波浪理论学习—备忘录fan

#BTC 2026.7.6

#Samsung Electronics #005930 #Samsung and SK Hynix together account for more than 60% of the total market value of Korean stocks. Tomorrow, Samsung will release its Q2 earnings preview. Figure 2 shares Samsung Electronics’ wave-like chart. ​​​

#原油 #CL Minor-level rebound segment 1, currently retracing. Figure 2 shares the monitoring points. As long as it doesn’t fall below the monitoring points, there is a chance for another segment of upside.

#Gold #XAU said, “Before July 7, make another new high around 4203.” Today it happened—on July 6 it reached 4202.7. That was a great run. It’s possible to develop into an upward push.

#BTC index continues to rise or ends its rise—it's at 6130.6.

#Apple #AAPL On May 23, Apple proposed topping between 306 and 318.45 and then retraced; later it topped at 317.4 yuan and retraced—exactly as expected. Chart 2 shares this top level and views on the subsequent price action. ​​​ Apple is very strong. While prices have risen several-fold in memory and other areas, Apple is actually getting better, while its competitors are getting more and more troubled. ​​​

#SK Hynix #000660 After confirming the peak, once it found support at the support level I provided, it strongly rebounded. Figure 2 shares the monitoring points to judge the further development of this pullback.

#BTC The “Enough but Not Hungry” index is now in a delicate phase; strength and weakness can flip with just one thought.

#Intel #INTC is one of the most successful stocks to watch this year. From April 3rd, it has risen with an upside target above 139.34. Now it’s at a short-term peak and pulling back. The second image shows the monitoring points. Intel’s pullback is very strong. Once the correction is complete, it will rise again.

#SNDK #SanDisk has peaked and is currently retracing—this is the biggest pullback in history. SanDisk was the top-performing stock in the first half of 2026, with a gain of 865%. Take a break and give the short sellers a temporary chance to breathe. Once you’re rested, then we set off again. Figure 2 shares SanDisk’s wave pattern and the retracement support.

Watchlist: Among this week’s 10 “sheep,” the AI hardware stocks have notable declines, but Apple/Palantir/IBM and others have strong gains. This week we removed one stock and replaced it with an index. Currently there are 1 A-share stock, 1 Korean stock, 7 US stocks, and 1 index. ​​​

#谷歌 #GOOG Google started falling from May 27 by 14%. Figure 2 shares the method to judge whether Google’s pullback is a minor-level correction or a major-level correction. It has not deteriorated yet.

#Silver The rebound from 58.89 is here. Figure 2 shares the monitoring points.

#NVDA #NVIDIA After warning of a peak on May 26, NVIDIA topped first, while various other players—Micron/ SanDisk/ Intel/ AMD/ Samsung Electronics/ SK Hynix/ and others—topped later. When the latter crashed hard, NVIDIA held up instead. Figure 2 shares the key monitoring points to judge whether NVIDIA will continue to trend worse. If NVIDIA doesn’t make it, the entire investment market could collapse. NVIDIA must definitely hold its ground against the pressure

#Gold #AUX Although many countries keep adding to their gold reserves, pricing power is still in the hands of the U.S. The dollar hit a bottom on January 27, while gold/silver topped on January 29. The dollar started to fall on June 24, and gold/silver/the BTC/big pancake/gold/and so on started to rise on June 24. None of the three’s rises are due to their own abilities—they only rise because the dollar is falling. ​​​

#BTC The BTC index and gold/silver in this round of decline are synchronized; they both started falling on May 10 and fell until June 25. This is essentially the bloodletting from AI super-cycle stocks such as Micron/ SanDisk/ Intel/ AMD/ Corning/ and others. Now that AI stocks have topped and started to pull back, the index/gold/silver/ and others have finally caught their breath and begun to rebound. ​​​

#三花智控 #002050 In late May, it was said that the three flowers are in wave 4, and it is hoped that the endpoint will be found between 43.87--36.37. Now the lowest point is at 40.35, which is exactly within that range, and then it began to rise. Figure 2 shares its monitoring points.

The 67.96 yuan for oil is also expected to be a rebound point. A smaller-level rebound has been observed. In Figure 2, the monitoring points are shared to judge whether it can extend to a higher level.

#美光 #MU Confirming the market has topped; and previously on June 20, it was proposed that “in the coming week or the week after, Micron/SanDisk/Hynix/Intel and other silicon-based stocks will top out and start pulling back.” So far, this has been verified. Micron is searching for a bottom. After the last earnings report, it fell for 9 days; after this earnings report, it fell for 6 days. Let’s see how many days it takes to stop the decline. The second image shares my view on Micron.

#SK Hynix #000660 After confirming the top, the pullback level provided has reached as planned, and a minor rebound was achieved by finding support within the support zone. Hynix and Samsung Electronics are tied to Korea’s national fortunes. They also relate to AI super-cycle stocks, and to A-share tech stocks. Their influence is certainly not small. Figure 2 shares the support zones and the monitoring points for the rebound.