羡羡的加密日记

Please listen to my sincere words patiently, coin traders!

Whether you hold BTC tightly, love ETH, or are optimistic about BNB, please pause your busy trading and take a few minutes to feel my advice from the bottom of your heart.

When the halo of the coin circle allows you to achieve financial freedom, remember the following nine "don'ts", they may help you avoid many unnecessary twists and turns.

First, don't let people around you peek into the secrets of your coin trading. In this world, those who understand will naturally understand, no need to say more.

Second, don't easily expose your income. Income charts and asset charts are all triggers for jealousy and trouble, so it's better to keep a low profile.

Third, don't show off your rich life in the circle of friends. Except for close relatives, few people really hope that you live better than him. Excessive show-off will only attract unnecessary jealousy.

Fourth, when you have a huge fortune, you should also keep a proper distance from old friends. Many predecessors in the coin circle have chosen to live a low-key life after gaining financial freedom, and even gradually drifted away from their past friends.

Fifth, gambling and drugs, don't touch these two things! Gambling will ruin your psychology, and drugs will ruin your physiology. Once you are infected, the consequences will be disastrous.

Sixth, don't easily call people stupid B, harmony is the most important, and getting angry will only affect your fortune. When you meet those who consume you, just stay away from them, no need to say more.

Seventh, don't take the initiative to do good, and don't pity others easily. Everyone has his own destiny, and being yourself is the greatest contribution to the world.

Eighth, don't invest in areas you don't understand. Remember, people can never make money beyond their own cognition, and blind investment will only make you lose all your money.

Ninth, resolutely don't touch physical entrepreneurship unless you are passionate about it and don't make money as the only purpose. In the current economic environment, physical entrepreneurship is extremely risky, and if you are not careful, you may be unable to recover.

These are advices, but I sincerely hope you can listen to them. Although the currency circle is good, you must also act with caution. I hope you will be more stable and go further and further on the road of currency speculation.

Which are the best altcoins?
Deflation coins:
BNB, FLOKI, SHIB
Fully circulated coins:
PEPE, BOME, PEOPLE, NOT, WIF

$MAGMA
The market has seen a significant pump with the update to version 2.0. This is the first AI automated market-making mechanism on the Sui blockchain, boasting fast response times and zero spreads on trades, offering much better liquidity than older models.
The charts have consistently been trading above the midline of the Bollinger Bands, with the MACD showing a brief dip, but the overall bullish trend remains intact. Support is at 0.170, with resistance at 0.214 and 0.253.
This is a low-cap AI coin, so it's best to take a small position and ride the bounce.

$SPACE
E Spot trading allows for continuous low buy-ins on token pairs with rocket potential, high recognition, and a relatively small market cap. The initial market has fully corrected, and there’s a chance we could see a quick pump in the upcoming movement.

The short position on the pancake was perfectly timed, and the market trend is completely consistent with my previous predictions. The price has just rebounded to 7.65, the short selling point, and has just formed the right shoulder of the head and shoulders pattern. Now that the top pattern has formed, it will start to decline, so just hold onto the short position without making any moves.

$BTC
BTC daily line has basically peaked. The possibility of rising above 78,300 is particularly small. Because previously, the price was suppressed when it hit the daily EMA resistance level, last night's close saw a two-day decline after a previous bullish candle, with all the gains from that bullish candle wiped out. The weekly chart also closed with a long upper shadow, indicating a very clear peak signal.

In the short term, the price is still in an ascending channel, but whether there is a rebound followed by a decline or a direct break of the channel, the trend is very clear — as long as there is a rebound, one can go short, approximately around 76,500; just go short heavily at this point.
Currently, the price has temporarily hit the lower edge of the ascending channel, which has support. It is not easy to break through on the first hit, and it is a position that the bulls need to defend. If it does not break, there will be a rebound, with the rebound high points looking at the Fibonacci levels: 0.5 corresponds to 76,000, 0.618 corresponds to 76,500, and 0.786 corresponds to 77,300. The higher it goes, the greater the pressure; there is a high probability that it will not touch 77,300, at most reaching 76,500.
If it rebounds to 76,500 (which is at the 0.618 position), it will form the right shoulder of a head and shoulders pattern, and then decline again. The lower edge of the ascending channel (neckline) will definitely be broken. Once broken, it will formally enter a downtrend, targeting at least 70,500, and possibly even lower.

The Hong Kong Web3 conference is about to start.

$CFX
In previous years, there have typically been market movements before and after the conference, which is a regular occurrence in the Hong Kong sector. The current price is around 0.065, which is not high; with the recent rotation of altcoins, it can easily rise due to favorable news.
Short-term support is at 0.060; if it falls below 0.057, consider reducing positions or stopping losses. This coin often has significant upward momentum; spot trading can be directly arranged, and contracts can be participated in lightly, waiting for the start.

$ETH
The current trend is slightly weak, but if BTC reaches a new high, ETH is likely to surpass 2400. I have adjusted the short entry range to 2430-2450, still at the original planned short position. The quick recovery from this dip reduces the likelihood of a direct drop; the probability of continuing to rise is greater, and I will wait to short after the rise.

$BTC
BTC small level quickly dipped and then rapidly rebounded, the bullish support is not weak, and there is a high probability that it will make another push for a new high. Although the indicators are already showing a top divergence, the price is still moving up. I have adjusted the short order point to around 76,800, placing an order close to the upper edge of the rising channel, preparing to short here.

As the leader of the Meme sector, $PEPE
's every move always attracts market attention.

Recently, the trend has clearly been in a consolidation phase, with weak upward momentum, making the market feel quite tedious. However, positive signals have emerged on the data front: in the past 24 hours, the open interest (OI) of PEPE contracts surged by 20%, rising to $228.67 million, with short-term funds betting on a rebound.
At the same time, large holders are quietly replenishing: addresses holding between 100 million and 1 billion coins continue to increase, and whales holding over 1 billion coins control 36.4 trillion PEPE, steadily increasing their positions, showing a clear expectation for future market performance. Coupled with the previous submission of ETF-related applications for PEPE, the interest and market attention have remained consistently high.
At this position, if holding contracts cannot withstand fluctuations, it is better to position in spot and patiently hold to wait for the market to start.

$BTC
The 15-minute trend is in a small triangle oscillation, and it is about to reach the end, soon it will choose a direction. I think it will first surge upwards; only by pushing it up can we enter for a short position. Once it breaks through, it is highly likely to touch around 75,800.

$TRUMP
: Currently, the attention is particularly high, and there is a short-term upward trend. The movement is a slowly rising wedge, and the price has already touched the upper resistance level. The key is to see if it can break through; once it does, it is very likely to start rising rapidly, and the overall trend is still quite good.

$BTC
BTC Latest Trend: This wave of rebound is basically the next high point, consistent with previous judgments, with the current high point near 75,400. The bullish wedge has not yet completed, and the market looks relatively strong, but the rise lacks volume support, making it likely to be a false signal.

The plan is to wait for the rebound to end and then short in batches, with the entry range between 75,800 - 76,300. If there is no volume, it will be difficult to touch 77,000. From the perspective of chip liquidation, there is a dense chip area near 75,800, with less selling pressure above and more chips below, making it likely to quickly pierce this area before falling back. Specific operations: short between 75,800 - 76,300, and add shorts in the range of 76,500 - 77,000, temporarily following this idea.

$TON: This time has welcomed an important upgrade, Catchain 2.0 has officially launched, and the transaction speed is as fast as sending a message. The short-term support is in the range of 1.32-1.35; if the price can stabilize, it can be bought in batches. With favorable news, there is a high probability of rebounding and breaking through the upper pressure.

$BTC
After the volatility of BTC, there was another wave of rise, peaking around 76,000. I originally wanted to short at this position, but there was no clear signal indicating a peak yet, and it was too late, so I gave up directly. My thought process has always been that without a peak signal, I won't casually open a short; missing out is fine, but getting trapped is troublesome.

This sudden small-level surge is actually a trap to induce shorts. Once the price touched the upper edge of the ascending channel, it surged and then fell back, forming a head-and-shoulders pattern. Most of the short positions entered earlier have been stopped out. Now the price has returned, and there is a high probability it will continue to induce longs.
A peak signal has now appeared, and the trend is likely to form a complex head-and-shoulders top. The left shoulder has two small peaks, and the right shoulder is expected to also form two peaks, with one already formed. After a subsequent pullback to the neck line, there is a high probability it will push up to another small peak. The plan is to open shorts in batches in the range of 75,000 to 76,000, adding positions at 76,300. If the pattern holds, the initial target below will be the lower edge of the channel at 71,500, or even around 70,500.

$币安人生
It has been rising continuously, and many Chinese coins have followed suit, with lobster being one of them. It has now stopped falling and stabilized, moving in a bullish wedge, and it somewhat resembles a rounded bottom. Whether it can form a rounded bottom later is still uncertain, but in the short term, it hasn't peaked, and there is a high probability that it can surge again, with the first resistance level around 0.012U.

It can basically be confirmed that RAVE, MYX, COAI, and AIA are being controlled by the same group.

Their tactics are very unified: first, they pump up the leading coin RAVE to create a profit effect, increasing from 0.2 to over 12 dollars in a week, with very few pullbacks during the rise. Once RAVE starts to adjust, the funds immediately turn to pump MYX, doubling in one day, and the trend closely follows. More notably, after RAVE's surge, the old coins COAI and AIA from the same batch also begin to rebound and show volatility.

Historically, these coins have all experienced a sharp surge, followed by a deep crash to harvest profits. Now, with the leader generating heat, coins from the same series are being activated in turn, and the signs of fund rotation are very clear. One can continue to monitor this batch of coins for opportunities.

$MYX
: It is an old cryptocurrency from the previous Alpha sector, which previously surged over a hundred times. Compared to RAVE, RIVER, and COAI, MYX is an older altcoin. When the market experiences a strong rally, funds easily flow towards it.
The spot control rate of MYX exceeds 96%, the contract positions are abnormal, and there are almost no transfers on-chain, which is a typical case of high control. Be cautious of both long and short explosions, and make sure to take profits in batches; absolutely do not chase the high. Ultimately, the market makers' frenzied rally is just to later offload and reap profits.

$BTC
The future trend of BTC is very clear. This wave of accelerated decline is the first phase of the drop. If the small-scale trend is stronger, it might rebound to around 7.18w or 7.2w, and then continue to drop; if the trend is weak, the entire small-scale decline continuation pattern will accelerate the drop again. Regardless of which scenario, the overall outlook is bearish.
For those who have already taken profits and exited, just wait for this wave of small-scale rebound to enter the market for shorting again. This wave's low point will be at least 6.9-6.8w, which is also the target for my short position to finally take profit.

$BTC
BTC has broken out of the ascending wedge, which is a typical signal of a peak. I opened a short position around 72,500, and added to my position above 73,000. I will continue to hold the position, aiming for around 69,000.

If the weekend continues to fluctuate, there is a high probability of a downturn on Monday; just hold the short position firmly. For those who haven't entered the market yet, you can short directly at the current price around 72,700, with a stop loss set above 74,000.