$BTC sopra $75K: breakout or trap? The price is climbing, but the structure matters more.
What's going on: - Movement partly driven by leverage and short squeeze - Spot flows are present but not dominant - Thin liquidity under $73.5K, resistance above $76.5K
Macro neutral: supports the price, not a parabolic rally. The key point -> Unstable equilibrium: accumulation below, distribution above.
$BTC ~$76.5K (+2-3% 24h). VIX ~19. WTI ~$87: less inflationary pressure. Constructive base below, short leverage above. The rest is noise.
Structure (what matters) MVRV ~1.2: far from true capitulation LTH supply ~78%: accumulation in progress, not extreme STH-SOPR 0.92-0.96: selling at a loss, stress but no final panic Negative funding for 46 days: crowded shorts, fuel for squeeze Exchange reserves at a 7-year low: reduced supply
Key levels $74,000: support (previous confirmed resistance) $78,700: decisive resistance Above $78.7K accepted: space towards $83.8K MA200 ~$87.5K: above this level changes the macro story RSI ~64: neutral, room to move
Upcoming catalysts April 22 (ceasefire Iran): stability reduces pressure, escalation heads to $70K April 28-29 (FOMC): Powell hawkish pushes towards $68-70K, neutral opens the breakout End of April: US Treasury TGA expected to peak ~$1T, absorbs liquidity from the private system. Adds pressure independent of Powell.
Playbook (horizon 1-2 weeks) Bull: holds $74K and accepts >$78.7K, extension towards $83K+ Bear: loses $74K, return to $72K-$70K No need to predict everything: need to react to the levels that matter.
WHALES AND US LIQUIDITY Who is buying and who is selling $BTC at this moment? The answer is less simple than it seems. On the buying side: on-chain whales (wallets >1,000 BTC) have accumulated 270,000 BTC in 30 days, the monthly maximum since 2013. Reserves on exchanges are at a 7-year low: 2.21 million BTC. BlackRock IBIT absorbed $505 million in just two days (April 14-15). Strategy bought 14,834 BTC in a single day through its STRC tool. On the selling side: the same whales that had accumulated during the 2024-2025 bull market are now distributing near their breakeven. The Exchange Whale Ratio has risen from 0.34 to 0.79 in a few months, a signal that large holders are using exchanges to sell. The result is a "flow war": the flows offset each other, the price does not crash but does not explode. On the macro front in the USA, the situation is more complex than that. The Fed ended QT in December 2025. The Standing Repo Facility disbursed $74.6 billion on December 31, an absolute record. Banks are taking liquidity from the Fed using Treasuries and MBS as collateral. The TGA (the current account of the US Treasury) is expected to peak at about $1.025 trillion by the end of April, which absorbs liquidity from the private system. It is not QE: it is technical liquidity management to keep the bond market afloat. The dollar is structurally weakening, which is historically bullish for BTC as an alternative store of value. But the Fed will not cut: CPI above target, oil still above $87, Powell's term ending in May. In summary: US liquidity supports the floor, does not fuel a rally. Whales accumulate but sell at breakeven. The market is in unstable equilibrium. #Bitcoin #BTC #Whales #MacroAnalysis #FederalReserve #OnChainData #CryptoMarket #Hodl
The largest crypto exchange in Poland collapses, and no one can find the man who holds the keys.
The withdrawal crisis on Zondacrypto has frozen millions of customer funds at Poland's largest cryptocurrency exchange. The company cites a wallet containing 4,500 BTC as proof of solvency, even though no one can move the coins present.
The private key belongs to founder Sylwester Suszek, who sold the exchange in 2021 and disappeared in March 2022. Regulatory authorities, prosecutors, and the country's prime minister are now surrounding the company.
------- Ready for the next leg down of $BTC ? Source: Yahoo finance.
pathetic, the crypto world is revolutionizing finance and these dinosaurs are trying to sell us the euro and government bonds with a sound of taxes.
carina smit
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From January 1, 2025: the exemption threshold of €2,000 is eliminated.
From January 1, 2025: the exemption threshold of €2,000 is eliminated. This means that any capital gain, even minimal, will be taxable. 5. Future scenarios and distinction between “classic cryptos” and euro tokens (2026 onwards) According to the current regulatory framework, the taxation at 33% (from 2026) will apply to capital gains from “classic” crypto-assets (e.g., Bitcoin, Ethereum, non-euro stablecoins, NFTs, etc.). However, the draft of the 2026 budget law (October 2025) includes a reduced rate of 26% for “electronic money tokens denominated in euros” (i.e., euro-compliant stablecoins, pegged to the euro, with reserves in euros in Europe).
@Binance BiBi is it true that this block has reduced circulating liquidity and that upon reopening a thousand billion dollars will be poured in, resulting in a market pump?
_Zoe_
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BREAKING: U.S. GOVERNMENT REOPENING DEAL IN SIGHT!
#美国政府停摆
After weeks of political deadlock, Democrats have finally compromised, bringing hope that the U.S. government may soon reopen — and Wall Street is already reacting!
Key Developments:
Budget Bill Standoff: Republicans pushed for a quick budget approval, while Democrats demanded added measures — including extended Affordable Care Act (ACA) subsidies and restored healthcare benefits for legal immigrants.
Trump’s Hardline Stand: The Republicans refused to include those provisions, with Trump declaring he’d hold firm and blame any fallout on the Democrats.
Democrats Blink First: Senate leader Chuck Schumer has now proposed a new plan — separating healthcare extensions from the budget, while extending ACA tax credits for one more year.
Although Republicans still rejected the offer, insiders suggest room for negotiation remains — especially with 40 million federal workers unpaid for over a month.
Economic Reality Check: If the government stays closed much longer, cash flow dries up, confidence plummets, and a sharp market recession could follow.
Analysts predict a deal could be reached next week, reopening the government and restoring market optimism.
Market Impact: Stocks rebound from their slump Crypto stabilizes after recent pullbacks Liquidity could start returning across major markets
XRP l'ETF Boom Sta Arrivando! 🚀 XRP in pole position per il 2025: primo ETF spot USA live su Rex-Osprey (inflows $1B stimati!), chiusura epica Ripple-SEC con whale che accumulano $560M, e previsioni $4-6 entro dicembre su cross-border payments (RippleNet $9T milestone). X brulica di "XRP to $10" – il rally altseason è qui! HODL o salite a bordo prima del pump? Chi vede l'ATH? 💥 #XRP #Ripple #ETFXRP #CryptoFOMO $XRP
LINK and the RWA Revolution is Coming! 🚀 Chainlink is dominating 2025: integration with Stellar for DeFi/RWA cross-border (+10B$ in payments), Deutsche Bank launches EURAU stablecoin on 6 chains with CCIP MiCA-compliant, and dYdX returns to the USA with Chainlink oracles for spot ETH/SOL! X is going crazy for the breakout triangle – target $21-24 by December, and bold $50 on RWA boom. HODL or climb now? Who sees the next x2? 💎 #Chainlink #LINK #RWA #CryptoFOMO $LINK
AVAX Ready for the Pump of the Century? 🚀 Avalanche is gearing up for a Q4 explosion: ETF filing from VanEcc/Grayscale with a deadline of October 26 (90% approval chance, estimated inflows $1B!), TVL over $5B thanks to gaming subnets and partnerships with Visa/Toyota/FIFA. On-chain activity is skyrocketing, and X is buzzing with rumors of +50% to $30-45! HODL or hop on board now? Who sees the next ATH? 💥 #AVAX #Avalanche #CryptoPump $AVAX
Current price: $2.51 USD (+1% in the last 24h), with a range between $2.47 and $2.55 and trading volume of over $235M USDT.
Trend: XRP has bounced from $2.2, stabilizing for a possible breakout above $2.7. It added $75B to the market cap, returning to $158B, but faces pressure near $2.77-$2.94.
Key news: Ripple releases 1B XRP from escrow today, a liquidity boost that could drive bullish momentum.
Outlook: Bullish in the short term, monitor the $2.7 for confirmations. #XRP #Binance #Crypto
🚀 AVAX and LINK: Ready for the Q4 breakout? With Avalanche just surpassing 5B$ in TVL thanks to gaming subnets and Chainlink integrating CCIP with Stellar for RWA cross-border (boom of 10B$ in payments), these two giants are gearing up for a +20-30% on ETF catalyst.
But you, HODL or sell at the first bounce? Let me know in the comments! 💬
I know, the moment is not entirely positive for crypto in general, but there is still a rough and promising stone on the horizon.
StakeStone continues to shine in the DeFi world: on October 9, 2025, it reached a new ATH of $0.2338, with bullish sentiment confirmed by 19 positive technical indicators! And it’s not over: the 200-day MA has been on a clear upward trend since October 24, signaling a strong and resilient trend. With the recent listing on Coinone and partnerships like the one with @AEACoin_CTO, $STO is set for an explosive Q4 in the LST market (TVL already over $2B!).
If you are accumulating, this is the time – $STO has a rather steady performance and is also suitable for trading operations with bots that take advantage of sideways price fluctuations. Every investment carries risk, so do not allocate more than you can afford to lose.
France is the most economically colonialist country in the world, but in the future it will no longer be able to rely on certain revenues. The problem is the European politicians, not just the French ones.
lucas_1987
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October 24, 2025
FRENCH CITIZENS TO PAY GLOBAL TAXES
🇫🇷 France just officially proposed global taxation for the National Budget of 2026.
French citizens will pay taxes on their global income if they relocate to a region with a tax rate 40% lower than France's.
European countries are going broke and will be looking to seize their citizens' assets earned abroad.
I just can't wrap my head around why folks want to move to Europe and the US.
in reality, if you read, it's not as clear as you wrote. it's a widespread interpretation, but not confirmed. it's the usual Italian mess.
SiFa04
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⚠️ BUDGET MANEUVER 2026: FURTHER INCREASE IN TAXATION ON CRYPTOCURRENCIES IN ITALY ⚠️
The draft of the budget maneuver 2026 in Italy introduces new, significant taxes on cryptocurrencies.
In this draft, there is an attempt to regulate the crypto sector, but be careful: many of these new measures represent a further tax tightening compared to the past.
Key points on taxes:
- Tax rate at 26% for stablecoins in euros. For profits derived from electronic money tokens pegged to the euro (stablecoins), the tax regime changes from 33% to a more favorable 26%. This applies exclusively to stablecoins backed by euro reserves, which will be subject to this reduced rate. However, simple conversions between euros and stablecoins or refunds in euros do not generate taxation.
- Increase of the tax rate to 33% for all other cryptocurrencies. The taxation of capital gains on cryptocurrencies that are not stablecoins could rise from 26% to 33% starting in 2026, primarily affecting trading and investment activities.
- No exemption threshold. While in the past there was a threshold of 2,000 euros above which capital gains were taxed, as in 2025, this threshold appears to be eliminated, thus increasing the tax burden for many investors.
These measures represent a further tightening of the tax framework on crypto in Italy, making it more burdensome to invest in and manage these assets in 2026.
The tax strategy will need to be even more accurate, and the regulations are moving towards a strengthening of controls and taxation, without completely inhibiting the sector.
This maneuver, therefore, while promoting some forms of stability and regulation, seems aimed at increasing taxation in the cryptocurrency sector, confirming the trend of progressive tax tightening. #italy #Taxes #CryptoNewss
He knows he's under surveillance. If he's truly an insider, he'll have to hide it now. He's made $160 million. If he bets $70 million, he'll lose part of it and remain profitable.
Ihtisham_Ul Haq
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🚨BREAKING:
TRUMP'S INSIDER WHALE JUST OPENED A MASSIVE $77M $BTC SHORT
impossible. behind the lira there was gold. today the mica rules prohibit it, otherwise you could buy $paxg. you should put in euros or dollars and so ... we will see $lcxg
MA86S
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"If the Italian Lira were to return as a cryptocurrency, leveraging the power of smart contracts for automation and artificial intelligence for stability, could it achieve the solidity and economic relevance it once had?"$BNB #euro #italy #crypto #sviluppatori Italian programmers come on createeeeeee 😎😎😎Even Italy must have a strong crypto💪💪💪💪💪💪
No one predicts the future, but the fundamental data indicate a wait-and-see, not yet bear market. Altcoin's ETF approval is expected at the end of lockdown, so wait the new bull.
TradingShot
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BITCOIN vs Dollar's Cycles. Has the new BTC Bear Cycle started?
This is as simple as it can get. And obviously, it is not the first time we give you this chart. This is a cross-asset comparison between Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) illustrated by the black trend-line. It represents the Cycles of the two assets, typically negatively correlated across the span of 15 years. As you can see, when the USD bottoms and starts a new Bull Cycle, BTC tops and starts a new Bear Cycle. Similarly vice versa with USD's Bull Cycle tops against BTC's Bear Cycle bottoms. So the million dollar question is whether the USD has bottomed again. Based on the 4-year Cycle Model and as the Sine Waves illustrate on this chart, it may have. It is no surprise that while the DXY has formed Higher Lows since July 07, BTC has topped and turned sideways on ranged trading with a new Low made on last Friday's crash. It is not necessary for the USD to break upwards aggressively in order for BTC to start dropping aggressively into its new Bear Cycle. As Jan - March 2018, Jan - March 2013 and May - August 2011 have shown, the USD may range sideways, as long as it is a clear sign of bottom formation, while Bitcoin is already into its Bear Cycle. So the conclusion is that as long as the USD keeps trading sideways without making a new Low, it is quite like for Bitcoin to be entering its new Bear Cycle. Sound planning, calculated profit taking and gradual (to say the least) de-risking may be required. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! #BTC #bitcoin #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #signals
I hold ena,but it's not pumping,so I averaged the price yesterday.Analysts expect Ena to be above 0.70 by the end of October.IMHO,it's a good diversification in the altcoin season.
BlockchainBaller
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I’m adding more $ENA to my holdings as most of you know, I’ve been holding it since last month and already made solid profits..... This looks like the perfect dip to accumulate more.... Who else is buying with me...???
advice? if we are here it means we don't have any. but study the Bitcoin cycle, we are almost at the peak. before entering altcoins, study them, avoid memecoins. study the defi.
Alessia05
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Hello guys, I am brand new to Binance. I am starting out on Revolut but I'm almost ready to begin here. I would accept any kind of advice if someone can give it to me, preferably real.. I seek solidarity, not spiteful wars that already exist in the world. I think we all have a goal, if we can help each other, let's do it. Thank you all in advance ☺️🙏
So no studies, no indices, no graphs. well, congrats. Anyone who uses software worth thousands of $ to make forecasts, statistics, and reads macroeconomic news is a fool
Square-Creators-000000006710
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Bullish
I am 35 years old. I started trading cryptocurrencies at 25 and I have been in this sector for 10 years. Some people ask me: have I made money over the years? The answer is simple: from 2020 to 2022, my account surpassed 8 digits. Now I can afford to stay in hotels that cost 2000 a night, living more comfortably than many octogenarians working in traditional industries or in e-commerce. What is the secret? It is not talent or luck, but a simple and absurd "343 phase investment method". With it, I earned more than 20 million consistently. Let’s take BTCA mode as an example: Step 1: 3 — Start slowly Assuming I have 120,000 as capital, I will first use 30% (36,000) to test the waters. A small position, a stable mindset, and a manageable risk. Step 2: 4 — Later phases If it goes up, wait for a pullback to add more. If it goes down, add 10% for every 10% drop, gradually completing the 40% position. This way, regardless of market fluctuations, you can average the cost. Step 3: 3 — Final addition When the trend stabilizes, add the last 30%, making the whole process clean and efficient. This method sounds “stupid”, but sometimes stupid things last longer. In the market, the hardest part is not finding a miracle trade but controlling greed and fear. I have seen many people suffer huge losses overnight by taking shortcuts, while I trust in “calm, no greed, and staged investments”. The result is that while others chase highs and sell lows, I can walk away with a steady pace. Brothers, do not underestimate the “stupid method”; it is the true ATM in the world of cryptocurrencies.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
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