马哥说势

Today's Market Analysis of Big Pancake!

Bull-Bear Watershed: $109,000 has become the core contention point in the short term. If it falls below this level, it may accelerate the decline to the $108,000–$107,000 range, even testing the $100,000 integer level (the "Bull-Bear Watershed"). If it stabilizes, there is hope for a rebound to $112,000–$114,000.

On September 26, BTC fell below $109,000, with a 24-hour drop exceeding 4%. Ethereum also fell below $4,000, triggering liquidation for 290,000 people. 95371
On-chain whales are buying the dip (3 new addresses purchased $283 million in ETH), but retail funds continue to flow out.

Bearish View: Risk of Pullback Increases

Trend Break: BTC daily line fell below the Vegas channel ($109,500), and ETH effectively fell below $4,000, both indicating a medium-term weakening. 466379
Leverage Liquidation Pressure: If BTC falls below $108,000, nearly $390 million in long positions face strong liquidation risks. 58

Bullish Logic: Rebound Opportunities Still Exist

Key Support Zone: $108,000–$107,000 is a historically dense transaction area. Some analysts believe the pullback is in place and suggest accumulating positions in batches.
Altcoin Rotation Expectation: BTC's market cap share has dropped to 61%, and funds may shift towards mainstream altcoins like ETH and SOL.

Short-term Trading
Lightly test long positions near $108,500, stop loss at $107,800; if it rebounds to the $111,500–$112,000 area, go short.

Medium to Long-term Holding
Spot holders retain core positions and accumulate in batches if it urgently drops to the $105,000–$100,000 range.

The current market is at a sensitive turning point, requiring close monitoring of U.S. PCE data, Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, and ETF fund flows to avoid unilateral bets.

Pancake short-term market trend

Key levels:
Support level: $111,000 (strong daily support), breaking may lead to a drop into the 102,200–101,100 range;
Resistance level: $113,800–$114,500 (rebound pressure zone), $115,000 is the dividing line for bulls and bears.

Bullish resistance signal: After dropping to $111,400 on September 24, there was a significant rebound, with some institutions adding positions in the 109,000–110,000 range.
Bearish trend risk

Technical breakdown: Bitcoin has broken below the upward channel trend support, and Ethereum has lost the $4,000 mark, triggering expectations of accelerated decline.
Short position strategy: Some traders have placed short orders near $114,500, with stop-loss set at $115,500, targeting a drop to 102,700.

Do not challenge and then analyze this path!
Morning Ethereum Analysis:

Key Support and Resistance Levels
Support Level: $4000 has become a dividing line for bulls and bears, with multiple pin tests not breaking effectively (for example, after a pin test near $4000 on September 24, it rebounded). If it breaks, it may drop to the 3800-3600 range.
Resistance Level: 4260-4300 is a strong short-term resistance; after breaking through, it may challenge the high of 4428-4600.
If BTC cannot stabilize at 115000, ETH is hard to strengthen independently; pay attention to the leading linked effect.

Bullish and Bearish Views and Operating Strategies:
Position Basis and Strategy
Bullish - Build long positions in batches in the 4000-4100 range, stop loss at 3960; - If it breaks through 4300, then look bullish up to 4600. Breaking below 4000 may trigger stop loss, dropping to 3500.

Bearish - Short at 4200-4260 on a rebound, target 4000-3800; - After confirming the head and shoulders pattern, chase shorts down to 3600. If it breaks through 4300, need to stop loss to prevent a short squeeze.

Operating Suggestions: Avoid blindly chasing highs and lows; pay attention to the confirmation signals for BTC 115000 and ETH 4300 breakthroughs.
Let's summarize: ETH is in the 4000-4300 oscillation range, and the direction choice is imminent. Bulls must strictly maintain a stop loss at 4000, while bears should be wary of sudden policy benefits; retail investors should hold light positions and wait for BTC to stabilize before deploying ETH ecological coins.

I also have real things, do you really think I’m a robot just because I send profit orders every day?

Today, Brother Ma will analyze the current market dynamics and core trends of Ethereum for you:

Current price and key levels (as of September 25, 2025)

Technical support and pressure:
Key support level: $4000 (psychological barrier), if broken, it may drop to the 3800-3500 range;

Key resistance level: $4250-4300 (short-term rebound resistance), if broken, it is expected to test $4428-4600.

Fluctuation range: Personally, Brother Ma believes ETH will fluctuate in the $4000-4300 range in the near term, waiting for a direction to be chosen.

Market long-short game:
Bullish logic: $4000 repeatedly verifies the effectiveness of support, presenting a bottom-fishing opportunity;
Bearish logic: The daily downtrend remains unchanged, if $4000 is lost, it may trigger panic selling.

Technical patterns and short-term signals:
Trend structure:
4-hour level: at the end of a descending triangle consolidation, with a 60% probability of continuing downward;
Daily level: if the weekly close is below $4100, the mid-term target points to $3500.

Operational strategy divergence:
Aggressive long position: Lightly buy on dips between $4000-4100, with a stop loss set at $3940; 2347
Rebound short position: Layout at highs between $4210-4260, targeting $4000.

Liquidation and liquidity:

The single-day plunge on September 22 triggered $1.7 billion in long position liquidations, setting the highest record since 2021, showing that market leverage risk is extremely high; 5568
Institution BMNR invested to increase their holdings by 260,000 ETH (approximately $4500 cost), providing short-term bottom support.

To summarize:
Short-term: High sell low buy in the $4000-4300 range, decisive stop loss if the level is broken;
Mid-term: If it stabilizes above $4300, a B-wave rebound is expected; if $4000 is lost, the probability of a deep correction to $3500 increases;
Long-term: Regulatory landing + ecosystem expansion constitutes fundamental support, with the average holding cost of the treasury company (approximately $4500) as a mid-term anchor.

Operational advice: Use light positions to cope with volatility in the short term, increase positions after breaking key levels, and focus on tracking the Federal Reserve's policies and institutional holding changes in October.

If you want to see SOL, go to my other account @翻仓大师小马哥 . If the connection is poor, switch to this account.

Brothers who make pancakes, please pay attention to my other account
@小马快速翻仓

Look how much I made on this order?

I can call this order the most perfect one. I thought it would take a little longer to complete this order, but I definitely had the right judgement on the direction; I just didn't expect to earn this much!

I'm happy and cheerful because I've already covered my expenses from going out to have fun these past two days.

10000 challenge 200000 (to the target version)

Let's arrange for the withdrawal, brothers. The challenge starts again on Monday!
Let's get it done.

Advice in the Crypto World
1: Opportunities are to be waited for; patience is required to hear the sound of wealth.
2: For investors, the most important thing is to seize the opportunities that belong to them.
3: One must not be tempted by opportunities that do not belong to them, and remain calm about opportunities that they cannot grasp; this is the composure that investors must possess.
4: It's important to have the right outlook on investment, but it's even more important to know how much to bet after getting it right.
5: Very few people can rely on predicting the short-term fluctuations of cryptocurrency prices to make big money; otherwise, they would be the richest person in the world. If not, it indicates that they only report good news and not bad news. Even if one has good luck for a time, they will ultimately face defeat.
6: If one loses a lot of money, who can maintain a good mindset? A good mindset is built on the foundation of not losing significantly.
7: The world is unpredictable, and the market is hard to measure. Studying the market is mainly to seize continuous opportunities and avoid continuous risks. Sudden, occasional rises or falls may come too quickly to grasp or avoid; this is not your fault, keep a calm mindset and do not give up on yourself.
8: You can choose not to act, but you cannot completely go against the overall direction.
9: Do not be rushed by the urgency to make money, and do not force yourself to make hasty decisions frequently.
10: Pay attention to high-probability events while guarding against the major risks that low-probability events may cause. #比特币

MYX fools can easily flip the warehouse!

This operation is too simple, look at my history record, it's either always empty or always long, really mindless operation, just pocketing it aggressively, a little fluctuation in between
for a while, and then it’s just mindless operation.

Successfully reached from one to twenty to twenty-one to withdraw coins and start over!
Is there anyone joining?

After 16 days, the challenge was successfully completed with 200,000 U!

From the initial real-time orders to MYX full of profits, there were slanders and doubts along the way, but I didn't pay any attention. Starting from a big account, there were reports that led me to switch to a small account, taking it one order at a time until the challenge was successful.

There were moments when I thought about giving up, but once the bow is drawn, there is no turning back. That's just my personality; either I don't do it, or I do it to succeed, unless I fail completely!

You guess whether this wave goes up or down!

Recently, this market is often flat, truly testing my ability to grasp the direction. My strength is right here, if you don't believe it, come and challenge me. I won't say much else, but I definitely have a firm grasp on this direction.

Follow Ma Ge and you won't get lost, Ma Ge will take you on the fast track!

From 10,000 to 200,000 (ten consecutive wins)

Currently 197260

This market is just like painting!

This market is not joking with me, there is really a fifty percent chance. If it continues like this, we should consider switching things up. This trade is still okay, be content and enjoy life! Soon to achieve ten consecutive victories, brothers, do you think I can break through?

From ten thousand to two hundred thousand (nine consecutive victories)

Currently: 191195U

Are you guys anxious about getting just this little amount?

Damn it, brothers, this order has been hanging around for such a long time and we only got this little bit, hurry up and sell it off, and directly set up for the next order. The only currency I did today that had some fluctuations was MYX, the rest like sol and bitcoin, there’s not much fluctuation, sigh, I’m still not satisfied.

Challenging 10000 to 200000 (Eight consecutive wins)

Currently 187020U

Brothers, can MYX reach new highs?

What's going on with MYX, it started to rise again after a short position, it's really frustrating. Although the directional judgment is correct, constantly going long can make one lose confidence. This coin really plays with the mindset, but making profits in USDT is real.

From 10,000 to 200,000 (eight consecutive wins)

Currently: 184373U

I knew it couldn't keep going up!

I knew this 🐶 market couldn't keep rising, it definitely had to correct at some point, luckily I caught it for a while, thinking about this market, I was definitely cut when I first entered the crypto space!

10000 to 200000 (seven consecutive wins)

Currently: 178513U

In the cryptocurrency world, no one will applaud the process of your liquidation,
And no one cares how hard you once analyzed, charted, or stayed up late watching the market.
This world only remembers one thing:
Whether you won or lost.
If you doubled your profits, countless screenshots are shared and liked;
If you liquidated, not even a single comment will be fully read.
Trading is cold, and the market is even more ruthless.
Especially in the cryptocurrency world—miss the rhythm by one step, and the outcome is zero.
So you can't rely solely on luck, nor just on passion.
You need to rely on systems, on rhythm, on the understanding that allows you to "survive."
Because no one will wipe your sweat for you, and no one will pull you out of the pit.
You must become stronger on your own and find your own way out.
📌 Written for those who are currently liquidating, still holding on, and haven't given up:
You can be ordinary, but don't easily admit defeat.
Because once you win, this world will naturally come to hear your story. Knowledge sharing #美联储降息预期升温

Can I achieve my lucky number of seven consecutive wins?

The market is sluggish, not as exciting as before, I first sold off my brothers, continuously bullish, who dares to do this, only I, the "Direction Master", dare to do this, and I am quite confident. I mentioned a long time ago that one must be confident to do this, otherwise, it will lead to a liquidation.

10000 to 200000

Currently: 169048 (6 wins)

I am really happy that my brothers have achieved six consecutive wins, I hope to reach seven consecutive wins because it is my lucky number!