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BlackCat Analysis
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How my trading strategy truly operates from the perspective of a profitable trader
I started trading in 2016. After 9 years of experiencing all market conditions, I came to a very clear conclusion: trading is not about prediction. I only focus on a few familiar pairs like $BTC , $ETH , $SOL and view trading as a series of decisions in an uncertain environment, repeated with discipline and risk control. Most newcomers are wrong right from this point, and that is why they keep struggling.
🎯BTC 62K: $188 MILLION SHORT WALL BEING BUILT AT 63K — LAST TIME THIS HAPPENED, THE MARKET CRASHED 🔴 1. $188 MILLION — A WALL OR BAIT? Whale Orders on the right — 63,000$ pushing straight up to $64,200, a series of Sell Limit orders stacked: $23.91M, $17.05M, $16.26M, $13.39M... a total estimated at $188 million is firmly blocking the path above. — The sharks are setting a trap, not panicking. ⚠️ 2. HISTORY REMINDS US — AND IT DOESN'T TELL A PLEASANT STORY Below, buying pressure is much thinner — the most significant buying cluster is concentrated at 58,000$ –58,500$ with about $95M. If the 63K wall holds and price reverses, the gap between 62K and 58K is almost unprotected.
🔥 STRATEGY — TWO SCENARIOS, ONE CALM APPROACH Scenario 1 — Wall Breached, Path to 68K Opens: If BTC pushes up and closes a candle confirming a break above 64,181$ — the $188M wall starts to get absorbed, triggering a chain of Short Liquidations. The path towards 65,800$ –67,500$ even 68,000$ is wide open with no obstacles. Only enter a Long position after a clear candle closes above 64,181$ — don’t jump in before the wall actually falls. Scenario 2 — Rejected at 64K, Landslide to 58K: Price approaches the 63,000$ –64,181$ range but buying pressure isn't strong enough to break through — the $188M wall pushes back hard, price reverses to retest $60,744. If this level fails to hold, the gap below is nearly empty — the downward momentum could extend straight to 58,000$ –58,500$. Stay completely out if price breaches 60,744$ — don’t catch a falling knife when there’s nothing to catch it below. #BTC #BTC走势分析 #BTC☀
🔥CPI TONIGHT WILL SPARK VOLATILITY FOR THE ENTIRE MARKET
At 7:30 PM tonight, the US will release the CPI inflation data — and this is not just a number to watch for fun. In a market that’s extremely sensitive, even a slight deviation from the expected CPI can cause crypto, stocks, gold, and USD to shake violently.
The CPI for April unexpectedly rose to 3.8%, higher than the forecast of 3.7%, and the market immediately reversed sharply down to the current point.
🎯 SCENARIO 1: CPI AT 4.2% OR HIGHER If the overall CPI hits or exceeds 4.2%, this will be a very bad signal for risk assets. Hot inflation returning, coupled with good Non-farm data from last week, will make the market worry that the Fed will need to keep rates high for longer and might even consider raising rates again this year.
With this scenario, guys should absolutely avoid FOMOing into Long positions right when the data drops. The market is very likely to have a strong sweep, especially for those using high leverage.
🎯 SCENARIO 2: CPI BELOW 4.2% If the CPI is lower than expected, the inflation pressure will somewhat ease. At that point, market sentiment may be more relaxed, giving risk assets a chance for a short-term recovery. A lower CPI doesn’t mean going all-in right away. We need to wait for price action confirmation, not trade based on emotions.
🔥 Currently, the market is betting 98.2% that the Fed will maintain its interest rates, but there are still many expectations that the Fed may have to raise rates this year if inflation continues to be hot.
Whatever the data shows, I will react according to that scenario. Hot CPI means prioritizing defense. Cooling CPI means waiting for recovery confirmation. No catching falling knives, no FOMOing on the first candle, and not letting a news event wipe out the account #CPI数据 #BTC #CreatorpadVN
🇮🇷 Iran is targeting US military bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan after US airstrikes on Iran.
🛢️ Despite both sides continuing to retaliate, oil prices are still holding below the $90/barrel mark. US ETF cash flow (9/6🇺🇸 - 10/6🇻🇳) 🔴 BTC: -$77.44 million 🔴 ETH: -$40.85 million ⚪️ BNB: $0 🟢 XRP: +$7.44 million 🟢 SOL: +$794.27 thousand #CreatorpadVN #Binance
🔥🔥🔥 CRYPTO 10/06/2026: BOOKIE CONTINUES TO THREATEN BTC TO DROP NEAR $61K - HODLERS, HOLD TIGHT, NO CUTTING LOSS AT THE BOTTOM!
🟣 BTC has dipped back down to around $61,443 (-2.21%). This correction is mainly to liquidate the remaining Long positions stubbornly holding on and to scare off the weak hands into selling. 🟣 XRP (-2.97%), SOL (-2.39%), ETH (-2.24%) have slightly dropped to $1,630, and BNB (-1.74%). Altcoins that were flying high before, like the derivative beast HYPE (-8.56%) or DOGE (-1.59%) and ZEC (-1.44%), are also getting crushed by the big guy today. The bookies are pushing everyone into a pretty frustrating situation! 🟣 Dominance: The dominance index has slightly decreased to 58.17%. BTC is down, and with dominance falling, it shows that the big money is panicking and temporarily moving into Stablecoins (dollars) to ride out the storm instead of dumping Altcoins. Altcoin holders during this time need to be patient, keep a steady hand, and wait for the storm to pass.
🔹 CONSIDERATIONS 🟣 General Situation: The nature of a major Uptrend season always has these brutal shakeouts to force traders to sell off their positions at low prices. As long as the crucial support around the $60k - $61k range holds, the chance for a recovery is still intact! 🟣 Strategy: Spot Holdings: Selling in times of panic like this is a quick way to fall into the cutting loss trap at the bottom. Just hold tight. If you're in cash (USDT), keep it safe for now; no need to jump in early, wait for the big guy to establish a solid bottom before splitting your capital to buy. Trading: In this phase, the risk of account liquidation is extremely high, so don't foolishly jump in to "catch a falling knife" or Long recklessly at this moment. Stay put and preserve your assets through this storm. #BTC #BTC走势分析 #BTC☀
❌ UPDATE: BTC – ETH ARE RECOVERING, BUT DON'T RUSH TO CALL A BOTTOM! 🎯 1. STRATEGY WITH BTC: 67.1K IS THE MOST CRITICAL TEST After reacting quite well at the psychological support level of $60,000, BTC has seen some short-term buying pressure and is currently trading around $63,000. This is the first positive signal after a series of sharp declines, but it's still not enough to confirm that the market has reversed. The area you all need to keep an eye on right now is around 67,100$. This is a strong resistance on the H4 timeframe and also the zone where the Bears might come back to apply pressure.
🔥🔥🔥 HERE COMES A SEVERE PULLBACK TO A BULL MARKET, BTC IS BOUNCING BACK TO $63K - TIME TO HODL AND REAP THE REWARDS, GREEN IS BACK IN FULL FORCE 🟣 BTC: Just keep a cool head and you’ll definitely be rewarded! After a brutal beatdown from the market makers, today our 'big brother' BTC made a remarkable comeback, surging strongly to $63,044 (+2.44%). The buy-the-dip pressure from the whales around the $60k support level was top-notch, halting the downtrend and reigniting the excitement across the entire exchange.
🔥🔥🔥 MARKET OVERVIEW: MARKET MAKERS ARE SWEEPING CLEAN ALL PRICE LEVELS, BTC IS PLUMMETING NEAR $61K - HOLD ON TIGHT TO YOUR ACCOUNTS, FOLKS! 🟣 BTC: Today's volatility hit us harder than expected, folks. The market makers are laying down some brutal moves, smashing through the $62k support and forcing the big guy, BTC, to retreat deep to around $61,196 (-3.36%). This sharp correction is hitting the weak hands hard and wiping out the liquidity of those stubborn Longs. Right now, the big player is struggling to hold onto the last bastion around the $60k - $61k range, so take a deep breath and stay calm, everyone.
- U.S. chip stocks lost over $1 trillion, while crypto lost nearly $200 billion in market cap. Last night, both Wall Street and crypto went to hell: - BTC hit a low of $59.1K on the night of 05/06, the lowest since October 2024. It has lost over 19% this past week. - $1.75 billion from 351K traders got liquidated in 24 hours. - ETH is in worse shape, dropping to a 13-month low around $1,540. - Crypto market cap evaporated by about $200 billion just in this wave. It's had a slight recovery since. On the U.S. stock side, the chip sector took the heaviest hit:
❌ BTC UPDATE – ETH BREAKS IMPORTANT SUPPORT, DON’T RUSH TO CATCH THE BOTTOM OR YOU'LL BECOME ILLIQUID! 🎯 1. BTC PLAN: 65.2K HAS NOW BECOME THE HARDEST WALL BTC is currently trading around $61,500 after losing support at $65,000. On both the Daily and H4 charts, the price remains below the EMA 34 and EMA 89, indicating that the Bears are still in full control of the game. Notably, the $65,200 level is no longer a support. Once broken, this area has turned into the most significant resistance for BTC in the short term.
Specifically: 5,200 BTC + 20,000 ETH The interesting part is... Last night, BlackRock also deposited around 7,000 BTC (~$400 million) onto the exchange, and this BTC was almost entirely sold off 😅 So sometimes you guys see: 👉 ETFs still net buying 👉 Institutions still accumulating
But prices keep dropping. The reason is that the market isn't just about buyers. There are also those taking profits, rebalancing portfolios, or realizing gains.
❌BTC 62K: $1.63 BILLION LONG BELOW HAS BEEN CRUSHED ⚠️ 1. THE BELOW IS NEARLY EMPTY — THE SHARKS HAVE CLEANED IT OUT ALREADY Looking at the left side of the map — Cumulative Long Liquidation below the current price is just $1.63 billion. After a series of dumps over the past 180 days, almost the entire leveraged Long squad has been crushed and completely liquidated. What does this mean? The sharks have harvested most of the Long liquidity below. The momentum to continue dragging the price down further is increasingly dwindling.
❌ BTC – ETH TECHNICAL RETRACEMENT, WATCH OUT FOR THE BULL TRAP! Right now, both BTC and ETH are trading below the EMA 34 and EMA 89. This means the Bears are still in control of the main trend. Any bounces at this point should only be seen as technical retracements until the market proves otherwise. Don't get caught FOMOing into the price just because you see a few green candlesticks. In a downtrend, the most beautiful bounces often catch traders off guard the most.
$BTC 🇺🇸🇮🇷 New military strikes between the US and Iran have pushed oil prices up about 2%. Iran claims to have targeted US military bases in Kuwait and Bahrain, while also hitting a vessel near the Strait of Hormuz after the US military used missiles to strike a Botswana-flagged oil tanker heading to Iran's Kharg port.
📈 At the same time, US Treasury yields continue to rise, with the 10-year Treasury yield reaching 4.493% after a stronger-than-expected ADP jobs report.
Currently, the US economy is feeling pressure from both sides, with escalating war risks and economic data still holding strong. Meanwhile, the stock market is still buoyed by excitement around AI. ACE is considering going long, just so you know...
🔥🔥🔥 ABSOLUTELY DO NOT PANIC SELL AT THE BOTTOM 🟣 BTC: The market today is really bloody. The whales are throwing a savage uppercut, dumping their bags and sending 'Big Brother' BTC plummeting straight down to $66,748 (-5.53%). This brutal drop has shattered all short-term support lines, wiping out all Long positions and forcing weak-handed traders to panic cut losses. Right now, it’s looking for a foothold around the $65k - $66k range to staunch the bleeding, so take a deep breath and regain your composure.
$CHIP just hit 4104, shorting back to 3705 to liquidate longs, this one is quite a nasty dev, no market makers and no floor cleaning participation, cutting off the legs of the table, looks like a promising project but it's not playing fair or nice,