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Tonight, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will speak again, and his speech usually has a significant impact on the cryptocurrency market because his statement is directly related to the market's judgment on monetary policy, liquidity expectations and risk sentiment. The following are possible impact paths and response suggestions:
The
1. The core focus of Powell’s speech
Rate hike path:
If hawkish signals are released (such as hinting at rate hikes or extending high interest rates), risky assets may be suppressed.
Dovish signals, such as hinting at a pause in rate hikes or rate cuts, could boost the market.
The
2. Potential Impact on the Cryptocurrency Circle
Hawkish comments (negative)
A stronger dollar: As the U.S. dollar index rises, funds may flow back to the U.S. dollar from risky assets (such as Bitcoin), putting pressure on the currency price.

Expectations of tightening liquidity: The market is concerned about rising funding costs, and high-volatility assets (such as altcoins) may be sold off.

Short-term reaction: BTC/ETH may fall rapidly, and leveraged long positions are at risk of liquidation.
The
Dovish comments (positive)
Risk appetite picks up: If Powell downplays inflation or hints at easing, funds may flow into cryptocurrencies, driving a rebound.

Liquidity expectations improve: A low interest rate environment is good for speculative assets, and MEME coins and altcoins may follow suit.

Sentiment repair: Fear indices (such as the Crypto Fear & Greed Index) may turn to “greed,” driving buying.
The
Neutral speech
If the speech does not exceed expectations, the market may return to its original trend after a brief fluctuation, and attention should be paid to the technical support/resistance levels.
The
Recommendations
Short-term traders:
Reduce leverage in advance to avoid margin calls due to high volatility during the speech.
Pay attention to the risks of "double explosion of long and short" before and after the announcement of the interest rate decision, and be cautious about chasing highs and selling lows.

Long-term holders:
Macroeconomic policies only affect short- and medium-term trends. If you are optimistic about the long-term value of cryptocurrencies, you can ignore the noise.

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The