K线人生飞哥

A self-introduction for my followers

Hello everyone, I am Fei Ge. I entered the crypto space in 2017, and I can be considered an old hand. Along the way, I have stepped into countless pitfalls, but I have also summarized some of my own methodologies. From blindly following trends at the beginning, I have gradually shifted my focus to studying cycles, macro trends, and capital logic, and I have slowly found my own rhythm.

As I journeyed, I found that the crypto world is not just about ups and downs; it is more like a cyclical game: some people FOMO during the highs, while others quietly position themselves during the lows.

Currently, I am a blogger on Binance Square, sharing some of my personal thoughts and observations. I am not a great expert, just an old hand who has experienced several bull and bear markets. I hope to share the pitfalls I have encountered and the lessons I have learned, so that newcomers can avoid unnecessary detours, and I can also gain new insights through exchange.

If you also believe in cycles, logic, and long-term accumulation, then perhaps we can become companions here.

Regarding the viewpoints in my posts, please note the following points:

1: The crypto market is constantly changing, and so will my viewpoints follow the market. This industry changes too quickly; only by continuously keeping up with the industry's progress can one continue to grow. Sticking rigidly to established norms will only lead to being eliminated by the times, so I hope everyone can be more open-minded.

2: The viewpoints I post on the Square are divided into short-term and long-term. For example, even if I am bullish in the long term, there will be pullbacks in between; similarly, even if I am bearish in the long term, there will also be rebounds in between. Please do not let short-term viewpoints affect long-term perspectives. An upward market does not mean it will rise continuously without looking back; more often, it is a trend of ups and downs. Similarly, a downward market does not mean it will crash without any rebounds; more often, it is a trend of falls and rises overall. I hope everyone can understand the differences between short-term and long-term viewpoints.

3: In this market, apart from BTC, which can be followed blindly, other coins have market cycles, especially altcoins. Before buying a coin, you should at least investigate it; some things need to be understood a bit, and you cannot just buy whatever others say. Especially for those with limited funds, you need to consider the actual situation and be more cautious.

Thank you to every friend who follows and supports me; you are the motivation for my continued sharing. May we all reap our own rewards in the cycles. 🌱

BlackRock has submitted a spot ETF application for staked Ethereum to the SEC
This news is not attracting much attention at the moment because the market is indeed too bleak. The staked Ethereum ETF has been hyped since last year, and now BlackRock's application is likely to be approved, which is a positive development for the staked Ethereum sector, coin $LDO $EIGEN $ETHFI
That's how the market is; when no one cares, it's the time to position yourself. When there's a lot of noise, you only realize it then, and you can only buy in.

Lan Zhanfei was kidnapped in South Africa. The kidnappers bribed airport and hotel staff six months in advance and monitored his itinerary. After being rejected by a disguised fan invitation, they held him hostage in a hotel for 4-5 hours, extorting a transfer and collecting his biological information (hair, semen) to threaten him with a fabricated 'rape case.' After escaping a taxi trap, Lan Zhanfei was still followed and ultimately reported to the police in the country.
Curiously, how did they collect the semen? Did they give Lan Zhanfei a handjob? Can one still get hard in that situation?🥲🥲🥲

Although the new historical high of silver came two months late, the direction is still correct. I bought a small position in silver to play with, not investing hundreds like I did in gold.
After the new high in gold, silver has once again created a historical new high, and after years of silence, silver has entered a bull market cycle.

As I anticipated, I mentioned before in the square that gold and silver maintain a comprehensive bullish outlook, providing silver with the opportunity for a historical new high. Silver has become the most eye-catching major asset this year.

Investment vision should not be limited to the cryptocurrency market; sometimes stepping out of the comfort zone may lead to unexpected surprises.

$BTC is a very rhythmic currency. If you follow its rhythm, you will feel smooth sailing. If you miss the rhythm, you are left with the feeling of being played. The weekly trend is clearly following its own routine: after the trend line was breached, it instantly rebounded off the long-term trend line below, closing with a bullish candle. However, the next week immediately brought a doji star, indicating that both sides are truly at a hard confrontation at this position.

Therefore, the short-term general direction is still a bullish rebound, but we also need to be cautious: this doji star could also mean that the bears are gathering strength to deliver another blow, so the structure this week has not provided a particularly clear direction for trend-following operations as last week did. However, it can still rebound to around the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut timeframe.

The four-hour candlestick chart shows a standard upward channel. The key points are very clear: below 86000, above 98000. The problem is that the price is currently stuck in the middle, making this position not very operational; forcing a move creates noise. Wait for it to show some patterns, or wait until it reaches the edge of the channel before acting. Going high and low is more stable. Be patient and wait for the price to move next to the line you drew before making a decision.

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Some Thoughts on the Current Web3 Industry

At this stage of Web3, it's still a mix of "fools, scammers, and paranoid individuals". If the industry wants to progress to the second half, it ultimately cannot do without regulation to solidify the foundation again.

How to categorize altcoin projects? It's simple—two types: useful and useless.
Most belong to the second type: just set up a website, hype a narrative, issue a coin, and then disappear. They account for more than half, and that's not an exaggeration.

Even among the useful ones, there are many pitfalls. For example, star projects like AR, ARKM, and Kaito have decent products, but what exactly is the purpose of their coins? The official response will tell you: they can be used for payments. The question arises—stablecoins can also be used for payments. This means these tokens are essentially limited-quantity vouchers. If vouchers could uphold value, cloud service companies would have stockpiled them long ago; would they still need sales to call clients every day?

Dogecoin $DOGE follows a similar logic. If you really want the coin to rise, use a hard binding like "only Dogecoin can buy Tesla"; $1 wouldn't be a pipe dream.

Now let's talk about governance rights. Governance, in most cases, is just about letting you vote on inconsequential parameter adjustments. No matter how many coins you buy, you cannot change the fate of the project; at most, you count as a big client. Even relatively successful ones like $BNB only place you at the mining reward level; you can't touch the real core power.

Instead, the cleanest and most transparent is still public chains like $ETH , where Gas=ETH, no gimmicks, tying the system and tokens together tightly. This model at least makes sense: the longer the system lives, the steadier the demand for ETH.

In a nutshell: anything that cannot strongly bind "tokens" and "systems" cannot escape the voucher attribute. In the real world, no one would consider a pile of SaaS platform vouchers as assets; only in Web3 can these things be packaged as "value coins".

The regulatory framework will become clearer over the next three years, and the industry will be restructured. Projects that can truly survive will be much more reliable than now.

$BTC MicroStrategy company Strategy again purchased 10,624 bitcoins from December 1 to December 7.
$ETH MicroStrategy BitMine Immersion (BMNR) announced total assets reached 13.2 billion dollars, having purchased 138,452 ETH last week, with ETH holdings exceeding 3.86 million.
These two really are endless bullets, it's just that MSTR and BMNR stocks are really about to plummet...

Multiple longevity research institutes around the world predict that with the existing technology of 2024, a healthy, wealthy, and continuously intervened person can live to 110-120 years.
I can't help but feel that if life science technology allows malicious people to live this long, it may not be a good thing...

The SEC has concluded a two-year investigation into Ondo Finance. The reason Ondo did not conduct market activities in the U.S. before $ONDO was due to the SEC's investigation. On-chain token trading is definitely a major trend for the future, and the long-term outlook on ONDO remains positive. Previously, $XRP was investigated by the SEC, and the token price remained sluggish for two years. After the SEC concluded its investigation into XRP, the XRP token price tripled. This time, the SEC has concluded its investigation into ONDO, and currently, the ONDO token price has indeed been oversold, so a rebound is still possible.

Talk about XRP and LTC

$XRP Spot ETF had a net inflow of $231 million last week, continuing a net inflow for 4 weeks. The total net asset value of XRP Spot ETF is $861 million. Currently, the mainstream coins through the ETF include LTC, HBAR, XRP, SOL, LINK, and DOGE, among which XRP has the strongest capital inflow. Wall Street related institutions have the greatest interest in XRP. Currently, from a technical perspective, XRP is at a key support level near 2. Previously, several washouts dropped below 2 and then quickly recovered. This washout is similar; the support level around 2 remains effective. Once $BTC rebounds to 98000, XRP should also see a significant rebound.

$LTC From the monthly level, it has been washed out for three years. Many people say that the Litecoin operators have run away. I want to say if they really ran away, could LTC still be hovering around 80? It would have crashed below 50 long ago. Currently, LTC's ETF has been approved. Although the inflow is average, I believe LTC's washout is measured in years, and a subsequent explosion is just a matter of time. Many people don't believe it, but it doesn't matter. Just like when ZEC hadn't exploded, many people thought it was a junk coin.

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$BTC and $ETH 's multiple orders continue to hold, still according to the original plan to hold until the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates. At that time, we will judge whether to close positions based on Powell's speech. If it is a hawkish rate cut, I will immediately close the position; if it is a dovish rate cut, I will continue to adjust my strategy. I do not open contracts frequently; I may take several days to open one because I mainly do medium-term positions.

As an individual, if you want to invest, if the person teaching you is not a scammer and not sincerely trying to take your commission, they will tell you a basic principle.

That is to minimize the number of trades as much as possible, reduce them as much as possible!

Buffett also said this; you should ideally buy and sell only 20 to 30 times in your lifetime, no more than that.

If you trade repeatedly and frequently, in the end, your money will be drained by fees and commissions.

So only scammers would encourage you to trade frequently, especially in the cryptocurrency circle, even guiding you to frequently operate contracts.

Those who lead you to trade frequently… are even worse.

$ENA The rebound amplitude is relatively good. Except for a few delisted coins, ENA is basically the strongest rebounding coin among altcoins. I have always emphasized my views and underlying logic regarding the ENA coin. ENA is one of the few slightly valuable VC coins in this round of the bull market, and the market makers do not hesitate to push the price. As long as there is a market, ENA will definitely rise. If you want to play altcoins and don't know which one to buy, just buy ENA. From every wave of the market, whether it is a rebound or reversal, ENA will outperform 90% of altcoins.

How to check if your account has a fee rebate???

It's very simple, just follow the steps in the picture: click on the contract account, then click on the bill, and finally click on the fund flow to see if it shows "referral rebate" to know if your account has a fee rebate. Just follow the steps in image one and image two.

Image three shows that I manually rebated the fees from the past week to everyone. Previously, Binance could not set up automatic rebates, so I manually rebated for previous clients. Some weeks, the fee rebates can be as high as 10,000 USDT, so don't underestimate the fee rebates. Of course, new clients are now automatically rebated by the system, which is much more convenient.

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$ASTER is an important psychological barrier at the position of 0.9, after all, CZ bought at this position, so many retail investors started to mindlessly believe. Once it effectively breaks below 0.9, you can refer to the trend after $ZEC broke 420. Previously, when I was bearish on ZEC at 580, there were a lot of people crazily criticizing me, and now those people have gone silent. I started to be bearish on ASTER at 1.2, and currently, half of the people criticizing me have gone silent; the rest going silent is just a matter of time.

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People who are shameless are invincible; this saying has been realized in the founder of $AEVO .

AEVO co-founder sharply criticizes the industry: I wasted 8 years of my life in Crypto, but at least I made quite a bit of money from it.

The project $AEVO went from a high of 4U at the beginning of 2024 to now 0.04U, which not only wasted nearly two years of life for the token holders but also caused their assets to shrink by 99%....

Take a look at the true colors of these altcoin projects; after harvesting the retail investors, they still mock this industry.

The delisted coin $FIS $REI $VOXEL has been manipulated, remember to run away. I mentioned in the square yesterday that this type of delisted coin is only for short-term trading. I made a short-term contract myself and have currently closed some positions. When I provided the tip yesterday, it was basically at the bottom. As long as you followed the operation, everyone made money. However, delisted coins do carry higher risks, it depends on your own courage. If you make money, remember to run away. It's not that every single trade needs me to guide you hand in hand; you should learn to think independently. Don't wait until the delisted coin hits zero and then come back to blame me, saying things like 'Fei Ge recommended the delisted zero coin, Fei Ge is such an idiot...' Then I would really be speechless.

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US SEC Chairman: The entire American financial market may migrate to the blockchain within two years.
The possibilities on the blockchain are infinite, but what we need to do now is bet on which chain? I think it must be $ETH

Currently, the BTC balance on major exchanges is about to drop below 2 million coins.
From 2.2 million coins when BTC was at 120,000, to now, a few months later, the lowest price of BTC has also fallen to 80,000, which only indicates that the whales are still accumulating; they are not yet satisfied, and only when they are satisfied will they drive up the price.

I checked the investment institutions behind this $C , and indeed Tencent is involved, but Tencent rarely invests in cryptocurrency projects. The last investment was $IMX , made during the previous bear market. In this bull market, IMX has performed relatively well compared to most altcoins. This coin can be added to the watchlist and bought later when it drops to a suitable level. Of course, many people currently criticize this as a garbage coin; when the market is down, everyone complains, but when it rises, many will start praising it. It's just a habit; don't let external opinions affect your judgment.