Vink柒

Just reached near the final trend line, breaking down is a waterfall, this is the third test of this position, the US stock market has also reached a critical position, breaking down means a waterfall, yesterday I opened a long position and directly lost, gave back a bit of profit from the short position, fortunately, I have been holding onto the short position, at least it should go to 1750, if 1750 breaks, it will go to 1450
#ETH $ETH

A little more was added, near the trend line, the pin was retracted, and a lot of long positions were liquidated, causing the drop triggered by the long positions. It should rebound now. It would be perfect if we could see a fluctuating up-and-down trend.

Long positions should be protected with stop losses, as the real big drop has not yet come. It is expected around the end of March and early April to be led by a waterfall in the U.S. stock market. $ETH
#ETH

Looking at the structure and data of ETH, it seems that a rebound is on the way. However, the US stock market is about to crash again, so this time the technical analysts for ETH should go long on this rebound, while the macro analysts are likely to short ETH, leading to a crash together with the US stock market.

Every time during the midterm elections, the US stock market experiences a crash. Will this time be the same?
$ETH
#ETH

Yesterday, after checking the alert, I looked at the structure again. I reached the top of the gainers list. So far, I haven't seen any signs of selling. I hope I can successfully hit my profit target. The position hasn't significantly decreased, and during the rise, the holdings were also synchronized. Tao has also broken even with a 10-point profit.

Feeling great this weekend
#ankr

There may be significant fluctuations in the evening, so be sure to set your stop-loss.
#BTC

Sometimes I really admire the thoughts of netizens; AI still cannot replace humans.

Raising cats and dogs is too trivial; I can just close my eyes and cultivate my spirit.
I laughed so hard.
#AI

Isn't it amazing how you have really broken through? It's time for the game between the subjective and the objective. One rational me, one emotional me; my subjective self is still bearish, and I have shorted it.

Although the monitoring system tells me that there is a high probability of a rise tonight, I don't believe it. I just want to short it and win once.
#BTC $BTC

It's not tao, why are you so tough? I've been empty for you for a few days, dropped 10% every time, and you've pulled it back in half a day. It's not bro, are you really tao me?
Again, it's the highest historical position, just like ETH from the last two days. I don't know if this time will be the same $TAO
#TAO

The downward momentum of ETH has diverged, and it is now moving towards an upward rebound. Anyway, the rebound is a short position, so I initially short a hand with position $ETH
#ETH

$PHA has started to increase significantly, and another alert has been issued. A rare 10-fold anomaly, it has surged in a short time, and it feels like it’s not done yet

The first principle of trading profit is to buy low and sell high;

The first principle of buying low and selling high is reasonable timing;

The first principle of reasonable timing is to accept fuzzy correctness;

The first principle of fuzzy correctness is to seek asymmetric odds;

The first principle of seeking asymmetric odds is to capture mispricing;

The first principle of capturing mispricing is to identify the loss of control of group sentiment;

The first principle of identifying the loss of control of group sentiment is to be able to think in reverse;

The first principle of reverse thinking is absolute trading discipline;

The first principle of trading discipline is to accept market uncertainty;

The first principle of accepting market uncertainty is absolute risk control…

Therefore, the first principle of cryptocurrency trading boils down to risk control, preserving the principal, and as long as you survive, high volatility markets will always bring excess returns.

What is your win-loss ratio like?
#BTC

I don't know if everyone has seen the long article released by Jensen Huang after 10 years. The last long article discussed how GPUs would change computing power.
This time, the content delves into the era of heavy industrialization of AI, where the application layer of AI, which is what we are currently using, will evolve and force a continuous replacement of the next model layer, enhancing various fields such as language, biology, chemistry, physics, finance, medicine, and the physical world itself.

The model layer also requires an infrastructure layer. This includes support from foundational infrastructures such as land, power supply, cooling systems, construction engineering, and network communication, which is essentially the AI super factory, now transformed into the heavy industrial sector.

However, unifying direct collaboration across these different fields, including AI training, requires support from chips. We must manufacture higher-performance, lower-energy-consuming chips to sustain this super factory.

Then, there is the bottom layer of energy. Real-time generated intelligence requires real-time generated power support. Every generated token is the result of electronic flow, heat management, and energy conversion into computation. It can be said that the above layers all depend on power support. In the next decade, perhaps electricity will become the new industrial lifeblood, replacing the status of oil.

Therefore, don’t listen to or get involved in Sun Ge's words, but you really should learn from his vision. Spending a few hundred million on nuclear power plants in the past two years was not in vain.

In summary: buying stocks related to electricity now will be worth much more than purchasing AI-related assets, and it is one of the few certain opportunities. Additionally, most retail investors are keen on buying AI stocks; smart money will only buy undervalued stocks.
The original text is on the NVIDIA official website
#Aİ #BTC

How to look at OI and trading volume?

The relationship between the two is like this: trading volume is the "flow of water," while OI is the "water stored in the reservoir."
Two basic signals,
Strategy 1: High trading volume + a sharp drop in OI (typical liquidity hunting)
Scenario: The price suddenly breaks below the previous low, resulting in an extremely large bearish candle, but you notice that OI has experienced a cliff-like drop.
Truth: Retail investors' long positions are being liquidated in a chain reaction (the decline caused by liquidating long positions and the high volume). This is usually when the market maker is washing the plate to accumulate positions, and the leverage has been cleared, resulting in a very light market. This is the time to look for a pin reversal and enter a long position.

Strategy 2: Lackluster trading volume + continuously rising OI
Scenario: The price is stagnant in a narrow range, like dead water, trading volume has shrunk dramatically, and retail investors have hardly participated. However, the contract OI is quietly hitting new highs.
Truth: Institutional funds are covertly building positions using icy liquidity. Whether they are building long or short positions, the market has already become like a spring compressed to the limit. Once it breaks through, it will lead to a one-sided market.

As shown in the ETH chart, almost at the same position, why didn't the first large bullish candle break through? It’s clear to see that the price broke through, but OI decreased, indicating that short positions were liquidated to facilitate the breakout. The second large bearish bar validated this view, so this is a point to open a short position, which is where I also mentioned to go short.
In the second position, it’s the same large bullish bar, but why is it a true breakout? You can see that OI has increased significantly, so it certainly cannot be short positions being opened; it must be many long positions being opened. This is not for liquidating shorts, so at this point, you should wait for a pullback to go long or to close your shorts.

You must have a question: why can't the increase in OI of the second bearish bar after the arrow indicate that the bears are crazy about adding positions to short?
#ETH #市场柒课

In order to prevent you from not believing that indicators can show the general time and trend from a macro perspective, just look at the article I wrote in March last year. In March, Bitcoin had a significant drop from 100,000 to 70,000. Then you can check the time difference between when Bitcoin reached its peak and when I wrote about the Bitcoin cycle peak; it seems to be just a 1-day error.

Similarly, this article also discussed when the bottom of the Bitcoin cycle approximately appears, so verify it again; after all, it's just a few months.

Tomorrow, I will briefly talk about how to make the judgment. If I go into detail, you won't enjoy reading a lengthy discourse.
#BTC

The ETH subject is still in consolidation. The time for consolidation is still not enough; how it goes up is how it comes down, and how it goes down is how it comes up. It is still a 4-hour central consolidation. The real trend breaking down still has to wait for the big guy in the U.S. stock market to speak. Anyway, it’s either the end of March or the beginning of April; this time point should have been mentioned a few times, with the end point being relatively critical in late March and early April.

Micro operation indicators are difficult to judge good points, but macro trend indicators are easier to judge. For micro operations, finding points still relies on the order book.

Let's take some time tomorrow to first discuss macro indicators, how to see if the current market is trending or consolidating, and then how to use the indicators to estimate the time nodes.
#ETH

The position of the two cakes has finally decreased, reaching a historical high that is even higher than 4000. It seems it's time to change hands and take down the opponent's position. I hope this time we can directly hit a new low; I estimate that many have been hung up at high positions.
Even now, it is still at a relatively high historical level. Before reaching 1740, I will maintain the strategy of holding long positions and shorting for the time being.
#ETH

Basic profit, if the stop-loss should be pushed to break-even, then push it to break-even, at least this order won't lose, I won't push it anymore, it hasn't increased much, only 1 point, let's take the profit.

A little more support here, this position has some support, and the 30-minute level decline has formed a buy signal
#ETH

Shorted a 762 position, in terms of strength it has already diverged. I hope to take another shot to capture liquidity before it falls further $BTC . Speaking of which, with such a high open interest in the second contract, it's time to switch hands and blow up the opposing side, right?
#BTC