Arup 368

$ARB Current Trend: Consolidating with a Bearish Bias
📝 Technical Indicators Synthesis:
1. Volume Analysis: Reviewing the K-line data, the most significant volume spikes coincide with massive price declines. This is a classic sign of capitulation selling. Recent volume has been average, with no significant volume on small up-moves, suggesting a lack of strong buying conviction.

2. Capital Flow Data: This is a critical bearish signal. The contract net flow is deeply negative over the 3D, 5D, and 7D periods (e.g., -7.92M over 7D). This indicates a significant exodus of leveraged capital from the market, a strong sign of a loss of confidence. The positive 24H flow is a tiny outlier in a sea of negative data. Similarly, the spot flow is consistently negative across all major timeframes, indicating selling pressure from spot holders. This overarching capital flight is a major headwind for any sustained price recovery.
⚡⚡Analysis Result
$ARB Direction: Cautiously Bullish for a Short-Term Bounce.
While the longer-term capital flow and trend are decisively bearish, the confluence of short-term technical indicators suggests a high-probability scenario for a tactical, counter-trend long play.
📍Entry Timing:
Aggressive Entry: On a confirmed bounce from the support level (~0.1922).
Conservative Entry: Wait for a break and close above (0.2123) to confirm the bounce has legs, then enter on a retest of that level as support.
🗑️ Stop-Loss Setting: 0.1785 below support
💰 Target Price: 0.2249 USDT
{future}(ARBUSDT)
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