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Powell's speech just wrapped up, and from my perspective, he was pretty dovish this time around, not making any aggressive statements. Especially when many reporters were trying to pin him down on whether there would be rate hikes, Powell was pretty clear that there are no plans for that right now. Of course, he also thinks it's still a bit early to adjust monetary policy and that we need to see more data first.

When it came to the question of who would take over from Waller, Powell remained cool and kept praising him, never hinting that there would be any issues. This bodes well for Waller's succession. At the same time, Powell believes that the recent spike in oil prices due to the U.S.-Iran conflict is a short-term issue and won’t have a lasting impact on oil price trends.

On the labor front, Powell still feels pretty good about it; the current unemployment rate is still low, and he thinks the job market is solid. Although he didn't provide a clear monetary policy direction, Powell believes that only when labor data drops significantly might the Fed consider reversing course.

Right now, the resilience of the U.S. economy is looking solid, even with AI stepping in to replace some labor. However, we haven't seen the economy hitting any snags yet.

Here's a hard-hitting conclusion:

90% of altcoins won't hit new highs again.

If you disagree, drop a comment
and tell me which "doge" you're still holding.
I'll help you figure out if it's faith
or just stubbornness.

今日市场热点整理：

1.算力-今年以来，高端GPU租约价格持续上涨，头部算租厂商营收与订单双爆发。（利通电子、泽宇智能、沃格光电、三人行、莲花控股、高乐股份、泰晶科技等）

2.商业航天-全球进入新一轮“太空圈地运动，人.民曰报：2025年航天发射任务次数同比增长35% ，今年中国航天任务继续密集实施；力箭二号火箭超级工厂竣工投产， 商业航天加速迈向批量化生产；（天银机电、信维通信、航天科技、斯瑞新材 、电科蓝天 、再升科技 、 博云新材、金螳螂等）

3.PCB板/光模块-建滔积层板发布正式涨价通知，即日起上调FR-4覆铜板及PP半固化片价格，调整幅度为10%。（斯瑞新材、越剑智能、山东玻纤、宏和科技、剑桥科技、瑞斯康达、铜冠铜箔、光莆股份等）

4.锂电-2026年一季度中国储能锂电池出货量达215GWh，同比增长139%；头部企业订单已排产至2026年底至2027年第二季度。（电科蓝天 、西藏珠峰、永兴材料、融捷股份、江特电机、雅化集团、天赐材料等）

5.国星宇航-国星宇航与上海气象局正式签署战略合作协议，共同探索“气象+太空计算”；双方还将在气象载荷数据、共建“气象-太空计算联合实验室”以及全球服务协同等方面展开深入合作。（天银机电、航天电子、信维通信、起帆电缆、光迅科技、震裕科技、中科曙光等）

The Traffic Secret of Binance Square—Telling Rags-to-Riches Stories

Every time I open Binance Square, it’s like, hey everyone, I'm so-and-so, I'm 36 this year, I've been in the game for ten years, turned 50 U into 20 million U, a 400,000x gain, and now I'm totally free. Posts like these are the most common, with the highest views and traffic, perfectly tapping into the crypto crowd's obsession with overnight riches. You could say it's the ultimate dream factory in the crypto world.

$ETH
The monthly candlestick trend indicates a big pump next month

The mainnet $ETH's Meme market will also have major opportunities

Space Dog $ASTEROID has already activated on-chain activity

At the same time, a few other Meme projects with 10M market cap have emerged

Next month, the focus will be on the mainnet $ETH

$ETH moves slower, but it can truly make you a diamond hand; often, you won't even know why you suddenly rake in tens of thousands!

段永平的投资史其实可以简化为两个关键动作：

机会来临时，重仓买入网易，拿住赚了100倍

后来重仓买入苹果，拿住又赚了10多倍

任何人只要能抓住这样两次机会，100×10=1000倍的收益，足以彻底改变命运

今天的行情

当前市场属于普跌环境中的结构性机会。虽然每天仍有部分个股表现强势，甚至出现大涨，但整体上涨家数仅一千多只，多数个股仍处于下跌状态，因此对大多数投资者来说，亏损反而是常态。

即便抓到了强势个股，也需要关注两个关键问题：
不是“今天赚了多少”，而是后续是否转弱、最终能带走多少利润离场，这才是真正的结果。

操作层面

我今天依然选择空仓。这并不是看空市场，而是认为当前并非理想的出手时机。

市场中依然存在看好的方向，但更重要的是等待一个更合适的介入点。

从资金面看，成交量并未明显萎缩，说明存量资金仍在活跃，并没有出现明显撤退信号；但问题在于市场缺乏持续拉升动力，整体活跃度不足。

指数观察

创业板已经连续下跌，这里更像是还差一次加速下跌。
一旦出现快速下探，阶段性底部往往也会随之临近，那时才是更好的操作窗口。

核心策略

当前最重要的是“等”：
等待一个明确的低点，而不是因为等不到就贸然进场。
否则很容易刚进场就遇到加速下跌，反而承受更大亏损。

节奏判断

临近假期，市场资金通常会趋于谨慎，因此出现强势反弹的概率相对较低。

总结一句话：

现在不是拼出手，而是拼耐心，等一个更安全、更有确定性的机会。

在中国，赚钱的逻辑其实很简单。
读懂大众情绪，远比比拼专业深度更容易拿到结果。

市场的本质，从来不是和聪明人博弈，
而是顺应普通人的需求、情绪与喜好。

专注安抚大众、迎合人心的人，往往顺势成事、稳步获利；
反而总执着于讲道理、和理性者较劲的人，最容易内耗难行。

很扎心的事实

你在别人口中的好与坏，其实只和他们自己的利益有关系。
如果你符合他们的利益，他们就会夸你、抬举你，如果你不符合他们的利益，他们就会批评你、打压你，甚至诋毁你。
只要懂得这一点，以后就不用去在意你在别人眼中是什么样子，更没必要让他们去夸你。

成年人最大的清醒就是永远不活在别人的嘴巴里，好听的话不当真，难听的话也别走心，你就好好的做你自己，任何人也无法束缚你。

宏观经济改善了吗？流动性改善了吗？都没有。基于这种判断，股市大牛市是不会来的。目前就是看头部科技公司的盈利能力。现在的上涨是大鱼吃小鱼，资金从各个地方抽离向头部集中的过程。世界普遍认为ai会创造更高效生产力，从目前所有已知信息来看，是的。这种共识需要抵抗其他的负面，所以震荡会频发

当年手握90%比特币的中国人，大部分都把币卖飞了。

几十美元上车，十倍就清仓；百倍到一万刀，还拿着的不是疯子、就是不缺钱，或是被关进去被动锁仓的。

易理华这段话，简直是把早期币圈的“拿不住”扒得明明白白。

现在的BTC，大多去了机构和灰产手里，普通人能穿越牛熊的，从来不是运气，而是对价值的长期信仰和“坐得住”的耐心。

毕竟，段永平、巴菲特早就说过：只有真正认知到位的资产，你才能无视短期波动，拿得住。

为什么同样都是5000U，有人一个月做到5万U，有人三天亏到500U？
差的不是行情，是他到底把杠杆当工具，还是当赌桌。

很多人觉得，杠杆越高，越容易爆仓。

其实不对。

真正让你爆仓的，从来不是20倍、50倍。

而是你明明开着高杠杆，还非要重仓。

举个最简单的例子。

同样想做5000U的仓位。

500U开10倍，和250U开20倍，实际调动的钱都是5000U。

行情涨1%，两边赚的钱差不多。

但如果行情跌1%

500U开10倍，只亏50U，占保证金10%

250U开20倍，同样亏50U，却已经吃掉20%的保证金。

再来一下，你心态就崩了。

所以很多人不是输在行情。

是输在自己不会配仓。

如果你账户里有1万U。

用1000U开10倍，你最多只能做10次。

但如果你拿500U开20倍，你可以拆成20份。

同样的钱，后者反而更灵活、更安全。

因为高杠杆真正的作用，不是一把梭哈。

而是让你轻仓、多点、分批。

看对了，加。

看错了，走。

低杠杆适合重仓、抗波动的人。

高杠杆适合轻仓、快进快出的人。

你是哪种风格，就用哪种方式。

别看别人50倍一单赚翻了，你也冲。

你看到的是他赚钱那一单，没看到他前面爆掉的十单。

交易做到最后，比的不是谁胆子大。

而是谁更稳。

稳仓位、稳止损、稳执行。

猫哥见过太多人，5万U账户，一个星期亏到只剩8000U。

也见过有人，5000U一步一步做到20万U。

差的不是技术。

只是前者拿杠杆去赌，后者拿杠杆当工具。

因为现在的币圈最可能创新出圈的只有 #meme !

基建饱和，应用需求停滞，指望这两个板块出新故事已经难如登天，只能是狗庄偶尔放点利好炒炒旧饭维持生计

土狗meme自带发散属性，又是情绪化的产物，不受任何技术约束，万物皆可meme，只要现实世界有热点的人和事，就可以一直更新

就像以前大家都在讨论满汉全席中的那道菜最好吃，全做出来了之后才发现，煎饼果子才最适合所有人的口味，越简单的东西反而越容易出圈

5 savvy tips for navigating the crypto scene, catch on early to minimize losses:

1. Be confident when networking, strike a balance of assertiveness, stay neither too humble nor too arrogant. Flattering won’t earn you respect; only solid performance will.

2. Keep your late-night chats minimal; always check if it’s a good time first. That’s basic etiquette in the crypto community.

3. In this game, profits matter most, emotions come second. Level up your skills to shift others' perspectives.

4. Relationships can be fragile; conflicts over gains can lead to quick breakups. Emotional ties don’t hold as much weight as stable profits.

5. Be cautious in your personal dealings, steer clear of ambiguity and drunken slip-ups, or you might find yourself in hot water.

In the past, ETH would pump a leading meme,
then SOL and BSC would instantly jump in to rally...
What's going on now?
ETH just had its run, and all the meme coins went completely silent?

Is the liquidity in this market really that bad?

It's actually a result of everyone fighting their own battles; no one can focus their firepower. Everyone thinks they're the smartest, but it's basically a self-sabotage move.

It's not that ETH is more stable, it's just natural reasoning.

The conspiracy play with SOL is already worn out; the whales, the big sell-offs, institutions, on-chain bots, and the stagnant players—99 people in the room, just waiting for 1 fool to come in and dump money. Can't play that anymore.

So SOL's gameplay is off the table, what about MEME? For instance, something like ASTEROID, which has been washed for a long time, has gained potential this round of DOGE due to the old horse's response, the story's upgrade, and the SPACEX listing.

As for launching new coins for liquidity, from the two points I made above, it's clear that over there, you're up against 99 people, not 99x leverage.

Don't fear liquidity; if it loses money, it will come back naturally.

$ASTEROID: An old player with no major sell-offs lurking + Musk + love and care + SPACEX listing + unique mascot.

$FLORK: An old player with no major sell-offs lurking + Twitter MEME icon + over 10 years of classic IP + an image recognized by everyone in Latin America + the top trending hit on TIKTOK; any one of these is super bullish.

Moreover, both assets are long-term plays; these two are likely to be the kings of the ETH MEME wave. Check back in a few months—buy a little, don’t go all in, and once you buy, forget about it.

Stop stressing; it will wear you out.

History doesn't lie: May 4th is a crucial red line for Bitcoin.

Looking back at every midterm election year, this date feels like a guillotine. The disasters of 2018 and 2022 are still fresh in our minds. On this day in 2026, while the market is still partying in the wake of geopolitical tailwinds, the real game-changer might be waiting for us in early May.

Respect the cycles, fear the patterns. Only those who survive can talk about bull markets.

Lately, I've been feeling a bit lost, honestly not sure what to trade anymore.

Solana is all about high stakes or schemes set up by groups; you can tell just by looking at the candlesticks. If you don't jump in, they keep pumping it, but once you do, they start wrecking you.

BSC? No chance at all, it feels like a dead market; the competition is just too intense, and you can't even get a decent setup going.

ETH: Recently, thanks to the Space Dog situation, all the hot money is flowing here, making BSC feel super cold and empty. There's hardly anyone around, no front-runners to push prices up, so retail investors aren’t buying in to drive the price.

Right now, I'm comfortable trading ETH; apart from the gas fees being a bit steep and the speed being a little slow, everything else is in my comfort zone.

I've turned 0.5 ETH into 3 ETH in about three days, and that’s without me constantly watching the charts—almost every day, a small gem pops up on the ETH chain.

As long as you do your research, get in on early positions, and just wait for the bloom, you’re typically looking at a 5x starting point.

Learn to identify where the hot money is, where the fish are, and then go fishing.

Feels like we’ve hit a bear market; it seems like no one’s trading in the crypto space anymore... I don’t even feel motivated to update Twitter.

Hoping for a super mega moonshot golden dog to change the game.

A day after the ceasefire extension, Iran's already making moves.

Three ships in the Strait of Hormuz were fired upon, two were seized, and Maersk has confirmed that the strait is completely stagnant. Oil prices are still climbing.

But it's a lose-lose deadlock: with the strait closed, Iran can't get its own oil out, missing out on profits. The US military operations have been going on for nearly 60 days, and the king understands he’s facing pressure from Congress. Neither side can hold out for too long.

So the biggest fear isn't the continued stalemate, but a sudden peace talk that could send oil prices crashing down with a big bearish candlestick. I’ve already closed half of my crude oil position, leaving the other half open. I’ll wait for peace signals to re-enter.

For spot trading, I'm waiting for Bitcoin to hit new lows to dollar-cost average in, and mainly looking to short contracts above 80k. ETF funds are still flowing in, and MicroStrategy is still buying. Keep an eye on risk management for next week's FOMC (April 28-29), as in the past 9 meetings, 8 of them saw a drop afterward.

I’m definitely steering clear of altcoins; better to play with top-tier memes.