疯狂的加密老船长

SPCX, I've got a take:
Bloomberg reported on June 5: All underwriters, including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, have received directives not to accept IPO subscription orders from any investors in mainland China or Hong Kong (including private banking high-net-worth clients).
Reason: SpaceX rockets and Starshield defense tech are under U.S. control (ITAR regulations), and the U.S. has marked mainland China and Hong Kong as high compliance risk areas. Companies are proactively isolating themselves to avoid regulatory penalties;
Restriction: SpaceX's official site and IPO roadshow materials block mainland/Hong Kong IPs, so you can't view subscription documents or participate in the allocation.

We're talking about Elon Musk's company that reaches for the stars — SpaceX, which folks are calling 'Spacex'. They're about to make a huge move with an IPO that could be the biggest in history, it's absolutely insane!
Latest scoop: 'Spacex' has officially submitted its IPO application, ticker symbol SPCX, and it’s definitely hitting the Nasdaq. The date is set: June 12th for the official launch, no beating around the bush!
How wild is this IPO? The numbers are literally jaw-dropping!
Valuation: $1.75 trillion - $2 trillion (around ¥11.9 trillion), worth more than half of Tesla, it’s two Moutai bottles behind!

Listen up, folks, I've got a money-making scoop! Elon Musk's SpaceX is gearing up for the biggest IPO in history, and this news has rocked the global markets. Binance is already ahead of the curve, launching the SPCX USDT perpetual contracts, allowing us retail traders to hop on early without waiting for the US stock market to go live!
Let's get real: How powerful is SpaceX? This isn't just a small-time player! On May 20th, they officially filed for their IPO with the ticker SPCX, aiming for a valuation of $1.8 trillion and looking to raise $75 billion, shattering all previous IPO records! What does that mean? It's like combining several Teslas into one! They're not just building rockets; they hold three major trump cards: ✅ Reusable rockets, crushing launch costs and monopolizing the global launch market; ✅ Starlink, the global satellite internet, which is already raking in big bucks, projected to generate $18.674 billion in revenue by 2025; ✅ xAI, Musk's AI venture, packed directly into the IPO, combining AI and aerospace into a double whammy!

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Market Divergence
: As Bitcoin oscillates around $88,000, market funds are quietly rotating. Today's data shows that about 65% of cryptocurrencies are still declining, but a few assets have emerged with independent trends.🚀 Hotspot Catching: Among them,Concordium (CCD) is the most eye-catching, with a dailysurge of 31.78%; in addition,Hyperliquid (HYPE) also increased by 22.12%. This may indicate that while mainstream assets are consolidating, market funds are seeking new narratives and opportunities.Will you choose to wait and see during the oscillation of mainstream assets, or actively seek and position yourself for these 'Alpha' opportunities? What other assets have you noticed that are rising against the trend?

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Market plummets
：Just early this morning, the market experienced another manifestation of the 'FOMC curse'. After the Federal Reserve meeting, Bitcoin accelerated its decline, dropping nearly 1.51% within an hour, at one point
falling below $88,000。🏛️ Regulatory changes：What is more noteworthy is thatat this moment (January 29)，the White House is convening a crucial meeting, gathering giants from the banking and crypto industries, trying to push forward the stalled (CLARITY Act). The core point of contention in this meeting is:whether holders of stablecoins can earn interest。Standard Chartered has warned that this could trigger massive outflows of bank deposits.

After a week of pullback, some key indicators are starting to flash signals worth关注. Data shows that the current market may have entered the 'oversold' zone.
Data: The daily stochastic indicator for Bitcoin is at an extremely low level of 15-16%, suggesting it is in a 'severely oversold' state. Meanwhile, mainstream assets like ETH and XRP have seen their 30-day MVRV values enter negative territory, indicating that the average cost for recent buyers is now above the current price, and market selling pressure may have been released.
Opportunity: During market adjustments, it is the time to review and layout. Reminder to pay attention to platform dynamics:

This morning, the cryptocurrency market reached a critical juncture. The Federal Reserve announced it would maintain interest rates, and the market reacted calmly, with BTC still fluctuating around $89,000. However, a meeting that could have far-reaching implications is taking place in Washington.
According to a report from Caixin, the White House will convene executives from the banking and cryptocurrency industries today (January 29) to discuss the cryptocurrency bill that has stalled in the Senate. This sends a strong signal: the comprehensive regulatory framework for the cryptocurrency industry in the U.S. may be entering an accelerated drafting stage.
The industry is at a crossroads. On one hand, a PwC report indicates that institutional participation has 'passed the point of no return'; on the other hand, the market has recently experienced significant volatility, with the total market capitalization briefly falling below $3 trillion. Clarification of regulations will be a key step towards the market maturing and stabilizing in the long run.

Dear friends, a new week begins, and the market is holding its breath for a few "bombshells." The core focus for the week of January 28, 2026, is undoubtedly the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and the earnings reports of tech giants like Apple and Microsoft. Any slight movement in the traditional market could trigger a chain reaction in risk assets.
For the cryptocurrency market, the performance of $BTC is particularly critical. Over the past week, the price of Bitcoin fluctuated between $85,000 and $90,000, and its correlation with U.S. stocks (especially the Nasdaq index) has once again become a focal point.
My observation point:

On Thursday, a wave of sell-offs hit the US stock market, with the S&P 500 index briefly rising before falling nearly 4%, evaporating over $2.7 trillion in market value. Nvidia's stock also dropped over 8% as the positive impact of its earnings report faded. The cryptocurrency market was similarly affected, with market capitalization dropping slightly over 7% on Thursday to just above $3 trillion. Bitcoin fell below $85,000 for the first time since April, and market liquidations surged to $829 million. Both the US stock market and the cryptocurrency market have fallen into the 'extreme fear' zone.
BTC
Analysis of the reasons for the decline
Multiple factors intertwined: macroeconomic concerns and technical market factors working together. The November employment report to be released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on December 16 is viewed by some as a trigger for the sell-off, but analysts believe this is only part of the reason. The market decline is more a reflection of mechanical fluctuations, indicating a shift in market dynamics.

U.S. President Trump made strong statements at the U.S.-Saudi Investment Forum on Wednesday, suggesting that if the Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates, he would fire Treasury Secretary Bessenet, and mockingly stated, 'The interest rates are too high; if it cannot be resolved quickly, I'll fire you.'
However, the Federal Reserve independently decides on interest rate policy based on economic data, and firing Bessenet does not help lower interest rates. Recently, several Federal Reserve officials have also expressed caution about inflation and are inclined to oppose further interest rate cuts.
Bessenet
Trump often criticizes the Federal Reserve and Chairman Powell. The Federal Reserve only began its interest rate cut cycle in September this year. He admitted that Bessenet privately advised him not to fire Powell. Although he has publicly expressed a desire to replace Powell multiple times, he backed down this spring when his close aides warned of financial market turmoil. Trump also hinted that Bessenet was the rational voice urging him to keep Powell, while Commerce Secretary Ross was more inclined to advocate for a firing.