Alizohan4

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#巨鲸动向 #ETH走势分析
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Does dev have the ability to foresee the future?

Federal Reserve's December 10 interest rate cut expectations!!!

1. 92% probability of a 25bp cut + QT completely ending = Money printing machine officially restarts, money becomes cheaper → US dollar weakens, US Treasury bonds fall → Funds rush into risk assets

2. BTC historically rises an average of 9.7% after interest rate cuts in December, this wave is highly likely to surge from 89K to 95K-100K+

3. Institutions have already been buying heavily in advance (BlackRock single month 4.9 billion), Fear 20 is the historical bottom

4. Before the rate cut: 89-90K can be picked up easily, don't chase highs

5. The moment Powell speaks dovishly: jump in directly, target 95K-100K

6. In case of no cut (8% probability): buy again at 85-86K, anyway the long bull run until 2026 can't be avoided

7. The day after tomorrow, if the Fed dovishly signals, the last chance to get in for 2025 will come, hold steady, don't be timid, after this wave, prepare directly for the big New Year in 2026!!!

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12.8 Cryptocurrency Market: The Double Dragon Tests the Bottom and Encounters Resistance, the Key Interval Defense Battle Begins!

This morning, the cryptocurrency market welcomed a long-awaited warmth, with Bitcoin (BTC) testing the bottom at $87,688 before a V-shaped rebound, briefly reaching $91,720, currently oscillating above $90,000; Ethereum (ETH) showed even more resilience, surging over 8% to $3,150 after a dip to $2,907, now retreating to around $3,070. Both leading cryptocurrencies have simultaneously exhibited a deep V trend. However, behind the excitement, the divergence between bulls and bears is intensifying, and the market has not escaped the oscillation pattern.

Mainstream cryptocurrencies show a mixed performance: BNB rose 0.68% to $890.15, SUI surged against the trend by 3.45%, leading the top 20 cryptocurrencies; while XMR and HYPE fell over 3%, BCH dropped 2.10%, TRX decreased by 1.75%, and some altcoins continued their adjustment trend. From a funding perspective, after a total liquidation of $114 million across the network yesterday, buying pressure entered at key support levels, but the rebound trading volume has not shown explosive growth and remains in a "breakthrough watch" state.

Technically, we are entering a critical game period: BTC is currently stuck in the oscillation box between $87,000 and $92,000, with the upper level of $91,500-$92,000 being a strong short-term resistance, and the lower level of $88,000-$87,500 acting as the bull's lifeline. The daily potential "ascending wedge" pattern suggests that volatility will increase; ETH, while stabilizing above the psychological barrier of $3,000, faces clear resistance at $3,150-$3,180, and the 4-hour MACD shows a top divergence, necessitating caution regarding insufficient rebound momentum leading to a pullback.

This week's Federal Reserve FOMC meeting will become a watershed moment for the market, combined with uncertainties regarding the new U.S. government's regulatory policies, the pace of institutional capital entry is slowing. In terms of operations, it is recommended to reduce trading frequency and closely monitor key price levels: BTC breaking above $92,000 can be followed with light positions, while breaking below $87,500 requires timely stop-loss; ETH should focus on the effectiveness of the $3,000 support, and consider increasing positions above $3,150.

The cryptocurrency market's volatility never ceases, and oscillation is a process of filtering out the patient. Maintain the risk control bottom line, avoid chasing highs and cutting lows, and wait for the trend to clarify before striking hard is far more reliable than blindly gambling in chaos
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Significant benefits are coming!🔥🔥🔥
⏰️Time: Every evening at 20:00 meeting
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Ending number 8: 1,888 Hawk
Each person can only receive one prize
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📌Participation conditions:
1. The avatar in Bian Square must be a white-headed eagle
2. Send the winning screenshot to the group
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