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Late Jan 2026 Bounce Play: ETH & SOL Counter-Trend Long Setups
As of late January 2026, and are both showing the same “recovery bounce” behavior on the higher timeframes after a sharp dip—buyers stepped in hard at the local lows, price is stabilizing, and the short-term structure is trying to turn bullish. That said, the bigger picture over the last 90 days is still clearly bearish for both, so these setups are best treated as counter-trend longs (meaning you take what the market gives, protect quickly, and don’t get married to the trade). For ETH/USDT, the clean long idea is to buy the retest in the 3,000–3,025 zone, where price should act like support if this bounce is real. The first logical take-profit is around 3,111, because that lines up with the 4H MA(99) area (a common “brick wall” where price pauses or rejects). If ETH can break and hold above that zone, the next push is toward 3,185, which is the prior swing-high region and a natural magnet for price. If the setup fails, the invalidation point is a drop back under support—so the stop-loss at 2,910 keeps the risk controlled and avoids sitting through a full reversal. For SOL/USDT, the plan is similar: I’d look for entries around 127–128 only if SOL keeps holding above the reclaimed support and doesn’t snap back into the previous range. The first profit area is 134.5, again because it lines up with the 4H MA(99) resistance, and that’s usually where momentum trades either break out cleanly or get slapped back down. If SOL powers through, the next upside zone is 142–146, which is a known supply/sell area from January price action and likely where sellers reappear. On the downside, the trade is invalid if SOL loses the base it built—so the stop at 122.5 keeps it tight beneath the recent consolidation support. Because both ETH and SOL still have strongly negative 90-day trends (around -24.76% ETH and -35.90% #SOL in your notes), the smart play here is to be a bit “greedy with entries, cautious with exits.” In plain English: don’t chase pumps, take partials near resistance (especially near the purple MA(99) lines), and consider using a trailing stop once price starts paying you—so if the market rips higher you stay in, and if it snaps back you keep your profits instead of round-tripping the move.