文野反向开单指标
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From now until the end of the year, the most important thing is to protect the principal. If the principal is wiped out, even the best opportunity to buy the dip is useless.
According to Dow Theory, the market needs to go through three stages of decline.
· First Stage (Distribution Period): Visionary investors sell off because stock prices are too high, and the upward momentum weakens.
· Second Stage (Panic Period): Public news about economic deterioration and declining corporate profits leads to widespread panic selling, resulting in the most severe drop.
· Third Stage (Despair Period): After experiencing consolidation, desperate investors sell off at any cost due to loss of confidence, dragging down even quality stocks.
Currently, we are in the second stage; although it is a panic period, it is not yet despair. There will still be another wave of decline: the first drop from 110,000 to 90,000, the second from 90,000 to 70,000, and the third from 70,000 to 50,000.
The market has been consolidating for two months now, and it is very likely to drop for a few weeks this month or next, followed by another two months of sideways movement. Therefore, theoretically, the best time to enter this year would be in July or August. A true bottom must be accompanied by despair, and there may be significant news creating a panic atmosphere. The market script could be a easing in the Middle East in April, leading to a technical rebound to entice buyers and short sellers for liquidity, followed by a downward trend starting in late April or early May.
Of course, don't naively think that buying in July or August will guarantee a rise; it is also possible that the bear market will last until the mid-term elections next January. A prolonged downward trend will deplete retail investors' confidence. In reality, the best strategy is to invest regularly in a few months. #BTC走势分析
According to Dow Theory, the market needs to go through three stages of decline.
· First Stage (Distribution Period): Visionary investors sell off because stock prices are too high, and the upward momentum weakens.
· Second Stage (Panic Period): Public news about economic deterioration and declining corporate profits leads to widespread panic selling, resulting in the most severe drop.
· Third Stage (Despair Period): After experiencing consolidation, desperate investors sell off at any cost due to loss of confidence, dragging down even quality stocks.
Currently, we are in the second stage; although it is a panic period, it is not yet despair. There will still be another wave of decline: the first drop from 110,000 to 90,000, the second from 90,000 to 70,000, and the third from 70,000 to 50,000.
The market has been consolidating for two months now, and it is very likely to drop for a few weeks this month or next, followed by another two months of sideways movement. Therefore, theoretically, the best time to enter this year would be in July or August. A true bottom must be accompanied by despair, and there may be significant news creating a panic atmosphere. The market script could be a easing in the Middle East in April, leading to a technical rebound to entice buyers and short sellers for liquidity, followed by a downward trend starting in late April or early May.
Of course, don't naively think that buying in July or August will guarantee a rise; it is also possible that the bear market will last until the mid-term elections next January. A prolonged downward trend will deplete retail investors' confidence. In reality, the best strategy is to invest regularly in a few months. #BTC走势分析
$CHZ Forget it, forget it. I originally made a few grand here, and now I'm just giving it to you. I'm done, it's too annoying, hahaha. Plus, it won't pump if I don't short it 😃
Alright, I've just chilled out. Today, I really impressed myself with these two trades. First off, I went against the trend and added to my position, and I closed right at the bottom. Gonna stay cool for a week or two. Even though the losses are just unrealized gains, I still need to keep an eye on my position size and risk management 😂#CHZ
Yeah, I FOMO'd in. This spot is about right, even if it’s not the perfect entry, it's better than missing out.
It's been too frequent; I'm basically working for the exchange. From now on, I’ll try to change this issue, take fewer trades, and focus on long positions. I'll be back in three months.
After raking in two grand with 5 consecutive winning trades over the past couple of days, I took a hit on the 6th trade at opg, losing just 63u. Still, I need to keep my cool; winning streaks can really cloud your judgment. Steering clear of altcoins is the right move, or maybe I should only dive in when I'm fully composed and confident. #OPG
$CHZ Wow, woke up and added more to my position, bringing my cost basis to 0.05. I'm setting my stop-loss at 0.048; if it dips below that, I'm out. Targeting 0.08.
$CHZ Regarding CHZ, it’s definitely one of the most solid bets right now, expecting over a 50% pump in May. The only hitch is the crazy volatility caused by the BTC dip; I’m sitting it out and sticking to spot instead of derivatives. After that October dip, contracts can really wreck you.
There were definitely some impulsive moves made. We can patiently wait for CHZ to pull back to 0.044 to add to our position, and if BTC hits 75K, we can close out most of our shorts. Let's wait for better trading opportunities; typically, the midline of the Bollinger Bands will retrace within 12 hours. #CHZ
$CHZ This slow decline followed by a pump is a bull flag, while a gradual rise is a bear flag. Generally, a good entry point is when it dips to half the length of the big bullish candlestick.
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