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分析师 Young
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分析师 Young

聚焦BTC,兼览港美股,用一套逻辑,看懂全球核心资产|币圈九年 |周一至周五行情解读长文 | 推特:@Young852560 | 币安20%返佣邀请码:Y1788
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时代变了,中国终于孕育出冲刺万亿美金估值的本土科技巨头 #字节选择延后上市,不愿在价值半山腰把红利拱手让给短期资本 TikTok 海外风险出清、国内 AI 豆包开启付费增长,海内外双引擎同步发力
时代变了,中国终于孕育出冲刺万亿美金估值的本土科技巨头

#字节选择延后上市,不愿在价值半山腰把红利拱手让给短期资本

TikTok 海外风险出清、国内 AI 豆包开启付费增长,海内外双引擎同步发力
16 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto made a classic statement: the lost $BTC is a donation for all holders. A little-known fun fact: On January 3, 2009, the genesis block was mined, the last forum post was made in December 2010, and in April 2011, the final email was sent before he vanished completely. Just 2 years after creating Bitcoin, he disappeared, becoming an eternal enigma.
16 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto made a classic statement: the lost $BTC is a donation for all holders.

A little-known fun fact:
On January 3, 2009, the genesis block was mined, the last forum post was made in December 2010, and in April 2011, the final email was sent before he vanished completely.

Just 2 years after creating Bitcoin, he disappeared, becoming an eternal enigma.
Gold $BTC 's price action today is a complete replica It's outrageous, a simultaneous pump and dump.
Gold $BTC 's price action today is a complete replica

It's outrageous, a simultaneous pump and dump.
This morning at 7 AM, $BTC broke the 63300 support first, and the bears had a chance to ride the downtrend. Then news came from Iran about a deal reached for the Strait of Hormuz, causing a sudden market shift, and prices quickly bounced back above the 64000 mark. This kind of geopolitical news forcefully reversing technical trends has been happening a lot lately. Looking at the 1-hour MACD indicator, the bearish momentum was continuously building up, and the dual lines were about to cross below the zero line confirming weakness, but this sudden bullish news pulled it back up for a correction. The market's intention is very clear: it aims to challenge the key resistance at 66450 and thoroughly shake out the bearish positions. My core viewpoint on the larger timeframe hasn't changed; I still maintain a bearish outlook in the medium to long term. This rebound is merely a washout, not a trend reversal. However, Monday's early session created a deep V reversal, giving a clear buy signal in the short term. Pay close attention to the 64300 watershed: if the market can hold this level steadily this week, the bullish momentum will further extend, with an upward target directly looking at 66450. There’s potential to grab nearly 2000 points in profit, and after hitting the resistance zone, switch back to long-term short positions. At this stage, the news flow is highly disruptive, and relying solely on technicals to stubbornly push one side can easily lead to being on the back foot. In terms of operations, differentiate between long and short cycle rhythms, catch the rebounds on the short side, and revert to the main bearish strategy in high-pressure zones.
This morning at 7 AM, $BTC broke the 63300 support first, and the bears had a chance to ride the downtrend. Then news came from Iran about a deal reached for the Strait of Hormuz, causing a sudden market shift, and prices quickly bounced back above the 64000 mark.

This kind of geopolitical news forcefully reversing technical trends has been happening a lot lately.

Looking at the 1-hour MACD indicator, the bearish momentum was continuously building up, and the dual lines were about to cross below the zero line confirming weakness, but this sudden bullish news pulled it back up for a correction. The market's intention is very clear: it aims to challenge the key resistance at 66450 and thoroughly shake out the bearish positions.

My core viewpoint on the larger timeframe hasn't changed; I still maintain a bearish outlook in the medium to long term. This rebound is merely a washout, not a trend reversal.

However, Monday's early session created a deep V reversal, giving a clear buy signal in the short term. Pay close attention to the 64300 watershed: if the market can hold this level steadily this week, the bullish momentum will further extend, with an upward target directly looking at 66450. There’s potential to grab nearly 2000 points in profit, and after hitting the resistance zone, switch back to long-term short positions.

At this stage, the news flow is highly disruptive, and relying solely on technicals to stubbornly push one side can easily lead to being on the back foot. In terms of operations, differentiate between long and short cycle rhythms, catch the rebounds on the short side, and revert to the main bearish strategy in high-pressure zones.
What’s up with the sudden pump in Trump meme coins? Everything's moving in sync. Has anyone dug up the good news source?
What’s up with the sudden pump in Trump meme coins? Everything's moving in sync. Has anyone dug up the good news source?
Saylor is dropping Bitcoin Tracker signals again, and we'll get the scoop on the accumulation data next week. The resistance is on point; I'm curious about the scale of this buy-in! MicroStrategy is really going hard, continuously stacking $BTC.
Saylor is dropping Bitcoin Tracker signals again, and we'll get the scoop on the accumulation data next week.

The resistance is on point; I'm curious about the scale of this buy-in!

MicroStrategy is really going hard, continuously stacking $BTC.
Once the darling of the crowd, MSTR is now facing risk across the market. Analysts have noted: Strategy has long departed from being just a pure Bitcoin asset; it’s caught up in complex debt, equity dilution, and STRC pressure. It's just a high-leverage risky stock, definitely not a spot $BTC ETF, with no net asset value anchor protection. Leverage is a double-edged sword; it can make you a legend in a bull market but can bury you in a bear market.
Once the darling of the crowd, MSTR is now facing risk across the market.

Analysts have noted: Strategy has long departed from being just a pure Bitcoin asset; it’s caught up in complex debt, equity dilution, and STRC pressure. It's just a high-leverage risky stock, definitely not a spot $BTC ETF, with no net asset value anchor protection.

Leverage is a double-edged sword; it can make you a legend in a bull market but can bury you in a bear market.
Breaking down the $TROLL copyright incident's underlying logic: The core lifeblood of MEME is IP consensus, and now with copyright in question + related projects delisted, it's shaking the foundation. A short-term 5% pump is just emotional speculation; the fear and greed index fluctuating wildly shows there's a huge divergence, and the whales are playing it safe. The risk transmission chain is crystal clear: $TROLL blowing up → market questioning Solana's legitimacy → funds flowing out of the sector. If Bitcoin can’t rally, what’s the point of trading MEME at all?
Breaking down the $TROLL copyright incident's underlying logic:

The core lifeblood of MEME is IP consensus, and now with copyright in question + related projects delisted, it's shaking the foundation.

A short-term 5% pump is just emotional speculation; the fear and greed index fluctuating wildly shows there's a huge divergence, and the whales are playing it safe.

The risk transmission chain is crystal clear: $TROLL blowing up → market questioning Solana's legitimacy → funds flowing out of the sector.

If Bitcoin can’t rally, what’s the point of trading MEME at all?
When you're lacking faith just take a look at El Salvador consistently stacking Bitcoin daily—8 coins over 7 days With a treasury of $BTC , holdings are steadily climbing The long-term HODL strategy remains unwavering.
When you're lacking faith

just take a look at El Salvador

consistently stacking Bitcoin daily—8 coins over 7 days

With a treasury of $BTC , holdings are steadily climbing

The long-term HODL strategy remains unwavering.
⚠️Next week’s macro landscape is packed with heavy hitters, gold, silver, US stocks, and crypto are all gonna feel the heat. Mark your calendar so you don’t miss anything! 📅6.22 US-Iran ceasefire is shaky, the geopolitical tension in the Strait of Hormuz is stirring up gold prices. Marvell MRVL gets added to the S&P 500 index. 📅6.24 Micron MU is set to release Q1 earnings for their storage chips. 📅6.25【Super Thursday⚠️】 04:00 Annual stress test results from the Fed for banks. 20:30 May core PCE, GDP, initial jobless claims, and a full suite of key data. Market expects core PCE to hold steady at 3.3%, inflation will directly dictate the rate cut timing. 📅6.26 The FOMC voting members will take turns speaking, continuously dropping policy signals. Extra event: #SpaceX plans to issue $20 billion in bonds to refinance loans, with investor talks potentially happening as soon as next week. Geopolitics + inflation + Fed commentary create a triple resonance, expect volatility to be off the charts next week, so manage your positions carefully!
⚠️Next week’s macro landscape is packed with heavy hitters, gold, silver, US stocks, and crypto are all gonna feel the heat. Mark your calendar so you don’t miss anything!

📅6.22
US-Iran ceasefire is shaky, the geopolitical tension in the Strait of Hormuz is stirring up gold prices.

Marvell MRVL gets added to the S&P 500 index.

📅6.24
Micron MU is set to release Q1 earnings for their storage chips.

📅6.25【Super Thursday⚠️】
04:00 Annual stress test results from the Fed for banks.

20:30 May core PCE, GDP, initial jobless claims, and a full suite of key data.

Market expects core PCE to hold steady at 3.3%, inflation will directly dictate the rate cut timing.

📅6.26
The FOMC voting members will take turns speaking, continuously dropping policy signals.

Extra event: #SpaceX plans to issue $20 billion in bonds to refinance loans, with investor talks potentially happening as soon as next week.

Geopolitics + inflation + Fed commentary create a triple resonance, expect volatility to be off the charts next week, so manage your positions carefully!
Verified
Other people's bank cards showcase landscapes Ukrainian bank cards highlight explosions Focusing on not avoiding the present Straightforwardly exposing the lies
Other people's bank cards showcase landscapes

Ukrainian bank cards highlight explosions

Focusing on not avoiding the present

Straightforwardly exposing the lies
$BTC Today's Market Analysis 06/21 Yesterday, geopolitical news had the market swinging back and forth, taking out short-term traders. Today, let's clarify the strategy for everyone. Two key resistance levels that need to hold for the bears to be invalidated: 1. Around 65300, the 8-hour EMA 52 is providing short-term resistance. We need to see a solid volume breakout here to switch to a 12-hour bullish recovery mindset, with targets in the 66000-66400 range above. 2. Near the previous high of 67300, a full breakout in this zone would officially end the current bearish trend. At this stage, if the price hasn't touched these two resistance levels, don't let sudden spikes freak you out. Once a trend is established, it’s tough to reverse in the short term. The market might need several months of consolidation to fully change direction, and the larger bearish structure remains intact. Trading Strategy: If resistance above holds, continue to short in the short term; if we dip into the 61000-62000 support zone, then consider setting up for a bullish rebound. Volatility and back-and-forth action only prove that the bottom is just around the corner.
$BTC Today's Market Analysis 06/21

Yesterday, geopolitical news had the market swinging back and forth, taking out short-term traders. Today, let's clarify the strategy for everyone.

Two key resistance levels that need to hold for the bears to be invalidated:

1. Around 65300, the 8-hour EMA 52 is providing short-term resistance. We need to see a solid volume breakout here to switch to a 12-hour bullish recovery mindset, with targets in the 66000-66400 range above.

2. Near the previous high of 67300, a full breakout in this zone would officially end the current bearish trend.

At this stage, if the price hasn't touched these two resistance levels, don't let sudden spikes freak you out.

Once a trend is established, it’s tough to reverse in the short term. The market might need several months of consolidation to fully change direction, and the larger bearish structure remains intact.

Trading Strategy: If resistance above holds, continue to short in the short term; if we dip into the 61000-62000 support zone, then consider setting up for a bullish rebound.

Volatility and back-and-forth action only prove that the bottom is just around the corner.
Geopolitical news is a never-ending tug-of-war; the strait lockdown plummets, while the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire pumps it up, $BTC breaks through 64000 The market is constantly being played by the news, this script could run on repeat for a lifetime.
Geopolitical news is a never-ending tug-of-war; the strait lockdown plummets, while the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire pumps it up, $BTC breaks through 64000

The market is constantly being played by the news, this script could run on repeat for a lifetime.
The truly savvy traders, even when facing your harsh criticism, can sidestep the negative vibes and snag the useful info hidden in your words.
The truly savvy traders, even when facing your harsh criticism, can sidestep the negative vibes and snag the useful info hidden in your words.
Keeping up with Musk's mindset has become the norm. While others are pondering how to achieve mundane success, he’s thinking about trillion-dollar revolutions in interstellar materials. The dollar will be phased out in the future, and the unit of measurement will shift to energy and mass. My cognitive ceiling is merely his offhand starting point.
Keeping up with Musk's mindset has become the norm.

While others are pondering how to achieve mundane success, he’s thinking about trillion-dollar revolutions in interstellar materials.

The dollar will be phased out in the future, and the unit of measurement will shift to energy and mass.

My cognitive ceiling is merely his offhand starting point.
Verified
Iran announces closure of the Strait of Hormuz, geopolitical risks directly suppressing risk assets ⚠️‼️ Next week's market is set to continue its downward trend $BTC The downtrend isn't over; stick to your strategy and hold your ground—don't let short-term volatility shake your resolve!
Iran announces closure of the Strait of Hormuz, geopolitical risks directly suppressing risk assets

⚠️‼️ Next week's market is set to continue its downward trend

$BTC The downtrend isn't over; stick to your strategy and hold your ground—don't let short-term volatility shake your resolve!
If I hadn't stumbled upon this theft news, I might have completely forgotten about PancakeSwap. Remember back in 2022 when I was trading there every day? Time flies, and it's almost faded from memory. Just saw a quick update that the $BNB chain's OLPC/LABUBU liquidity pool got hacked, and they straight-up snatched away $1.1 million in assets. The hackers cross-chain transferred it to Ethereum, and 633.4 coins of $ETH were all funneled into Tornado Cash for laundering, making tracking super tough. They even did some small test transfers to dust addresses with BNB and ETH; the whole process was disturbingly smooth. Even the veteran DEXs can't escape the theft scene; the on-chain risks have never really let up.
If I hadn't stumbled upon this theft news, I might have completely forgotten about PancakeSwap.

Remember back in 2022 when I was trading there every day? Time flies, and it's almost faded from memory.

Just saw a quick update that the $BNB chain's OLPC/LABUBU liquidity pool got hacked, and they straight-up snatched away $1.1 million in assets.
The hackers cross-chain transferred it to Ethereum, and 633.4 coins of $ETH were all funneled into Tornado Cash for laundering, making tracking super tough.

They even did some small test transfers to dust addresses with BNB and ETH; the whole process was disturbingly smooth.

Even the veteran DEXs can't escape the theft scene; the on-chain risks have never really let up.
$EIGEN Today, the short-term surge is leading the charge, with trading volume skyrocketing—feeling a bit of FOMO here. However, historically, we've hit this resistance multiple times without breaking through. Don't just blindly chase the pump; keep your wits about you.
$EIGEN Today, the short-term surge is leading the charge, with trading volume skyrocketing—feeling a bit of FOMO here.

However, historically, we've hit this resistance multiple times without breaking through. Don't just blindly chase the pump; keep your wits about you.
Let's chat about the #CLARITY bill, my personal bet is it's likely to be delayed. Right now, the lawmakers are still hashing out the key terms behind the scenes, and the enforcement agencies don’t back the proposed safe harbor for wallet developers. Congress is about to go on recess, and there simply isn’t enough time for a vote. If we miss the August deadline, once the elections hit, it’ll be put on ice. Don't expect this bill to drop anytime soon to ease regulatory pressure on the industry.
Let's chat about the #CLARITY bill, my personal bet is it's likely to be delayed.

Right now, the lawmakers are still hashing out the key terms behind the scenes, and the enforcement agencies don’t back the proposed safe harbor for wallet developers.

Congress is about to go on recess, and there simply isn’t enough time for a vote.

If we miss the August deadline, once the elections hit, it’ll be put on ice. Don't expect this bill to drop anytime soon to ease regulatory pressure on the industry.
That person on the other side is just a string of code, after all.
That person on the other side is just a string of code, after all.
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