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🪙 Nearly $1B inflow into BTC ETFs this week Around $996M flowed into spot Bitcoin ETFs - the strongest week since January. 📊 After a period of outflows, strong inflows are back!
👉 Signal: institutional demand is returning 🔥 $BTC $ETH $GUA
🚢 Iran opens the Strait of Hormuz - what’s actually happening💁♂️ Iran officially declared the strait open for commercial shipping during the ceasefire.
📊 But key details: • passage is route-controlled • still under Iranian supervision • temporary - tied to the ceasefire
💳 Crypto cards are gaining traction! In March 2026, monthly volume reached around $600M - more than 3x higher year-over-year. 📊 Overall: • ~22M transactions • over $6.6B total volume
👉 Crypto is slowly shifting from investing to real-world payments 🔥 $NOM $ZEC $BTC
⚡️ Trump: ready to pause strikes on Iran for 2 weeks! Markets reacted sharply: • BTC > $70,000 • ETH > $2,200 • Brent dropped ~18% - from $114 to $94
According to Trump: • military objectives have been achieved • sides are close to a long-term agreement • the US received a 10-point proposal from Iran • the pause is meant to finalize negotiations
From Iran’s side: if attacks stop - safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz will be ensured within 2 weeks, coordinated with Iranian forces 🚨 $CL
✈️ Multiple B-52s took off from a UK airbase - social media!!! Reports claim that B-52 bombers are now airborne. 👉 Contrails may indicate full combat load
📊 If heading toward Iran: estimated flight time is around 6 hours, which aligns with the reported ultimatum deadline 🚨 $BTC $ETH $XRP
⏳ BTC is halfway to the next halving The market is now in the second half of the cycle - historically, this is where stronger moves tend to begin. 🔥 $BTC $ETH $SOL
⛽️ Bitcoin network fees hit multi-year lows! BTC transaction fees have dropped to levels not seen in nearly 15 years.
📊 What it means: • fewer transactions • lower network demand • weaker on-chain activity
👉 Interpretation: often viewed as bearish - suggesting declining interest 📉 But important: low fees ≠ price drop! Historically, such periods often align with phases of calm before a major move 🔥 $BTC $XRP
🛢 Why oil is the backbone of the global economy?! Oil isn’t valuable on its own - it’s valuable because of what it becomes. 📊 Process: Oil is heated to ~400°C and separated in a distillation column into multiple usable products.
🔍 Where you see it in real life: ▪️ Gas (LPG) 👉 cooking, heating, home energy
▪️ Gasoline 👉 cars, bikes, generators
▪️ Naphtha (chemicals) 👉 plastics, packaging, clothing (polyester), electronics 👉 even your phone depends on oil
▪️ Kerosene 👉 aviation - flights and global logistics
▪️ Diesel 👉 trucks, buses, construction 👉 supply chains run on diesel
▪️ Fuel oil 👉 ships, factories, power plants 👉 global trade depends on it
▪️ Lubricants 👉 engines, machines, industry 👉 without it — systems stop
▪️ Bitumen 👉 roads, infrastructure 👉 literally the ground of the economy
📊 Bottom line: oil is not just fuel, it’s the foundation of modern civilization from food delivery to your smartphone
❌ Markets are losing confidence in Trump! Following Donald Trump’s statement, investors expected signals of de-escalation in the Iran conflict. Instead, market reaction showed increased uncertainty.
📊 Key metrics: • Brent remains above $100 • bond yields approach 4.4% • Bitcoin pulled back to around $67,000 after a failed breakout
The main pressure point is the lack of a clear strategy for the Strait of Hormuz - a critical route for global oil supply. At the same time, the U.S. effectively shifted responsibility for regional security to its allies without presenting a concrete stabilization plan.
📉 This shifted market expectations: Investors are no longer pricing in a quick resolution. Geopolitical risk remains elevated, directly impacting risk assets.
👉 For crypto, this means: • continued pressure on Bitcoin • strong dependence on macro factors • limited upside without de-escalation
💁♂️As long as the Iran-Hormuz situation remains unresolved, Bitcoin will trade in line with macro risk, driven by oil, yields, and headlines. $BTC $CL $ETH
🏛 Bitcoin-backed bonds are coming to the U.S. New Hampshire is preparing to issue $100M in bonds backed by BTC.
👉 Key points: • Moody’s rating: Ba2 (speculative grade) • collateral: Bitcoin held with BitGo • payments rely on BTC liquidation if needed • no taxpayer funds at risk
📊 What it means: • Bitcoin enters the bond market • new asset class: BTC as collateral • institutions engage through familiar financial structures
👉 In practice: Bitcoin is no longer just an asset - it’s becoming financial infrastructure in TradFi. $BTC $ETH $NOM
⏰ 04:00 - Trump to declare “victory” over Iran According to Politico, Trump will announce at 04:00 AM (ET) that US objectives in the Iran war have been achieved.
👉 At the same time: • responsibility for the Strait of Hormuz shifts to allies • the US steps back from active involvement
📊 In practice, this is: not the end of the conflict, but a transfer of risk to others. $BZ $CL $XAU