#myx Stop loss 0.368-0.378 myx 4-hour cycle long position logical analysis
Reviewing the trajectory of myx's market, with the 4-hour line as the core anchor point, I completed two rounds of backtesting at 12:00 on February 26 and 12:00 on March 2. The core conclusion is clear and pointed: the price bottom is continuously rising, and the probability of profit from short-term long positions has taken the upper hand.
Focusing on the subsequent development of the myx cycle, there are currently two main speculative paths in the market. However, regardless of which one, both provide solid logical support for entering long positions.
The first path is a fluctuating rhythm of 'first rising then suppressing'. The subsequent market is highly likely to first rise upwards, targeting the vicinity of the 0.5 range. After reaching this key resistance level, it will then transition into a phase of decline or even a sharp drop. The second path arises from the need to correct the previous excessive drop—from 18U all the way down to 0.33U, with a cumulative drop of more than fifty times, the extreme downward momentum has been fully released. Against this backdrop, the 4-hour line is very likely to produce a strong technical rebound, continuously attacking from the current price of 0.39U, and even launching an assault on the key point of 1U.
Considering the bottom elevation pattern verified by two rounds of backtesting, as well as the common direction of the two trends, entering long positions at this stage is undoubtedly a rational choice to follow the market rhythm and grasp the probability advantage.
In the first month of the Year of the Horse, the market behaves like an untamed horse, suddenly going east and then west. Looking back at February 24th, the drama in the market truly experienced ups and downs. MYX at the 0.62 price level had once shown a glimmer of a bottoming rebound on the hourly chart. At that time, it seemed to me that the market had only two paths: one was a straight shot upwards, doubling in price; the other was a deep pullback, with an extreme possibility of a sudden drop of 50%.
Those who do quantitative trading are the best at dealing with uncertainty. My current grid strategy serves as a mediator, setting 0.62 as the axis, with an interval of 40% up and down—0.370 to 0.872. The initial intention of the layout is quite simple: bet on a unilateral rise to profit from short-term price differences; bet on further declines to earn from the dramatic fluctuations in grid price differences. This is a strategy of using stillness to control movement, responding to changes with unchanging principles.
The outcome, unfortunately, leaned towards the latter. Prices did not soar as expected but rather plummeted rapidly, dropping to a low of 0.337. At that moment, it was the anxiety of strategy failure and the test of discipline execution. But the most charming aspect of quantitative trading is that it never clings to battles, only trusts the data.
Fortunately, today’s price has stabilized at 0.408. This price level is precisely resting steadily in the midst of my preset interval. Both the hourly and four-hour charts have begun to stabilize, no longer exhibiting the previous kind of one-sided plunge. This means that the wave of sharp declines may have passed, and the opportunity for oscillating upward is beginning to emerge.
It turns out that the best returns do not come from betting on unilateral explosive growth, but rather from using rational grids at the most fearful bottom of the market to catch every drop in chips, patiently waiting for the bloom. In the Year of the Horse, it is important to have determination, and it is also important to have strategy.
Can this number #币安人生 still complete the hundred times task? It has been executed for several months, earning a maximum of ten times +, and now facing a maximum drawdown of 70% + at a high position.