web3stephen

$MOVR This coin is quite a joke. In US time, it's on the gainers list, but in China time, it's the top loser we see now. And it's actually a good time to enter the market.

First, let's look at the fundamentals:
MOVR is the native token of Moonriver, which belongs to the EVM-compatible parachain on Kusama, not just another narrative coin.
It can be used for paying fees, governance, staking, and running smart contracts.

Now, looking at the data:
- Total supply: 12.45 million
- Circulating supply: 11.4 million, with 91.6% already released
- Market cap: about $27 million
- Down -99.5% from ATH

This indicates that it’s not one of those new coins with a ton of unlocks waiting to dump, but rather an older coin with a small market cap.

Market data:
- 04-23 volume contraction
- 04-24 shot up directly to 3.35
- Trading volume increased many times over the previous day
- OI didn’t see a similarly explosive rise
- Long-short ratio has been below 1 for several days
- Funding rate is still negative

It's pretty clear:
The shorts haven’t fully exited, and the short squeeze isn’t over yet.

So my judgment right now is simple:
I’m leaning bullish, and I don’t recommend going hard short.

In terms of strategy:
- A pullback to 2.25–2.35 is a good point to go long (currently in this range)
- If it breaks below 2.10, reconsider as the structure weakens. (Stop-loss at 2.1)
- Until the funding rate turns positive and the long-short ratio flips, don’t rush to short.
Target for taking profits: 2.6-2.7.

$SKYAI aria is tanking. This coin is bound to drop just like that. The price can't support its fundamentals at all. The level is just right, so hop on quickly.

$CYS Be a patient trader, $COLLECT don’t let short-term volatility derail your original plan, but also set your stop-loss. These two coins are worth checking out in my previous posts' analysis. It's not too late to hop on.

$COLLECT Next cys. Still at the bottom, take profit at 0.055-0.06.

$CYS This morning, I just dropped a tip about cys, it's a sleeping tiger. This time it’s definitely going to break its previous high. You can either wait for a pullback to long or go in at market price, don’t miss out on this opportunity.

So far, $CHIP , not a single person or post has explained what smart money is all about.

Honestly, no one told me either, but after doing my own research, I've concluded that smart money (whales) mostly belongs to the market makers. Where there's a lot of cash, it means they're building positions there. This is a conclusion I've drawn after countless hours of watching the charts, calculating, and thinking.

But doesn't what we see contradict that? If they're heavily positioned on one side (long or short), why does that position often end up in the red?

In reality, market makers always operate with both long and short positions; they never go single-sided. When they offload, they do it while pushing the price up, or they might slam the price down to get it past a certain level because they can't sell at a good price otherwise. A sudden dump of coins signals that their selling is nearing the end. So, they also need to hedge, including against fees.

Moreover, even if that larger position is in the red, it won’t trigger their stop-losses. They know the price levels very well. Think about it: if smart money is with the big players, their only outcome is to get precisely hunted by the market makers. Besides, no big player has more cash than the market makers. No big player would invest such significant amounts in altcoins. Whales with large funds will only pour their money into mainstream coins. Just look back at rave. At its peak, the long positions of the whales were in the tens of millions, while the shorts were only a few million. Is that normal? Every day we hear about shorts exploding by tens of millions, but in reality, smart money positions are only a few million.

Combining this with the specific case of chip, take a look at the current smart money whale positions in chip. The conclusion is clear to everyone. (In 70% of cases, if one side has more positions, it indicates where the market makers are building their positions, which reflects the prevailing trend.)

However, there's also a scenario where the market makers hunt each other. If you want to hear more, please like and follow. I'll update soon.

$CHIP It's wild, really wild, this thing is quite fierce. Currently holding steady at 0.1, with the price rising alongside increasing volume, the shorters should just sit tight for now and wait patiently. I've already taken my stop loss, and I'm placing a short order at the high of 0.155. Just keeping an eye on the situation.

Think about it, rave, if you have the patience to wait, you'll eventually reap the rewards. If not, you might have already left the table.

Still, the same old saying, the outcome will reward those who are patient, because this market is counterintuitive. This thing is truly counterintuitive.

Follow and like! Daily sharing of real-time strategies.

$CYS Everyone probably missed it, but it's not too late. There's really no need to keep staring at the gainers list. Many opportunities lie in those coins that only rise a little every day but aren't flashy. When they break through their resistance and skyrocket, it’ll be too late to chase the long.

This round of cys's rise is very, very low-key, nowhere near as flashy as the last two pumps. The reason is that this market has a gainers list every day, plus during the last two rounds when it rose, Bitcoin was tanking and altcoins were sluggish—just check the timeline.

Additionally, it's obvious that Binance is supporting the gainers list, but there's clearly no traffic being directed towards these low-key coins, which itself indicates a problem.

I dare say that cys's current low-key status, combined with a massive influx of capital, is definitely holding back a big move. I can imagine the whales are probably looking to take me down after this analysis. I know the traffic is low, but I hope the brothers who see this can profit. Those who follow along and go long will definitely thank me later, so don't miss out.

$CYS This coin is way too familiar. Since its launch, I've been making gains whether going long or short on it. And quite a bit too.

Recently, it rallied from the bottom around 0.2 with six consecutive green candles, indicating that this upward movement is serious and not just a small spike. We're not at the peak yet, and here's a crucial point: during the last surge to the high of 0.76, the smart money never even hit 10 million. Today, I see it has already reached over 20 million.

There’s a very strong signal to go long; entering now isn't too late, it's more like a low entry point. With the current altcoin rotation, this is bound to break previous highs. Of course, there are quite a few bags to unload above, but given that this round's capital flow is over double that of the last, I estimate the whales can handle this supply.

For a conservative take-profit, aim for 0.55-0.58. If you’re feeling aggressive, you can wait for the breakout of the previous high. Expect some pullbacks along the way to shake out weak hands; hold tight, and then build short positions at the top to double dip.

Lastly, I’ll let you in on a secret: I checked the data on m yesterday and discovered that cys and $M share the same market maker. They have a large number of tokens controlled in the same wallet, all by local players.

You can see how explosive m's rise has been; from the bottom to now, it’s about 100x, so I believe cys won’t be left behind. Everyone should get on board ASAP.
Friends, please support by liking and following; I’ll share a lot of data and strategies. Thanks!

$CHIP current status.
First profit address, profit 233.1k. Ending in 11d.

Path: Move coins from 11d to wallets ending in b5 and 21. Then redistribute to d2. Cycle coins back and forth between d2 and d8 (wash trading). At the same time, partially offload to Uniswap (take profit).

The hourly candlestick chart shows a decrease in volume. The whales' wash trading seems aimed at triggering a short squeeze. I recommend everyone to establish a short position at 3:55. Alternatively, you can enter with a light position now. Set stop-loss 5%-10% above the previous high. I've already entered. I don’t recommend following my lead.

If this helps, please like and follow. Thanks, everyone!

$CHIP Let me put it this way, when rave was pumping, were there more folks shouting 'long' or 'short' in the square? Let's face it. It's just that some of those making bank created a survivor bias for everyone else. But what about chip now? Doesn't it feel like there are clearly more people calling for a long than for rave? Everyone wants to hop on that 100x coin train. Those who missed out on rave's explosive growth are hoping for another rave to pop up; it's human nature. A little-known gem skyrocketing can catch the shorts off guard, and this project has top-tier backing and a strong momentum. Conversely, that's going to leave the longs in a tight spot. Still dreaming of a 100x coin. I'm firmly short, but not blindly; I'm putting it in writing as proof!

$CHIP Brothers, the volume on the hourly chart is starting to shrink, but the strength isn't quite there yet. We've got lower lows and higher highs. This could very well be a smoke screen. Hold tight, but if you can't, go in with a light position under 10%. Set your stop-loss 5% above the previous high. Then keep an eye on the hourly volume indicators. For coins trending upwards like this, you definitely shouldn't go all in short. Use a light position, cut losses quickly, and stay patient; the results will reward everyone.

$CHIP is currently not the best point to short, so don't think you'll hit the perfect position. I hope nobody's holding onto their positions, and if you are, you're going to lose sleep tonight.

The 4-hour chart combined with the hourly volume is climbing steadily. If everyone is going short, you can bet they'll trap you.

There's no need to hold onto your positions. You can refer to the short rave strategy I previously shared; a clear signal is that volume must shrink, the more it shrinks, the better. When it can't push up anymore, that's your best time to short.

I suggest you consider Strategy Two; it's conservative but steady. If you also check the on-chain whale addresses for selling, that makes it even more reliable.

For those who used my two strategies, just check the timestamps of my posts. The first strategy hit a two-mil (almost at the top, the signal was extreme volume shrinkage). The second take profit strategy hit one mil.

$CHIP Hey everyone, stop trading crypto like this. If we can save one, let's do it. In my last post, a friend commented, asking me, 'Why not look at the backing of this project? It's not just another shitcoin.'

Let me share some data with you: right now, I'm down 16k USDT in contracts, but my win rate is 53.5%. Normally, I shouldn't be losing, but why? Because I lost 15k USDT on a so-called backed project with solid tech, talus (us). I've got all the data and images to prove it.

And this project is supposedly backed by top-tier projects with solid tech. Of course, back then I was new to crypto and naively used my stock trading logic to trade crypto.

That was a huge mistake. Another example: these recent meme coins, siren, reve, sto—do they have any solid backing? Nope. Moreover, look at zama with its high-level project backing; what happened when it launched? We all know the story.

I genuinely don't want other friends to walk the same path I did. Altcoins are about liquidity and money flow; they have nothing to do with whether a project is backed or not.

I understand that pain, that ignorance, so I'm determined to be a blogger, sharing the pitfalls I've encountered, along with the knowledge I've gained after my losses, to help those who are new to the game or those who have been around for a while but still don't grasp the underlying logic, to avoid these rookie mistakes as much as possible.

If the direction is wrong and you’re losing, cut your losses quickly—that's fine. But making these rookie mistakes is absolutely unacceptable.

I hope you all support and follow me; I can definitely help you avoid those pitfalls.

Just sharing my thoughts; feel free to comment if you disagree.

$CHIP saw a post calling for a short on it. I'm already down bad. It's not that I can't short; it's about when to short. Can you all take a look at the data for me? Right now, I'm going to strip this coin down for you and share my strategy.
This coin. The first address holds 90%. There’s a total of 9 billion coins. At first glance, it looks like high control. However, currently, only 2 billion are in circulation, with 1 billion in the primary wallet address. The remaining 1 billion is mostly distributed across nine other wallets. In other words, the circulating supply is limited.
Here's the kicker. Do you all know what's happening? Let me tell you, within the last 24 hours, the whales have moved a total of 50 million coins around. Ultimately, they converted it into USDC. This is the whales dumping their bags. As I’m writing this, they are still quietly offloading. Just eight minutes ago. What does this mean? The whales are pulling up while selling off. So what should we do? Right now, open interest is skyrocketing. A massive influx of funds is causing the price to surge. It's not time to short yet. Everyone, keep an eye on the one-hour and four-hour charts. Once the volume starts to dwindle, we must begin opening short positions. Don’t go all in at once; scale in gradually. The whales have already been slowly offloading at the last peak. Let’s be patient. Once the volume drops, we must short it decisively. Remember what I said. Wait for my signal.

$RAVE You still don't hurry and fall down. Pull again, if you don't fall, investigate your second time, take them all. Haha.

$RAVE In the square, everyone is shouting, it's time to rise, it's time to rise, let's rally. Hurry up and follow along.
Come, come, come, everyone take a look at the smart money, do you still remember the smart money whale positions before the rave crash? This stock has risen for more than a week, and at that time the smart money whale positions were always in this ratio, with long positions consistently maintaining 3-10 times that of short positions.
Now the situation is clearly reversed, with short positions being n times that of long positions. But the price continues to rise, what does this mean? It means that the dealer is pulling up while building short positions, which is completely different from the previous logic.
Previously, during the rally, not much short position was built. So this wave is definitely a trap for longs, but the current price level is not a very good entry point for shorts. It is also not the best entry point for longs. Don't chase this rally; I saw the opportunity to build short positions at point 3 because that point was also the end of the first day's crash and the point of the fiercest battle between longs and shorts, that was the time to go short. Of course, if you really want to go long now, you can enter with a small position. The bigger profit opportunity is to start positioning for short positions here at point 3.

$IRYS Wow, the variable is here. The big boss is going long. I estimate that we need to hit him first.

$IRYS How to say it. Everyone can go to the square to have a look. Is it a bunch of empty shouts? Indeed, it unlocks on the 25th. There are also some scandals (a single entity captured 20% of the airdrop share with 900 wallets. Worth 2 million dollars. Transferred to exchanges for immediate sale.).
Generally, people will go short. However, this is just one perspective. In the crypto world, if you only look at a single indicator, you’d better not play at all.
…First, let’s take a look at the concentration of holdings, the top ten account for 97%. The top three account for 69%. Unlocking + scandals. The pressure on the market makers to sell is very high. No need to think, when the unlocking happens + the scandals ferment, it will definitely lead to a large sell-off. But before that, the previously locked chips will desperately want to raise prices to sell off.
…This is exactly the opportunity we can take advantage of. But it is also its final frenzy. At that time, we will go short again. Now is the time when it is the most.
…Today, $IRYS I have pushed it twice. Everyone can go and see if it is. It is currently ranked third in the increase list. It could jump to first at any moment. As for the take profit position, you can refer to my previous posts.
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$SKYAI is not, are you trying to replicate aria? Dropping ten times and then coming back, breaking a fake new high and continuing to plummet? Why bother? $ARIA has already educated us, you can't fool many people like this anymore. Dog stock.