Talk about how a small investor can survive in the upcoming bear market
"The wind can extinguish a candle, but it can also make a fire burn brighter."
Since $BTC fell below 80,000, I have been dollar-cost averaging, Initially budgeting $150-200 per month, Now adjusted to $5 daily investment, Doubled the investment amount for every $10,000 drop in price.
Main topic: Building a barbell strategy
Now slowly converting outside income into USDT, currently around 3000 USDT
80% of it is invested daily in BTC. If it rebounds to 90,000, I will stop for now.
Having a full hand of USDT is the confidence to cope with a crash. Additional: Regarding wealth management, actually a trading platform's current account is enough, Higher annualized returns come with higher risks.
10% is used for on-chain interaction projects as venture capital, Using controllable losses to seek substantial gains. (However, as it stands, there aren't many good projects, so dollar-cost averaging is better.)
The last 10% is for high-risk contract trading, Similarly, using controllable losses to seek substantial gains.
Additionally, it serves as a form of practice, borrowing the false to seek the true. Confronting the greed, anger, ignorance, doubt, and sloth in human nature. Without entering the world, how can one transcend it?
Some pitfalls can only be understood by experiencing them. Just need to: make mistakes - record - analyze - solve.
My trading philosophy ---- a winner who doesn't understand loss is not a good winner.
1. A small crypto trader, newly entering the futures market, returns in defeat
April 9, 2026 On a leisurely afternoon, the novice trader Arno felt that the volatility of the cryptocurrency market was too low today, 0.05%...0.08%.... Due to the recent prediction of a sharp decline in the gold market from 4900 to 4100 in just a few days, Arno chose to enter the market around 4870, but at that time the volatility was very high and his account margin was too low, only 20 dollars. Yes, because the minimum position for trading in the futures market is 0.01 lots with 500x leverage, he had no choice but to sell 50% of the margin short position. At that time, it was deduced and confirmed that the continuation of the daily sell was a very good entry point.
$ETH 📉 April 7th, the super bear returns after the bulls retreat? Yesterday After experiencing a strong surge, there were several attempts to touch the strong resistance at 2160 All ended in failure, as seen in the daily chart with a long upper shadow
The 4-hour chart shows two large bearish candlesticks, which is enough to indicate the importance of this position After a divergence on the 30-minute chart, it has broken down from the pivot
Of course, Currently, it has not completely broken below 2080 to form structural damage The direction of bulls and bears is unclear, continue to wait for a clear structure to form
Assuming it goes down to around 2090 and does not create new highs or form a selling point Gradually shift to a bearish bias, indicating that this daily reversal may end Initiating a big sell-off mode📉📉📉
However, I still lean towards a consolidation view📈📉📈 After all, the previous bullish trend was quite strong
Simple summary: 📈As long as the 2080-2100 range holds steady, there’s no need to panic, focus on the strong resistance at 2160
$ETH 4 Is the daily rebound on March 6th finished? Or is it aiming for 2400?! Starting the weekly cycle, the MACD has started to converge upwards, The rebound has entered the mid to late stages, with downward momentum continuously weakening.
At the daily level, Since last week, it has remained strong after completing a buying point construction. Several attempts to break down have been perfectly supported. Continuously monitor the important bullish defense level in the 2000-2050 range. As long as it does not break below, a bullish outlook can be firmly maintained.
At the 30m level, The strong upward movement is very impressive, and the MACD volume is also very sufficient. Next, patiently wait For a pullback to confirm the formation of a secondary buying point before entering a bullish position.
$ETH April 2: Four consecutive daily gains, is the bear's end here?
Since the buy point was established a few days ago, the bulls have surged forward From the lower timeframe, we can see that the pullback strength is very weak
Although it may occasionally be accompanied by spikes, perhaps due to deleveraging actions Overall, the current risk and reward of going long on the pullback are more favorable than going short
At this moment, ETH on the 30m level shows some divergence, a pullback may occur As long as the candlestick does not close below 2120, it remains a safe entry point for bulls
$ETH April 1st Today's Analysis Is It the Revenge of the Daily Bulls? Or? The daily line still closes perfectly, As mentioned yesterday, after breaking the bearish defense level, We can see the 2080-2150 range.
The main strategy moving forward is still to wait for a pullback to buy long. The market's minimum resistance route is upward 📈
As long as the structure doesn't break down, If the 2040-2050 range isn't breached, the bulls remain very safe. Subsequent daily rebounds can see the 2300-2400 range.
📈 Bullish risk point: 2030-2050 range. If the trend goes down and deviates from the secondary central level, it is highly likely to turn bearish.
📉 Bearish risk point: Looking at the 30m level, the pullback is very weak. Shorting belongs to left-side behavior, which carries higher risks; it is better to observe.
Finally, I wish everyone good luck and to befriend the trend. ✊✊
$ETH 3 March 31 Today's Analysis The daily chart has started with a very good bottom formation
So we can look for buy points to enter the long position at the lower level, The 30-minute chart experienced a downward spike yesterday, forming a type of buy point, and just closed forming a second type of buy point
Next, the daily level rebound may occur in the range of 2080-2150
Of course, if this buy point does not succeed and the lower range of 2000-2020 cannot hold then we can only wait for the sell point to look downward
Whenever crude oil futures rise, it's not a good thing. Plus, with the mysterious forecast from the White House Is it time to drop a care package to some big brother far away in the Middle East? 😂😂😂
$ETH 3 March 28 Today's Analysis The daily line downward trend has not yet concluded, but it has not completely detached from the center, There may be a rebound to fill the gap. Overall, the bearish strength remains strong;
The 4-hour chart directly detached from the center yesterday and has not formed a new center for consolidation. Of course, if the strength is strong, it may not form a direct downward continuation and continue to explore downwards, Specifically, we will see if Trump does something over the weekend to accelerate the market;
The 30-minute chart is currently consolidating; If it rebounds and detaches upwards from the center, you can see around 2040.
📈 Left-side bullish operation suggestion: Buy at 1985 Stop loss at 1965, target at 2040.
📉 Conservative bearish operation suggestion: Wait for a rebound to the 2020-2040 range Stop loss if it breaks 2060 and stabilizes, then exit and wait.
$ETH Today's analysis March 27 From the 4-hour view, here the good fractal formation center is expected to stop the decline, and in the 5-minute view, the first and second buys have been completed and we will continue to look upwards; the bullish side may not have any problems for now 🔥🔥
📈 Bullish risk point: If the K-line closes below the 2040 range, it may continue to decline.
📉 Bearish risk point: After breaking through the 2080 range and confirming the buying point on the pullback, it may continue to rise.
Currently, we can only see this much; overall, the bearish force is still strong, so when opening positions, be sure to set stop losses, and dynamically adjusting your perspective is key.
【Binance New Mine: $NIGHT Super Earning Coin Practical Manual】
Project: Midnight $NIGHT
Annualized: Approximately 18% (Base APR + Token Rewards)
Time: 3/16 20:00 - 3/25 08:00
Core Rewards: A total of 480 million NIGHT, with an initial release of 120 million.
Operational Strategy: Recommended to follow the ADA path for the highest reward increase. For those without spot assets, leverage borrowing to participate, and pay attention to hedge against price fluctuations. This event is expected to be long-term, similar to the previous USD1, suitable for enhancing the yield of the underlying asset.
【Binance Prime Phase Seven: Katana (KAT) Purchase Strategy】 Don't focus on those broken first levels, come check this out from the Binance wallet: $KAT
Presale Time: 3/16 20:00 - 22:00
Launch Time: 3/18 21:00 Spot Market Opening
Price/Valuation: 0.009 (FDV 90M)
Current Profit: Pre-market has already risen to 0.017, definitely a double profit. Why rush?
Prime projects are different from regular new offerings; the high score threshold means that selling pressure is relatively controllable. Moreover, this is a project directly connected to the spot market, ensuring liquidity. Each person can have a maximum of 3 BNB
Attention for those who have used the wallet booster 🔥 In two days, you can get a few servings of pig trotter rice again. On the 13th at 18:15 TGE, you can receive the unitas token $UP. At 19:00, you can receive $PIEVERSE . Depending on the situation, you can decide whether to hedge to lock in profits~
One minute to understand SVM light-speed spaceship $FOGO
Bro, are you still balding from the "congestion tax" on Solana?
At this moment, a lightning-headed figure jumped out and said: I don't play virtual games, pureblood Firedancer serves! This guy is not a distant cousin of Solana; he directly stuffed Jump Crypto's nuclear weapon Firedancer into his own body, insisting on cosplaying as the rebellious youth who wants the "smoothest CEX experience but insists on decentralization!" The mainnet has already exploded, block time? 40 milliseconds! Final confirmation? 1.3 seconds!
This means that if you place a limit order and the robot wants to rush it? Sorry, my delay is faster than your reaction; it directly tosses the sandwich and slippage into the fire as fireworks, with the slogan written on its face: Trade without compromise——transaction?
No compromise exists, only the fate of being instantly killed! Verification nodes are all squeezed in Tokyo playing "physical face-to-face output," just to save a few nanoseconds of signal—this is not blockchain; this is an esports team in high-frequency trading! Combined with gas-free sessions (dApp secretly pays your gas fees), one-click signing as smooth as scrolling through Douyin, and fair sorting that makes cheating dogs explode on the spot… In simple terms: Fogo is shoving Binance's ultimate experience onto the chain while insisting on maintaining the chastity of a "decentralized virgin," hardcore to the extreme!
Now Flames S2 is still burning, 200M $FOGO is waiting to be released, play around with Brasa, Valiant, Pyron, Ignition, and you can reap rewards; if you're late, it will turn into a "Valentine's Day single dog + missed airdrop double blow."
In short: $SOL is a high-speed train, $FOGO is a spaceship.
It is recommended that beginners directly take the low-cost option which offers good value
⏰ Round 1: February 12, 8:00 AM - February 19, 8:00 AM
1⃣ Event A (Low-cost): Directly exchange 100 USD in the wallet, and all owners of $U will share a prize pool of 100,000 U
Three options to qualify: 🔥 Hold 100 U tokens in Binance Wallet 🔥 Purchase at least 100 U to U Lista or Venus Pool 🔥 Borrow at least 100 U from Binance Wallet Web3 Loan Venus
2⃣ Event B: Deposit at least 100 U in Venus U activity pool to share 350,000 U (currently around 44% annualized)
3⃣ Event C: Deposit at least 100 U in Lista U activity pool to share 350,000 U (annualized 38%)
It is truly difficult to accept after seeing these. This time the silver crash has likely trapped many people again; I can only be grateful that I still believe in $BTC . At worst, it will only trap you for four years. Sigh, looking back at these metals, once trapped it can be over ten years. Lastly, I want to say, everyone, hold on to your precious bitcoins and don't let those bad people deceive you!