mystery蛋先生
喜欢研究二级市场，专做大饼以太合约，山寨偶尔玩玩, 嗯???: Xep-0823 推特：mystery蛋先生
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Many people do not understand the meaning of rebound and reversal.
Rebound: "The lower boundary of the fluctuation range + daily oversold" is already in line with the structure of a technical rebound, and does not belong to a reversal. After a significant decline, there will be a rebound; after a significant rise, there will be a pullback. The same principle applies.
Reversal: The overall trend has not broken below/above a certain price range; all increases/pullbacks are merely technical adjustments, not trend reversals.
So, why have I been keen on shorting since November, with buying as a supplement? Until the trend changes, any rebound is merely a rebound, not a reversal. The rebound may just be for a better decline $BTC
Rebound: "The lower boundary of the fluctuation range + daily oversold" is already in line with the structure of a technical rebound, and does not belong to a reversal. After a significant decline, there will be a rebound; after a significant rise, there will be a pullback. The same principle applies.
Reversal: The overall trend has not broken below/above a certain price range; all increases/pullbacks are merely technical adjustments, not trend reversals.
So, why have I been keen on shorting since November, with buying as a supplement? Until the trend changes, any rebound is merely a rebound, not a reversal. The rebound may just be for a better decline $BTC
Simply from the K-line perspective, the exchange rate of gold to Bitcoin has broken through a consolidation zone lasting 777 days. According to box theory, it still needs to rise by 40%? Can't imagine, can't imagine 😂
The pancake also fell directly after filling the gap, what a pity, it didn't reach the short position of 8,9-9W mentioned in today's analysis $BTC
Suddenly remembered that today is the opening of Bitcoin futures, there is a gap at 885, after filling it, will it continue to drop or stabilize above? I don't understand for now, but it can be referenced, combined with K-line $BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
{future}(BTCUSDT)
The decline of Ethereum has approached 3, and the principal loss can be covered $ETH
Ethereum Perspective: Reference 4H
The trend of Ethereum is relatively weak compared to Bitcoin. It touched the previous low in the early morning, held and rebounded, but the rebound strength is also very weak,
Subsequently, pay attention to the upper range of 2935-2965. If the subsequent rebound can return to this range, there is still hope to retest the 3050 area,
If it fails to return to 2935-2965 and instead faces resistance, then it would be a good short position. This is not only the POC position but also the Fibonacci 0.618 of this segment $ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
The trend of Ethereum is relatively weak compared to Bitcoin. It touched the previous low in the early morning, held and rebounded, but the rebound strength is also very weak,
Subsequently, pay attention to the upper range of 2935-2965. If the subsequent rebound can return to this range, there is still hope to retest the 3050 area,
If it fails to return to 2935-2965 and instead faces resistance, then it would be a good short position. This is not only the POC position but also the Fibonacci 0.618 of this segment $ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
Suddenly remembered that today is the opening of Bitcoin futures, there is a gap at 885, after filling it, will it continue to drop or stabilize above? I don't understand for now, but it can be referenced, combined with K-line $BTC
While unlocking on one side of the river and pulling the market, why won't the air force surrender? Why are they so stubborn?
I mentioned last time that unlocking will definitely lead to a drop? It's an age-old question, strong manipulation coins, there's no need to play with this $RIVER
I mentioned last time that unlocking will definitely lead to a drop? It's an age-old question, strong manipulation coins, there's no need to play with this $RIVER
The river will unlock tomorrow, and a group of people are shorting, with the funding rate directly maintained at a high of -1.9
Does everyone really think that unlocking is guaranteed to drop? Even if it crashes, it will pull up before dropping, and if it doesn't pull up, just the sideways funding rate will be enough for you to handle 😂$RIVER
Does everyone really think that unlocking is guaranteed to drop? Even if it crashes, it will pull up before dropping, and if it doesn't pull up, just the sideways funding rate will be enough for you to handle 😂$RIVER
Ethereum Perspective: Reference 4H
The trend of Ethereum is relatively weak compared to Bitcoin. It touched the previous low in the early morning, held and rebounded, but the rebound strength is also very weak,
Subsequently, pay attention to the upper range of 2935-2965. If the subsequent rebound can return to this range, there is still hope to retest the 3050 area,
If it fails to return to 2935-2965 and instead faces resistance, then it would be a good short position. This is not only the POC position but also the Fibonacci 0.618 of this segment $ETH
The trend of Ethereum is relatively weak compared to Bitcoin. It touched the previous low in the early morning, held and rebounded, but the rebound strength is also very weak,
Subsequently, pay attention to the upper range of 2935-2965. If the subsequent rebound can return to this range, there is still hope to retest the 3050 area,
If it fails to return to 2935-2965 and instead faces resistance, then it would be a good short position. This is not only the POC position but also the Fibonacci 0.618 of this segment $ETH
Bitcoin View: Reference 4H
Last week, I kept mentioning to my brothers that the best shorting area was in the 906-917 range, and the last defense area for bulls was around 860. Once it breaks below that, there is a high probability of a second exploration of the 80K bottom,
So on Friday, after reaching the price of 911, it started to drop all the way down, and today it took out the liquidity on the left-hand side, touching around 860.
Currently, although it has taken out the liquidity on the left-hand side, the rebound strength looks very weak at the moment. So keep an eye on the upper 89K-90K POC position. Once again, if there is a shorting signal of a false breakout, it can also be shorted again looking towards around 860. If it breaks down, just continue holding $BTC
Last week, I kept mentioning to my brothers that the best shorting area was in the 906-917 range, and the last defense area for bulls was around 860. Once it breaks below that, there is a high probability of a second exploration of the 80K bottom,
So on Friday, after reaching the price of 911, it started to drop all the way down, and today it took out the liquidity on the left-hand side, touching around 860.
Currently, although it has taken out the liquidity on the left-hand side, the rebound strength looks very weak at the moment. So keep an eye on the upper 89K-90K POC position. Once again, if there is a shorting signal of a false breakout, it can also be shorted again looking towards around 860. If it breaks down, just continue holding $BTC
Oh no, I just woke up, and the WCT I pushed in my skirt yesterday directly surged by 46%, the first take-profit target has been achieved, half of the profit has been taken $WCT
Counterfeit Season? Or Counterfeit Festival 😂$AXS
apra current price 0.0146 enter initial position spot, add position 0.013, stop loss 0.0117, take profit looks at 0.0186$ARPA
gm, yesterday mentioned that Bitcoin's pullback did not create a lower low, if it holds at 0.618 then it can go long, those who have already opened can take a stop loss at $BTC
Bitcoin Outlook: Reference 4H, 1H
Yesterday, it was mentioned that the best position for going long on Bitcoin during a rebound was around 860. Unfortunately, it did not reach that point, but instead chose to rebound at the Fibonacci 0.618 of the entire segment.
Currently, the key level to watch for short positions is in the range of 906-917. If this level is broken and closes above, it is expected to continue rising.
Conversely, if it gets blocked, it will continue to drop, still seeing 860 as the last defense zone for bulls. Another minor level to pay attention to is the 0.618 position of this small segment.
If Bitcoin experiences a pullback but does not establish a lower low and holds at 0.618, it can also be an opportunity to go long, $BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
Yesterday, it was mentioned that the best position for going long on Bitcoin during a rebound was around 860. Unfortunately, it did not reach that point, but instead chose to rebound at the Fibonacci 0.618 of the entire segment.
Currently, the key level to watch for short positions is in the range of 906-917. If this level is broken and closes above, it is expected to continue rising.
Conversely, if it gets blocked, it will continue to drop, still seeing 860 as the last defense zone for bulls. Another minor level to pay attention to is the 0.618 position of this small segment.
If Bitcoin experiences a pullback but does not establish a lower low and holds at 0.618, it can also be an opportunity to go long, $BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
This wave of the river is indeed interesting. I wonder if this needle has any Air Force escapees, and what about this point value, 28.888? Which big shot among the Chinese is getting on board? $RIVER
The river will unlock tomorrow, and a group of people are shorting, with the funding rate directly maintained at a high of -1.9
Does everyone really think that unlocking is guaranteed to drop? Even if it crashes, it will pull up before dropping, and if it doesn't pull up, just the sideways funding rate will be enough for you to handle 😂$RIVER
Does everyone really think that unlocking is guaranteed to drop? Even if it crashes, it will pull up before dropping, and if it doesn't pull up, just the sideways funding rate will be enough for you to handle 😂$RIVER
Purchased the first warehouse at SANTOS2.4, added to the warehouse at 2.15, the current average price should be around 2.27, now it has risen by 9 points, can first bring up the breakeven loss, target remains $SANTOS
santos breaks the daily level downtrend + horizontal resistance level, can buy spot position at the current price, add position at 2.15, stop loss at 1.95, take profit at 3.3$SANTOS
{future}(SANTOSUSDT)
{future}(SANTOSUSDT)
Ethereum View: Reference 4H
Previously mentioned that the long position for Ethereum can refer to the POC zone below, and the rebound was very strong. Congratulations to the brothers who managed to catch this wave, but I didn't make it; I just went out drinking 😂 I didn't pay any attention to this spike and didn't dare to place an order in advance.
So in the early morning, Ethereum was blocked at the upper resistance area. This resistance level is the previous support-resistance switch. Tonight, we can pay attention to whether Ethereum will test again.
If a false breakout occurs and it closes below, then we can open a short position, looking towards the POC position below or even lower. If it doesn't break through directly and stabilize above, then the next short position will be at the upper POC position +0.618.$ETH
Previously mentioned that the long position for Ethereum can refer to the POC zone below, and the rebound was very strong. Congratulations to the brothers who managed to catch this wave, but I didn't make it; I just went out drinking 😂 I didn't pay any attention to this spike and didn't dare to place an order in advance.
So in the early morning, Ethereum was blocked at the upper resistance area. This resistance level is the previous support-resistance switch. Tonight, we can pay attention to whether Ethereum will test again.
If a false breakout occurs and it closes below, then we can open a short position, looking towards the POC position below or even lower. If it doesn't break through directly and stabilize above, then the next short position will be at the upper POC position +0.618.$ETH
Bitcoin Outlook: Reference 4H, 1H
Yesterday, it was mentioned that the best position for going long on Bitcoin during a rebound was around 860. Unfortunately, it did not reach that point, but instead chose to rebound at the Fibonacci 0.618 of the entire segment.
Currently, the key level to watch for short positions is in the range of 906-917. If this level is broken and closes above, it is expected to continue rising.
Conversely, if it gets blocked, it will continue to drop, still seeing 860 as the last defense zone for bulls. Another minor level to pay attention to is the 0.618 position of this small segment.
If Bitcoin experiences a pullback but does not establish a lower low and holds at 0.618, it can also be an opportunity to go long, $BTC
Yesterday, it was mentioned that the best position for going long on Bitcoin during a rebound was around 860. Unfortunately, it did not reach that point, but instead chose to rebound at the Fibonacci 0.618 of the entire segment.
Currently, the key level to watch for short positions is in the range of 906-917. If this level is broken and closes above, it is expected to continue rising.
Conversely, if it gets blocked, it will continue to drop, still seeing 860 as the last defense zone for bulls. Another minor level to pay attention to is the 0.618 position of this small segment.
If Bitcoin experiences a pullback but does not establish a lower low and holds at 0.618, it can also be an opportunity to go long, $BTC
Ethereum has pulled back to the POC position previously analyzed for a bullish outlook. The rebound is quite strong, but I didn't place any orders and didn't pay attention. After finishing my drink, it has already pulled back to 3000. Maybe I should try placing limit orders on the left side next time, it feels like I always miss the opportunity to open a position $ETH
Interesting, it only retraced to the 0.618 of the entire market segment, yet it just won't rebound near 860, maybe too many people are watching here, hahahaha🤡$BTC
So close, didn't get the chance to get on the bus $BTC
【Will Bitcoin drop again? The last defense zone for bulls】
Yesterday mentioned that if the 90K-89K range holds, one can go long. When the first spike hit 90K, those who went long should pay attention to the small-level previous high resistance; if it doesn't recover, it’s time to observe. As expected, the second spike was more intense than the first, even briefly breaking the uptrend line of this entire segment.
Although it has rebounded and stayed above the trend line, the current price is no longer suitable for going long; pay attention to shorting opportunities on rebounds. Currently, I am more inclined to short in the 906-917 chip range, with a target towards around 860, or even a second test of the 80K bottom.
If you want to go long, around 860 is a good position; a large amount of chips is gathered here, and it is also the last defense zone for bulls. If it cannot hold, then we look at a second test of 80K, $BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
Yesterday mentioned that if the 90K-89K range holds, one can go long. When the first spike hit 90K, those who went long should pay attention to the small-level previous high resistance; if it doesn't recover, it’s time to observe. As expected, the second spike was more intense than the first, even briefly breaking the uptrend line of this entire segment.
Although it has rebounded and stayed above the trend line, the current price is no longer suitable for going long; pay attention to shorting opportunities on rebounds. Currently, I am more inclined to short in the 906-917 chip range, with a target towards around 860, or even a second test of the 80K bottom.
If you want to go long, around 860 is a good position; a large amount of chips is gathered here, and it is also the last defense zone for bulls. If it cannot hold, then we look at a second test of 80K, $BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
The river will unlock tomorrow, and a group of people are shorting, with the funding rate directly maintained at a high of -1.9
Does everyone really think that unlocking is guaranteed to drop? Even if it crashes, it will pull up before dropping, and if it doesn't pull up, just the sideways funding rate will be enough for you to handle 😂$RIVER
Does everyone really think that unlocking is guaranteed to drop? Even if it crashes, it will pull up before dropping, and if it doesn't pull up, just the sideways funding rate will be enough for you to handle 😂$RIVER
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