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What is the difference between seeing someone in trouble and not helping versus not taking the right path in top-level thinking?
What is the difference between seeing someone in trouble and not helping versus not taking the right path in top-level thinking? First: What does it mean to see someone in trouble and not help? Allowing close relatives to hit a wall, watching loved ones take a wrong path, quietly observing close friends fall into pitfalls. No one’s advice will lead a person to enlightenment. Only through experiences of loss, regret, injury, and low points can a person awaken and see through human relationships and the truths of the world! Please put away your good intentions and do not interfere casually in others' karma. Advising someone to be good, teaching them to make money, helping them avoid pitfalls may seem like saving them, but in reality, it depletes your own fortune and energy. The deepest practice in life is learning to grit your teeth and hold back tears while watching important people in your life take risks. Moral experiences speak of the past to enlighten others, and act accordingly. In the present, understanding may seem foolish or reckless. In the future, understanding is tied to great filial piety; lack of filial piety is insufficient for the way. Once both parties' understanding is not on the same dimension, regardless of who you are to them, they will instinctively reject and resist. Never help them make any decisions or even give hints; it will not benefit you or them.
A small boss, when his wife was pregnant, his wife wouldn't let him do anything, not even let him relieve himself, so he couldn't hold back and went out to solicit.
While soliciting, he fell for a girl, and after a deep conversation, learned that this 25-year-old girl was deeply in debt due to playing with virtual currencies and had to do this to pay off her debts. But he found that this girl spent part of the money she earned to pay off debts, while part went into exchanges to continue playing.
This man found it hard to understand, obviously deeply in debt, why would she still want to play? The girl told him that it was thrilling and there was a certain probability of turning things around; at one point, she had won over 100,000.
Then this man just wouldn't believe it, didn't believe that it was so addictive, so he wanted to try what playing contracts felt like. So, on the girl's recommendation, he registered at the exchange, initially deposited a few thousand, and started playing contracts.
In the beginning, he was making money; the thrill of opening trades and the joy of making money was indeed very addictive, and he fell deep into it. In the end, the result was that he lost 4 million over 3 years, his factory closed, he sold his house, borrowed on credit cards, online loans, and even from his relatives, totaling 1.2 million in debt.
Doesn't this story tell me - making money is hard! The so-called first step to getting back on track is to cut off the one you love! No wonder every time right after trading, it ends in disaster...😄
It's been many days since I last looked at the market and posted. I just checked on a few quality bloggers I follow (who I think are relatively pure traders), and they have either stopped updating or reduced the frequency of their posts to some extent!
This indicates that, at this stage, the market indeed doesn't have much value worth operating on... To determine whether a market is good or not, or whether it's worth engaging with, you just need to pay attention to those KOLs who usually focus on trading. When most of them have reduced their activity and are gearing up, why do you think you can make a lot of money?
So, conversely, if you notice many bloggers talking about the market, drawing K-lines, 365 days a year without a break, is there a possibility that… they are doing it for traffic rather than for trading...
And there is no right or wrong in this; everyone has a different track, but it's very important for the audience – you have to ask yourself whether you want to learn how to generate traffic or learn how to trade? If you look at KOLs who generate traffic to learn trading, what can you actually learn!
So here's a phrase: the current market is a garbage time for trading; if you should rest, then rest. When the market comes, you should act. Our money is valuable; don't trade just for the sake of trading! And don't learn to imitate others without understanding.
Is there any technical analysis necessary for this market?
The market relies solely on Trump’s drawings! The air force from yesterday didn’t have time to celebrate, and today they’re at the bottom of the sea; today’s bulls just showed off a bit, and if things go wrong, they’ll be back on the mountain tomorrow!
The whole world thought that Iran’s sister would put up a good fight, but unexpectedly, Trump’s cannon took away her underwear... It was thought to be a grand performance, but in the end, it turned out to be a dimensionality reduction strike!
It’s like a woman; after tearing off her underwear, it’s just like that. Instead, if it’s slightly hidden, there are infinite possibilities, and emotions land back to the macro! Still, buy low and sell high, and oscillate within the range!
Why is it that many people find it hard to win again after losing for a while, no matter what they do, it feels wrong, and they feel targeted! Then they fall into endless internal struggles and can't get out!
I particularly understand this feeling—it's not that the money is gone, but that the spirit has been drained; clearly, it's in the past, yet the mind is still stuck there, repeatedly thinking 'if only back then... it would have been better'.
Let me give you the most practical advice: What you're struggling with now isn't the loss, but the feelings of 'unwillingness' and 'self-denial'.
Why can't you get out of it?
It's not that you can't accept the loss, but that you can't accept that your judgment was wrong. It's not about being upset over money, but about being upset over that period of sleepless nights, anxiety, and earnest efforts that ended up in vain. The more you think about recovering losses, the more you want to prove yourself, the more you get stuck in the past.
How to slowly get out of it:
1. First, admit: this chapter is over; the money lost is already a sunk cost. The more you agonize over it for another day, the more you lose in terms of emotions, health, and opportunities. 2. Only summarize, do not regret.
Ask yourself three questions: Where did I go wrong? How can I avoid this next time? What is the smallest correct action I can take now? Once you've thought it through, stop; don’t replay the scenes. 3. Forcefully bring your attention back to the 'now'. Once a person focuses on the small things in the present, they won't be trapped in the past: Sleep well Have a good meal Make a small plan or goal Even if it's very small, as long as you're moving forward, you're not stuck in the losses. 4. Accept: everyone will lose; the skilled just know how to take the loss. The truly capable ones are not those who never lose money, but those who can acknowledge, pause, and start over after a loss.
What you're struggling with the most now isn’t money, but forgiving yourself. The past is just an experience, not the end. As long as a person is still alive, their mind is still clear, and their spirit is still there, there will be hope.
After the confirmation of Khamenei's death, a quick rebound occurred, with an intraday increase of over 5%. First a panic sell-off, then a V-shaped reversal, resulting in violent fluctuations.
Why is this happening?
1. First drop: Panic escape A major incident in the Middle East caused fear of war and risk, leading Bitcoin to be treated as a high-volatility risk asset, with funds initially fleeing to the US dollar, gold, and US Treasuries. Due to leveraged contracts, a drop causes liquidations, leading to a steeper decline. 2. Then rise: Expectations changed Khamenei is central to Iran; his death → the market feels that the conflict may cool down, and regime change is possible, which reduces risk, prompting funds to return to buy the dip. 3. Iran's hash rate impact (short-term overshadowed by emotions) Iran accounts for about 2%–5% of global BTC hash rate; instability may lead to mine closures and a decrease in hash rate, theoretically benefiting supply; however, in the short term, no one is watching this, focusing instead on sentiment. 4. Macroeconomics Middle East turmoil → oil prices rise → inflation expectations increase → Fed rate cuts may be delayed → negative for risk assets
What happens next (key depends on 3 things)
1. Iran's regime transition Smooth transition: Fluctuations recede, returning to macro trends. Internal turmoil/revenge: Further plummeting and soaring volatility. 2. Whether the US and Israel will escalate attacks Ceasefire easing: Continued rebound. Escalation: A new round of panic selling.
PS Summary:
Sudden geopolitical crisis caused a panic drop in BTC; once the death of a key figure is confirmed and tensions ease, a rapid rebound occurs; overall, it is characterized by violent fluctuations, not changing the larger direction, and it is still a bear market!
Weekend liquidity sharply decreased, and BlackRock did not intervene in the market; however, Bitcoin still couldn't rally. I had a feeling that something would happen on Monday, so I went out to play...
As expected, it plummeted early in the morning.... Waiting for the poor market conditions is the best strategy.
Continue waiting, continue waiting, continue waiting; it's important to say it three times. Wait for the U.S. stock market to open in the evening to choose the direction before considering entering the market!
Life's ups and downs all have their causes; some are greedy for power, some for wealth, and some for lust... All roots of misfortune arise from the moment the heart begins to crave... When in a low point: Stay calm, keep your heart steady, Do not blame others, do not admit defeat. Silently gather strength, quietly shine, Endure the times when no one cares, And there will be flowers and starlight waiting.
When in a high point: Avoid arrogance and impatience, guard your heart and actions. Do not show off, do not get lost, Maintain a low profile, humbly move forward. When the splendor fades, do not change your original intention.
Play long-term to see the profit-loss ratio, play short-term to see the win rate! It's not that I don't want to play long-term, it's just the current market situation, short-term has better cost-performance!
Testing the new short-term strategy on day 26, test subject: BTC/BCH BTC win rate 79 BCH win rate 87 Continue testing until the end of the month
Sometimes when encountering significant unilateral market movements, one must cut losses when necessary, and take losses when needed... Anti-trend trading won't guarantee a loss, but once a big unilateral position goes wrong, it means you have to pay a huge silent cost! During this anti-trend period, the time and energy consumption is very high, and the mental pressure is not small either. Many times, when we decide to cut losses, we are not just cutting losses on the position level, but also cutting losses on our own silent costs!
Recently there have been no live broadcasts, and the reason there are no points given is that I have been testing a new trading strategy... Currently, the testing results are quite ideal, with a win rate of around 85% and a profit-loss ratio of 1:1.5
Since the last one-sided market, I have conducted a comprehensive review and reflection on my trading strategies. I have always believed that for a qualified trader, the most important ability is not the ability to profit, but the ability to recognize mistakes. Sometimes excessive confidence equates to arrogance. Trading ultimately involves battling one's own nature and emotions; emotional instability and the aversion to losses are often the biggest problems for most traders! The market is always right. When your strategy diverges from the market, there is only one reason: your strategy can no longer adapt to the current market, and it is not about finding a comforting excuse for your mistakes; otherwise, you will never make progress... As N99 Ak said: Grow through ridicule, rise from the lows, and be born from destruction... Finally, find a trading system that suits you, because there is no perfect strategy in this world, only systems that suit your trading style. In the end, trading is: simple. From learning all technical indicators to eventually not relying on any technical indicators, we still have a long way to go. In the end, I want to say, if you are an experienced trader, you should understand what I am saying. If you are a new trader, I suggest you not to start... If you are determined to continue, you need to ask yourself if you are ready for loneliness. All words are just the road traveled so far~ Because I do not rely on traffic, do not charge for group access, and do not provide signals... I am very clear that those who can make money by trading on their own do not need to rely on traffic; conversely, those who cannot achieve significant results in trading will inevitably find themselves in this predicament.