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BTC BTC is down 7.67% today. Make sure to tune in to tomorrows stream. This is going to be the first Sunday stream we do that is going to be just as important as the weekday ones. if not more due to the circumstances. Lots of important information will be shared on this stream so don't miss it. 1 pm eastern tomorrow. don't be late!
๐ง Your PnL isnโt your problemโฆ your process latency is
Most traders donโt โlack a strategy.โ They lack speed between seeing and executing the right thing.
What I mean: โข You notice the setup โ โข Then you hesitate, overthink, chase, or enter late โ โข Now your stop has to be bigger, your RR gets worse, and the trade feels โrandomโ
So hereโs a simple fix Iโve been using:
The 10-second rule: When price hits your level, you should already know ONE of these 3 actions: 1. Enter on reclaim 2. Enter on rejection 3. No trade (if itโs messy)
If youโre still โdecidingโ in the momentโฆ you didnโt actually have a plan.
My goal lately isnโt more trades. Itโs fewer decisions. Decisions cost money.
If you want, comment โRULEโ and Iโll drop the exact checklist I use before I press buy/sell.
๐ฆ Fed held ratesโฆ cool. Now hereโs what actually matters
Fed kept rates the same. Not shocking.
The headline isnโt the trade โ the tone is. This kind of decision is basically: โWeโre not panicking. Weโre watching inflation + jobs. Donโt front-run cuts.โ
What that usually means for us: โข Whipsaw first, direction later. Market loves doing the fake move both ways, then picking a real trend once positioning settles. โข Volatility gets weird. Youโll see random spikes that have nothing to do with โtrendโ and everything to do with liquidity. โข Plan > prediction: Iโm trading key levels (session high/low, prior day levels) and waiting for a clean reclaim/reject before I size up.
If you got chopped today, itโs normal. Fed days punish anyone who thinks they need to โbe early.โ
๐จ Stop getting faked out at levels (quick trap filter)
If youโre always getting smoked on โbreakoutsโโฆ youโre probably buying the exact candle they want you to buy.
Hereโs the quick filter I use before I chase anything:
1) Did it sweep a level first? Like PDH/PDL, session high/low, range top/bottom. If it pokes it and instantly snaps backโฆ thatโs usually not โbullishโโฆ thatโs a bait.
2) Was there a volume pop but price went nowhere? Big volume + no follow through = someoneโs absorbing / unloading into you.
3) Did it happen during dead hours? Low activity breakouts are sketchy. Real moves usually push and KEEP pushing.
How I play it: If it does a sweep + hard rejection, I wait for the retest and take the reversal. Stop goes past the wick. Target is the next obvious liquidity (next high/low).
Comment โTRAPโ and Iโll post 2 chart examples (one that worked, one that didnโt) so you can see it clear.
Hey guys, if you were on our stream, it got auto stopped. not sure what we violated but will try and figure it out for tomorrow. Have a great day will see you tomorrow at 7 am PST!