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Rapha002

The analytical one when it comes to the market 😉
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Posts
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{spot}(BTCUSDT) It's been a rough day in the market lately.. The choppiness in the market is increasing huge which both the longs and shorts are being taken out in term of liquidation. Although I want to believe this is the pump that can bring the price significantly higher, I just can't based on the factor that I see right now. Volume is low and we all know that we are in the midst of uncertainty. Even the S&P500 current rally to almost $7k, it means nothing as it's not driven by fundamental and it's not driven by the big players bid. Tbh, we are in the company is in confusion right now and be very careful on the recent chop in the price action. Nothing has never been this difficult in the market we are seeing right now. What's my next game play? I need the BTC price to take out $76k first and somehow, there will be retracement. Until then, I'm still sitting here watching the craziness in price action.
It's been a rough day in the market lately.. The choppiness in the market is increasing huge which both the longs and shorts are being taken out in term of liquidation.

Although I want to believe this is the pump that can bring the price significantly higher, I just can't based on the factor that I see right now.

Volume is low and we all know that we are in the midst of uncertainty. Even the S&P500 current rally to almost $7k, it means nothing as it's not driven by fundamental and it's not driven by the big players bid.

Tbh, we are in the company is in confusion right now and be very careful on the recent chop in the price action. Nothing has never been this difficult in the market we are seeing right now.

What's my next game play? I need the BTC price to take out $76k first and somehow, there will be retracement. Until then, I'm still sitting here watching the craziness in price action.
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Bullish
The current BTC/USDT pair shows massive bullish momentum, with Bitcoin hitting a staggering $126,198 all-time high in late 2025. By year-end, the "best case" involves breaking this resistance, fueled by its 58.7% market dominance. Sustained institutional inflows and reaching the 21M max supply could propel prices toward $150,000 #BTCBackTo70K
The current BTC/USDT pair shows massive bullish momentum, with Bitcoin hitting a staggering $126,198 all-time high in late 2025. By year-end, the "best case" involves breaking this resistance, fueled by its 58.7% market dominance. Sustained institutional inflows and reaching the 21M max supply could propel prices toward $150,000
#BTCBackTo70K
In a high-volatility "risk-off" environment, prioritize capital preservation over aggressive gains. a. Liquidity is King: Maintain 30-50% in cash or "safe havens" (CHF, SGD, or Gold) to deploy if BTC hits extreme discount levels ($52k-$55k). b. Tighten Defenses: Keep SLs at break-even or trailing. Avoid high leverage; liquidations spike during weekend gaps. c. Hedge Volatility: If BTC breaks support, consider a small "protective put" or a short hedge to offset spot losses. d. Stay Reactive: Don’t predict the bottom. Wait for a "relief rally" or stabilization before re-entering. Keep it simple: Protect your base, stay liquid, and let the dust settle. #AnthropicBansOpenClawFromClaude
In a high-volatility "risk-off" environment, prioritize capital preservation over aggressive gains.
a. Liquidity is King: Maintain 30-50% in cash or "safe havens" (CHF, SGD, or Gold) to deploy if BTC hits extreme discount levels ($52k-$55k).
b. Tighten Defenses: Keep SLs at break-even or trailing. Avoid high leverage; liquidations spike during weekend gaps.
c. Hedge Volatility: If BTC breaks support, consider a small "protective put" or a short hedge to offset spot losses.
d. Stay Reactive: Don’t predict the bottom. Wait for a "relief rally" or stabilization before re-entering.

Keep it simple: Protect your base, stay liquid, and let the dust settle.
#AnthropicBansOpenClawFromClaude
Article
The big moveHappy weekend for all, I think that we are going to get a relatively big moves very soon on the BTC as well. Judging from the current situation in the middle east which there isn't any significant resolution + things are escalating every single hours, I think we could get a big move between Sunday - Monday night as it's approaching long weekend. I think, there is slightly 55% odds for price to break lower rather than breaking to the upside. Please prepare yourself. I think US will have a ground invasion very soon. Very bad circumstance right now. My action : moving all the position's SL into break even point + converting my AUD and USD cash into more resilient currencies like SGD & CHF. If this is the war for regime change, we should be ready for any scenario!

The big move

Happy weekend for all, I think that we are going to get a relatively big moves very soon on the BTC as well.

Judging from the current situation in the middle east which there isn't any significant resolution + things are escalating every single hours, I think we could get a big move between Sunday - Monday night as it's approaching long weekend.

I think, there is slightly 55% odds for price to break lower rather than breaking to the upside.

Please prepare yourself. I think US will have a ground invasion very soon. Very bad circumstance right now.

My action : moving all the position's SL into break even point + converting my AUD and USD cash into more resilient currencies like SGD & CHF.

If this is the war for regime change, we should be ready for any scenario!
if you have never lost like 99% of portfolio maaaan you don't still know how it feels 😅,some times the market can really humble you#WhenWillCLARITYActPass
if you have never lost like 99% of portfolio maaaan you don't still know how it feels 😅,some times the market can really humble you#WhenWillCLARITYActPass
Bitcoin at 95.6kJust don't be greedy and if you're in profit, I hope you can close some and manage your risk. I personally think that we can still go higher according to the plan I gave ($98k as the first target). But we have to remember the last 2 months in the market which is super choppy and the big move always retraced fully within the next 24 hours. This movement is crucial as this is the first time we can close above the $94k on daily basis. But still, it doesn't mean the same scenario can't happen. This upside movement is fueled mostly with the shorts getting liquidated and I haven't seen any bulls step in a big amount just yet. I hope Asia and EU can give us clarity whether this break out is real or not. Maintain your risk!

Bitcoin at 95.6k

Just don't be greedy and if you're in profit, I hope you can close some and manage your risk.

I personally think that we can still go higher according to the plan I gave ($98k as the first target). But we have to remember the last 2 months in the market which is super choppy and the big move always retraced fully within the next 24 hours.

This movement is crucial as this is the first time we can close above the $94k on daily basis. But still, it doesn't mean the same scenario can't happen.

This upside movement is fueled mostly with the shorts getting liquidated and I haven't seen any bulls step in a big amount just yet. I hope Asia and EU can give us clarity whether this break out is real or not.
Maintain your risk!
The only thing I learned about the market is that It really requires alot of patience,consistency in DYOR and emotion free. #MarketRebound {spot}(FLOKIUSDT)
The only thing I learned about the market is that It really requires alot of patience,consistency in DYOR and emotion free.
#MarketRebound
Notice of Removal of Spot Trading Pairs - 2026-01-13 Based on our most recent reviews, Binance will remove and cease trading on the following spot trading pairs: At 2026-01-13 08:00 (UTC): ACT/FDUSD, AEVO/FDUSD, AR/FDUSD, DOGS/FDUSD, HEMI/FDUSD, HFT/BTC, IO/FDUSD, MEME/FDUSD, NFP/FDUSD, PENDLE/FDUSD, PHA/BTC, RARE/BTC, RAY/FDUSD, RED/FDUSD, SAND/FDUSD, SHELL/BTC, SXP/BTC, TURTLE/FDUSD, ZBT/FDUSD and ZK/FDUSD.
Notice of Removal of Spot Trading Pairs - 2026-01-13

Based on our most recent reviews, Binance will remove and cease trading on the following spot trading pairs:

At 2026-01-13 08:00 (UTC): ACT/FDUSD, AEVO/FDUSD, AR/FDUSD, DOGS/FDUSD, HEMI/FDUSD, HFT/BTC, IO/FDUSD, MEME/FDUSD, NFP/FDUSD, PENDLE/FDUSD, PHA/BTC, RARE/BTC, RAY/FDUSD, RED/FDUSD, SAND/FDUSD, SHELL/BTC, SXP/BTC, TURTLE/FDUSD, ZBT/FDUSD and ZK/FDUSD.
#2025withBinance Start your crypto story with the @Binance Year in Review and share your highlights! #2025withBinance. 👉 Sign up with my link and get 100 USD rewards! https://www.binance.com/year-in-review/2025-with-binance?ref=581571202
#2025withBinance Start your crypto story with the @Binance Year in Review and share your highlights! #2025withBinance.

👉 Sign up with my link and get 100 USD rewards! https://www.binance.com/year-in-review/2025-with-binance?ref=581571202
CAN PEPE HIT A DOLLAR CONSIDERING IT'S CURRENT MARKETS CAPITALIZATION #USChinaDeal
CAN PEPE HIT A DOLLAR CONSIDERING IT'S CURRENT MARKETS CAPITALIZATION
#USChinaDeal
YES
46%
NO
35%
MAYBE
19%
26 votes • Voting closed
Update about Venezuela attack. - Like what I anticipated, it was a nothing burger event. - Escalation is giving us a little bit of positive sentiment as markets value it as another step closer to peace objective. - As we know, this is just another 3D chess from Trump administration to secure future’s rate cut and easing policy. - The narrative around is about the drug cartels in Venezuela but believe me, the attack was never about the drug cartel. - It’s all about the oil control. As we know, Venezuela is the exclusive producer of oil to China. And with this attack, we see that US is now taking over oil operation in Venezuela and we all know the rest, US will control this oil supply. - By locking the oil supply, they can now control the deficit, push the inflation down and come to the much more easier economic policy in the long run. - This looks very brutal but we all know Trump and you like it or not, he is the mastermind of strategy. I personally don’t like about this way to manipulate and control what he wants. But so far, it works and market likes it. So that, we should listen to what the market says. Monday will be green and capturing Maduro is positive sentiment for the market.
Update about Venezuela attack.

- Like what I anticipated, it was a nothing burger event.
- Escalation is giving us a little bit of positive sentiment as markets value it as another step closer to peace objective.
- As we know, this is just another 3D chess from Trump administration to secure future’s rate cut and easing policy.
- The narrative around is about the drug cartels in Venezuela but believe me, the attack was never about the drug cartel.
- It’s all about the oil control. As we know, Venezuela is the exclusive producer of oil to China. And with this attack, we see that US is now taking over oil operation in Venezuela and we all know the rest, US will control this oil supply.
- By locking the oil supply, they can now control the deficit, push the inflation down and come to the much more easier economic policy in the long run.
- This looks very brutal but we all know Trump and you like it or not, he is the mastermind of strategy.

I personally don’t like about this way to manipulate and control what he wants. But so far, it works and market likes it. So that, we should listen to what the market says.

Monday will be green and capturing Maduro is positive sentiment for the market.
The market is usually an unpredictable scheme but when you are exposed to the market trends and analysis you won't miss out. #FOMCWatch #PEPE‏ How do you guys feel about the marker this 2026
The market is usually an unpredictable scheme but when you are exposed to the market trends and analysis you won't miss out.
#FOMCWatch
#PEPE‏
How do you guys feel about the marker this 2026
BULLISH
100%
BEARISH
0%
3 votes • Voting closed
merry Christmas
merry Christmas
CZ
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Merry Christmas!🎅
https://www.binance.com/en/academy/track/offchain-computing-using-tee-coprocessors?utm_medium=app_share_link
https://www.binance.com/en/academy/track/offchain-computing-using-tee-coprocessors?utm_medium=app_share_link
#ProjectCrypto This is the comparison chart between BTC and S&P500 and also what effect tariff had on the first day after the announcement. On BTC, we had nearly -9% drop on the first day (or few hours) after tariff announced on March and April. While on S&P500, there were -3% and -6% on the same period. Given the standard of the drop 1 day after the announcement, we could see that today's drop is not as significant as what it did on the March and April. My thesis says that it's just another ordinary flush during in the bullish market and people have been pricing in the chaos at the tariff implementation. No wonder about it. I think, it's now time to focus on entry as this correction looks to be short-lived.
#ProjectCrypto
This is the comparison chart between BTC and S&P500 and also what effect tariff had on the first day after the announcement.

On BTC, we had nearly -9% drop on the first day (or few hours) after tariff announced on March and April.

While on S&P500, there were -3% and -6% on the same period.

Given the standard of the drop 1 day after the announcement, we could see that today's drop is not as significant as what it did on the March and April.

My thesis says that it's just another ordinary flush during in the bullish market and people have been pricing in the chaos at the tariff implementation. No wonder about it.

I think, it's now time to focus on entry as this correction looks to be short-lived.
#HODLTradingStrategy holding strategy is the most profound strategy to hold on to when you are starting to venture into trading journey.it surely pays off.
#HODLTradingStrategy
holding strategy is the most profound strategy to hold on to when you are starting to venture into
trading journey.it surely pays off.
#DayTradingStrategy . This is the best strategy to hold on when you want to bite some small accumulated profits by the end of day.
#DayTradingStrategy .
This is the best strategy to hold on when you want to bite some small accumulated profits by the end of day.
#BinanceTurns8 There are some inclusively rewards being shared by binance on this campaign,you only have to participate on the campaign to ro get those rewards.
#BinanceTurns8
There are some inclusively rewards being shared by binance on this campaign,you only have to participate on the campaign to ro get those rewards.
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