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U.S. President Donald Trump has expressed optimism about reaching an agreement with Iran by Monday. According to Foresight News, Trump stated that negotiations are currently underway with Iran. He mentioned that if an agreement is not reached promptly, he is considering taking drastic measures, including seizing control of oil resources. Trump believes that an agreement could be finalized as early as tomorrow.

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has expressed confidence in the eventual passage of the Clarity Act, despite acknowledging the difficulties encountered during negotiations. According to NS3.AI, Garlinghouse noted that the timeline for the bill's progress has been slower than initially anticipated. He remains optimistic that the legislation will be finalized by the end of May.

Global markets have experienced significant volatility over the past week due to geopolitical tensions and shifts in monetary policy. According to BlockBeats, the confrontation between the United States and Iran has entered a phase of military pressure combined with diplomatic maneuvering. This has led to restricted passage through the Strait of Hormuz, driving oil prices back to high levels and significantly raising global inflation expectations.In this context, the Federal Reserve's policy outlook has undergone a critical shift. Several officials have signaled a hawkish stance, prompting the market to quickly move from betting on rate cuts this year to maintaining high interest rates for a longer period, even considering the possibility of further rate hikes. The U.S. dollar index has climbed back above 100, and U.S. Treasury yields have risen, indicating a tightening of global liquidity expectations.Asset performance has varied significantly: gold has remained volatile at high levels, while oil has emerged as the strongest asset. U.S. stocks have faced downward pressure, with all three major indices posting weekly losses, led by declines in technology stocks. In the foreign exchange market, the Japanese yen has continued to weaken, approaching a critical intervention range, while non-U.S. currencies have generally been under pressure.Meanwhile, significant changes have occurred in global policy and capital flows. Japan has released large amounts of strategic petroleum reserves and is considering intervening in oil prices through the futures market. Singapore is accelerating its efforts to establish itself as a gold trading hub, and Turkey is heavily utilizing its gold reserves to address liquidity pressures.Overall, the market has entered a high-volatility cycle driven by geopolitical conflicts, inflation, monetary policy repricing, and asset revaluation. In the short term, the main focus remains on developments in the Middle East and the policy paths of global central banks.

Key TakeawaysBinance OTC volume reached 25% of 2025 total in just two months.Bitcoin share of OTC trading jumped from 4.91% in January to 45.81% in February.Rising stablecoin and fiat inflows संकेत institutional dip-buying activity.Large trades show improved execution efficiency, including a $105M swap with reduced slippage.Binance reported a sharp increase in over-the-counter (OTC) trading activity, signaling accelerating institutional participation in the Bitcoin market.According to Binance’s March 2026 OTC and Execution Services Report, trading volume in the first two months of the year has already reached 25% of total OTC volume recorded in 2025, highlighting growing reliance on OTC channels by large investors.The data shows a significant shift toward Bitcoin. BTC’s share of OTC trading surged from 4.91% in January to 45.81% in February, indicating strong institutional demand despite ongoing market volatility.During this period, Bitcoin traded in a wide range between $60,000 and $78,000, driven by macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical developments. However, rising stablecoin and fiat inflows suggest institutions were actively accumulating during price dips.Binance also highlighted improvements in execution efficiency for large transactions. In one case, a $105 million WBETH-to-ETH swap was completed within two hours with approximately 50 basis points of slippage, representing a 75% improvement compared to traditional order book execution.The report characterizes the current market environment as “price volatility combined with institutional accumulation,” with OTC desks playing an increasingly critical role in facilitating large trades and managing liquidity without disrupting market prices.The trend suggests that while retail sentiment remains cautious, institutional capital continues to build exposure to Bitcoin through off-exchange channels.