2025 Year-End Summary|The Wealth of the Cryptocurrency World Will Ultimately Return to Value with Understanding
At one point, I didn't know how to summarize my 2025. It wasn't until the end of this year that I truly realized that the nearly 10 years of experience I accumulated in the past finally came to fruition this year. If I had to summarize, I don't want to repeat what anyone in the market can do. I will say just one thing—what I have accomplished is something that almost no one else in the world has done. In 2025, I took the hardest path in the cryptocurrency world—predicting the market. It is not a one-sided call to go long, nor is it an emotional statement, but an objective judgment given from a globally neutral perspective at the most extreme and frenzied moments of the market, which has been repeatedly validated afterwards.
Today's Market Analysis: Bulls Killing Bulls! A Stress Test Ahead of Micron's Earnings and PCE. 1. Yesterday, global tech stocks faced a massive sell-off, with US stocks, gold, and all crypto assets taking a hit. The market thought it would wait for Micron's earnings report to gauge the AI hardware trend, but the Korean stock market jumped the gun. Both the Korean and Japanese markets corrected, with the KOSPI index hitting a circuit breaker, and major stocks like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix plummeting, flipping market sentiment from euphoria to panic. 2. The sell-off was accompanied by a slew of bearish news, but the real issue here is that the Korean stock market had surged too rapidly due to the AI chip craze, accumulating a lot of profit-taking and leveraged positions. Once regulators warned about market overheating, coupled with policy rumors and negative news from the supply chain, the previously crowded long positions easily turned into a 'bulls killing bulls' situation. The risk-off sentiment then spread from Korea to Wall Street, causing a crash in US stocks. 3. Gold has dropped below $4100, correcting over 20% from its late February peak, technically entering a bear market. Rising interest rate expectations and a strengthening dollar continue to pressure gold prices, which may oscillate between $4000 and $4300 in the short term. 4. The yen is also key. The market is closely watching for currency interventions and the unwinding of arbitrage trades, and the decline in tech stocks may be related to institutions cashing out and reducing their yen arbitrage exposure. 5. There are clear divisions within Wall Street now. Firms like Goldman Sachs and Citigroup still lean towards a bearish outlook on short-term sell-offs, emphasizing buying the dip; however, the Bank of America quant team has already suggested taking profits, believing that danger signals are increasing. Before the end of June, pension fund reallocations, CTA reductions, and hedge fund deleveraging could continue to rock the market. The AI trend is far from over; it's just that the upward trajectory cannot be a straight line. This drop shouldn't be simply interpreted as a bubble bursting, but rather as a stress test ahead of Micron's earnings and PCE tonight.
For short-term trading: It’s best to be conservative before the end of June, controlling risk and position sizes. But from a medium to long-term perspective: Every drop in the crypto space from now on is an opportunity for you to make big bucks in the future. Buy coins in a bear market, sell them in a bull market; many people get this basic profit logic backwards. #美光股价创历史新高 #加密市场回调 $BTC $XAU $MU
Just now, the Korean stock market triggered a circuit breaker, and this generation of young people in Korea is being played like sheep by Wall Street. In the crypto space, buying premium coins, premium altcoins, and those altcoins launched on Korean exchanges often end up being the last to get burned. The stock market is all about chasing highs and cutting losses; this kind of trading strategy leaves debts that could take a lifetime to repay. #韩国 #加密市场下跌 $BTC $ETH
Retail Revolution (14) $BZ Now following Sinopec and PetroChina to buy oil! We ordinary folks need to grasp one thing: in chaotic times, gold, silver, and oil are strategic resources at the national level. Currently, gold, silver, and crude oil have been suppressed to relatively low levels, with crude oil being particularly noteworthy. 1. Right now, BZ Brent crude is hovering around $78, essentially hammered down by the news of the US-Iran memorandum signing. The market is short-term trading on the themes of 'de-escalation of conflict, reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and the return of Iranian oil', thus the previous geopolitical risk premium has been rapidly squeezed out. 2. However, I believe that crude oil isn't completely weakening but has entered a 'short-term oversold zone after a news-driven plunge'. It's not yet confirmed at the daily level to have found a bottom, but it's also not suitable to mindlessly go short any longer. First, the geopolitical premium has been significantly wiped out; Second, supply recovery won't happen immediately; Third, inventories are very low, which is the ace up oil's sleeve for a rebound. During wartime, imports decrease, inventories are visibly consumed, and as soon as there’s a need to replenish stocks, oil prices can easily be pulled back up. Fourth, in the short term, there is some space below for oil prices, but if the US and Iran have any skirmishes or if the Strait of Hormuz faces disruptions, crude can easily spike. 3. The current price can be understood as follows: $BZ $78 is the market's default price assuming smooth execution of the US-Iran agreement; $85–90 is the price for repeated agreements and resurfacing geopolitical risks; $95–100 is the price for a situation where Hormuz, Lebanon, Israel, and Iran spiral out of control again. 4. Lastly, when opening positions, it's crucial to distinguish between $CL and BZ. CL is US WTI crude, which is more susceptible to US domestic politics, inventories, shale oil, and election cycles; BZ is international Brent crude, which more directly reflects the Middle East situation, Hormuz risks, and global shipping risks. So sometimes the price movements of the two don't sync because the core pricing drivers differ in the short term. After the US midterm elections in November, the two will likely sync up completely. #霍尔木兹运量上升 #原油价格下跌 #Positive progress in the first round of US-Iran talks.
Breaking: Oil makes a strong comeback! Iran doesn't trust the US and is preparing for both scenarios, currently on high alert!
Funny enough, I've also prepped for both outcomes. Shorting Ethereum, going long on oil. What's the strategy behind this? Just two days ago, I shared my thoughts in the square: Real bearish news: The Fed's FOMC statement and the Waller press conference. Fake bullish news: The presidents of the US and Iran signing an electronic memo. The real bearish and fake bullish news dropped back-to-back; at that moment, ETH was pumping while oil was dumping. I read the true nature of these headlines. So I shorted ETH at the highs and bottomed out on oil 🫡
$BASED This coin I recommended has pumped 70% in just half a month!\nbased has made it to the top of the gainers list today! On June 4th, I recommended based at 0.06, and it's currently at 0.102, a solid 70% gain in a fortnight!\nThe uni I recommended around the same time also skyrocketed yesterday, proving its worth. We even took profits at the peak of uni at 3.5 yesterday by trimming our position.\nAnd as I just mentioned, the Fed's meeting has turned out to be a real bearish signal, while the US-Iran signing is a fake bullish one that's slowly playing out. I shorted the old faithful ETH.\n#加密市场回调 #美联储点阵鹰派收益率曲线趋平 $UNI $ETH
Real bearish news: The Fed's FOMC statement and the Wash presser. Fake bullish news: The presidents of the US and Iran signing an electronic memo.
US inflation is serious; PCE and core PCE data expectations have been significantly revised upwards. Wash is working hard to cover for Trump; he’s absent from the dot plot and gearing up for reforms. These moves are all to help Trump downplay the Fed’s negative impact on the markets ahead of the midterms. In the past 100 days of the US-Iran conflict, at every critical juncture, someone from Trump’s cabinet has spoken to boost the market. Once you really figure out what these players are up to, you can front-run the market that hasn’t been priced in yet. So my conclusion remains the same as before: be wary of black swans around the midterm elections, don’t let Wall Street foot the bill 🫡 #沃什首次FOMC维持利率 #沃什聘保守派顾问促美联储改革 #加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH $SPCXB
$UNI Right now, it's BlackRock UNI, not the old UNI. That's the fundamentals for this coin this year! 1. Last year, I mentioned BlackRock Ethereum, and the result of combining Ethereum with the BlackRock name shot it from 1380 to 4956. We're all eyes on UNI! 2. If there's a chance, I'd like you to come a bit closer so we can get to know each other. On June 4th, during the massive dip, I told everyone to load up on a ton of value coins, entering UNI at 2.6. Then on June 5th, I hit a big win, nailing three coins with a 50% price swing all at once, and I opened contracts on: LAB, ZEC, UNI. The day before yesterday, a buddy made a quick buck on UNI and wanted to bail, but I stopped him right away. With a value coin like UNI, if you’re not pocketing a few times your investment, why would you even leave? Otherwise, what's the point of buying the dip? Our contract entry for UNI is at 2.5, while holding a ton of spot at a cost of 2.6. I just can’t believe we won’t snag some profits from the whales! 3. Today, UNI ranks fourth in the spot gainers, pulling a reverse trend. The hot news lately is that institutions see UNI hitting 100. I want to say this: 100 is impossible, but hitting 10 within a year is a small target that's easily achievable. #UNI涨22%至3.28美元 #加密市场回调 $ETH $ZEC
Big news just dropped, Japan raised interest rates! Rates hit a 31-year high, what does this mean for the crypto space? Answer: Long-term impacts are negligible, short-term impacts rank third. Yesterday, the US and Iran suddenly signed a memorandum of understanding, both parties made concessions, causing a significant uptick in crypto. This event ranks first in short-term impacts on the crypto market. Second, tomorrow night, Fed Chair Kevin is holding his first press conference since taking office, which ranks second. Third is today’s Japanese rate hike, which was just announced; after yesterday's rally, the market slightly corrected.
Let’s prioritize and then detail: How does Japan's rate hike impact crypto in the short term? 1. Japan's rate hike means global liquidity is tightening marginally. Japan has long been a source of low-interest funds, with institutions often using yen to finance purchases of US stocks, cryptocurrencies, bonds, and gold—risk assets. With rising rates, the cost of capital increases, which could lead to some carry trades being unwound, not friendly for BTC and ETH in the short term. 2. Focus on currency and US stocks, not just the rate hike itself. If the yen appreciates significantly and the USD/JPY rapidly declines, this indicates carry trades may be closing, potentially dragging down US stocks and crypto. Conversely, if the yen remains weak, it indicates the market has already priced this in. 3. This feels more like a suppression of the current market rebound. The Bank of Japan raised rates by 25 basis points, increasing the policy rate from 0.75% to 1.00%, a level not seen since 1995. The market had already fully anticipated this 25 basis point hike, so the real risk isn't this hike, but whether they will continue to signal a hike to 1.25% or higher. Thus, in the short term, this feels more like a suppression of yesterday's positive news, with tomorrow's events holding greater weight for market impact. #日本央行加息至1% #加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH $BNB
On June 7th at noon, BTC was still starting with 61, and I was the first to notify the crew at Binance Square that the institutions were scooping up our bottom! Tonight BTC shot up to 67,000, and the overall market rose nearly 10% in a week. So I went all in! Not just a few points here and there. Last week, I successfully bottomed out on gold, altcoins, and major coins, while some altcoins and US stocks were shorted at the top! I called it out in the community and at Binance Square, love you all ❤️ #BTC突破6.6万美元 #美国伊朗终战协议 $BTC $SPCXB $ETH
Elon and Trump are hyping up commercial aerospace, but it's only for the wealthy 🈹. Don't rush to hop on the bandwagon! Right now, exchanges are all pushing for Musk's SpaceX listing tonight, but they aren't mentioning the risks at all! The risks are: actual business development and revenue issues, pricing premium problems, international macroeconomic fundamentals, and celebrity effect bubble concerns. Traditional finance and everyone in the crypto space are banking on $SPCX 's listing for a massive profit, but history shows that rich and poor making money together has never happened. Our class divide is set: as long as we participate, we are just the last ones left holding the bag, so shorting is our only way to fight against the wealthy; we need to wait for the rich to cash out and crash the market 🫡. Do you really know what the market cap is for the price corresponding to $SPCX 180? #SpaceX #加密市场反弹
CPI met expectations, and BTC and ETH are starting to bounce back a bit. Is this a good sign? Answer: This isn't a good sign, it's just a temporary breather for the market. It only proves one fact: inflation in the U.S. is indeed on the rise. Once the recent hype dies down, this fact will resurface and continue to affect market pricing, leading to more panic. #美国5月CPI将公布!预测攀升至4.2% #油市波动率降至伊朗战前水平 #加密市场反弹
Right now, everyone's asking: why are crypto, US stocks, crude oil, and gold all taking a hit? Why is my portfolio shrinking? Answer: It’s not that all assets suddenly lost their value; the market is waiting for a reason to reprice! 1. This isn’t just a single bearish signal; it’s a mix of war, CPI, inflation, tech stock valuations, IPO siphoning, and capital flight all happening at once. 2. Today’s CPI data is a crucial point. If inflation remains strong, expectations for a Fed rate cut will be further suppressed, and the high-rate environment will lead to a revaluation. US stocks, gold, silver, and cryptocurrencies fundamentally rely on liquidity; once the cost of capital rises, valuations will naturally compress. 3. War is also a significant variable. Normally, escalating conflict should be bullish for gold and oil, but this time the market reactions are a bit off. With the US simultaneously engaging in conflict and repeatedly saying, "It’ll be over soon" or "Just another week," the market can’t form stable expectations. Many funds and institutions are hesitant to hold strong during this chaos, opting to liquidate assets and wait it out. 4. The issues with tech stocks are even clearer. AI, semiconductors, and software surged too much early on, having already priced in a lot of optimism. As soon as there’s uncertainty in CPI, earnings reports, data centers, the war, or IPOs, funds will take the opportunity to cash out profits. It’s not that these assets’ fundamentals have suddenly collapsed, but rather that short-term prices are too high and need a cool-down. 5. So, it’s not just about looking at prices right now. Prices may be distorted in the short term; what really matters is how the market re-evaluates after key events. This current downturn is essentially funds seeking safety, with previously overpriced markets pulling back to cool off while waiting for CPI, war, and liquidity expectations to settle. 6. To sum it up: there’s an American out there leveraging the nation’s credit to disrupt financial markets for personal gain, thinking he can control everything and treat everyone like an ATM. #美股延续跌势纳斯达克跌逾3% #加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH $XAU
SPACEX is Musk's next Dogecoin project, trading strategies are consistent with the crypto scene! Musk, Trump, and their interest groups aim to: pump the hype for short-term cash out! The true candlestick evolution over the next few years will prove everything I say today.
Dogecoin $DOGE is now at 0.084, the price has dropped like a dog, the root cause is Musk has stopped hyping Dogecoin. But this statement, this established fact, I mentioned back on September 10th last year. At that time, it was the peak of Dogecoin's weekly chart, with a price range of 0.23-0.3. Since then, almost every month, I've been revealing the truth about the Doge price amid huge backlash, advising everyone to exit their positions, but I was called all sorts of names. Today's topic is: SPACEX 1. Some institutional roadshows for SpaceX are already underway. The fixed offering price currently being watched by the market is $135 per share, according to the S-1 amendment document, SpaceX plans to issue about 550 million Class A shares, raising approximately $75 billion, currently in an oversubscribed state. The final pricing date is expected to be June 11, with the official listing date expected to be June 12, and it will be listed on NASDAQ and NASDAQ Texas simultaneously. 2. I want to emphasize: the SpaceX IPO is an extremely high-risk investment event. This pricing corresponds to an ultra-high valuation of about $1.75 trillion, with a PS ratio exceeding 90 times based on 2025 revenue, far above the historical levels of most tech company IPOs. The company is still in a significant loss state, and future performance heavily relies on Starship development, Starlink user growth, and the implementation of space AI infrastructure, with enormous uncertainty. 3. The NASDAQ Composite, NASDAQ 100, VTI, and Russell 1000 may gradually be included according to regulations, but the S&P 500 refuses to relax rules for super IPOs, possibly not until 2027 at the earliest. 4. In my view, SpaceX is more like Musk's next 'Dogecoin-like' super emotion project; after the hype, early investors might gradually cash out. Ordinary people looking to make money alongside Musk should not chase high prices for emotional premiums but instead buy his core asset Tesla at low levels $TSLA . Chasing high at $SPCX will likely result in principal being locked up long-term, subject to market cuts. #SpaceX IPO据报获大幅超额认购 #OpenAI秘密向SEC提交S-1注册声明
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Many brothers asked me how to view DOGE with the ETF going live? doge0.24 taking advantage of the moment while the coin price is still okay, the heat is still there. I summarize it in one sentence: Hasn't everyone noticed that Musk hasn't been shouting this year? #迷因币ETF #山寨币市场回暖 #加密市场反弹 $DOGE $ETH
ETH1700! BTC64000! The whales have news, and we've got the scoop too 🫡 #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH
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Let's dive into some news sentiment: A strategy firm has teamed up with several institutions to scoop up retail traders' bottoms 🫡 #比特币闪崩后反弹至6.1万美元 #加密市场动态 $BTC
Let's dive into some news sentiment: A strategy firm has teamed up with several institutions to scoop up retail traders' bottoms 🫡 #比特币闪崩后反弹至6.1万美元 #加密市场动态 $BTC
All my free articles on Binance Square can help everyday folks understand the market, seize opportunities, and cash out! The entry points and timing are spot on! I only tackle one of the toughest challenges—predicting the market! Going head-to-head with whales and capital! I wrote a complete analysis on the Black Swan event in the US stock market and the independent crash in crypto on May 17, and I've been sharing it continuously; on June 2, I reiterated: short everything and steer clear of risks. Now, the charts have confirmed it all! Elon’s entry price at $SPCX was 192.2, and the current price is 165. #纳指跌4.18%创逾一年最大单日跌幅 #加密市场回调