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Sunday 14 December 2k25
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gn #美联储重启降息步伐

Why does Bitcoin keep dumping at 10 a.m. when U.S. markets open?

Once again, BTC wiped out nearly 16 hours of gains within 20 minutes of the U.S. market opening.
And this isn’t new — since early November, most of the sharp intraday sell-offs have lined up exactly with the U.S. open. We saw the same pattern in Q2 and Q3.

@zerohedge has been pointing to this for months, and his view is that Jane Street is the most likely player behind it.

When you study the chart, the pattern is almost too clean:

• A fast, aggressive sell-off right at the opening bell
• Price gets driven straight into liquidity pockets
• Slow grind back up afterward

That’s textbook high-frequency execution.

And it lines up with Jane Street’s profile:

• They’re one of the biggest HFT firms globally
• They have the liquidity, speed, and size to move BTC for short bursts
• They specialize in exploiting microstructure inefficiencies

The playbook looks straightforward:
1. Sell hard into the open
2. Knock price into liquidity zones
3. Buy back lower
4. Repeat daily

By doing this, they’ve quietly stacked billions in BTC.

Right now, Jane Street reportedly holds $2.5B in BlackRock’s IBIT ETF, making it their 5th largest position.

So the repeated dumps aren’t necessarily macro-driven — they’re likely the result of one dominant player executing a structured strategy.

And once these firms finish accumulating, the broader uptrend in $BTC should resume with even more strength
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Currency Analysis In-Depth and Clear Analysis 💫🌹💖🙏 THANK YOU 🙏💖🌹💫 (LUNC/USDT) $LUNC 1. Current Trend: ** - **Strong Decline**: The price has dropped **16.69%** in the past 24 hours (from 0.00006811 to 0.00005336 USDT). - **Price Trend**: After reaching a peak of 0.00008136, the currency has shown a **bearish reversal** and continues to decline sharply. - **Trading Volume**: High trading volume (LUNC is 1.30T), dominated by **large sell orders** (as shown in the second image), indicating significant selling pressure. --- #### **2. Key Technical Indicators:** - **Bollinger Bands**: - After a sharp decline, the price has approached the **middle line (0.00005324)**, but still faces downward pressure. - The lower line (0.00002882) may be a potential support level, but due to the strong downward trend, it is uncertain. - **Stochastic RSI**: - Current value **0.236** (oversold area), which may indicate a potential bullish rebound, but in a strong downward trend, the indicator may remain in the overbought area for some time. - **OBV (On-Balance Volume)**: - OBV has sharply declined (first image), indicating **decreased buying power** and increased selling pressure. - **Large Orders**: - The currency shows **sell volume exceeding buy volume** (for example, sell orders are 457,999.17 LUNC, while buy orders are 494,646.90 LUNC), with recent activity dominated by sell orders. - - A 16.69% price drop in 24 hours indicates **strong bearish momentum**, and the decline may continue to lower levels (e.g., according to Bollinger Bands' 0.00002882). - Without additional confirmation (e.g., a price rebound with high buying volume), the stochastic RSI indicator in the “oversold” area is insufficient to make a buying decision. --- #### **4. Potential Buy Area (if you decide to take the risk):** - **Basic Conditions**: Wait for **reversal signals**, such as: - Price rebounding from the **Bollinger Bands lower line (0.00002882)** and closing with a bullish candle. - Price breaking through the **Bollinger Bands middle line (0.00005324)**, with increasing buying volume. - Improvement in the stochastic RSI indicator (reaching the 0.5+ area and showing upward trend) #LUNC

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