Yardo77

📢 Tomorrow is one of the most important days for the entire industry
📉 In the evening, a decision on the key rate will be announced
⚠️ After that, Powell will speak and give signals for the entire next year

💱 I recommend completely refraining from trading tomorrow and just observing the market
📊 If you already have open positions, minimize the volumes as much as possible
🛡️ Move the stop-loss orders to breakeven if possible
💰 For profitable positions, ESPECIALLY shorts, partially take profits

🔄 The market has already started to swing — participants are trying to predict the movement in advance
⏳ We are waiting for tomorrow evening's decision and after that, we will form a forecast until the end of the year

🟣🟢🟠
#BNB #BTC #ETH

📉 James Winn issues a sharply alarming signal and calls the current situation the beginning of a true "bloody bath"
⚠️ A trader who has already lost $20 million on futures claims that the markets are entering a phase dominated by chaos, fear, and deep instability
🐻 He warns that movements may be harsh, uncontrolled, and could knock out positions even of strong players
📉 The main message from Winn is to preserve capital as much as possible because the environment looks frankly dangerous right now
⚠️ His final "take care of yourself" sounds like a warning before serious shocks that may not have started yet but are only approaching

🟣🟢🟠
#BNB #BTC #ET

📉 #BTC is still trading around $90,000
📉 There is a tough battle for Bitcoin at the level of 90,000$ , but buyer activity is still insufficient to initiate a confident upward movement
⚠️ The situation adds no clarity; it is highly uncertain, and the price can go in either direction
📊 The most likely scenario right now is a prolonged sideways movement in this range without serious impulses

🟣🟢🟠
#BNB #BTC #ETH

📉 Glassnode records a market rebound but the overall picture is still weak
🪙 Bitcoin has risen from the mid $80K to the $91K zone but confidence among participants has hardly increased
📉 Spot volumes are rising but Spot CVD is going deeper into the negative and sellers maintain control
⚠️ In derivatives, sentiment is muted, open interest is declining, and demand for hedging risks is increasing
💼 ETF flows have shifted to significant outflows, indicating profit-taking and weak institutional activity
📊 On-chain metrics provide slight stabilization, but there is no noticeable influx of capital
🐻 The share of short-term participants is too high, and the market remains in a loss realization zone
🧊 There is a rebound, but it is fragile and will not hold without real demand

🟣🟢🟠
#BNB #BTC #ETH

📉 The options market looks alarming — Bloomberg warns of a possible 'crypto winter'
⚠️ Bets have sharply shifted towards short December BTC options, indicating a lack of confidence in growth and a play within a narrow range
🐻 Wintermute strategist Jasper de Maere emphasizes: the market is quieting down now, but this calm looks dangerous ahead of potential sharp declines

💔 Negative factors are intensifying
💸 Over $2.7 billion has been withdrawn from the iShares Bitcoin Trust — outflows have persisted for five consecutive weeks
📉 The annual yield of BTC has fallen below the S&P 500 — this hasn't happened in over ten years
🔻 Negative funding rates on perpetuals show the dominance of shorts
🪫 ETH and altcoins remain under pressure — demand is weakening

🧊 All of this creates a cold, clearly bearish backdrop for the crypto market 🟣🟢🟠

#BNB #BTC #ETH

🎙 Glassnode reports that the perpetual market has actually cooled down
📉 Open interest in BTC perpetual has not recovered since the drop on October 10, remaining below 310,000 BTC, which looks weak compared to the peak of over 380,000 BTC
📊 This shows a sharp decline in speculative activity
🔽 The funding rate continues to decline, indicating that traders no longer believe in further growth
💵 The long premium over 30 days has fallen to 28.1 million per month, while in August it was 112.7 million, which looks like a serious collapse of sentiment
🗣️ Minus 75 percent, the market has literally thrown out aggressive long positions
😶 Speculative demand for futures has almost disappeared; participants are behaving extremely cautiously and are not ready to take risks until stronger signals for growth appear

🟣🟢🟠
#BNB #BTC #ETH

🖥 Buyers of $BTC are gritting their teeth and holding the market, adding about +10% for the week
💰 The price of #Bitcoin is currently squeezed between two zones that are forming the nearest trajectory
📈 103–105k — strong resistance from above
🐻 75–77k — main support from below
🧭 BTC.D and USDT.D are holding steady in a calm range, not giving signals of a total collapse
😨 Fear & Greed Index is on level 20 for the second day, pressing the market to an emotional bottom
🕯 The chart of #BTCUSDT shows that similar phases in 2021 and 2022 produced absolutely different scenarios
🚀 In 2021, the market turned sharply and soared upwards
🐢 In 2022, everything turned into a creeping prolonged devaluation
🔥 An important trigger is approaching — 10.12.25, the Fed will announce a new rate, and 85% of the market is expecting a decrease of 0.25%
🤔 What do you think, will there be a quick reversal like in 2021?
📉 Or a prolonged exhausting drawdown like in 2022

🟣🟢🟠
#BNB #BTC #ETH

🚀 The new National Security Strategy of Trump does not mention cryptocurrency or blockchain at all
🤖 Instead, the key focus has shifted to artificial intelligence and quantum computing as strategic interests of the USA
🌎 This emphasis may change global technological priorities and impact the rules of the game for the crypto market

🟣🟢🟠
#BNB #BTC #ETH

🇰🇷 South Korea equates cryptocurrency exchanges to banks in terms of responsibility

💼 The country is preparing new rules under which exchanges must compensate customers for losses on a no-fault liability basis — even if they are not formally at fault
⚡ The impetus was the Upbit hack on November 27, when hackers withdrew SOL worth ~$30 million in less than an hour
🚨 Since 2023, five top Korean exchanges have experienced 20 systemic failures, affecting over 900 users with total losses exceeding 5 billion won

📉 What they want to implement
🟠 Enhanced requirements for cybersecurity and operational standards
🟠 Fines up to 3% of the exchange's annual income, instead of the current cap of $3.4 million
🟠 Greater responsibility for delays in reporting incidents — Upbit notified the regulator only after 6 hours

🧩 Parliament also demands that regulators present a draft law on stablecoins by December 10
🧩 If the government delays again — deputies promise to bring the document themselves

🟣🟢🟠
#BNB #BTC #ETH

📉 The sideways movement of BTC continues
💤 Before the weekend, volatility has significantly decreased, and overall everything has played out as usual without any changes over the day
💰 We are still holding in the zone 90 000$ and in the next few days, I do not expect noticeable movements
👀 We are waiting for the start of the working week and watching where this area will ultimately be played out

🟣🟢🟠
#BNB #BTC #ETH

🇺🇸 Inflation in the USA

📊 The data on the personal consumption price index has just been published — 2.9%

🕯 This coincided with the previous forecast of 2.9%, and the previous figure was also 2.9%

⚖️ The market reaction is neutral, as such data has already been factored into the price

🟣🟢🟠
#BNB #BTC #ETH

📉 White House Advisor Kevin Hassett urges the Fed to lower rates as early as next week
📊 The market expects a policy easing and is pricing it in
⚠️ However, due to delays in macro data after the shutdown, the decision to lower rates may be postponed
💰 In that case, #BTC may make another move towards $85,000

🟣🟢🟠
#BNB #BTC #ETH

🐻CryptoQuant warns of a deepening bearish pressure on BTC
📉Analysts report that most holders are in losses while on-chain metrics continue to deteriorate
⚠️Weak liquidity and negative macro factors only amplify the risks of further decline
📊The current drop of 32% already looks alarming and could herald a deeper phase of recession like in 2022
🐾The likelihood of forming a true bottom is currently low as the market shows no signs of stabilization

🟣🟢🟠
#BNB #BTC #ETH

💰#BTC 💰#ETH

📉BlackRock transferred 1385 BTC ≈ $126 million and 799 ETH ≈ $2.5 million to Coinbase Prime
⚠️Transfers to exchanges often indicate a possible preparation for selling
📉Such volumes can create local pressure on the market and increase volatility
🤔So far, the motives are unknown, but the signal looks negative in the short term

🟣🟢🟠
#BNB #BTC #ETH

🇮🇹Italy has made a strict demand of cryptocurrency companies — to fully comply with MiCA regulations by the end of the year or cease operations
🖥The regulator Consob warned that by December 30, all providers must apply for a MiCA license, otherwise they will have to leave the Italian market
💼Currently, companies operate through registration with OAM, but CASP status will require full authorization and ongoing supervision

🗣️Companies that submit documents on time will be able to continue operations until the regulator's decision, but no later than June 30, 2026
❌Those who do not plan to obtain a license must completely cease operations by December 30
🟠Close all contracts
🟠Return assets to clients

⚠️Regulators have also stated that systemic risks are increasing
🗣️The Bank of Italy notes that the interconnection between the crypto market and the financial system is strengthening while global regulations remain uneven
🗣️The Ministry of Economy is already analyzing how to better protect retail investors from the risks of interacting with crypto assets

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#BNB #BTC #ETH

🇪🇺The European Commission proposes to transfer oversight of cryptocurrency companies to the EU Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) as part of a new reform package for "full integration" of financial markets

📌This step is intended to strengthen control over crypto companies and create uniform regulation across all EU countries

🟣🟢🟠
#BNB #BTC #ETH

🎙 JPMorgan: resilience Strategy is now more important for the price of bitcoin than the actions of miners

💭Analysts at JPMorgan state that the largest corporate holder of BTC — Strategy MSTR — is currently influencing the short-term movement of bitcoin more than the activity of miners
🪙Bitcoin remains under pressure due to two key factors

🟠The drop in hash rate and difficulty due to China's harsh actions and the exit of expensive miners from the market
🟠Risks surrounding Strategy, which has significantly slowed down BTC purchases

🔽Despite the decrease in difficulty, the price of BTC is still lower than the updated production cost of $90,000, which forces some miners to sell coins

🟣🟢🟠
#BNB #BTC #ETH

Important Day Report

📉Today, data on consumer spending in the USA PCE is released — a key inflation indicator for the Fed
📊Expectations are 2.9%

🔴If PCE > 2.9% this is a bearish signal for the market
🟢If PCE = 2.9% this is positive as the figure matches last month
📈If PCE < 2.9% this is a very optimistic scenario for the market

🟣🟢🟠
#BNB #BTC #ETH

📉 🇯🇵 A troubling situation is forming in Japan that could impact global markets
📉 The yield on 10-year bonds has soared from –0.28% to 1.92% — the highest in nearly 18 years
📉 The national debt now exceeds 215% of GDP, and the government is injecting an additional $135 billion in stimulus

⚠️ December 19 — a key meeting of the Bank of Japan
⚠️ The likelihood of an interest rate hike is high, and the markets are sensing this
⚠️ Such a move could break a multi-year yen carry trade strategy

💣 Possible consequences:
💣 Closing positions in carry trade
💣 Outflow of Japanese capital from global markets
💣 Pressure on stocks, bonds, and the cryptocurrency market

📉 A similar situation occurred on August 5, 2024
📉 At that time, Bitcoin fell below $50,000
📉 American markets opened with losses of nearly $1.93 trillion in capitalization

🟣🟢🟠
#BTC #ETH #BNB