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【Through the Depth of the Market to Analyze the Intentions of the Main Force: 4 Core Dimensions + Practical Judgment Techniques】 The market is the "real-time window" of the main capital operation, and the details such as orders, transactions, and time-sharing patterns are all conveying the true intentions of the main force in absorption, washing, rising, and selling - the core logic is to "distinguish between true and false actions" to avoid being misled by the main force's "deceptive market".
1. Order Language: Distinguishing Intentions from "Support Orders / Pressure Orders / Sandwich Orders"
Orders are the "surface actions" of the main force, and the key is to see "whether it has truly been executed" and the "position/size/stability of orders":
1. Support Orders (Large Orders at Buy One to Buy Five)
- True Support Orders (Protecting the Market / Absorbing Stock): At low prices, support orders continue to exist, with sell orders actively eaten away, accompanied by increasing transaction volume, and the stock price rises instead of falling;
- False Support Orders (Inducing Upward Selling): At high prices, support orders are huge but do not actively eat sell orders, and even suddenly withdraw support orders below, causing the stock price to quickly fall ("support orders must fall" is often the case).
2. Pressure Orders (Large Orders at Sell One to Sell Five)
- True Pressure Orders (Suppressing and Washing): At low prices, pressure orders frequently appear but are eaten away by active buy orders, transaction volume increases, and the stock price slowly rises after fluctuations;
- False Pressure Orders (Inducing Downward Absorption): At low prices, pressure orders appear heavy, but the stock price does not fall, and even after suddenly withdrawing pressure orders, the stock price quickly rises (the core logic of "pressure orders must rise").
3. Sandwich Orders (Large Orders at Buy One and Buy Two, Sell One and Sell Two)
- Main Force Control Signal: The stock price fluctuates slightly within the sandwich range, and transaction volume shrinks, which is often the main force "washing the market" or "waiting for the opportunity to rise"; if the sandwich is suddenly broken (increasing volume breaking above sell orders / breaking below buy orders), it is a trend initiation signal.
2. Transaction Volume Matching: "Volume-Price Matching Degree" Defines True and False Actions
Any real intention of the main force requires "transaction volume" as evidence - actions without transaction volume are often deceptive:
1. Increasing Volume Actions (Real Intentions)
- Increasing Volume Rise: At low prices / early in the rise, large orders actively buy, transaction volume increases, signaling the main force's "absorption" and "rising";
- Increasing Volume Fall: At high prices, large orders actively sell, transaction volume increases, signaling the main force's "selling" core signal;
- Increasing Volume Fluctuation: At mid prices, transaction volume increases but the stock price does not rise or fall, often indicating the main force is "washing the market" (continuing to rise after turnover).
2. Decreasing Volume Actions (Trend Continuation / Deception)
- Decreasing Volume Rise: At high prices, the stock price rises but transaction volume shrinks, indicating "no volume rising", the main force is unable to sustain, often indicating "inducing upward selling";
- Decreasing Volume Fall: At low prices, the stock price falls but transaction volume shrinks, indicating "no volume falling", the main force has not escaped, often indicating "end of washing the market" (about to rise);
- Decreasing Volume Sideways: Transaction volume is extremely shrunk, indicating the main force is "controlling the market waiting for news", after breaking through the trend will accelerate.
3. Time-Sharing Chart Abnormality: Observing Intentions from "Sudden Rise / Sudden Fall / Sideways"
The time-sharing chart is the "dynamic trajectory" of the market, the short-term intentions of the main force are most directly reflected in the time-sharing:
1. Sudden Rise (Time-Sharing Steeply Rising)
- True Rise: Accompanied by increasing transaction volume during the sudden rise, does not fall back after rising, or has support during the pullback (decreasing volume adjustment), is the main force "actively rising";
- False Rise (Inducing Upward): Transaction volume shrinks during the sudden rise, quickly falling back after the rise (increasing volume drop), is the main force "raising to sell" (attracting retail investors to chase the rise and then smashing the market).
2. Sudden Fall (Time-Sharing Steeply Falling)
- True Fall (Selling): Accompanied by increasing transaction volume during the sudden fall, does not rebound after falling, or rebounds without strength (decreasing volume rebound), is the main force "smashing the market to sell";
- False Fall (Inducing Downward): Transaction volume shrinks during the sudden fall, quickly rebounding after falling (increasing volume rebound), is the main force "suppressing and washing the market" (scaring retail investors to sell their shares).
3. Sideways (Time-Sharing Flat)
- High Position Sideways: Increasing transaction volume, frequently large orders selling, is "selling sideways";
- Low Position Sideways: Shrinking transaction volume, occasionally large orders buying, is "absorbing sideways";
- Rising While Sideways: Shrinking transaction volume, sideways then breaking through with volume, is "washing sideways" (building momentum to continue rising).
4. Order Withdrawal and Transaction Details: Key to Exposing the Main Force
The main force's "false orders" will definitely be exposed through "order withdrawal", and transaction details can further confirm intentions:
1. Order Withdrawal Signals
- Quickly withdrawing orders after placing them (especially large orders): Often indicates "deception" - for example, placing large orders to support at high positions, retail investors chase the rise and suddenly withdraw the support order, then smash the market to sell; placing large orders to pressure at low positions, retail investors panic sell and suddenly withdraw the pressure order, then rise.
- Not withdrawing orders after placing them, continuous transactions: is a "real action" - for example, low position support orders continuously eaten but not withdrawn, indicating the main force's absorption; high position pressure orders continuously eaten but not withdrawn, indicating the main force's rising.
2. Transaction Details
- Direction of Large Order Transactions: Frequent occurrence of "active buy orders" (outside), indicates the main force is buying; frequent occurrence of "active sell orders" (inside), indicates the main force is selling.
- Accumulative Effect of Small Orders: It seems like small orders are being executed, but the accumulated volume is extremely large, and the direction is consistent (mostly small buying or small selling), indicating the main force's "breaking into smaller pieces" operation (to avoid detection).
Practical Core Formula:
"Order Watching True or False (Whether Executed / Withdrawn), Volume Defines Direction (Increasing Volume True / Decreasing Volume False), Time-Sharing Distinguishes Strength and Weakness (With Support True / Without Support False)" - The key to observing the market is "cross-verifying multiple details", a single signal has little meaning, and only a combination of signals can accurately judge the main force's intentions.
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