分析师 Young

Funds are flooding into $PROS $LAB $SKYAI . Once $BTC weakens after the festival, the sell-off from these "fund darling" assets will hit harder than the overall market.

For those looking to play the game, consider setting light positions for shorting these three, with a higher liquidation line, to ride the wave of sentiment retreat profits.

But honestly, altcoins have unlimited volatility; don't go all in, don't hold positions, and if you're wrong, just bail.

Around 5 AM, $BTC spiked up to the 79199 level but couldn't hold above, resulting in a long upper wick on the candlestick, and it's now pulling back near the 78500 mark, consolidating.

Currently, we're seeing a bounce near the zero line on the 8-hour chart, but the overall rebound volume is clearly lacking. The MACD histogram is weak, and the upward momentum isn't keeping pace.

Above 79000, the buying support is weak, and the upward push is very feeble, making it risky to chase long positions at these highs.

The first key support for the day is at 78031.

➡️ If it doesn't break this level, we can still maintain a weak rebound strategy in the short term.

➡️ However, if it breaks down effectively, the first target below is 76361.

➡️ If 76361 also breaks down, it will officially signal the end of this upward trend and we will enter a deep correction phase.

I suggest that anyone holding long positions take the opportunity to cash out and observe for now. After the May Day holiday, once the market volume is released and the direction becomes clearer, we'll re-evaluate based on the real-time structure and trading volume for future entry strategies $BTC

25x long on $ETH , 40x long on $BTC
There's just a 'spike' away from the entry price and the liquidation price.

No other meaning, just asking—
Can my bro win this round? 🤔

Doubled again, that's impressive!

$LAB just went strong on the shorts

24h doubled, funding rates skyrocketed, 85% of shorts liquidated, FOMO vibes are off the charts

With this meme coin, if you hit it right, you're eating steak; if you mess up, it's lights out and instant ramen $LAB

So the Ethereum Foundation really doesn't treat $ETH like their own kid, huh?\n\nEvery time the price ticks up even a little, they dump it. They've sold off 30,000 coins in just a month and a half. Whenever there's a bit of a rise, they're quick to unload and crash the price. This isn't a foundation; it's clearly a pro dumping operation.\n\nNo wonder $ETH has been struggling to pump. With a 'dad' like that, who would dare to rally?

$ZEC is leading the privacy sector today with a nearly 10% daily pump

The main catalysts come from two major bullish signals:

1. Major US brokerage Robinhood has launched spot trading for $ZEC , significantly increasing compliance visibility and retail liquidity

2. Thorchain has completed the integration of $ZEC , directly enabling DeFi cross-chain swaps without the need for wrapping, allowing seamless cross-chain transactions

With these dual bullish factors, the privacy sector is heating up.

Remember that April #Covenant AI exit event?

Back then, $TAO plummeted directly from 300+ to over 240 U, and the screens were flooded with debates about 'centralization' and questions about governance, with bearish sentiment drowning out all other voices.

No one expected that after completing a key upgrade and digesting market panic, $TAO would finally see a strong breakout today.

The fundamentals are starting to look bright:
Grayscale submitted an ETF application, institutions like Polychain have holdings exceeding 200 million, and the CoinDesk 20 index is leading the charge, with a daily increase hitting the ceiling.

Getting back to 300+ is just a matter of time! $TAO

$BTC Intraday Technical Analysis: Holding above the 8h EMA52 support, with solid bottoming momentum on the 1–4h charts, the price strengthened to around 78500 after the US market opened, raising the probability of testing 80000.

Core Signals

✅ 8h EMA52 support holds firm: Price is firmly above this moving average, indicating a bullish short-term structure.

✅ MACD green bars released: The 8h level shows green momentum bars, indicating a healthy pullback phase during the uptrend.

✅ 1–4h bottoming completed: Clear bottoming pattern on the lower timeframes, with strong rebound momentum.

✅ US market opening correlated strength: Price quickly pushed to the 78500 level, with bulls showing strong testing willingness.

Trading Logic

It’s not a blind bullish outlook, but the current technical structure resonates with the liquidity, making the 80000 level a viable testing point.

Strategy-wise, place short orders near 80000; if filled, participate, if not, stay on the sidelines—no chasing highs, no blind FOMO.

April Data Recap: $BTC up +11.87%, ETH +7.3%

$BTC : Ended a 6-day bearish streak, turned bullish in March, and gained momentum in April. Will May maintain the uptrend or take a nosedive?

$ETH : Showed some recovery but clearly lagging, indicating it's still a phase of 'buying BTC for safety'.

In a bear market, prioritize assets with the strongest consensus.

#RWA's breakout point has arrived—— $ONDO Perps is directly moving NASDAQ liquidity on-chain

✅ TVL has surpassed 3 billion, on-chain US stock perpetual contracts are in high demand

✅ Institutional-level liquidity is entering, traditional capital is starting to eye on-chain trading

#Binance's crude oil CL contract launched 1 month ago, daily trading jumped to 1.4 billion, already surpassing Hyperliquid.

What does this mean? A large number of retail traders, who only know how to use CEX and aren't familiar with on-chain operations, are now diving into crude oil.

Recently, $BTC has been experiencing low volatility, and capital has nowhere to go, all flocking to crude oil, which is a play based on war logic, clearly showing more volatility than Bitcoin by $CL .

$BTC Current 8-hour MACD has hit the zero line for the first time, following the May Day pulse pump, and is currently in a rebound test phase after the zero line. The key factor is the momentum of this rebound.

⚠️ Risk Warning: We must be cautious of last year's November lessons — after holiday pumps, market liquidity tends to return, which previously resulted in sudden drops without warning.

An excessive pump without fundamental support during the holidays is a window for taking profits on unrealized gains.

For those holding long positions, be sure to take profits in a timely manner.

$MEGA is live, let's talk about some risk warnings.

20% of the supply will be unlocked directly after TGE, approximately 2 billion tokens, putting significant sell pressure on NFT holders.

Although the TVL has doubled in the short term, the L2 space is turning into a red sea, and the depth of ecological dApps is still quite limited. If bridging and DEX volumes can't keep up, it's easy to see a pump and dump scenario.

The Fed has been busy all night, and here comes the key market move for $BTC !

Looking at the technicals: the 12-hour EMA52 is now the core support level, a pivotal point for bulls and bears.

As long as we hold around the 74800 zone, the bullish structure remains intact, giving us a solid foundation for a potential rebound and bullish sentiment.

However, if we break below this level effectively, the short-term bullish trend will likely come to an end, and we could be heading for a deeper correction. After a breakdown, we might see a short-term pullback to the three-day moving average, overall leaning bearish.

The market is quite sensitive right now, so don’t chase or stubbornly hold at this position. Keep a close eye on the 74800-74900 key range before making any decisions.

#Powell's Farewell Press Conference: Two Key Takeaways!\n \n1️⃣ Not Leaving: After stepping down as chair, he'll stay on as a board member until 2028, pushing back against external interference to maintain the Fed's independence.\n\n2️⃣ No Rate Hikes: Rates are near neutral, and there are no plans for hikes, but inflation pressures remain, so don't expect cuts anytime soon.\n\nMarket Sentiment: No need to panic in the short term, but for those looking for a big pump, you'll have to wait! Shortly after, $BTC quickly bounced from the bottom of 74937 to around 75500.\n#BTC跌破$77K

The Fed's decision this time totally aligns with market expectations.

But be cautious: what lands within expectations often hides volatility that exceeds those expectations.

$DOGE suddenly popped today, hitting a new two-month high, and all the shorts got wrecked.

It's pretty confusing; no real news dropped, just pure leverage and FOMO driving the price up.

Is this the starting point of a new cycle, or just another pump and dump? $DOGE

Has anyone noticed that $BTC has been range-bound with almost zero volatility, hanging around 77040?

Are we all just waiting for the interest rate decision at 2 AM tonight?

It's definitely the calm before the storm.

On the surface, it looks peaceful, but are we just waiting for the midnight show to kick off? A bit nerve-wracking 🫣

Gold continues to dip intra-day, confirming yesterday's breakout judgment.

The key support level has been completely breached, and the bearish trend is undeniable. The only direction from here is towards the weekly support level.

Continue to hold long positions as before; the strategy remains to short on rallies, targeting 4165—no selling until we hit it.

In the face of a trend, every bounce is just an opportunity for the bears.
$XAU $XAUT