BTC position can be higher.
◦ Seeking stability and mainly preserving value: Gold as the main investment, BTC as a supplement.
◦ Bull market rhythm: Gold stabilizes first → BTC takes over → BTC accelerates in the later stages.
1. Historical Patterns: BTC's elasticity far exceeds that of gold in a bull market
• Second half of 2020: BTC increased by 214%, gold only increased by 7%
• 2021 Bull Market: BTC rose from 30,000 to 69,000 (+130%), gold rose from 1,800 to 2,070 (+15%)
• Early 2024-2025: BTC breaks 120,000 (+300%+), gold rises from 1,900 to 5,600 (+195%)
• Core Pattern: In the early stages of a bull market, gold stabilizes first, but in the mid to later stages, BTC's elasticity and increase completely crush gold.
2. Why BTC is more aggressive in a bull market
• Differences in asset attributes
◦ Gold: Low-volatility safe-haven asset, mainly held by central banks and institutions, with a volatility of about 15%
◦ BTC: High-volatility risk/growth asset, speculation + institutions + retail investors resonate, with a volatility of 50%-100%
• Different driving logic
◦ Gold: Safe haven + anti-inflation + central bank purchases, slow bull, solid bottom
◦ BTC: Halving + liquidity + narrative + ETF funding + leverage, explosive power is extremely strong
• Scarcity and elasticity
◦ Gold: New annual supply of about 2%, rigid supply but low elasticity
◦ BTC: Total supply of 21 million coins, halved every four years (supply growth rate plummets), elasticity is 5-10 times that of gold
3. Key variables as of March 2026
• BTC:
◦ The halving in April 2024 has already occurred, and the potential for the main upward wave of the bull market is large.
◦ Spot ETF still has room for capital inflow, and institutional allocation has just begun.
◦ Price is about 68,000, still has over 76% space to the historical high of 120,000.
• Gold:
◦ Has risen over 70% from 2025-2026, high-level fluctuations digesting profit.
◦ Central bank purchases continue, but marginal increments are slowing down.
◦ Price is about 4,500 USD/ounce, institutional targets are 5,400-6,300, with a space of 20%-40%.
4. Risk Warning (Must Read)
• BTC Risks: Regulation, hackers, leveraged liquidation, single-day volatility of 10%-30% is common.
• Gold Risks: Strong dollar, rising real interest rates, high-level pullback risks.
• Investment Advice:
◦ Seeking high returns and can withstand large fluctuations: BTC position can be higher.
◦ Seeking stability and mainly preserving value: Gold as the main investment, BTC as a supplement.
◦ Bull market rhythm: Gold stabilizes first → BTC takes over → BTC accelerates in the later stages.
How long will the bear market last, and when will it hit the bottom?
#robo $ROBO $ROBO is the native token of the Fabric Protocol (OpenMind), aimed at an open network for AI robots, focusing on interoperability and data collaboration within the robot ecosystem. It received $20 million in funding led by Pantera Capital. It will launch on Binance Alpha on February 27, 2026, with a simultaneous points airdrop; users can claim tokens using Alpha points. The token is used for network governance, ecological service payments, and node incentives, leveraging AI + robotics to enhance liquidity through Binance's traffic. The project focuses on the interconnectivity of the robot ecosystem, addressing the issue of data silos in the industry, with expectations for AI narratives and compliance, but it carries high price volatility risks, so participants should pay attention to position sizing and risk control.
$NIGHT Those who show their purchase vouchers, 400,000, 500,000, are they afraid others will come and steal help? Yesterday an increase of 80,000, I originally planned to stop at 300,000, but it turned out that one voucher was better than another. Today, the most I can increase is 100,000, 340,000 should be stable, right? My hands are tired from swiping, you all can roll as you like.
The cryptocurrency market seems to have entered a bear market, but Alpha may be an exception
Where can I see this table?
$CDL The trading volume at 10 o'clock is basically the same as yesterday, and today it is expected to increase by 90,000 to 100,000
Follow me for first-hand information
Follow me for first-hand information
The trend is unstoppable, and the analysis is very thorough!
Bull market ending? In the halving cycle, the bear market needs to become a wood collector
"The bull market is over."
My message in the group was drowned out by doubts such as "interest rate cuts are still ongoing" and "the ETF just passed."
But the data doesn't lie:
On October 6, 2025, after BTC peaked at $126,000, trading volume fell for seven consecutive weeks, and the number of active addresses on-chain returned to a year ago — the four-year "halving clock" has reached the entry point of the bear market cooling period.
Halving is never a story but a supply alarm.
Every 210,000 BTC mined, the block reward is halved (daily production drops from 900 to 450 to 225), the programmed scarcity is the core of the cycle, while the Federal Reserve and geopolitical conflicts are just disturbances.
The rhythm of the cycle never changes:
Bull initiation (1 year before halving): capital returns, bottom rises;
Halving day: ignites FOMO sentiment;
Bull tail (1 year after halving): sentiment goes wild, prices peak;
Bear market: bubble bursts, trading freezes.
Now, we are standing at the door of the 4th stage.
On-chain signals are already clear:
Exchange spot balances hit a two-year high (smart money exits), derivative rates turn negative (bears under pressure), and "Bitcoin" search popularity drops 70% (retail investors exit).
To survive the winter, three things must be done:
No blind补, keep cash: buying in batches every 10% drop is a respect for the cycle;
Leverage down to 0: even 5x leverage can exit during the winter;
Write a review diary: record impulsive "itchy hands" to avoid repeating mistakes.
The next bull market will definitely come, but the entry ticket is only given to those who survive the winter.
Don't be a blind "fire starter" holding positions; be a "wood collector" who stacks cash, accumulates knowledge, and stores patience, ready to ignite when the wind comes.
I have organized the "Halving Cycle Table" and "Bear Market Accumulation Plan" into a "Winter Survival Manual."
If you want to maintain strength in the bear market and wait for the next round of trends, feel free to take the manual. Let's be wood collectors waiting for spring together. Are you willing? @bit福多多
"The bull market is over."
My message in the group was drowned out by doubts such as "interest rate cuts are still ongoing" and "the ETF just passed."
But the data doesn't lie:
On October 6, 2025, after BTC peaked at $126,000, trading volume fell for seven consecutive weeks, and the number of active addresses on-chain returned to a year ago — the four-year "halving clock" has reached the entry point of the bear market cooling period.
Halving is never a story but a supply alarm.
Every 210,000 BTC mined, the block reward is halved (daily production drops from 900 to 450 to 225), the programmed scarcity is the core of the cycle, while the Federal Reserve and geopolitical conflicts are just disturbances.
The rhythm of the cycle never changes:
Bull initiation (1 year before halving): capital returns, bottom rises;
Halving day: ignites FOMO sentiment;
Bull tail (1 year after halving): sentiment goes wild, prices peak;
Bear market: bubble bursts, trading freezes.
Now, we are standing at the door of the 4th stage.
On-chain signals are already clear:
Exchange spot balances hit a two-year high (smart money exits), derivative rates turn negative (bears under pressure), and "Bitcoin" search popularity drops 70% (retail investors exit).
To survive the winter, three things must be done:
No blind补, keep cash: buying in batches every 10% drop is a respect for the cycle;
Leverage down to 0: even 5x leverage can exit during the winter;
Write a review diary: record impulsive "itchy hands" to avoid repeating mistakes.
The next bull market will definitely come, but the entry ticket is only given to those who survive the winter.
Don't be a blind "fire starter" holding positions; be a "wood collector" who stacks cash, accumulates knowledge, and stores patience, ready to ignite when the wind comes.
I have organized the "Halving Cycle Table" and "Bear Market Accumulation Plan" into a "Winter Survival Manual."
If you want to maintain strength in the bear market and wait for the next round of trends, feel free to take the manual. Let's be wood collectors waiting for spring together. Are you willing? @bit福多多
In the year #中国加密新规 2025, China continued to strictly control the cryptocurrency market. Regulatory agencies have requested brokers and think tanks to stop publishing and promoting research reports and seminars on stablecoins to curb the risks of digital asset speculation. Meanwhile, the Shanghai State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission held relevant meetings to discuss policy responses to stablecoins and digital currencies. Some enterprises (such as JD.com and Ant Group) are actively promoting the issuance of RMB-pegged stablecoins and plan to apply for licenses in Hong Kong. In addition, the newly revised Anti-Money Laundering Law at the national level will take effect on January 1, 2025, requiring banks and payment institutions to strengthen monitoring and reporting of cross-border and large transactions involving virtual currencies. Overall, China adheres to the principle of "retaining the chain while eliminating the coin," preventing capital outflow and financial risks through technical blocking and strict regulatory measures.
#BitDigital转型 BitDigital (NASDAQ: BTBT) is actively transitioning from Bitcoin mining to AI computing services. The core strategies include:
1. **Reducing mining operations**: Gradually decreasing the proportion of Bitcoin mining to respond to industry volatility;
2. **Reinvesting in AI infrastructure**: Investing over $150 million to purchase Nvidia GPUs (such as H100) and deploying over 2,000 high-end computing cards;
3. **Expanding cloud computing services**: Building GPU clusters to provide B-end cloud services for AI model training/inference, with clients including cloud platforms and AI companies.
**Driving Factors**: Bitcoin halving pressures mining company profits, while the explosion of generative AI drives up computing power demand, opening up new growth curves.
**Risks and Opportunities**: Need to balance cross-industry operational capabilities, but the transition has received preliminary market recognition (stock price up over 30% in 2024), and if successful in entering the AI supply chain, the valuation logic may be reshaped.
1. **Reducing mining operations**: Gradually decreasing the proportion of Bitcoin mining to respond to industry volatility;
2. **Reinvesting in AI infrastructure**: Investing over $150 million to purchase Nvidia GPUs (such as H100) and deploying over 2,000 high-end computing cards;
3. **Expanding cloud computing services**: Building GPU clusters to provide B-end cloud services for AI model training/inference, with clients including cloud platforms and AI companies.
**Driving Factors**: Bitcoin halving pressures mining company profits, while the explosion of generative AI drives up computing power demand, opening up new growth curves.
**Risks and Opportunities**: Need to balance cross-industry operational capabilities, but the transition has received preliminary market recognition (stock price up over 30% in 2024), and if successful in entering the AI supply chain, the valuation logic may be reshaped.
#中国投资者涌向印尼 In recent years, Indonesia has become a popular destination for Chinese enterprises' overseas investment. In the first half of 2025, China's (including Hong Kong) investment in Indonesia reached 8.2 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 6.5%, mainly concentrated in the downstream industrialization, new energy, and manufacturing sectors.
Driving factors:
✅ Tariff advantage: The tariff on Chinese goods imposed by the U.S. exceeds 30%, while Indonesia's is only 19%, prompting Chinese enterprises to shift production capacity to maintain competitiveness in exports to the U.S.
✅ Market potential: Indonesia is the largest economy in Southeast Asia, with a GDP growth of 5.12% in Q2, and consumption accounting for over 50% of GDP, attracting Chinese capital to seize market share.
✅ Policy support: Indonesia has launched the "Million Solar Plan" (100GW solar energy + 320GWh energy storage), and Chinese enterprises such as CATL and LONGi have deeply laid out the solar storage industry chain.
Driving factors:
✅ Tariff advantage: The tariff on Chinese goods imposed by the U.S. exceeds 30%, while Indonesia's is only 19%, prompting Chinese enterprises to shift production capacity to maintain competitiveness in exports to the U.S.
✅ Market potential: Indonesia is the largest economy in Southeast Asia, with a GDP growth of 5.12% in Q2, and consumption accounting for over 50% of GDP, attracting Chinese capital to seize market share.
✅ Policy support: Indonesia has launched the "Million Solar Plan" (100GW solar energy + 320GWh energy storage), and Chinese enterprises such as CATL and LONGi have deeply laid out the solar storage industry chain.
#创作者任务台 Do you love analyzing market trends? Are you good at discovering potential cryptocurrencies? Or are you skilled at creating easy-to-understand tutorials? The Binance Creator Task Platform offers you a stage to showcase your talents! 🎤📊
How to participate is super simple:
✅ Publish high-quality original content (market analysis, project interpretation, trading strategies, etc.)
✅ Use the #创作者任务台 hashtag
✅ High-quality posts with a lot of interaction have a chance to receive BNB, USDT rewards, and even exclusive traffic support!
Whether you are a beginner or an experienced player, as long as your content is valuable, you can gain recognition here! 🔥 Are you ready to share your crypto knowledge? Come and participate!
Your voice deserves to be heard!
How to participate is super simple:
✅ Publish high-quality original content (market analysis, project interpretation, trading strategies, etc.)
✅ Use the #创作者任务台 hashtag
✅ High-quality posts with a lot of interaction have a chance to receive BNB, USDT rewards, and even exclusive traffic support!
Whether you are a beginner or an experienced player, as long as your content is valuable, you can gain recognition here! 🔥 Are you ready to share your crypto knowledge? Come and participate!
Your voice deserves to be heard!
#加密市场回调 The cryptocurrency market has recently experienced a general correction, primarily driven by the following factors:
1. **Macroeconomic Pressure**: Delayed expectations for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, a stronger dollar suppressing risk assets, and volatility in the U.S. stock market affecting the cryptocurrency sector.
2. **Profit Taking**: After Bitcoin broke its historical high, some investors chose to cash out at high levels, triggering a technical adjustment.
3. **Regulatory Concerns**: The U.S. SEC's cautious stance on the Ethereum ETF review, combined with signals of tightening policies from certain countries, has intensified market wait-and-see sentiment.
4. **On-chain Data**: The stock of Bitcoin on exchanges is rising, showing short-term selling pressure, but the holdings of long-term investors remain relatively stable.
**Short-term Outlook**: The market needs to digest floating supply, focusing on key support levels (BTC $60,000-$62,000). If the macro environment improves (e.g., cooling inflation data) or the Ethereum ETF is approved, it may restart the upward trend. It is recommended to control leverage and focus on fundamentally strong assets.
> The magnitude of the correction reflects healthy turnover, and adjustments during a bull market cycle often serve as a buildup for the next phase.
1. **Macroeconomic Pressure**: Delayed expectations for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, a stronger dollar suppressing risk assets, and volatility in the U.S. stock market affecting the cryptocurrency sector.
2. **Profit Taking**: After Bitcoin broke its historical high, some investors chose to cash out at high levels, triggering a technical adjustment.
3. **Regulatory Concerns**: The U.S. SEC's cautious stance on the Ethereum ETF review, combined with signals of tightening policies from certain countries, has intensified market wait-and-see sentiment.
4. **On-chain Data**: The stock of Bitcoin on exchanges is rising, showing short-term selling pressure, but the holdings of long-term investors remain relatively stable.
**Short-term Outlook**: The market needs to digest floating supply, focusing on key support levels (BTC $60,000-$62,000). If the macro environment improves (e.g., cooling inflation data) or the Ethereum ETF is approved, it may restart the upward trend. It is recommended to control leverage and focus on fundamentally strong assets.
> The magnitude of the correction reflects healthy turnover, and adjustments during a bull market cycle often serve as a buildup for the next phase.
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