AGAIN we made a good attack in the red region on the chart where we are seeing fierce resistance, unfortunately it was not enough to break that region.
A few hours ago we had the expiration of Bitcoin options, which obviously caused some volatility, as we were over $ 4 billion. And also a significant amount of Ethereum options,
Again we returned to $90K which has been acting as good support (I added a yellow band on the chart). This region should act as support so that we can still have a good weekend with positive prices.
We had a liquidation of $140,000,000 in 60 minutes, just because the price dropped -2.50%, it's surprising, this shows how leveraged the market is, I don't understand how people can't maintain a simple strategy:
We have been trying to break $94K (red band) since November, and EVERY time without success, the nearest support is at $90K, which leaves a fluctuation channel of 5%. WHY DON'T PEOPLE WAIT FOR ONE OF THESE REGIONS TO BE BROKEN? Or simply reduce leverage so that a fluctuation within this scenario doesn't hit their liquidation prices?
Sometimes I think that people don't care about losing money in the futures market because the SIMPLEST strategy of all that I mentioned would have already avoided all these recent liquidations.
"IF YOU KEEP LEVERAGING LIKE THERE'S NO TOMORROW, AT THIS POINT, YOU WILL KEEP BEING LIQUIDATED, WAKE UP!!!"
Moving on... Let's start a new 4h candle, so this is the one that will define the next movement, so you want to pay attention to it.
The same thought: The Bulls today continue with the same goal as before (to keep $90K as support). Losing here would put us again at the lowest point of the drop, which is not a good idea. We need to recover $91.3K, as it would position us above the EMAs 50/100 (4H) AGAIN.
Ualifi Araújo
--
Bullish
$BTC
Once again, an unsuccessful attempt to break through the red zone on the chart around $93K, which continues to act as a fierce resistance.
Despite reaching $94,200K yesterday, we were unable to hold prices above the red zone and make a good daily close.
The Bulls today continue with the same objective as before (to maintain $90K as support). Losing here would put us back at the lowest point of the decline, which is not a good idea.
So, a daily close above $90K is already something good for today, but it would be even better if we could achieve something around $91.3K, as it would position us above the EMAS 50/100 (4H) AGAIN.
Despite Bitcoin being down -2% at the moment, it does not seem like a real downward movement, and it looks much more like the opposite... and we could reach $94K again by the weekly close.
Powell did not bring any clarity about the next move, but nobody really expected him to, right?!
Keep it simple here: We need to reclaim the $92K region and form strong support at that level to target $98K, which is the crucial level.
In the last 3 hours to close the daily candle, the #BTC has recovered above $91.3K which was the ideal level for today...there are still a few hours left, but it seems that the Bulls will make a very good close here!
I mentioned this close in the morning analysis. Check the levels.
Altcoins should follow the recovery soon!
Ualifi Araújo
--
Bullish
$BTC
Once again, an unsuccessful attempt to break through the red zone on the chart around $93K, which continues to act as a fierce resistance.
Despite reaching $94,200K yesterday, we were unable to hold prices above the red zone and make a good daily close.
The Bulls today continue with the same objective as before (to maintain $90K as support). Losing here would put us back at the lowest point of the decline, which is not a good idea.
So, a daily close above $90K is already something good for today, but it would be even better if we could achieve something around $91.3K, as it would position us above the EMAS 50/100 (4H) AGAIN.
Despite Bitcoin being down -2% at the moment, it does not seem like a real downward movement, and it looks much more like the opposite... and we could reach $94K again by the weekly close.
Powell did not bring any clarity about the next move, but nobody really expected him to, right?!
Keep it simple here: We need to reclaim the $92K region and form strong support at that level to target $98K, which is the crucial level.
The founder of Binance, CZ says again: "We may be witnessing a supercycle soon!"
Gentlemen, it is evident that large investment funds, Asset Managers, Brokers, and large Investors want retail out of the game; they do not want small investors to have exorbitant profits, and they do not accept that for the first time in the History of investments, it was anonymous people who arrived first and had gigantic profits.
They made the mistake of ignoring Bitcoin and Altcoins for years and missed out on the profits; now they want to completely take retail out so they can sell it to you later, much more expensively.
In a new letter, Congress asks SEC Chairman Atkins to immediately allow the use of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in 401(k) accounts.
Americans hold $9 TRILLION in retirement accounts.
If you keep focusing on short-term noise, you will fall behind, both in #BTC and Altcoins.
Create a SPOT portfolio focused on the medium/long term...focus on good coins and forget the prices.
The secret to success is being in the market when rapid and solid adoption arrives.
Remember: NO ONE can promise you that this big rise will happen in 1 month, but they also can't promise you that it won't be tomorrow. The certainty is that if you are not positioned when it arrives, then you will fall behind!
Once again, an unsuccessful attempt to break through the red zone on the chart around $93K, which continues to act as a fierce resistance.
Despite reaching $94,200K yesterday, we were unable to hold prices above the red zone and make a good daily close.
The Bulls today continue with the same objective as before (to maintain $90K as support). Losing here would put us back at the lowest point of the decline, which is not a good idea.
So, a daily close above $90K is already something good for today, but it would be even better if we could achieve something around $91.3K, as it would position us above the EMAS 50/100 (4H) AGAIN.
Despite Bitcoin being down -2% at the moment, it does not seem like a real downward movement, and it looks much more like the opposite... and we could reach $94K again by the weekly close.
Powell did not bring any clarity about the next move, but nobody really expected him to, right?!
Keep it simple here: We need to reclaim the $92K region and form strong support at that level to target $98K, which is the crucial level.
Ualifi Araújo
--
Bullish
$BTC
We made a new attack in the red region on the chart, around $93K, and this time we moved to $94.6K.
Now we must reverse the region of $92K and form strong support at that level, so we can attack $98K, which is the crucial level. If Powell helps us tomorrow with a positive statement, then we'll reach those levels very quickly.
The dominance of USDT made a good move downward, -5%, heading towards our target drawn on the chart yesterday (before the move). We should see a continuation of the decline soon, and that will put us in another upward round for Bitcoin and Altcoins.
The ETH/BTC chart also made a good advance, +4.80%, towards 0.037, which is our target. It looks really good!
The thought remains the same; Some positive clarity from Powell and we can start a good recovery in ALTS!
Powell's speech is what will determine the direction of the charts this week, so try not to focus too much on the prices.
We are doing very well IN THIS, we reached this region of 0.037 which was the first level where we would have resistance. Here it is extremely important, since at the moment we reverse here, we will go to the next orange level just above, around 0.042.
I hope to see THIS working above the orange range in the coming weeks, then you might think: SURE, BUT WE HAVE POWELL IN 30 MINUTES and we are talking about GOING UP? YES!
Even with Powell possibly saying any nonsense in the next minutes and interfering with the charts, it will not be something definitive, a larger recovery to 0.079 in the next 2 months is what we should have, so...in this chart, I am completely ignoring Powell and his nonsense.
As we rise in this chart, it is where we will see more strength in the altcoins and they taking the lead. I know the entire market is already tired and many discouraged, but time is on our side here.
The Federal Reserve reduced interest rates by 25 basis points.
The #BTC continues to hold the $92K and does not seem ready to give up on the $94K, of course... what will matter is Powell's speech, let's stay tuned for the next 25 minutes!
Ualifi Araújo
--
Bullish
If #BTC keeps strong above $92K, we should expect some volatility soon...
Stay tuned; - In 20 minutes we will have the Interest Rate Cut. - In 50 minutes we will have the FEARED and DELAYED Powell.
Don't try to guess what he will say, just keep the game simple! 🚀
Another day in the land of #BTC and now with it above $92K, it's a good place to wait for Powell.
We have just over 5 hours until the interest rate cut and Powell's press conference, so expect some volatility.
This type of event is always unpredictable, but still, I think we will cut it by 0.25Bps, but what matters is the press conference right after that, so that's where we should pay attention; there's no point in getting too caught up in speech expectations, since we know the problems Powell has with his speeches. So, if you are using leverage, be careful.
The charts may surprise positively today, let's wait and see how it goes! 💛🚀
Ualifi Araújo
--
Bullish
$BTC
We made a new attack in the red region on the chart, around $93K, and this time we moved to $94.6K.
Now we must reverse the region of $92K and form strong support at that level, so we can attack $98K, which is the crucial level. If Powell helps us tomorrow with a positive statement, then we'll reach those levels very quickly.
The dominance of USDT made a good move downward, -5%, heading towards our target drawn on the chart yesterday (before the move). We should see a continuation of the decline soon, and that will put us in another upward round for Bitcoin and Altcoins.
The ETH/BTC chart also made a good advance, +4.80%, towards 0.037, which is our target. It looks really good!
The thought remains the same; Some positive clarity from Powell and we can start a good recovery in ALTS!
Powell's speech is what will determine the direction of the charts this week, so try not to focus too much on the prices.
We made a new attack in the red region on the chart, around $93K, and this time we moved to $94.6K.
Now we must reverse the region of $92K and form strong support at that level, so we can attack $98K, which is the crucial level. If Powell helps us tomorrow with a positive statement, then we'll reach those levels very quickly.
The dominance of USDT made a good move downward, -5%, heading towards our target drawn on the chart yesterday (before the move). We should see a continuation of the decline soon, and that will put us in another upward round for Bitcoin and Altcoins.
The ETH/BTC chart also made a good advance, +4.80%, towards 0.037, which is our target. It looks really good!
The thought remains the same; Some positive clarity from Powell and we can start a good recovery in ALTS!
Powell's speech is what will determine the direction of the charts this week, so try not to focus too much on the prices.
Ualifi Araújo
--
Bullish
$BTC
We are still seeing this red band on the chart around $93K acting as resistance, this is the level we need to break through to continue moving to $98K. I've seen many people upset that we haven't broken this region yet, but don't be, keep things simple.
It is extremely important to maintain $90K as support now, this would form a new higher low, and push the price to break the red band that has been acting fiercely as resistance.
The bulls want to move to $98K and wait for Powell there, that's interesting.
Saylor continues to buy today, $963M, he is the true BULL and won't stop!
The Bitcoin chart is quite "calm", but look at the #BTC dominance chart and you'll see that it is literally in a critical situation that could initiate an aggressive move downward, and this would bring a large amount of money to Bitcoin and Altcoins. It's what I hope happens soon, since the chart there doesn't seem to have anywhere else to go, it needs a definition.
The ETH/BTC chart is extremely optimistic and is ready for us to go higher, even with Bitcoin negative NOW, the altcoins are managing to hold up very well.
Some positive clarity from Powell and we can start a good recovery in the ALTS!
Powell's Speech is what will define the direction of the charts this week, so try not to focus too much on the prices.
TODAY the Founder of Binance (CZ) states that the 4-year cycle of #BTC will come to an end and that we may witness a SUPER CYCLE.
If you need someone to tell you that ALL this manipulation is just for you to give up and stay out of the greatest cycle of all time, then you clearly still do not understand the game.
I will not sell any coins at these prices or in the coming months! 💛✊🏻🚀
Another day in the land of #BTC , and still with him trying to recover the $91K.
The bulls are forming a higher low here, we need it to continue throughout the day, so we can attack the $93K region again, which has been acting as strong resistance since we have the EMA 200 (4) in that region.
We should have a day with plenty of volatility, since Powell is speaking tomorrow, but in general... we should make a daily close today close to the current prices, so it won't change much and again Powell is the one in charge here... so let's wait to see what he says.
ETH/BTC continues to be very strong and ready to go to 0.037, which will make altcoins stronger, we need and must have this improving even more, so we can have a good relief in Altcoins.
If you are not trading with leverage, relax a bit and wait for tomorrow.
I will update the ETH/BTC chart today... yesterday I posted USDT.D, follow it, it will give you an advantage. 🤝🏻
Ualifi Araújo
--
Bullish
$BTC
We are still seeing this red band on the chart around $93K acting as resistance, this is the level we need to break through to continue moving to $98K. I've seen many people upset that we haven't broken this region yet, but don't be, keep things simple.
It is extremely important to maintain $90K as support now, this would form a new higher low, and push the price to break the red band that has been acting fiercely as resistance.
The bulls want to move to $98K and wait for Powell there, that's interesting.
Saylor continues to buy today, $963M, he is the true BULL and won't stop!
The Bitcoin chart is quite "calm", but look at the #BTC dominance chart and you'll see that it is literally in a critical situation that could initiate an aggressive move downward, and this would bring a large amount of money to Bitcoin and Altcoins. It's what I hope happens soon, since the chart there doesn't seem to have anywhere else to go, it needs a definition.
The ETH/BTC chart is extremely optimistic and is ready for us to go higher, even with Bitcoin negative NOW, the altcoins are managing to hold up very well.
Some positive clarity from Powell and we can start a good recovery in the ALTS!
Powell's Speech is what will define the direction of the charts this week, so try not to focus too much on the prices.
It is evident that almost everyone is just watching the price of Bitcoin, but they forget that the dominance of USDT is crucial for a good rise in #BTC and altcoins.
Notice that we are once again being rejected in this red zone, around 6.27% / 6.70% and it is no coincidence that we will be trying to break the green line on the chart towards EMA 50 (4h) precisely on the day that the interest rates will be decided.
The weekly chart of USDT does not look good, we are ready for a drop here, and obviously, the money should leave here for altcoins very quickly. If Powell does not delay us once again here, then we should drop faster to 4.70% in the next 2 weeks.
I know that naturally people emphasize the issue of interest rate cuts, but we have seen thousands of times that Powell's speech is much more important than the cut, so pay attention to his statements.
In any case, I think the top of this was the red zone!
A drop towards 4.70% will relieve the entire market, Bitcoin will go above $100K and the Altcoins will make a good round of rise (with superior performance).
WE ARE READY! 🚀
Ualifi Araújo
--
Bullish
$BTC
We are still seeing this red band on the chart around $93K acting as resistance, this is the level we need to break through to continue moving to $98K. I've seen many people upset that we haven't broken this region yet, but don't be, keep things simple.
It is extremely important to maintain $90K as support now, this would form a new higher low, and push the price to break the red band that has been acting fiercely as resistance.
The bulls want to move to $98K and wait for Powell there, that's interesting.
Saylor continues to buy today, $963M, he is the true BULL and won't stop!
The Bitcoin chart is quite "calm", but look at the #BTC dominance chart and you'll see that it is literally in a critical situation that could initiate an aggressive move downward, and this would bring a large amount of money to Bitcoin and Altcoins. It's what I hope happens soon, since the chart there doesn't seem to have anywhere else to go, it needs a definition.
The ETH/BTC chart is extremely optimistic and is ready for us to go higher, even with Bitcoin negative NOW, the altcoins are managing to hold up very well.
Some positive clarity from Powell and we can start a good recovery in the ALTS!
Powell's Speech is what will define the direction of the charts this week, so try not to focus too much on the prices.
We are still seeing this red band on the chart around $93K acting as resistance, this is the level we need to break through to continue moving to $98K. I've seen many people upset that we haven't broken this region yet, but don't be, keep things simple.
It is extremely important to maintain $90K as support now, this would form a new higher low, and push the price to break the red band that has been acting fiercely as resistance.
The bulls want to move to $98K and wait for Powell there, that's interesting.
Saylor continues to buy today, $963M, he is the true BULL and won't stop!
The Bitcoin chart is quite "calm", but look at the #BTC dominance chart and you'll see that it is literally in a critical situation that could initiate an aggressive move downward, and this would bring a large amount of money to Bitcoin and Altcoins. It's what I hope happens soon, since the chart there doesn't seem to have anywhere else to go, it needs a definition.
The ETH/BTC chart is extremely optimistic and is ready for us to go higher, even with Bitcoin negative NOW, the altcoins are managing to hold up very well.
Some positive clarity from Powell and we can start a good recovery in the ALTS!
Powell's Speech is what will define the direction of the charts this week, so try not to focus too much on the prices.
We are still doing well!
If you are using leverage, reduce!
Ualifi Araújo
--
Bullish
$BTC
Unfortunately, this red band on the chart has shown to be a considerable resistance. It is obvious that if we add the EMA 200 (4h), we will see why we are not able to break through there (for now).
In this current 4H candle, we made a quick move downward, but it is not different from the previous 2 candles, so a higher low is what we should start to create here. This current candle will have a lot to tell us...let's keep an eye on it!
In the last few minutes, we had $125.00.000 being liquidated; it seems that people are always willing to abuse LEVERAGE, unfortunately!
I still think we can reach $98K before Powell talks about Interest Rate Cuts; it would be ideal to have the price in that region. After all, even with a likely rate cut of 0.25bps, we will still be held hostage by what Powell will say, and we all know he has been cutting, but the statements are not going in the right direction.
Keep the game simple here: We need to recover $90k today; a close there is what will prevent us from getting stuck in a new range. It is not a good idea to retest $81K. Therefore, recovering $90K becomes paramount here.
We should see some volatility over the weekend, especially since we will be even closer to the 10th, which is decisive for the markets.
Another day in the land of #BTC e with a price action within expectations. We are at $91K, which was the level I mentioned earlier that should be recovered, and we did it!
A new attempt to break the resistance around $94K should be made soon; being above that level is ideal as we await Powell in 2 days.
The 3H Altcoins are making a still timid recovery, but we should increase that soon, especially since ETH is about to recover $3,200.00, which will position us for a larger recovery for Altcoins.
We should also observe the Dominance of USDT; it is about to start a significant decline, which will bring money back to the altcoins. Its chart looks very interesting, pay close attention!
The closer we get to Powell's Event, the more fluctuations we will have, so... if you are leveraged, make sure you are at the best point on the chart. 🤝🏻💛
I will update some charts today!
Ualifi Araújo
--
Bullish
GOOD MORNING!!!
We are starting another weekend in the land of #BTC , the price has not yet recovered to $90K, but we are moving towards that.
It’s the weekend and we should see some volatility during the weekend, so some sideways movement between $88.6K / $91K should occur. The most important thing is the weekly close/open, stay alert.
The third largest bank in France, BPCE, will allow its clients to buy and sell #BTC , ETH, SOL, and USDC.
Gentlemen, this is what large adoption looks like! Stay strong! 💛🤝🏻
Ualifi Araújo
--
Bullish
THE NEW COINBASE REPORT SAYS THAT #BTC MAY BE STARTING ITS MOST OPTIMISTIC PERIOD OF THE CYCLE, but people shouldn't have to hear this from Coinbase, just observe the announcements of New Companies entering the market.
The institutional report released by Coinbase brings a clear message: Bitcoin is recovering and there are strong economic fundamentals behind it.
After a November marked by strong excess selling, we have now reached the point where large investors are starting to accumulate again. This pattern has always initiated explosive movements in BTC.
Coinbase highlighted a crucial point that I had already mentioned here: The FED has begun a process of re-acceleration of liquidity in the financial system, alleviating pressures that were draining capital from the markets.
This includes adjustments to the Reverse Repo program, reduction of quantitative draining, and operations that increase the availability of dollars in the system, movements that historically strengthen BTC, as global liquidity is the main fuel for the Market.
The FED may become even more "friendly", as Trump is expected to appoint Hasset to take Powell's place and one of the strongest discussions within the macro scenario is the possible rise of Hasset as a central figure in the future leadership of the FED, as he is known for advocating less restrictive policies, with greater monetary flexibility, and a more favorable view towards innovation and digital assets may open a new cycle of liquidity expansion.
What does all of this mean for BTC now? BTC entered undervalued in December.
Global liquidity started to rise. The traditional market is in the process of stabilization. The selling pressure has been absorbed.
This set of factors creates exactly the type of environment in which Cryptos tend to recover quickly.
The market is reorganizing, and when liquidity returns, BTC responds strongly, along with it the Altcoins.
The coming months will be very interesting. Strengthen your strategy and be prepared!!! 💛🚀
THE NEW COINBASE REPORT SAYS THAT #BTC MAY BE STARTING ITS MOST OPTIMISTIC PERIOD OF THE CYCLE, but people shouldn't have to hear this from Coinbase, just observe the announcements of New Companies entering the market.
The institutional report released by Coinbase brings a clear message: Bitcoin is recovering and there are strong economic fundamentals behind it.
After a November marked by strong excess selling, we have now reached the point where large investors are starting to accumulate again. This pattern has always initiated explosive movements in BTC.
Coinbase highlighted a crucial point that I had already mentioned here: The FED has begun a process of re-acceleration of liquidity in the financial system, alleviating pressures that were draining capital from the markets.
This includes adjustments to the Reverse Repo program, reduction of quantitative draining, and operations that increase the availability of dollars in the system, movements that historically strengthen BTC, as global liquidity is the main fuel for the Market.
The FED may become even more "friendly", as Trump is expected to appoint Hasset to take Powell's place and one of the strongest discussions within the macro scenario is the possible rise of Hasset as a central figure in the future leadership of the FED, as he is known for advocating less restrictive policies, with greater monetary flexibility, and a more favorable view towards innovation and digital assets may open a new cycle of liquidity expansion.
What does all of this mean for BTC now? BTC entered undervalued in December.
Global liquidity started to rise. The traditional market is in the process of stabilization. The selling pressure has been absorbed.
This set of factors creates exactly the type of environment in which Cryptos tend to recover quickly.
The market is reorganizing, and when liquidity returns, BTC responds strongly, along with it the Altcoins.
The coming months will be very interesting. Strengthen your strategy and be prepared!!! 💛🚀