USA says; "The US Treasury Department, through Operation Economic Fury, has targeted Iran's international banking infrastructure, access to CRYPTOCURRENCIES, weapons procurement networks, financing of terrorist groups in the region, and independent Chinese refineries ("teapots") that supply the Iranian oil trade. These actions have disrupted tens of billions of dollars in revenue."
Once again, we’re back to the headlines every hour about Iran! 😒
Ualifi Araújo
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Bullish
Once again, we were rejected in the $79.4K region, which is a strong resistance area. No big surprise so far. Even though the price has pulled back a bit more than we'd like to see, I believe this is more related to the embarrassment around discussions with Iran and the fact that we're now talking about six months to clear Hormuz and have a safe passage.
Anyway, global issues always end up interfering, but let's take a look at what we have here.
The price has returned to the green zone, around $76K, and is starting to establish some support in this region. It's still weak, but it should start to improve from tomorrow. Notice that I mentioned last time that I would have liked to see a retest in this range, and now that has happened.
The RSI has cooled off quite significantly, and the price remains firm above the EMA 100 (4H). This tends to be positive for the next bullish move.
What's really interesting here is the amount of short positions that are accumulating around $79K. It's impressive how bold the sellers are at this point. It's very likely that they'll get completely liquidated next week, which could serve as fuel to push the price higher.
Tomorrow we have the FOMC, so a pullback before the event is natural. I see no reason for panic or so many sales. The chart still looks healthy.
I hope we still have a daily close today above $77K, which would put us in a great position for tomorrow. In that scenario, we could quickly target the $80K region.
Nothing has changed. The strategy remains the same: keep the price below resistance while the sellers position themselves aggressively at the worst point of the chart, and then promote a quick rally, cornering them into a new support and driving the price to higher levels.
Once again, we were rejected in the $79.4K region, which is a strong resistance area. No big surprise so far. Even though the price has pulled back a bit more than we'd like to see, I believe this is more related to the embarrassment around discussions with Iran and the fact that we're now talking about six months to clear Hormuz and have a safe passage.
Anyway, global issues always end up interfering, but let's take a look at what we have here.
The price has returned to the green zone, around $76K, and is starting to establish some support in this region. It's still weak, but it should start to improve from tomorrow. Notice that I mentioned last time that I would have liked to see a retest in this range, and now that has happened.
The RSI has cooled off quite significantly, and the price remains firm above the EMA 100 (4H). This tends to be positive for the next bullish move.
What's really interesting here is the amount of short positions that are accumulating around $79K. It's impressive how bold the sellers are at this point. It's very likely that they'll get completely liquidated next week, which could serve as fuel to push the price higher.
Tomorrow we have the FOMC, so a pullback before the event is natural. I see no reason for panic or so many sales. The chart still looks healthy.
I hope we still have a daily close today above $77K, which would put us in a great position for tomorrow. In that scenario, we could quickly target the $80K region.
Nothing has changed. The strategy remains the same: keep the price below resistance while the sellers position themselves aggressively at the worst point of the chart, and then promote a quick rally, cornering them into a new support and driving the price to higher levels.
Ualifi Araújo
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Bullish
We've made some solid progress since the last time I updated the chart for #BTC .
We hit the $79.3K region, which is where we expected some bear reaction, and despite a slight pullback to $77.3K, we're still holding the price pretty well.
The weekend is here, and with that, some sideways action is what we should expect, especially if we can close this current 4-hour candlestick above $77.3K. Once we do that, the $79K level should be hit again at some point on Sunday. Not that it matters too much; after all, the bulls just need to keep the price above $76K during the weekly close to maintain their edge.
To be honest, I would have liked to see a bit more testing in that green zone just below the current price, but we didn't get that. Of course, the bear liquidation was good fuel for a quicker move up, and that shifted the structure a bit, but it still looks very solid.
Even though I'm watching the weekly close and giving it importance, the central focus becomes the monthly close on Friday. The bulls will need a close at $80K for us to definitively start talking about higher prices.
Buying is still being led by spot, so higher prices are more likely, and the leveraged bears will be under pressure.
Nothing has changed: The strategy remains the same, the same play again: keep the price below resistance while the bears position aggressively at the worst point on the chart, then quickly move up, corner them at the new support, and push the price to higher levels.
The delayed LONGs were quickly hunted down, especially at #BTC when it dropped to $76.5K. Of course, the cancellation of trades with Iran yesterday was a solid trigger for the BIG Bears, but soon the Bulls will be back in the game.
A bit lower and we should see BIG buyers stepping in to support the price. We’ll likely hit $80K at some point by next Monday. Looking good!
What makes me even more bullish is that, once again, the majority of Analysts and Traders are calling for $60K. The crowd is always wrong!
$80K coming soon!
Ualifi Araújo
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Bullish
We hit $79.3K #BTC as expected… now the bears are about to lose $2.25 billion.
Monday is becoming even more crucial, as we're about to attack a stronghold of the bears.
Folks, the candlesticks have been really easy to read so far, so it's natural that this starts to shift a bit; after all, traders have been having an easy ride, some challenges on the charts will be healthy.
🚨 Senator Cynthia Lummis claims that legislation regarding the structure of the Crypto market will be finalized in May.
While many panic at seeing red in their portfolios, the big long-term investors keep doing what they've always done: stacking with determination.
They grasp something simple that most overlook: the future of the crypto sector is extremely bullish.
Those who get stuck on short-term fluctuations react emotionally. Those who build wealth think long-term and act strategically.
Keep focusing only on today, and you'll likely get left behind. Success is rarely achieved by those who back down in the face of volatility; it is usually earned by those with clarity, discipline, and the guts to act when the majority hesitates. 💛🚀✊🏻
We're kicking off another week in the land of #BTC , and it's still fighting to break past $79.3K.
The Monday candlestick already started off in a dip and quickly came down to near the $77.3K zone. Totally expected, since at $80K the bears will be losing $2.25 billion, and there's no doubt they'll keep trying to push prices down from there.
The dip happened today, and naturally, the highly leveraged long positions should start to unwind, but don't rush it just yet.
Some big buyers are coming back to the charts for the new week, which should be interesting, but remember that timing and direction need to be in sync if you're trading with leverage.
Either way, some turbulence on the charts will be healthy.
Spot buyers just need a bit more time and they'll be ready for $80K.
No need to rush here.
Ualifi Araújo
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Bullish
We hit $79.3K #BTC as expected… now the bears are about to lose $2.25 billion.
Monday is becoming even more crucial, as we're about to attack a stronghold of the bears.
Folks, the candlesticks have been really easy to read so far, so it's natural that this starts to shift a bit; after all, traders have been having an easy ride, some challenges on the charts will be healthy.
We hit $79.3K #BTC as expected… now the bears are about to lose $2.25 billion.
Monday is becoming even more crucial, as we're about to attack a stronghold of the bears.
Folks, the candlesticks have been really easy to read so far, so it's natural that this starts to shift a bit; after all, traders have been having an easy ride, some challenges on the charts will be healthy.
Keep an eye on this current zone!
Ualifi Araújo
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Bullish
We've made some solid progress since the last time I updated the chart for #BTC .
We hit the $79.3K region, which is where we expected some bear reaction, and despite a slight pullback to $77.3K, we're still holding the price pretty well.
The weekend is here, and with that, some sideways action is what we should expect, especially if we can close this current 4-hour candlestick above $77.3K. Once we do that, the $79K level should be hit again at some point on Sunday. Not that it matters too much; after all, the bulls just need to keep the price above $76K during the weekly close to maintain their edge.
To be honest, I would have liked to see a bit more testing in that green zone just below the current price, but we didn't get that. Of course, the bear liquidation was good fuel for a quicker move up, and that shifted the structure a bit, but it still looks very solid.
Even though I'm watching the weekly close and giving it importance, the central focus becomes the monthly close on Friday. The bulls will need a close at $80K for us to definitively start talking about higher prices.
Buying is still being led by spot, so higher prices are more likely, and the leveraged bears will be under pressure.
Nothing has changed: The strategy remains the same, the same play again: keep the price below resistance while the bears position aggressively at the worst point on the chart, then quickly move up, corner them at the new support, and push the price to higher levels.
I've said a thousand times about the collective mistake of 99% of traders and analysts when they claim that the drop to $60K on #BTC was the maximum pain for the futures market, they are SEVERELY mistaken. The maximum pain is to the upside, with over $2.25 billion in short positions on cryptocurrencies set to be liquidated as soon as Bitcoin hits $80K.
The bears are going to get SEVERELY wrecked. The worst is yet to come (for the bears)! 😅
Ualifi Araújo
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Bullish
We've made some solid progress since the last time I updated the chart for #BTC .
We hit the $79.3K region, which is where we expected some bear reaction, and despite a slight pullback to $77.3K, we're still holding the price pretty well.
The weekend is here, and with that, some sideways action is what we should expect, especially if we can close this current 4-hour candlestick above $77.3K. Once we do that, the $79K level should be hit again at some point on Sunday. Not that it matters too much; after all, the bulls just need to keep the price above $76K during the weekly close to maintain their edge.
To be honest, I would have liked to see a bit more testing in that green zone just below the current price, but we didn't get that. Of course, the bear liquidation was good fuel for a quicker move up, and that shifted the structure a bit, but it still looks very solid.
Even though I'm watching the weekly close and giving it importance, the central focus becomes the monthly close on Friday. The bulls will need a close at $80K for us to definitively start talking about higher prices.
Buying is still being led by spot, so higher prices are more likely, and the leveraged bears will be under pressure.
Nothing has changed: The strategy remains the same, the same play again: keep the price below resistance while the bears position aggressively at the worst point on the chart, then quickly move up, corner them at the new support, and push the price to higher levels.
Sunday is shaping up nicely, with the #BTC on track for a great WEEKLY close above $78K and the REAL BULL (SAYLOR) buying more Bitcoin.
It's impressive what Saylor has been doing over the years; this guy will keep buying until there's nothing left to SELL.
While he BUYS as much as he CAN weekly, the overwhelming majority is on the SIDELINES... less than 10% of the global population is invested in Cryptocurrencies.
This means that 90% of people are still outside watching the train go by…
Meanwhile, those who got in early are experiencing the largest transfer of wealth in human history. The profit margins are HUGE for those buying now.
Look at Saylor, still negative... but he CONTINUES to buy desperately.
If you haven't invested in Crypto yet, this is your cue: The financial future won't wait for YOU.
Stop watching and start participating.
The train is leaving the station, and the ticket booth is still open.
Ualifi Araújo
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Bullish
We've made some solid progress since the last time I updated the chart for #BTC .
We hit the $79.3K region, which is where we expected some bear reaction, and despite a slight pullback to $77.3K, we're still holding the price pretty well.
The weekend is here, and with that, some sideways action is what we should expect, especially if we can close this current 4-hour candlestick above $77.3K. Once we do that, the $79K level should be hit again at some point on Sunday. Not that it matters too much; after all, the bulls just need to keep the price above $76K during the weekly close to maintain their edge.
To be honest, I would have liked to see a bit more testing in that green zone just below the current price, but we didn't get that. Of course, the bear liquidation was good fuel for a quicker move up, and that shifted the structure a bit, but it still looks very solid.
Even though I'm watching the weekly close and giving it importance, the central focus becomes the monthly close on Friday. The bulls will need a close at $80K for us to definitively start talking about higher prices.
Buying is still being led by spot, so higher prices are more likely, and the leveraged bears will be under pressure.
Nothing has changed: The strategy remains the same, the same play again: keep the price below resistance while the bears position aggressively at the worst point on the chart, then quickly move up, corner them at the new support, and push the price to higher levels.
After breaking the green zone on the chart, we shot straight for the crucial level around 7.18%. Of course, we never thought for a second that it would be an easy level to break, but we'll get there soon enough.
Notice that we’re making lower highs (orange circles), and Monday’s movement is crucial here, as it will likely mark the current price’s lower high, which will quickly bring us back to 7.18%.
This next downward move is where we need to weaken that region and drop into the red zone just below, probably putting #BTC at $85K or very close to it.
Market recovery is being led by spot buyers, even amid the chaos. It’ll be interesting to see how much we can pump once things calm down in the world.
I've said this a thousand times and I'll say it again: $98K is inevitable for BTC. And once we’re above that level, we can definitely stop debating whether “this is the bottom or not.”
Soon we’ll see the public bears saying they’ve always been bullish. It’s always the same story; they always want to look like they were right. Don’t get fooled and keep following YOUR PLAN.
Next week is going to be interesting!
Ualifi Araújo
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This is one of those old and good charts that the new generation of Traders and Crypto Analysts continues to ignore, either due to lack of knowledge or sheer foolishness.
The dominance of USDT was rejected in the region of 8.20%, a level of extreme importance for us to have a good recovery, both in #BTC and in altcoins.
We need money to return to the market, and even with the uncertainty and fear of retail around the Iran issue, we still made a good downward movement in these last 2 days. In fact, we are now approaching this green area of the chart, around 7.72%. This is where we need to start working below this level.
We are below the 200 EMA on the 4-hour chart, and the LTDA that we have been following since the beginning of March has already been broken, which looks very good at this moment. The longer we stay below the 200 EMA, the greater the probability of a drop towards 6.79% in the next two or three weeks. (Not that I care about the time here.)
As soon as we reach 6.79%, we should see BTC rise quickly and altcoins outperforming.
Of course, the movement of USDT in the short term can still be influenced by Trump's actions, but this factor should lose strength soon, which will bring more normality to the charts, especially this one.
We're seeing a pretty normal Saturday so far, with a slight dip from #BTC but still pretty normal and above $77.3K, which is where we should establish support and aim for $79K again tomorrow.
Prices started strong but cooled off quickly, an expected movement since we saw the meeting between the US and Iran get canceled, and once again, there's a fear that Trump might pull some stunt over the weekend.
Anyway, the charts for the MOST part still look really solid.
Altcoins are taking more hits today, even with a slight dip in Bitcoin, because BTC.D shot up quickly to 60.65%...it should start to cool off in the coming weeks, and then we can see altcoins continue their recoveries.
However, it’s not BTC Dominance I'm keeping a close eye on right now, but the USDT Dominance, which is once again trying to stay above 7.41%. We need to see it rejected and drop back to 7.18% (this move should happen next week).
The ETH/BTC pair seems to have found support and is ready for an upward move, which will significantly help the Altcoins...YOU WANT to keep an eye on this.
We're doing well so far, and we all know that Weekend prices are NOT reliable, so take the time to relax and recharge.
I'll update the USDT and ETH/BTC charts today 💛🤝🏻
For Traders? It's time to look for good BUY setups that should emerge for next week.
Ualifi Araújo
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Bullish
We've made some solid progress since the last time I updated the chart for #BTC .
We hit the $79.3K region, which is where we expected some bear reaction, and despite a slight pullback to $77.3K, we're still holding the price pretty well.
The weekend is here, and with that, some sideways action is what we should expect, especially if we can close this current 4-hour candlestick above $77.3K. Once we do that, the $79K level should be hit again at some point on Sunday. Not that it matters too much; after all, the bulls just need to keep the price above $76K during the weekly close to maintain their edge.
To be honest, I would have liked to see a bit more testing in that green zone just below the current price, but we didn't get that. Of course, the bear liquidation was good fuel for a quicker move up, and that shifted the structure a bit, but it still looks very solid.
Even though I'm watching the weekly close and giving it importance, the central focus becomes the monthly close on Friday. The bulls will need a close at $80K for us to definitively start talking about higher prices.
Buying is still being led by spot, so higher prices are more likely, and the leveraged bears will be under pressure.
Nothing has changed: The strategy remains the same, the same play again: keep the price below resistance while the bears position aggressively at the worst point on the chart, then quickly move up, corner them at the new support, and push the price to higher levels.
We've made some solid progress since the last time I updated the chart for #BTC .
We hit the $79.3K region, which is where we expected some bear reaction, and despite a slight pullback to $77.3K, we're still holding the price pretty well.
The weekend is here, and with that, some sideways action is what we should expect, especially if we can close this current 4-hour candlestick above $77.3K. Once we do that, the $79K level should be hit again at some point on Sunday. Not that it matters too much; after all, the bulls just need to keep the price above $76K during the weekly close to maintain their edge.
To be honest, I would have liked to see a bit more testing in that green zone just below the current price, but we didn't get that. Of course, the bear liquidation was good fuel for a quicker move up, and that shifted the structure a bit, but it still looks very solid.
Even though I'm watching the weekly close and giving it importance, the central focus becomes the monthly close on Friday. The bulls will need a close at $80K for us to definitively start talking about higher prices.
Buying is still being led by spot, so higher prices are more likely, and the leveraged bears will be under pressure.
Nothing has changed: The strategy remains the same, the same play again: keep the price below resistance while the bears position aggressively at the worst point on the chart, then quickly move up, corner them at the new support, and push the price to higher levels.
Ualifi Araújo
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Bullish
We made a daily close above $76K on #BTC , which was exactly what we needed today to maintain the bulls' advantage. With a little more time above the green range, we will be ready to seek higher levels.
Asian bulls have been doing a great job in recent days, but I hope we start to see Western bulls doing the same. This way, we can aim for $79K still this week.
So far, prices have reacted as expected. Therefore, Thursday takes on greater importance, and coincidentally we will have relevant economic data on that day. This could serve as a catalyst for a good movement.
The thinking remains the same. The same play again. Keep the price below resistance while bears position aggressively at the worst point on the chart. Then, quickly rise, trap them at the new support, and push the price to higher levels.
Notice that the bears' liquidations in the last round were essential for the continuation of the uptrend, and it should not be different now.
Although some leverage is emerging at these levels, buyers in the spot market still seem to lead prices. Negative funding is confusing most participants, but clearly, the spot is outperforming perpetual contracts, which explains this scenario.
Keep the analysis simple. The green range on the chart is where we need to hold as support to aim for $80K. Below that, bulls lose the advantage.
We will probably see an improvement in sentiment regarding Iran in the coming weeks, which tends to facilitate movement for the bulls.
We're seeing some SERIOUS panic being whipped up around the situation with MEXC, KELP, and Aave... let's take a look and figure out if all this panic is really necessary. The post from AIXBT went VIRAL yesterday, where he outlines a position supposedly tied to the MEXC exchange: $260 million in debt (mostly USDC and USDe) on Aave V3 (Ethereum), with a health factor (HF) of 1.01, racking up $110k in daily interest, a decay of 0.04% in HF per day, and a forced liquidation risk in 6-8 days (if ETH doesn't pump and no collateral is added). The collateral would be $260M in ETH + wBTC, which could trigger a cascading liquidation visible on-chain.
The same play again. Keep the price below resistance while the bears aggressively position themselves at the worst point on the chart. Then, spike up quickly, trap them at the new support, and pump the price to higher levels. #BTC
Ualifi Araújo
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Bullish
We're kicking off another week in the land of #BTC e, this time with it hitting $79K as expected.
From here on out, everyone needs to pay attention, as the Bears are likely to start making a move, given that this level is crucial for both sides.
It'll be interesting to watch what the price does from here, especially tomorrow.
Honestly, I hope the Bears keep piling on their bets against the spot buyers here, as we'll see their shorts used as fuel to push us higher.
As I mentioned before, and it’s clear it's playing out: "The same play again. Keep the price below resistance while the bears position aggressively at the worst point on the chart. Then, shoot up quickly, trap them at the new support, and drive the price to higher levels."
We should see USDT.D working below 7.18% soon. This could spark a more positive reaction in altcoins, especially over the next few weeks.
There are solid charts in altcoins, and they seem ready to keep recovering, making them good options for traders.
Tether (#USDT) freezes $344 million in USDT after requests from US law enforcement.
The Tether case (yet another) is the ultimate reminder that if you don't hold the keys, you don't hold the money. When a centralized entity can simply press a button and revoke your access to your own assets at the request of third parties, the concept of "financial freedom" becomes a cruel joke.
The End of the Illusion with USDT... USDT is the Trojan Horse of the System. The countless cases of freezing hundreds of millions by Tether are not just a "compliance action"; they are proof that centralized stablecoins are just the "old banking system disguised as technology". They offer the speed of blockchain but keep the State's control over you.
While everyone is screaming "bear market", the money is moving. Not leaving. Consolidating.
And the 2026 data proves it. Binance alone has moved $1.096 trillion in trading volume in just 112 days this year. That's nearly $10 billion a day. Every day. In a market that people insist on calling weak. But it’s not just Binance. Check out the entire ecosystem:
And there’s another detail that the Quant chart shows: Altcoins have a significant presence in nearly all volumes. Capital isn’t hiding in just #BTC , it’s exploring the entire ecosystem. Ethereum, new projects. Everything is in motion.
This isn’t speculation. This is global financial infrastructure working in real-time.
Previous Crypto cycles have always had a moment when the data confirmed what the HODLERS already knew.
In 2026, that moment is being created. Liquidity hasn’t disappeared. It has matured. A weak market doesn’t move a trillion dollars in 112 days.
A weak market doesn't exist when the data says otherwise. Are you still waiting for the "signal" to jump in?
The data already gave the signal. A while ago, the difference here is that a large part of the people is still deeply wounded from the massive liquidations of 2025 and can’t see the change happening in real-time, but soon the bearish structure of the charts will be broken and then it will be impossible for anyone to remain pessimistic. It’s a shame that it will probably be too late to buy some good projects at such low prices.
No one will regret BUYING as much as they could. The market always rewards! 💛🚀
Admiral Paparo, one of the top military commanders of the USA in the Pacific, revealed that the American army itself is running a NODE of #BTC .
Yes… you read that right!!!
For those who haven't caught on yet: a node is basically a computer connected to the Bitcoin network, responsible for validating transactions and ensuring the security of the system. In other words, it's the foundation of decentralization.
Now think with me… If one of the world’s most powerful armies is testing Bitcoin technology to secure its networks against threats, this goes beyond just being a "digital currency" and becomes strategic infrastructure.
It's not about price today… It's about utility, security, and sovereignty.
We’re talking about a technology: 1) Decentralized
2) Immune to censorship
3) Extremely secure
Validated by thousands of computers around the globe. And now… this reinforces something many still ignore:
The crypto sector is not going away. It's being integrated. Major institutions, governments, and now even military forces are exploring the potential of this technology. This is likely to further increase confidence, adoption, and consequently, the value of this market in the long run.
While retail continues to ignore and think that cryptocurrencies are just an easy way to make some "quick cash", the big players are scrambling to accumulate as much as they can during this bear cycle.
The Future is Crypto; there’s no turning back... IT'S INEVITABLE!!!
The game has already begun. Let’s go! 💛✊🏻
Ualifi Araújo
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Bullish
🚨 RUSSIA ADVANCES IN CRYPTO REGULATION
Russia is taking another significant step on the global stage by moving forward with a bill that classifies cryptocurrencies as property and allows their use in foreign trade.
What does this mean in practice? 1) Legal recognition of cryptos
2) More legal security for investors and businesses
3) Real use in international transactions
4) Reduced reliance on the traditional financial system
This movement isn't isolated... it’s another piece in the puzzle of global adoption, not just being led by #BTC but by cryptocurrencies in general.
While many still doubt, entire countries are structuring laws to integrate the crypto market into the real economy. Unfortunately, retail has been devastated for too long, and many can't see beyond the pain and anxiety.
The market operates quite simply: The greater the adoption - the higher the demand - the greater the long-term valuation.
It’s no longer about “IF” cryptocurrencies will dominate part of the financial system... But “WHEN” this will solidify.
Those who understand this moment position themselves early and don’t sweat the small stuff.
It's impossible to grasp how much we are advancing in global adoption and not feel optimistic! 💛✊🏻🚀
Russia is taking another significant step on the global stage by moving forward with a bill that classifies cryptocurrencies as property and allows their use in foreign trade.
What does this mean in practice? 1) Legal recognition of cryptos
2) More legal security for investors and businesses
3) Real use in international transactions
4) Reduced reliance on the traditional financial system
This movement isn't isolated... it’s another piece in the puzzle of global adoption, not just being led by #BTC but by cryptocurrencies in general.
While many still doubt, entire countries are structuring laws to integrate the crypto market into the real economy. Unfortunately, retail has been devastated for too long, and many can't see beyond the pain and anxiety.
The market operates quite simply: The greater the adoption - the higher the demand - the greater the long-term valuation.
It’s no longer about “IF” cryptocurrencies will dominate part of the financial system... But “WHEN” this will solidify.
Those who understand this moment position themselves early and don’t sweat the small stuff.
It's impossible to grasp how much we are advancing in global adoption and not feel optimistic! 💛✊🏻🚀