Crypto赵公明
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Crypto赵公明
短线合约交易员，每天都会更新热门币种操作思路，跟丹请进聊天室！X： @ZEC1127
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Fans who want to follow trades and those who want analysis can all find me!!
In the chat room, we’ll share strategies. If you want to keep up, come to the chat room to find Gongming!
If some fans don’t know where the chat room is, scan the QR code below on Binance, or search for my ID: 1118921162 and you can contact me!$BTC $ETH
#霍尔木兹石油仍在流通 #Iran 60 days no shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz
In the chat room, we’ll share strategies. If you want to keep up, come to the chat room to find Gongming!
If some fans don’t know where the chat room is, scan the QR code below on Binance, or search for my ID: 1118921162 and you can contact me!$BTC $ETH
#霍尔木兹石油仍在流通 #Iran 60 days no shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz
PINNED
Zhao Gongming’s last-week contract performance is out: 16 trades, 14 wins, 87.5% win rate!
Brothers who follow Gongming know this well—he never blindly calls trades. Every entry position is given in advance, with logic and reasons, not what he thinks afterward.
Trading isn’t about getting rich overnight. It’s about steadily keeping up each time, and accumulating gains little by little. To survive in this market, direction matters more than effort; being with the right person is ten thousand times better than blindly tinkering.
Gongming will keep leading, and you keep following. On the road to making money, opportunities aren’t lacking—what’s missing are smart people who are willing to trust and keep going! #原油期货跌约4% #美光科技盘后涨10%
Brothers who follow Gongming know this well—he never blindly calls trades. Every entry position is given in advance, with logic and reasons, not what he thinks afterward.
Trading isn’t about getting rich overnight. It’s about steadily keeping up each time, and accumulating gains little by little. To survive in this market, direction matters more than effort; being with the right person is ten thousand times better than blindly tinkering.
Gongming will keep leading, and you keep following. On the road to making money, opportunities aren’t lacking—what’s missing are smart people who are willing to trust and keep going! #原油期货跌约4% #美光科技盘后涨10%
Samsung’s earnings surge, yet the market votes with its feet—so right around the 196 level we decisively went short, took profit at 186, and locked in a 10% gain!
The better the earnings, the worse the drop—pricing at the cycle peak + “buy the expectation, sell the facts.”
The market doesn’t reward the smartest people, but the most disciplined ones.#AI轮换韩国芯片股跌中国科技股涨 #美国对伊朗发动新一轮打击
The better the earnings, the worse the drop—pricing at the cycle peak + “buy the expectation, sell the facts.”
The market doesn’t reward the smartest people, but the most disciplined ones.#AI轮换韩国芯片股跌中国科技股涨 #美国对伊朗发动新一轮打击
Crypto赵公明
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BearishExplosive Results, Yet a Plunge! Is $SAMSUNG 193 a Gold Mine or a Peak of the Cycle?
Brothers, Samsung has delivered one of the most explosive quarterly reports in the history of global tech—Q2 operating profit hit 89.4 trillion KRW, up a staggering 1810% year-over-year, and its quarterly earnings exceeded the total of the previous three years! But the stock price actually crashed by more than 7%.
News/Context:
There are two reasons the market isn’t buying it: “good news already priced in” and “cycle fear.” Over the past 18 months, Samsung has surged 158%, so the “better-than-expected” news was priced in long ago. More importantly, Samsung announced a capacity expansion plan of 2655 trillion KRW, SK hynix 1100 trillion KRW, and the Korean government’s DRAM capacity increase—doubling storage chip capacity. The old “memory chip cycle” curse is closing in.
Technical Analysis:
Current price is 193, and it has already broken below all moving averages.
Resistance overhead: 200-205, with heavy pressure at 210.
Support below: 190; if that level breaks, watch for 185.
Gongming’s View:
Although the earnings are strong, selling the facts—plus concerns about the expansion cycle—makes the near-term trend downward. Don’t try to pick the bottom; wait for stabilization.
Trading Plan:
Conservative: wait for a rebound to 198-200, then go short.
Aggressive: near 193, enter a small short position.
What cyclical stocks fear most is the consensus that “the peak of the upcycle is in.” #币安九周年 #三星Q2营业利润预增19倍股价跌逾6%
Brothers, Samsung has delivered one of the most explosive quarterly reports in the history of global tech—Q2 operating profit hit 89.4 trillion KRW, up a staggering 1810% year-over-year, and its quarterly earnings exceeded the total of the previous three years! But the stock price actually crashed by more than 7%.
News/Context:
There are two reasons the market isn’t buying it: “good news already priced in” and “cycle fear.” Over the past 18 months, Samsung has surged 158%, so the “better-than-expected” news was priced in long ago. More importantly, Samsung announced a capacity expansion plan of 2655 trillion KRW, SK hynix 1100 trillion KRW, and the Korean government’s DRAM capacity increase—doubling storage chip capacity. The old “memory chip cycle” curse is closing in.
Technical Analysis:
Current price is 193, and it has already broken below all moving averages.
Resistance overhead: 200-205, with heavy pressure at 210.
Support below: 190; if that level breaks, watch for 185.
Gongming’s View:
Although the earnings are strong, selling the facts—plus concerns about the expansion cycle—makes the near-term trend downward. Don’t try to pick the bottom; wait for stabilization.
Trading Plan:
Conservative: wait for a rebound to 198-200, then go short.
Aggressive: near 193, enter a small short position.
What cyclical stocks fear most is the consensus that “the peak of the upcycle is in.” #币安九周年 #三星Q2营业利润预增19倍股价跌逾6%
Trump announced in person: the US-Iran ceasefire is over, and Iranians are “scum”!
At the NATO summit, Old Trump directly laid it bare—he said the US-Iran interim ceasefire agreement is “already over,” calling the negotiations a “complete waste of time.” Earlier, the U.S. military had just launched another round of strikes against Iran and revoked exemptions for Iran’s oil sales.
As soon as the news broke, Bitcoin immediately fell below 62,000, hitting a low of 61,855. Oil prices jumped more than 3%, and more than 100,000 positions were liquidated across the market. The peace we had finally been hoping for is gone just like that.
My view: Geopolitical risk is back with a vengeance, and risk assets are the first to take the hit. Bitcoin just climbed back above 60,000, but this kick has thrown it back down again. In the near term, risk-averse sentiment is in control—don’t rush to buy the dip.
What should players do: Mostly stay on the sidelines and wait for the situation to become clear. Near-term, the market outlook is bearish!
#比特币走低 #美国对伊朗发动新一轮打击
At the NATO summit, Old Trump directly laid it bare—he said the US-Iran interim ceasefire agreement is “already over,” calling the negotiations a “complete waste of time.” Earlier, the U.S. military had just launched another round of strikes against Iran and revoked exemptions for Iran’s oil sales.
As soon as the news broke, Bitcoin immediately fell below 62,000, hitting a low of 61,855. Oil prices jumped more than 3%, and more than 100,000 positions were liquidated across the market. The peace we had finally been hoping for is gone just like that.
My view: Geopolitical risk is back with a vengeance, and risk assets are the first to take the hit. Bitcoin just climbed back above 60,000, but this kick has thrown it back down again. In the near term, risk-averse sentiment is in control—don’t rush to buy the dip.
What should players do: Mostly stay on the sidelines and wait for the situation to become clear. Near-term, the market outlook is bearish!
#比特币走低 #美国对伊朗发动新一轮打击
$SPCX 160 Long positions deeply trapped; Nasdaq 100 news is good, yet it still plunges!
Brothers, this wave with SPCX is too坑了! When it gets added to the Nasdaq 100, with such a big positive catalyst, it should normally open higher and move up—but it was directly dumped, with the low dipping to around 148. Brothers who chased longs around 160 are now down 12 points. It’s rebounding to 151 right now—should you exit or hold?
Looking at the chart: On the 1-hour timeframe, the current price is 151, sticking just below the BOLL midline at 151.5. The MACD fast line has already formed a golden cross, and downside momentum is weakening. RSI at 49 is returning to neutral, but the rebound is clearly on shrinking volume—buyers don’t have enough strength. Resistance is around 154–155. Support is at 148, with stronger support at 147.5.
De-trapping strategy in layers:
Light position: Cut 1/3 near the current price. If there’s a breakout of the resistance level with increased volume, you can hold; otherwise, fully exit around 155.
Heavier position: Cut half near the current price. When it rebounds to the resistance area, cut another 30%, and keep a small core position to gamble on a recovery. Don’t fantasize about snapping straight back to 160—there’s too much trapped supply above, and the main force won’t easily “liberate” it.
Good news not only doesn’t lift price, but makes it fall—this means the distribution of holdings is off. If you don’t run, you’re just the one buying the orders. Every rebound is an escape route—don’t wait until it drops back to 148 and then regret it.
Exactly how much to cut and how much to re-enter—call the chat room @Crypto赵公明 , and 公明 will calculate it for you.#美国对伊朗发动新一轮打击 #比特币走低
Brothers, this wave with SPCX is too坑了! When it gets added to the Nasdaq 100, with such a big positive catalyst, it should normally open higher and move up—but it was directly dumped, with the low dipping to around 148. Brothers who chased longs around 160 are now down 12 points. It’s rebounding to 151 right now—should you exit or hold?
Looking at the chart: On the 1-hour timeframe, the current price is 151, sticking just below the BOLL midline at 151.5. The MACD fast line has already formed a golden cross, and downside momentum is weakening. RSI at 49 is returning to neutral, but the rebound is clearly on shrinking volume—buyers don’t have enough strength. Resistance is around 154–155. Support is at 148, with stronger support at 147.5.
De-trapping strategy in layers:
Light position: Cut 1/3 near the current price. If there’s a breakout of the resistance level with increased volume, you can hold; otherwise, fully exit around 155.
Heavier position: Cut half near the current price. When it rebounds to the resistance area, cut another 30%, and keep a small core position to gamble on a recovery. Don’t fantasize about snapping straight back to 160—there’s too much trapped supply above, and the main force won’t easily “liberate” it.
Good news not only doesn’t lift price, but makes it fall—this means the distribution of holdings is off. If you don’t run, you’re just the one buying the orders. Every rebound is an escape route—don’t wait until it drops back to 148 and then regret it.
Exactly how much to cut and how much to re-enter—call the chat room @Crypto赵公明 , and 公明 will calculate it for you.#美国对伊朗发动新一轮打击 #比特币走低
Will Project Tachyon’s security upgrade ignite a new round of gains for $ZEC ?
Brothers, ZEC has seen sharp volatility recently.
News side:
Zcash has recently received a key security upgrade — Project Tachyon is nearing completion of the mathematical proof for the Ironwood shielding pool, confirming there is no hidden inflation vulnerability. With AI assistance, an audit that originally would have taken years was shortened to weeks. The Ironwood upgrade is expected to activate on mainnet around July 21, introducing a new privacy pool and a Turnstile supply verification mechanism.
After the announcement, ZEC briefly surged above $500, a gain of about 12%. But after hitting a high yesterday, it pulled back to around 476, reflecting profit-taking after the market partially priced in the upgrade bullishness.
Technical side:
The current price has fallen below the middle Bollinger Band, and RSI1 at 37.77 is close to the oversold zone.
Upper resistance: 483-490, with a breakout target of 500-510.
Lower support: 470-472, and if lost, look for 456.
Opinion:
The Ironwood upgrade is a medium-term positive, but after the short-term surge and pullback, it needs time to digest. Around 475 is a key defense level for bulls.
Trading strategy:
For prudence, wait for a pullback to around 470-472 to go long.
For aggressiveness, take a light long position around the current price of 474.
The security upgrade is a long-term narrative. In the short term, don’t chase pumps or panic sell; wait for a retest and confirmation before entering.#美国对伊朗发动新一轮打击 #黄金下跌
Brothers, ZEC has seen sharp volatility recently.
News side:
Zcash has recently received a key security upgrade — Project Tachyon is nearing completion of the mathematical proof for the Ironwood shielding pool, confirming there is no hidden inflation vulnerability. With AI assistance, an audit that originally would have taken years was shortened to weeks. The Ironwood upgrade is expected to activate on mainnet around July 21, introducing a new privacy pool and a Turnstile supply verification mechanism.
After the announcement, ZEC briefly surged above $500, a gain of about 12%. But after hitting a high yesterday, it pulled back to around 476, reflecting profit-taking after the market partially priced in the upgrade bullishness.
Technical side:
The current price has fallen below the middle Bollinger Band, and RSI1 at 37.77 is close to the oversold zone.
Upper resistance: 483-490, with a breakout target of 500-510.
Lower support: 470-472, and if lost, look for 456.
Opinion:
The Ironwood upgrade is a medium-term positive, but after the short-term surge and pullback, it needs time to digest. Around 475 is a key defense level for bulls.
Trading strategy:
For prudence, wait for a pullback to around 470-472 to go long.
For aggressiveness, take a light long position around the current price of 474.
The security upgrade is a long-term narrative. In the short term, don’t chase pumps or panic sell; wait for a retest and confirmation before entering.#美国对伊朗发动新一轮打击 #黄金下跌
Chip stocks plunge, yet $SKHYNIX is being fiercely snatched! A super IPO worth $28 billion is here—1,000 institutions crowding to get in.
Yesterday, storage and semiconductor sectors collectively crashed before the bell. Western Digital fell more than 7%, and Micron fell more than 5%. But today, the SK Hynix ADR offering was immediately overwhelmed—multiple times over-subscribed. About 1,000 institutions took part in the roadshow, and it will list on Nasdaq this Friday.
My view: This signal is too obvious to ignore—near-term volatility won’t derail the long-term thesis. Institutions are buying in aggressively amid sector panic, which shows that demand for AI hardware is fundamentally not the issue. For the “big pie,” once macro sentiment repairs, capital will eventually flow back to risk assets.
What should players do: Don’t panic about pullbacks in storage stocks—wait for stabilization before buying again. Keep an eye on opportunities where AI-sector tokens move in sync with U.S. stocks. #韩国股市较高点下跌20% #SpaceX纳入纳斯达克100指数
Yesterday, storage and semiconductor sectors collectively crashed before the bell. Western Digital fell more than 7%, and Micron fell more than 5%. But today, the SK Hynix ADR offering was immediately overwhelmed—multiple times over-subscribed. About 1,000 institutions took part in the roadshow, and it will list on Nasdaq this Friday.
My view: This signal is too obvious to ignore—near-term volatility won’t derail the long-term thesis. Institutions are buying in aggressively amid sector panic, which shows that demand for AI hardware is fundamentally not the issue. For the “big pie,” once macro sentiment repairs, capital will eventually flow back to risk assets.
What should players do: Don’t panic about pullbacks in storage stocks—wait for stabilization before buying again. Keep an eye on opportunities where AI-sector tokens move in sync with U.S. stocks. #韩国股市较高点下跌20% #SpaceX纳入纳斯达克100指数
Yesterday, the Korean stock market triggered a second trading halt. After $SKHYNIX rebounded by 1460, it then had a second sell-off. We executed a precise short, took profit at 1400, and secured a 60-point gain!
Panic recovery doesn’t mean a reversal—the market still has to fall.
While others are panicking I’m greedy, while others are being greedy I’m even greedier—but only if the direction is right. #SK海力士将于7月10日登陆纳斯达克 #SK海力士美国上市获超额认购
Panic recovery doesn’t mean a reversal—the market still has to fall.
While others are panicking I’m greedy, while others are being greedy I’m even greedier—but only if the direction is right. #SK海力士将于7月10日登陆纳斯达克 #SK海力士美国上市获超额认购
Crypto赵公明
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Korean stocks trigger another trading halt! Is $SKHYNIX 1429 a gold pit or an endless bottomless pit?
Brothers, Korean stocks halted again today— the KOSPI index plunged 8.03% in the afternoon, triggering a 20-minute halt. SK hynix fell by more than 10%.
Market news:
The core contradiction in today’s market can be summed up in one sentence: the better the performance, the worse the drop.
Samsung Electronics’ Q2 earnings preview was explosive— operating profit 89.4 trillion KRW, up 1,810% year-on-year; quarterly profit exceeded the total of the previous three years. But the stock price still crashed by more than 9%. The logic is simple: Samsung has already surged more than a hundred percent this year, so “better than expected” was priced in long ago. What the market is worried about is this—how long can AI-driven earnings growth remain sustainable?
The chain reaction directly hit SK hynix: the stock fell sharply, foreign investors continued to sell, and mechanical deleveraging by leveraged ETFs further amplified the decline.
Technical analysis:
Current price is 1429, having broken below the previous lows of 1513 and 1450.
Resistance above: 1450, with heavy pressure at 1513.
Support below: 1400; if it breaks, watch 1350.
Gongming view:
UBS just raised its target price today from 3 million KRW to 3.2 million KRW, reiterating a “Buy.” This Friday, SK hynix’s ADR will list on Nasdaq, with a $28 billion IPO. Near-term sentiment is panic, but the fundamentals in the medium to long term have not changed.
Trading strategy:
Go for a more aggressive short-term move by buying around the current price range of 1440–1450;
More cautious: after a break below 1400, wait for stabilization, then try a light long position in the 1380–1400 range.
A trading halt is emotion at its extreme, not the end of the logic. #韩股KOSPI跌8%触发熔断 #币安九周年
Brothers, Korean stocks halted again today— the KOSPI index plunged 8.03% in the afternoon, triggering a 20-minute halt. SK hynix fell by more than 10%.
Market news:
The core contradiction in today’s market can be summed up in one sentence: the better the performance, the worse the drop.
Samsung Electronics’ Q2 earnings preview was explosive— operating profit 89.4 trillion KRW, up 1,810% year-on-year; quarterly profit exceeded the total of the previous three years. But the stock price still crashed by more than 9%. The logic is simple: Samsung has already surged more than a hundred percent this year, so “better than expected” was priced in long ago. What the market is worried about is this—how long can AI-driven earnings growth remain sustainable?
The chain reaction directly hit SK hynix: the stock fell sharply, foreign investors continued to sell, and mechanical deleveraging by leveraged ETFs further amplified the decline.
Technical analysis:
Current price is 1429, having broken below the previous lows of 1513 and 1450.
Resistance above: 1450, with heavy pressure at 1513.
Support below: 1400; if it breaks, watch 1350.
Gongming view:
UBS just raised its target price today from 3 million KRW to 3.2 million KRW, reiterating a “Buy.” This Friday, SK hynix’s ADR will list on Nasdaq, with a $28 billion IPO. Near-term sentiment is panic, but the fundamentals in the medium to long term have not changed.
Trading strategy:
Go for a more aggressive short-term move by buying around the current price range of 1440–1450;
More cautious: after a break below 1400, wait for stabilization, then try a light long position in the 1380–1400 range.
A trading halt is emotion at its extreme, not the end of the logic. #韩股KOSPI跌8%触发熔断 #币安九周年
NASDAQ 100 spotlight fails! $SPCX 150.8 drops below the issue price—buy the dip or run for safety?
Brothers, SpaceX entered the Nasdaq 100 and on day one it staged a classic “good news turns into bad news”—down 6.83%, the lowest since its IPO.
News:
Inclusion equals instant doom. On July 7, the day it was officially added to the Nasdaq 100, SPCX opened at 158.92 and during the session sank as low as 148.86. Wall Street investment banks collectively turned bullish, with the highest target price reaching as much as $800, but the market simply wouldn’t buy it.
Why is it falling? “Buy the expectation, sell the fact.” The expectation of being added to the Nasdaq 100 was already confirmed on June 12, the day it was listed. After a month of hype, the $4.3 billion of passive inflows had already been digested. On top of that, the chip stocks selloff dragged the broader market down, making SPCX one of the worst-performing new listings in the Nasdaq 100’s debut.
Technical view:
It has already broken below the IPO first-day opening price of $150, only slightly above the $135 offering price.
Resistance overhead: 155-159, with heavy pressure at 160-165.
Support below: 148-149; if it breaks, watch 140-145.
Author’s view:
The inclusion-related bullish news has already been priced in. In the short term, the chips need to be thoroughly rotated to stabilize. Around 150 is an important psychological level, but don’t blindly buy the dip—breaking below the first-day opening price suggests the selling pressure hasn’t finished releasing yet.
Trading strategy:
Conservative: wait for a pullback around 145-148 to go long.
Aggressive: go long around the current price near 150.
The Nasdaq spotlight couldn’t save it. Don’t waste time arguing with the market—let it play out on its own first. #美国对伊朗发动新一轮打击 #币安九周年
Brothers, SpaceX entered the Nasdaq 100 and on day one it staged a classic “good news turns into bad news”—down 6.83%, the lowest since its IPO.
News:
Inclusion equals instant doom. On July 7, the day it was officially added to the Nasdaq 100, SPCX opened at 158.92 and during the session sank as low as 148.86. Wall Street investment banks collectively turned bullish, with the highest target price reaching as much as $800, but the market simply wouldn’t buy it.
Why is it falling? “Buy the expectation, sell the fact.” The expectation of being added to the Nasdaq 100 was already confirmed on June 12, the day it was listed. After a month of hype, the $4.3 billion of passive inflows had already been digested. On top of that, the chip stocks selloff dragged the broader market down, making SPCX one of the worst-performing new listings in the Nasdaq 100’s debut.
Technical view:
It has already broken below the IPO first-day opening price of $150, only slightly above the $135 offering price.
Resistance overhead: 155-159, with heavy pressure at 160-165.
Support below: 148-149; if it breaks, watch 140-145.
Author’s view:
The inclusion-related bullish news has already been priced in. In the short term, the chips need to be thoroughly rotated to stabilize. Around 150 is an important psychological level, but don’t blindly buy the dip—breaking below the first-day opening price suggests the selling pressure hasn’t finished releasing yet.
Trading strategy:
Conservative: wait for a pullback around 145-148 to go long.
Aggressive: go long around the current price near 150.
The Nasdaq spotlight couldn’t save it. Don’t waste time arguing with the market—let it play out on its own first. #美国对伊朗发动新一轮打击 #币安九周年
Escalation in the Iran-Iraq conflict! $CL 72-level bulls vs. bears showdown!
Brothers, something happened again with Iran—the oil price shot up straight away!
Market update:
The U.S. Central Command confirmed that it has launched “a series of powerful” strikes against Iran in response to Iran’s attack on merchant vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. Almost simultaneously, the U.S. Treasury revoked Iran’s general license for oil sales; the closing of trading windows is only available until July 17. Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs strongly condemned this, saying the U.S. seriously violated Article 10 of the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding dated June 18. It warned that it would take “all necessary measures.”
The geopolitical premium has slid back from “negotiation expectations” to pricing the risk of “supply disruption.” WTI crude surged more than 5% in a single day, reclaiming the $72 level.
Technical outlook:
The current price has broken through the 70 level; RSI1 at 71.42 is approaching overbought.
Resistance: 72.5–73, with a break opening up to 74.
Support: 71.6–71; if it breaks below, look for 70.
Lighthouse view:
The escalation of the geopolitical conflict is a real bullish catalyst, but the OPEC+ expectation of increased production in August plus concerns about demand still limit upside room. Short-term is slightly bullish, but chasing at higher prices is risky.
Trading strategy:
Conservative: wait for a pullback to around 71–71.5 to go long.
Aggressive: go long around the current price at 72.2.
Geopolitical risks are here, but don’t FOMO and chase—wait for a pullback for a safer entry. #币安九周年 #美国对伊朗发动新一轮打击
Brothers, something happened again with Iran—the oil price shot up straight away!
Market update:
The U.S. Central Command confirmed that it has launched “a series of powerful” strikes against Iran in response to Iran’s attack on merchant vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. Almost simultaneously, the U.S. Treasury revoked Iran’s general license for oil sales; the closing of trading windows is only available until July 17. Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs strongly condemned this, saying the U.S. seriously violated Article 10 of the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding dated June 18. It warned that it would take “all necessary measures.”
The geopolitical premium has slid back from “negotiation expectations” to pricing the risk of “supply disruption.” WTI crude surged more than 5% in a single day, reclaiming the $72 level.
Technical outlook:
The current price has broken through the 70 level; RSI1 at 71.42 is approaching overbought.
Resistance: 72.5–73, with a break opening up to 74.
Support: 71.6–71; if it breaks below, look for 70.
Lighthouse view:
The escalation of the geopolitical conflict is a real bullish catalyst, but the OPEC+ expectation of increased production in August plus concerns about demand still limit upside room. Short-term is slightly bullish, but chasing at higher prices is risky.
Trading strategy:
Conservative: wait for a pullback to around 71–71.5 to go long.
Aggressive: go long around the current price at 72.2.
Geopolitical risks are here, but don’t FOMO and chase—wait for a pullback for a safer entry. #币安九周年 #美国对伊朗发动新一轮打击
Panic withdraws! $SKHYNIX 1490—Repairs in progress!
Brothers, the Korean stock market is on its third day of panic, but the decline has clearly narrowed. SK Hynix has already rebounded to 1490.
News:
After the market opened down nearly 2%, it quickly pulled back and the panic sentiment began to fade. This wave for Hynix—from 1400 to 1489—has rebounded by nearly 90 points, confirming our judgment: “Circuit breakers are the extreme of emotions, not the endpoint of logic.” The fundamentals haven’t changed—Samsung’s earnings have exploded; Hynix’s ADR listed on Nasdaq on Friday; and the medium- to long-term outlook remains coherent.
Technical analysis:
It has now been repaired to above the BOLL midline at 1445.
Resistance above: 1500–1503; a breakout could lead to 1550–1570.
Support below: 1460–1470; strong support at 1400.
Gongming view:
After panic selling, the market is in a rebound phase. In the short term, there may be back-and-forth around 1500, but the medium-term direction is still upward.
Trading strategy:
Conservative: wait for a pullback to around 1460–1470 to go long.
Aggressive: go long around the current price near 1490.
The panic tide is gone—this is just the beginning. #币安九周年 #韩国KOSPI跌4.91%触发熔断
Brothers, the Korean stock market is on its third day of panic, but the decline has clearly narrowed. SK Hynix has already rebounded to 1490.
News:
After the market opened down nearly 2%, it quickly pulled back and the panic sentiment began to fade. This wave for Hynix—from 1400 to 1489—has rebounded by nearly 90 points, confirming our judgment: “Circuit breakers are the extreme of emotions, not the endpoint of logic.” The fundamentals haven’t changed—Samsung’s earnings have exploded; Hynix’s ADR listed on Nasdaq on Friday; and the medium- to long-term outlook remains coherent.
Technical analysis:
It has now been repaired to above the BOLL midline at 1445.
Resistance above: 1500–1503; a breakout could lead to 1550–1570.
Support below: 1460–1470; strong support at 1400.
Gongming view:
After panic selling, the market is in a rebound phase. In the short term, there may be back-and-forth around 1500, but the medium-term direction is still upward.
Trading strategy:
Conservative: wait for a pullback to around 1460–1470 to go long.
Aggressive: go long around the current price near 1490.
The panic tide is gone—this is just the beginning. #币安九周年 #韩国KOSPI跌4.91%触发熔断
Brothers, this morning $SKHYNIX hit around 1400—we decisively entered long positions, aiming for 1460. After the circuit breaker, the price violently repaired itself, and a 60-point profit was safely locked in!
The core logic is just one: panic sell-offs are never a sell signal—they’re a buy signal. Samsung’s earnings are exploding, and the Hynix ADR listing is coming up soon; the fundamentals haven’t changed. The circuit breaker only temporarily interrupts price action—it won’t change the direction. The truly great opportunities often appear when others don’t dare to look.
#三星季度利润激增19倍 #韩国KOSPI跌4.91%触发熔断
The core logic is just one: panic sell-offs are never a sell signal—they’re a buy signal. Samsung’s earnings are exploding, and the Hynix ADR listing is coming up soon; the fundamentals haven’t changed. The circuit breaker only temporarily interrupts price action—it won’t change the direction. The truly great opportunities often appear when others don’t dare to look.
#三星季度利润激增19倍 #韩国KOSPI跌4.91%触发熔断
Storage, semiconductor front-line all-line crash! Western Digital down more than 7%, Micron down more than 5%, and not a single of AMD, Arm, or ASML escaped.
The sentiment over Samsung’s earnings blowout has spread across the entire sector—today during the day Samsung’s stock price plunged 8%, and tonight before the U.S. stock market opens, storage, semiconductors, and optical communications all collectively crashed. The market logic is simple: the best phase of the memory cycle has already passed, and capital is running early.
My view: Samsung bringing down the whole sector is profit-taking and liquidation, not that the AI demand logic is broken. The big BTC is still holding around 63,000, but if the U.S. market continues to fall at the open, crypto here will likely not be able to stay out of it. AI-related token coins tonight may also follow the decline.
What should players do: Don’t rush to buy the dip on storage-concept coins. Wait until the U.S. market stabilizes after the open. Reduce position size if you’re heavily allocated, and keep USDT (U) for opportunities. #币安九周年 #比特币未能守住6.44万美元
The sentiment over Samsung’s earnings blowout has spread across the entire sector—today during the day Samsung’s stock price plunged 8%, and tonight before the U.S. stock market opens, storage, semiconductors, and optical communications all collectively crashed. The market logic is simple: the best phase of the memory cycle has already passed, and capital is running early.
My view: Samsung bringing down the whole sector is profit-taking and liquidation, not that the AI demand logic is broken. The big BTC is still holding around 63,000, but if the U.S. market continues to fall at the open, crypto here will likely not be able to stay out of it. AI-related token coins tonight may also follow the decline.
What should players do: Don’t rush to buy the dip on storage-concept coins. Wait until the U.S. market stabilizes after the open. Reduce position size if you’re heavily allocated, and keep USDT (U) for opportunities. #币安九周年 #比特币未能守住6.44万美元
$HYPE 71.34! Bulls vs. Bears—Battle at the $70 Level!
Brothers, HYPE is trading back and forth around the $70 threshold, with both bulls and bears fighting fiercely.
Market update:
Bear “whale” holds tough: A certain whale used 3x leverage to short 690,000 HYPE at an entry price of 66.02, with a stop-loss set at 70.78. Currently, it’s sitting on an unrealized loss of 3.3 million—still holding hard. Once the price breaks the stop-loss level, it could trigger a bear squeeze.
Bull “whale” is massively in profit: Another whale went long HYPE at $38.67 with 5x leverage. It has an unrealized profit of over 44.74 million—huge gains that could dump at any moment.
Technical analysis:
Resistance above the current price: 72.2–73
Support below: 70.0
If support breaks, watch 68.3
Personal view:
The bears are holding on with a 3.3 million unrealized loss, while the bulls are sitting on 45 million in unrealized gains—either side could dump or fold first. Whoever can’t hold out first will be out.
Trading plan:
Aggressive: Enter long around 71.
Conservative: Stay on the sidelines; go long after a breakout above 72.2, or short if it falls below 70.
When whales fight, small retail traders shouldn’t pick sides—wait for one side to fall before you look for a quick opportunity. #美财政部商务部争夺比特币储备主导权 #币安九周年
Brothers, HYPE is trading back and forth around the $70 threshold, with both bulls and bears fighting fiercely.
Market update:
Bear “whale” holds tough: A certain whale used 3x leverage to short 690,000 HYPE at an entry price of 66.02, with a stop-loss set at 70.78. Currently, it’s sitting on an unrealized loss of 3.3 million—still holding hard. Once the price breaks the stop-loss level, it could trigger a bear squeeze.
Bull “whale” is massively in profit: Another whale went long HYPE at $38.67 with 5x leverage. It has an unrealized profit of over 44.74 million—huge gains that could dump at any moment.
Technical analysis:
Resistance above the current price: 72.2–73
Support below: 70.0
If support breaks, watch 68.3
Personal view:
The bears are holding on with a 3.3 million unrealized loss, while the bulls are sitting on 45 million in unrealized gains—either side could dump or fold first. Whoever can’t hold out first will be out.
Trading plan:
Aggressive: Enter long around 71.
Conservative: Stay on the sidelines; go long after a breakout above 72.2, or short if it falls below 70.
When whales fight, small retail traders shouldn’t pick sides—wait for one side to fall before you look for a quick opportunity. #美财政部商务部争夺比特币储备主导权 #币安九周年
Brothers, today $SPCX was added to the Nasdaq 100. This move—timing is right on point!
Entered around 163. Last night, when the U.S. stock market opened, it surged straight above 167. I precisely took profit and exited—4 percentage points of profit, safely locked in. With a 500u margin and 50x leverage, I got 613u in hand!
The core logic is just one: the 4.3 billion passive capital isn’t just talk. “Buy the expectation, sell the fact”—we position ourselves before it’s included, cash in when it’s included, and our timing hits perfectly. Don’t greedily grab the final bite. Putting profit in your pocket is what truly belongs to you.
The ones who can buy are disciples; the ones who can sell are masters; the ones who can wait are ancestors. #纳斯达克100期货跌1.1% #SpaceX加入纳斯达克100SPCX跌约29%
Entered around 163. Last night, when the U.S. stock market opened, it surged straight above 167. I precisely took profit and exited—4 percentage points of profit, safely locked in. With a 500u margin and 50x leverage, I got 613u in hand!
The core logic is just one: the 4.3 billion passive capital isn’t just talk. “Buy the expectation, sell the fact”—we position ourselves before it’s included, cash in when it’s included, and our timing hits perfectly. Don’t greedily grab the final bite. Putting profit in your pocket is what truly belongs to you.
The ones who can buy are disciples; the ones who can sell are masters; the ones who can wait are ancestors. #纳斯达克100期货跌1.1% #SpaceX加入纳斯达克100SPCX跌约29%
Crypto赵公明
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Bullish$SPCX Tomorrow will be officially included in the Nasdaq 100! Will passive capital like 163 come in and lift the stock?
Brothers, SPCX will be officially added to the Nasdaq 100 index before tomorrow’s market open!
Market news:
Passive capital is about to enter: JPMorgan estimates that the inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 will attract about $4.3 billion in passive funds that are forced to buy. Assets tracking the Nasdaq 100 exceed $800 billion, including popular ETFs like QQQ.
Fastest-ever inclusion: SPCX’s IPO was on June 12, and it was added to the Nasdaq 100 in just 17 days—setting a historical record. After Nasdaq adjusted its rules, new stocks ranked among the top 40 by market cap can apply for inclusion after 15 trading days of listing.
Extremely small float: The tradable shares ratio of SPCX is only 4%-5%. Concentrated buying by passive funds could cause a relatively large price impact.
Technical picture:
It has currently stabilized above the BOLL upper band at 163. MACD is positive at 0.40, and bullish momentum continues.
Resistance above: 165-166; a breakout could target 170-174.
Support below: 161-162; strong support at 160.
My take:
Inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 is an obvious positive catalyst. The $430 million in passive funds isn’t a small amount. But after the good news is realized, there’s often the risk of “buying the expectation and selling the fact.” Be cautious about chasing. Wait for a pullback to be safer.
Trading strategy:
Conservative: wait for a pullback to around 158-160 to go long.
Aggressive: go long at current price 163 with a small position.
Passive capital is coming, but don’t FOMO-chase. Wait for a retracement before entering. #SK海力士启动280亿美元纳斯达克ADR上市 #SpaceX将于7月7日纳入纳斯达克100
Brothers, SPCX will be officially added to the Nasdaq 100 index before tomorrow’s market open!
Market news:
Passive capital is about to enter: JPMorgan estimates that the inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 will attract about $4.3 billion in passive funds that are forced to buy. Assets tracking the Nasdaq 100 exceed $800 billion, including popular ETFs like QQQ.
Fastest-ever inclusion: SPCX’s IPO was on June 12, and it was added to the Nasdaq 100 in just 17 days—setting a historical record. After Nasdaq adjusted its rules, new stocks ranked among the top 40 by market cap can apply for inclusion after 15 trading days of listing.
Extremely small float: The tradable shares ratio of SPCX is only 4%-5%. Concentrated buying by passive funds could cause a relatively large price impact.
Technical picture:
It has currently stabilized above the BOLL upper band at 163. MACD is positive at 0.40, and bullish momentum continues.
Resistance above: 165-166; a breakout could target 170-174.
Support below: 161-162; strong support at 160.
My take:
Inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 is an obvious positive catalyst. The $430 million in passive funds isn’t a small amount. But after the good news is realized, there’s often the risk of “buying the expectation and selling the fact.” Be cautious about chasing. Wait for a pullback to be safer.
Trading strategy:
Conservative: wait for a pullback to around 158-160 to go long.
Aggressive: go long at current price 163 with a small position.
Passive capital is coming, but don’t FOMO-chase. Wait for a retracement before entering. #SK海力士启动280亿美元纳斯达克ADR上市 #SpaceX将于7月7日纳入纳斯达克100
Garret Jin’s 14.9 million short is pressing in! How much longer can $ZEC 454 hold up?
Brothers, ZEC is repeatedly battling around the 450 level, with both bulls and bears holding their breath.
News:
Whale short adds more: the agent of the “1011 insider whale,” Garret Jin, has increased his ZEC short position to 32,759 coins, worth $14.9 million, with an average short entry price of $444. He has made money on his last two ZEC trades — in May he shorted at $626 and made $11.24 million, and in June he went long at $439 and made $420,000. His historical win rate is not low.
Ironwood upgrade countdown: Zcash is expected to activate the Ironwood upgrade on mainnet around July 21, fixing the Orchard vulnerability from May and introducing a new privacy pool and Turnstile supply verification mechanism. Upgrade expectations are the core driver behind ZEC’s rise from 385 to 475 in this round.
Technicals:
The current price is fluctuating around the BOLL middle band at 451, with MACD close to the zero line.
Upper resistance: 457-460, with a breakout targeting 475-480.
Lower support: 445-451, if lost then 440, with strong support at 425.
Qingming’s view:
Garret Jin is still sitting on an unrealized loss of $530,000 and hasn’t cut the loss, which suggests he is confident in the direction. The Ironwood upgrade is a medium-term positive, but there are still two weeks until July 21, so the short term may remain choppy and wash out traders. Technically, it is oscillating around 450, and the direction is unclear.
Trading strategy:
Aggressive: light short near the current price around 454;
Conservative: chase shorts if it breaks below 445.
The bulls and bears are wagering against each other; we retail traders won’t pick sides, and will follow once the direction becomes clear. #比特币夏普比率创2022年来新低 #币安九周年
Brothers, ZEC is repeatedly battling around the 450 level, with both bulls and bears holding their breath.
News:
Whale short adds more: the agent of the “1011 insider whale,” Garret Jin, has increased his ZEC short position to 32,759 coins, worth $14.9 million, with an average short entry price of $444. He has made money on his last two ZEC trades — in May he shorted at $626 and made $11.24 million, and in June he went long at $439 and made $420,000. His historical win rate is not low.
Ironwood upgrade countdown: Zcash is expected to activate the Ironwood upgrade on mainnet around July 21, fixing the Orchard vulnerability from May and introducing a new privacy pool and Turnstile supply verification mechanism. Upgrade expectations are the core driver behind ZEC’s rise from 385 to 475 in this round.
Technicals:
The current price is fluctuating around the BOLL middle band at 451, with MACD close to the zero line.
Upper resistance: 457-460, with a breakout targeting 475-480.
Lower support: 445-451, if lost then 440, with strong support at 425.
Qingming’s view:
Garret Jin is still sitting on an unrealized loss of $530,000 and hasn’t cut the loss, which suggests he is confident in the direction. The Ironwood upgrade is a medium-term positive, but there are still two weeks until July 21, so the short term may remain choppy and wash out traders. Technically, it is oscillating around 450, and the direction is unclear.
Trading strategy:
Aggressive: light short near the current price around 454;
Conservative: chase shorts if it breaks below 445.
The bulls and bears are wagering against each other; we retail traders won’t pick sides, and will follow once the direction becomes clear. #比特币夏普比率创2022年来新低 #币安九周年
$SNDK 1800 more buy orders trapped deep—down 140 points; when the rebound hits 1659, should you hold or cut?
Brothers, this move by SNDK is brutal. It was smashed from 1800 all the way down to the low of 1622. If you bought longs near 1800, you’re now trapped with a loss of nearly 140 points.
Look at the chart: on the 1-hour timeframe, the current price is 1657, well below the BOLL middle band. The MACD is still negative, but the fast line has crossed above the slow line, and the downside momentum has slightly weakened. RSI is 34.54, close to oversold—an oversold rebound could happen at any moment.
Untrapping strategy:
Light positions: cut 1/3 near the current price. If it rebounds to a resistance level, cut another 1/3, and keep the leftover for a shot.
Heavy positions: use the rebound to reduce significantly. Cut half near the current price, then cut another 30% near the resistance level, keeping only 10%–20% to wait for strong resistance to clear and exit. If you’re deeply trapped with heavy size, life first.
Conservative type: place a stop-loss and exit directly near the current price, then wait for a pullback to 1608–1620 to buy back. Lose less and win more—there are plenty of opportunities.
The Dow may be up, but SNDK is independently weak—don’t let US stock sentiment numb you. If it can’t hold above the middle band, the bearish trend remains. Every rebound is an escape lane to reduce losses—don’t wait for it to drop back to 1600 and then regret it.
As for exactly how to scale out, and what level to re-enter after cutting, share your position in the chat room—I’ll calculate it clearly for you. #纳斯达克100期货跌1.1% #币安九周年
Brothers, this move by SNDK is brutal. It was smashed from 1800 all the way down to the low of 1622. If you bought longs near 1800, you’re now trapped with a loss of nearly 140 points.
Look at the chart: on the 1-hour timeframe, the current price is 1657, well below the BOLL middle band. The MACD is still negative, but the fast line has crossed above the slow line, and the downside momentum has slightly weakened. RSI is 34.54, close to oversold—an oversold rebound could happen at any moment.
Untrapping strategy:
Light positions: cut 1/3 near the current price. If it rebounds to a resistance level, cut another 1/3, and keep the leftover for a shot.
Heavy positions: use the rebound to reduce significantly. Cut half near the current price, then cut another 30% near the resistance level, keeping only 10%–20% to wait for strong resistance to clear and exit. If you’re deeply trapped with heavy size, life first.
Conservative type: place a stop-loss and exit directly near the current price, then wait for a pullback to 1608–1620 to buy back. Lose less and win more—there are plenty of opportunities.
The Dow may be up, but SNDK is independently weak—don’t let US stock sentiment numb you. If it can’t hold above the middle band, the bearish trend remains. Every rebound is an escape lane to reduce losses—don’t wait for it to drop back to 1600 and then regret it.
As for exactly how to scale out, and what level to re-enter after cutting, share your position in the chat room—I’ll calculate it clearly for you. #纳斯达克100期货跌1.1% #币安九周年
Brothers, yesterday’s $SAMSUNG long position—beautiful right-side trade!
Around 206, we went long before the Samsung Q2 earnings pre-announcement, when the market consensus was bullish. We entered with the flow. After holding overnight, the price action steadily pushed higher, and we locked in the 10-point profit smoothly!
There are just two core reasons: a surge in earnings expectations + a technical pullback that held support. If the direction is right, hold onto it—don’t mess around.
This trade perfectly explains a saying: the most expensive thing in trading isn’t the stop loss—it’s not being able to hold.
#币安九周年 #三星季度利润激增19倍
Around 206, we went long before the Samsung Q2 earnings pre-announcement, when the market consensus was bullish. We entered with the flow. After holding overnight, the price action steadily pushed higher, and we locked in the 10-point profit smoothly!
There are just two core reasons: a surge in earnings expectations + a technical pullback that held support. If the direction is right, hold onto it—don’t mess around.
This trade perfectly explains a saying: the most expensive thing in trading isn’t the stop loss—it’s not being able to hold.
#币安九周年 #三星季度利润激增19倍
Crypto赵公明
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$SAMSUNG Q2 Profit Surges 18 Times! Can 206 Enter the Market?
News:
Market expects Samsung’s Q2 operating profit to be around 86 trillion KRW, up 17–18 times year-on-year, with full-year profit projected to reach 300 trillion KRW. Executives said, “Profit this year will exceed the total accumulated profit of the semiconductor business over the past 40 years,” showing strong confidence.
Union bonus provisions could exceed 40 trillion KRW, but actual profitability remains uncertain; foreign capital has continuously net sold Korean stocks for 12 straight days.
Technical Analysis:
Resistance above: 210–215. Support below: 202–203. If it breaks down, look at 195.
Gongming View:
High earnings certainty, but there’s the risk of “buy the expectation, sell the fact” plus foreign outflows—chasing higher can easily lead to getting trapped.
Trading Strategy:
Conservative: wait for a pullback to around 200–202 to go long. Aggressive: consider going long around 206 at current price.
Earnings are already explosive—wait for the retracement before acting. #韩国央行警示个股杠杆ETF风险 #三星拟第三季上调DRAM价格约20%
News:
Market expects Samsung’s Q2 operating profit to be around 86 trillion KRW, up 17–18 times year-on-year, with full-year profit projected to reach 300 trillion KRW. Executives said, “Profit this year will exceed the total accumulated profit of the semiconductor business over the past 40 years,” showing strong confidence.
Union bonus provisions could exceed 40 trillion KRW, but actual profitability remains uncertain; foreign capital has continuously net sold Korean stocks for 12 straight days.
Technical Analysis:
Resistance above: 210–215. Support below: 202–203. If it breaks down, look at 195.
Gongming View:
High earnings certainty, but there’s the risk of “buy the expectation, sell the fact” plus foreign outflows—chasing higher can easily lead to getting trapped.
Trading Strategy:
Conservative: wait for a pullback to around 200–202 to go long. Aggressive: consider going long around 206 at current price.
Earnings are already explosive—wait for the retracement before acting. #韩国央行警示个股杠杆ETF风险 #三星拟第三季上调DRAM价格约20%
$SAMSUNG made a fortune of $58.4 billion in a single quarter, and somehow even beat $NVDA to become the most profitable company in the world! But on opening, it crashed 8% straight down— the market completely vomited it all!
Today, Samsung’s earnings detonated: operating profit hit 894 trillion KRW, up a whopping 1810% year-on-year. HBM3E capacity is now lined up for 2028, and DRAM prices rose 50% in Q2. It basically stepped on Nvidia, Google, Microsoft, and Apple one after another.
But the weird part is—Samsung’s stock opened down 8%, and SK Hynix fell more than 10%. The market’s one-sentence takeaway: the good news is already fully priced in; everything is a clear, known play.
My take: the memory-chip story has reached the “out-in-the-open” stage. The best time might be right now. But for the crypto world, the storage price-up cycle hasn’t ended—AI hardware demand is still there. AI-sector tokens like WLD, FET, and IO still have stories to tell.
Today, the big one is ranging around 63,000, while a plunge in Asia-Pacific stocks drags risk sentiment lower. Don’t rush to chase storage-theme coins—wait for a pullback, then buy back in.
#比特币本周上涨近7% #三星Q2营业利润预增19倍股价跌逾6%
Today, Samsung’s earnings detonated: operating profit hit 894 trillion KRW, up a whopping 1810% year-on-year. HBM3E capacity is now lined up for 2028, and DRAM prices rose 50% in Q2. It basically stepped on Nvidia, Google, Microsoft, and Apple one after another.
But the weird part is—Samsung’s stock opened down 8%, and SK Hynix fell more than 10%. The market’s one-sentence takeaway: the good news is already fully priced in; everything is a clear, known play.
My take: the memory-chip story has reached the “out-in-the-open” stage. The best time might be right now. But for the crypto world, the storage price-up cycle hasn’t ended—AI hardware demand is still there. AI-sector tokens like WLD, FET, and IO still have stories to tell.
Today, the big one is ranging around 63,000, while a plunge in Asia-Pacific stocks drags risk sentiment lower. Don’t rush to chase storage-theme coins—wait for a pullback, then buy back in.
#比特币本周上涨近7% #三星Q2营业利润预增19倍股价跌逾6%
Verified
Today $SPCX is officially added to the Nasdaq 100! Is 157 an entry opportunity?
Brothers, just ahead of the US stock market open today, SPCX was officially added to the Nasdaq 100 index. From its IPO on June 12 to joining the Nasdaq 100, it only took 15 trading days—setting a record for the fastest ever pace.
News:
JPMorgan estimates that inclusion will bring about $4.3 billion in forced passive fund buying. But SPCX’s actual float is only around 4%, meaning the buying pressure could be amplified.
However, there are also disagreements in the market: a Cboe executive warned that we need to be prepared for wild swings of around ±$20; options trading volume has surged to 2.5 times its normal level; on-chain data shows that a whale placed about $4.44 million worth of sell orders at $156–$175.
Technical view:
Yesterday it closed lower at 160.42, and pre-market it continued to drop.
Resistance overhead: 160–166, with heavy resistance at 170–175.
Support below: 155—if it breaks, look for 150–147.
My clear take:
Passive funds are real, solid buying, but with low float + whales selling from high levels + aggressive hedging in derivatives, the near-term battle between bulls and bears will be extremely intense.
Trading plan:
Conservative approach: wait for a pullback to the 150–152 area to go long;
Aggressive approach: go long around 157 at current price.
Don’t chase after good news hits—wait for a pullback to enter. Live longer to earn more. #道指创历史新高 #纳斯达克100期货跌1.1%
Brothers, just ahead of the US stock market open today, SPCX was officially added to the Nasdaq 100 index. From its IPO on June 12 to joining the Nasdaq 100, it only took 15 trading days—setting a record for the fastest ever pace.
News:
JPMorgan estimates that inclusion will bring about $4.3 billion in forced passive fund buying. But SPCX’s actual float is only around 4%, meaning the buying pressure could be amplified.
However, there are also disagreements in the market: a Cboe executive warned that we need to be prepared for wild swings of around ±$20; options trading volume has surged to 2.5 times its normal level; on-chain data shows that a whale placed about $4.44 million worth of sell orders at $156–$175.
Technical view:
Yesterday it closed lower at 160.42, and pre-market it continued to drop.
Resistance overhead: 160–166, with heavy resistance at 170–175.
Support below: 155—if it breaks, look for 150–147.
My clear take:
Passive funds are real, solid buying, but with low float + whales selling from high levels + aggressive hedging in derivatives, the near-term battle between bulls and bears will be extremely intense.
Trading plan:
Conservative approach: wait for a pullback to the 150–152 area to go long;
Aggressive approach: go long around 157 at current price.
Don’t chase after good news hits—wait for a pullback to enter. Live longer to earn more. #道指创历史新高 #纳斯达克100期货跌1.1%
SPCX-5.64%
SPCXUS+0.33%
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