加密门徒

I have been deeply involved in Binance Square for 245 days, breaking the world-class prediction record in the cryptocurrency circle! At the same time, I saved the assets and hopes of 13,000 families.
Four days before the crash, I had already predicted and publicly warned!
This crash was not without warning, but was completely predictable. I am the only person on the internet who issued a warning 4 days in advance of the crash and notified everyone for free.
The timing, keyword matching, and every detail corroborated my analysis.
The greedy traders used a historical level of contract accumulation, creating a historic level of liquidation wave.
If I hadn’t listened to the advice at that time, the losses this time could truly be unbearable for a lifetime.
This historic level of crash prediction is just part of my regular analysis. Over the past 245 days, I have conducted a total of 108 short, medium, and long-term market and project predictions, all of which have come true. A multi-dimensional and comprehensive analysis of the cryptocurrency circle, with few flaws in such high-frequency and dense market predictions.
I dismantled Wall Street's trading and market-making techniques in advance and proved through action: we Chinese can also create our own legend on the global cryptocurrency stage with rationality, insight, and belief.
I do not intend to show off, nor do I need thanks.
On the contrary, I want to thank the brothers and sisters who have always supported and trusted me.
A few years ago, when I was at a low point in my life, Mr. Li Lin reached out to help and gave me an important position.
Because of this, I have the opportunity today—to stand in Binance Square, shine, and help more people.
Remembering the source of drinking water, I am grateful and will not forget!
#美国加征关税 #加密市场回调 #美联储降息预期升温 $BTC $ETH $BNB @币安广场 @币安Binance华语 @Yi He @CZ

My Crypto Circle Answer Sheet - Half-Year Summary
ETH has been hovering near historical highs, and I have fulfilled my promise to everyone - this year ETH conservatively predicts breaking the previous high. In the past six months, we have collectively completed the largest dividend cycle in Ethereum.
Although ETH is not at an absolute high point right now, from today onwards, I will no longer advise anyone to continue buying; I recommend taking some profits. In chaotic times, it is essential to keep some cash on hand.
My original intention and background:
I am someone who has come out of Shandong and seen the world; this opportunity was given to me by the crypto circle. My growth and understanding of the industry have benefited from my former boss, teacher, and elder brother - Mr. Li Lin.
Crypto disciples are Li Lin's disciples, and after many years of following, I admire your generosity and vision, and I am grateful for your guidance and cultivation. Even though Wall Street is dominant this year, I still respond calmly with my early work experience and your philosophy.
Remember the teachings: Practitioners must never do evil!
This year's industry answer sheet:
1. The only person in the crypto circle who dares to make market predictions:
Main Line: Prediction of three major upward waves for ETH in the big cycle.
Best buying points: April 9, June 22, August 2.
Two escape opportunities for altcoins: May 22, July 23.
Sub Line: Whether on a weekly or daily basis, medium to short-term predictions are equally accurate, and all content has never been deleted.
2. High-frequency deep output:
In half a year, I published 281 pieces of content in simple language on Binance Square, totaling 170,000 words, covering all practical underlying logic.
3. Leading the market by a quarter, clearly distinguishing between BTC, ETH bulls, and altcoin bears, and explaining multiple times.
4. All liquidation points I have announced have been accurately triggered within the specified time.
5. Against the market and against the cycle, I have never deleted posts and never followed the crowd.
6. Some say that the crypto market is all about luck; price fluctuations cannot be predicted.
But I have spent half a year telling you - trends can be understood, and opportunities can be seized.
What I have proven is not just myself, but: the crypto circle is not finished yet!
I have done everything a true industry practitioner should do.
I have not said a single falsehood; I am just objectively stating the facts I have accomplished.
Now, it is time to reveal everything.
#以太坊创历史新高倒计时 #BTC再创新高 #加密市场回调
$BTC $ETH

Please return to the cryptocurrency world immediately, this period is your best opportunity to make money!
The biggest money-making opportunity recently: directly short the top gainers of Binance's daily contracts!
Spend more time understanding these zombie coins. Recently, the ones that have skyrocketed are all zombie coins that no one buys; once they are pumped, they will also return to their value (zero).
Manage your risks well; a week can yield the returns of a year!
I have to stay up late every day to short two; time will automatically give you the answer!
#加密市场观察 #加密市场回调 #加密市场反弹
$BEAT $POWER

Breaking News: BTC and ETH Receive the Most Important Policy Boost from the US!

After the US stock market closed, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) announced the launch of a pilot program for tokenized collateralized digital assets in the derivatives market. The following is the original announcement:

CFTC Acting Chair Carolyn D. Van announced the launch of a digital asset pilot program allowing certain digital assets, such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and USDC, to be used as collateral in the derivatives market. The CFTC also issued guidance on tokenized collateral and revoked outdated regulatory requirements imposed due to the Genius Act.

This move marks a significant milestone in expanding the use of digital assets in regulated markets and follows the tokenized collateral program launched in September 2025—part of the CFTC's "Crypto Sprint," designed to implement the recommendations of the President's Working Group on Digital Asset Markets report.

“Under my leadership, the CFTC has ushered in a golden age of innovation and cryptocurrency for the United States this year. This mission is especially important given the recent customer losses experienced by non-US cryptocurrency exchanges. Americans deserve a safe US domestic market as an alternative to offshore platforms, which is why I announced last week that spot cryptocurrencies can now be traded on CFTC-registered exchanges,” said Acting Chairman Fan.

“Today, I launch the US Digital Asset Pilot Program, allowing tokenized collateral such as Bitcoin and Ethereum to enter the derivatives market. This program will establish clear regulatory safeguards to protect customer assets and strengthen the CFTC’s monitoring and reporting mechanisms. The CFTC will also provide regulatory certainty through guidance on tokenized collateral for real-world assets such as US Treasury bonds and will repeal outdated CFTC requirements that came into effect after the Genius Act. Embracing responsible innovation ensures that the US market remains globally leading and drives US economic growth—market participants can use their funds more safely and efficiently to achieve greater value.”

Summary: Currently, the market is still focused on Powell's speech in the short term. Once speculation begins on the collateralization capabilities of BTC, ETH, and USDC, and subsequent policy benefits, it is very likely to strongly reverse the bearish trend!
#美SEC推动加密创新监管 #CFTC #加密市场反弹
$BTC $ETH $USDC

Just now, 1 billion USDT was rapidly issued! The market may welcome a key trigger point.
1. Tether issued 1 billion USDT on the Tron chain half an hour ago, but that doesn't mean it will immediately drive the market up.
The issuance of USDT and the market's initiation have never been a simple 'causal relationship'; it fundamentally depends on whether market sentiment is ignited.
If the US stock market opens strong tonight and risk appetite increases, this liquidity is very likely to enter the market immediately to drive the market upwards;
If the US stock market performs flat, this 1 billion USDT will remain on the sidelines, most likely waiting until the day after tomorrow when Powell speaks to enter the market.
2. The most watched strategy institutions have just updated their Bitcoin buying details, and they actually bought quite a bit (see attached image).
Latest data:
Last week, 10,624 BTC were newly purchased, with a total cost of about 962.7 million dollars, and an average purchase price of about 90,615 dollars;
Current strategy companies hold a total of 660,624 BTC;
The total cost is about 49.35 billion dollars, with an average cost of total holdings of about 74,696 dollars.
#strategy #加密市场观察 #加密市场反弹
$BTC $USDT

BTC has strongly re-established itself above 92,000! It turns out that many people can't even wait two days.
1. Friday's PCE was favorable, but the market didn't rush to rally, which is normal. Can't it just rally on Monday? The emotional trading of bullish on rises and bearish on declines will only repeatedly trap retail investors. Last night at 10 PM was the most typical baiting, with countless people ruthlessly liquidated.
2. Starting from November 22, I am the only one on the entire network who clearly called for bottom hunting and has continued to firmly look for a rebound. If this rebound lasts another day, this half-month small cycle will be considered complete.
3. The direction for the next half month will depend entirely on Powell's latest speech, which will directly determine market sentiment and liquidity paths.
4. The most crucial point: liquidity has clearly returned. There is a large amount of U sitting on-chain, and it is increasing every day; they are all waiting for clearer signals to enter the second phase of this month's market.
#加密市场观察 #加密市场反弹 #ETH走势分析
$BTC $ETH

$1000LUNC $ZEC Returning to zero is the only way out for garbage coins.
1. LUNC just opened last night and has already crashed.
2. ZEC has made three swings within a month, with points at 700, 681, and 670. This position has been rolled over for half a month now, and it's definitely worth it.

PCE decrease, positive news! At the same time, 500 million USDC enters the market to buy the dip.
#加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场反弹
$BTC $ETH

Tonight's PCE will be an important external aid for both bulls and bears!
Currently, the market is basically hovering around the points of BTC 92500 and ETH 3150, with the rebound stagnating while it also doesn't drop. Institutional funds are all waiting for tonight's PCE data.
1. As the price index most valued by the Federal Reserve, it is the first official inflation reading since the government shutdown, and is seen as a key variable in determining whether the U.S. stock market can break out of the oscillation zone.
Due to the delay in data release, the market has long been in an "information vacuum". Investors and Federal Reserve officials are in urgent need of this report to assess the U.S. inflation trend and policy direction.
2. Multiple institutions expect inflation to remain stubborn: the overall PCE annual rate is expected to be 2.8% (previous value 2.7%), monthly rate 0.3%; core PCE annual rate 2.9%, monthly rate 0.2%. If the predictions come true, the core PCE will be above the Federal Reserve's 2% target for 55 consecutive months.
Bank of America is more pessimistic, believing that the core PCE will likely not drop below 2% before 2027. This means that U.S. inflation may remain high for a long time.
3. This data is the last piece of the puzzle before next week's interest rate meeting. The Federal Reserve currently faces a contradictory situation of high inflation and weakening employment: the number of initial unemployment claims has decreased, indicating that employment still has resilience, but the ADP employment unexpectedly dropped by 32,000, indicating that corporate hiring is slowing down.
The market currently expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 25bp for the third consecutive time, with a CME probability of 87%. If the PCE meets or is weaker than expected, it will provide a reason for rate cuts; once the data "explodes", it may force the Federal Reserve to pause rate cuts.
Although this data is three months delayed, the Federal Reserve will "keep its distance" from it, but if there is a significant deviation, it will still affect decision-making.
4. A critical moment for U.S. stocks
On Thursday, U.S. stocks are waiting for data release amidst low volatility. The S&P 500 index is nearing historical highs, but market sentiment is being pulled by two forces:
Concerns about overheating in AI and data center capital expenditures;
Expectations that rate cuts will support the economy.
Since 2020, the performance of U.S. stocks has been highly correlated with rate cut expectations. If PCE cools down, U.S. stocks may rise broadly; if inflation exceeds expectations, selling pressure will be concentrated.
5. Small-cap stocks and the cryptocurrency sector are most sensitive to interest rates, and tonight's inflation data will directly determine whether institutions will reallocate to risk assets.
Let's wait and see🫡
#加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $BTC $ETH $SOL

In the past two days, the "interest rate cut expectations + liquidity recovery" continue to support the market, with ETH main force building positions of over 4 billion!
1. The US November ADP employment report released last night was extremely poor, with employment numbers decreasing by 32,000, while the market originally expected an increase of 40,000, a significant gap. Due to the absence of November non-farm data, the Federal Reserve can only refer to this ADP data before next week's meeting. The labor market cooled more than expected, strengthening the dovish forces within the FOMC, making a rate cut in December almost a certainty.
2. The subsequently released November ISM services index unexpectedly rebounded to 52.6, above the expected 52, while service sector price pressures also eased, alleviating market concerns about inflation and recession, further expanding gains in US stocks, with "rate cut trades" continuing to dominate.
3. The Nasdaq daily K has recorded 8 consecutive bullish lines, with bulls still in control. However, in terms of trading volume, sector momentum, and capital participation, the current market is not in a frenzied buying mode, but rather resembles a "gradual push up + cautious wait-and-see".
4. It is worth noting that the Federal Reserve officially announced the end of QT this Monday, and injected 13.5 billion dollars into the banking system through overnight repurchase agreements. As systemic liquidity shifts from tightening to easing, stocks and risk assets such as cryptocurrencies will continue to receive support. Since liquidity is no longer being withdrawn, the pace of capital flowing back into the risk market is likely to gradually accelerate.
Finally, I want to emphasize: the more everyone is afraid to go long on ETH, the more it usually indicates that the market trend is not over yet (attached picture).
3000 has unknowingly become a small support level for ETH.
#ETH走势分析 #加密市场反弹 #美联储重启降息步伐 $ETH

The ETH upgrade was completed half an hour ago, and it is currently leading the market! This year officially marks the start of a biannual upgrade model! The 17th major upgrade of Ethereum, "Fusaka," was officially activated on the mainnet at epoch 411392, approximately half an hour ago. This upgrade comes just about 7 months after the Pectra upgrade in May, marking a shift in Ethereum's development pace towards acceleration.
Main features of the Fusaka upgrade:
1. Accelerated development pace:
The activation of Fusaka indicates that Ethereum has officially entered an accelerated development model of "twice a year hard forks," with plans for two major upgrades each year going forward. Since the Merge in 2022, Ethereum has typically undergone one major upgrade per year, which are:
Shapella (2023)
Dencun (2024)
Pectra (2025)
2. Core technical changes:
The Fusaka upgrade introduces several key technical changes, particularly in data availability and pricing, with the launch of a new sampling technique called PeerDAS. This technology aims to optimize data availability and enhance the scalability of the network.
3. Upgrade scale:
The Fusaka upgrade includes 9 core EIPs (Ethereum Improvement Proposals) and 4 supporting EIPs, and according to some statistical standards, it is one of the largest upgrades Ethereum has seen to date.
4. Currently, Ethereum and its ecosystem tokens are leading the market, and on-chain TVL is steadily returning.
The combination of this upgrade and interest rate cuts is driving the price of Ether, largely influenced by short-term sentiment. For the mid to long term, the price will still require support from Wall Street and liquidity from the US to maintain.
#ETH走势分析 #以太坊升级 #加密市场反弹 $ETH

I'll say it again: predicting the market in the cryptocurrency space is not impossible!\nJust this morning, I mentioned that the major players had accumulated over 1 billion long positions, and by evening, we experienced a violent rally.\nMany people do not realize that I have accurately predicted market trends for a long time, starting from the recent bottom of 80600.\nI was the first person on the internet to identify the recent market bottom range, with the prediction made at 1 AM on November 22, when BlackRock poured in a large number of buy orders to support the market.\nSince then, until today, looking back at each article; whether it was the drama event or the baiting of longs and shorts, my predictions have been validated by the market.\nDon't give up, I'm here 🫡\n#加密市场回调 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 \n$BTC $ETH $SOL

The most concerning thing for everyone is that Powell just finished speaking!
1. Powell adhered to the silence period regulations and did not mention monetary policy.
He made it clear from the beginning to avoid discussing the monetary policy and economic outlook that everyone is most concerned about, as it is currently in the official silence period before next week's Federal Reserve policy meeting.
2. USDC issued an additional 850 million last night, and institutions continue to enter the market.
3. As analyzed yesterday: the impact of the yen interest rate hike was digested by the market in just one day. Currently, BTC's main force has built a position of over 1 billion long positions.
The market is currently in a phase of panic selling pressure and intense buying competition, primarily oscillating. Once liquidity returns, the situation will be different.
#鲍威尔讲话 #加密市场观察 #加密市场回调 $BTC $BTC

The biggest geopolitical risk in the cryptocurrency world has arrived: Is Trump going to launch a ground war against Venezuela?
On Saturday, Trump suddenly ordered a full blockade of Venezuelan airspace and spoke with Maduro today for negotiations; however, the talks quickly broke down —
Maduro demanded: 1. to continue controlling the military; 2. to secure global criminal immunity for himself and his group.
Trump immediately refused, and the situation is tense once again.
The U.S. has currently completed a large-scale military buildup in the Caribbean: aircraft carriers, amphibious assault ships, destroyers, and submarines form a maritime strike system; in the air, there are B-52 strategic bombers and F-35 stealth fighters; the total military strength is about 15,000, supported by the USS Ford aircraft carrier.
This is the largest military display by the U.S. in Latin America since the invasion of Panama in 1989, capable of precision strikes and special operations.
Venezuela has immediately mobilized the entire nation, with land, sea, air, missile forces, and a million people’s militia conducting full military exercises. The Defense Minister stated that the U.S. "war machine has been activated," urging the nation to prepare for the worst-case scenario.
However, in my view, the probability of the U.S. actually launching a ground invasion remains extremely low:
First, the troop strength is far from sufficient.
A full invasion would require at least 50,000 ground troops, while the U.S. military currently has only 15,000, not even reaching the minimum threshold.
Second, Venezuela's defensive capabilities are strong.
With 150,000 regular troops, a million militia, plus tropical rainforests and mountainous defensive lines, the U.S. military could easily be bogged down in a long-term guerrilla warfare quagmire, which does not align with U.S. strategic and cost considerations.
Third, anti-war sentiment is high in the U.S.
Seventy percent of Americans oppose deploying troops, and Trump's approval ratings are at a low point; recklessly starting a war would severely impact next year's midterm elections.
Based on these factors, I believe what is more likely is the script that Trump often uses:
Troop display → Pressure → Negotiation → More pressure → Final announcement of "victory." Through maritime and aerial blockades, sanctions, and intelligence infiltration, the U.S. can exert influence over Venezuela's 300 billion barrels of oil reserves without having to bear the risks of ground warfare.
However, short-term risk aversion in the capital markets may continue to disrupt the market, and contracts still need to be handled with caution.
Continue to pay attention to Powell's speech at 9 AM tomorrow!
#加密市场观察 #加密市场回调 #ETH走势分析
$BTC $ETH $SOL

Japan's interest rate hike expectations have collapsed the cryptocurrency market; blindly following the trend and selling coins now will result in significant losses!
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda and several committee members have intensively released hawkish signals, with the market expecting an interest rate hike in December or January next year to be almost a foregone conclusion, strengthening the yen and pushing Japan's short-term government bond yields to a sixteen-year high.
1. These remarks have triggered a global stock market and cryptocurrency market crash today. The core reason is not the 'interest rate hike' itself, but the exit from negative interest rates for the first time in 30 years, forcing the global yen arbitrage chain to contract. For over a decade, global funds have borrowed yen at extremely low costs and invested in high-yield assets such as US stocks, tech stocks, gold, BTC, ETH, and SOL, which has been an important 'invisible faucet' for global risk assets.
2. After Japan's interest rate hike, borrowing yen will no longer be cheap, and expectations for the yen's appreciation will increase, putting global yen arbitrage positions at huge risk of losses. Institutions are forced to close positions and sell high-volatility, best-liquid assets to repay yen—thus BTC, ETH, and US tech stocks have become the first to be sold off, and the cryptocurrency market has seen even larger declines due to its 24-hour trading and high leverage characteristics.
3. This crash is essentially a one-time technical shock of 'global deleveraging,' rather than a systemic financial crisis, and does not change the medium-term liquidity direction of the Federal Reserve ending balance sheet reduction in December and entering a rate cut cycle in 2026. In the short term, there may still be a 3-5% inertia drop, but this is emotional short covering. The short-term bottoming structure of BTC has not changed from earlier.
In summary: Japan is only symbolically exiting negative interest rates, and the room for interest rate hikes ahead is limited. In contrast, the United States remains dominant in the cryptocurrency market, with the Federal Reserve still on a path to rate cuts, and the medium to long-term liquidity trend remains upward.
All altcoins in the cryptocurrency market have almost dropped to historical lows, generally positioned at absolute bottom ranges. To sell at this moment due to emotional panic is the most regrettable decision in this round of the big cycle. At this low point, you should at least wait for a rebound before exiting.
#ETH走势分析 #日本加息 #加密市场下跌
$BTC $ETH $SOL

BTC ETH This week's market review and update suspension explanation
The update was paused for three days to mourn our compatriots who tragically perished in the Hong Kong fire.
May the deceased rest in peace, may the living be strong, and may sorrow not reappear!
The following is the market review after the incident and the core logic of Friday's market
1. Friday night's rise was led by the stablecoin sector
The ignition point of this round of the market came from stablecoin issuer Circle:
On Friday, the stock price surged over 10%, strongly returning to the $80 range,
which directly drove Coinbase, crypto ETFs, and other U.S. stock chain sectors to rise simultaneously.
This rise is a clear assist from Wall Street:
S&P also downgraded the rating of USDT issuer Tether to the lowest level, which is equivalent to suppressing USDC's biggest competitor, opening up mid to long-term growth space for USDC.
After two months of major washout, Circle's mid to long-term valuation and market share have greater potential.
2. BTC reached my Monday forecast target of 92000
In this wave of fund-driven rebound, BTC's highest point successfully hit around $92,000, aligning with the script prediction I provided on Monday.
This indicates that despite the current weak market structure, the rebound direction of "marginal liquidity + emotional repair" remains clear.
3. The current pullback is a healthy consolidation
The drop from Friday’s close to now is a completely normal technical correction.
The reason is simple:
BTC rose from 80600 to 93000 within a week, with a significant rebound magnitude.
It must consolidate to digest short-term pressure and prepare for the next trend.
4. Clear signals of capital inflow have emerged
Although the overall market is still in a relatively low liquidity stage, the data from the past 10 days has provided key reversal signals:
1. Continuous large net issuance of USDC indicates real capital entering the market.
2. Continuous net inflow into Ethereum ETFs means funds are partially returning, waiting for macro confirmation.
5. Wall Street's clearest main line: ETH
Among all mainstream assets, ETH has the highest institutional friendliness and the most obvious capital preference.
The key variable is:
BitMine's strategic reserve model is rewriting the ecological power structure of ETH:
During the crash, it did not reduce positions but increased them, essentially wiping out other competitors: subsequent discourse power will rapidly concentrate, and institutional certainty over ETH in the mid to long term is enhanced.
Therefore, at this moment, the price of ETH at 3000 still has upward potential.
#加密市场反弹 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析
$BTC $ETH

BTC 91000, ETH 3000, SOL140, BNB900 all break through!
Last night's market rebound was driven by four major factors: the Federal Reserve's Beige Book, the recovery of US stocks and ETFs, the increase in USDC issuance, and JPMorgan's sudden support for a rate cut in December.
1. The Federal Reserve released the Beige Book early this morning.
The Beige Book is the Federal Reserve's field economic survey report; it does not directly determine interest rates, but during periods of missing official data, its influence on officials' judgments about the economic outlook and whether to cut rates is significantly amplified.
The report shows:
The US economy has been basically stagnant in recent weeks;
High-income consumption remains resilient, but spending among middle and low-income earners is clearly weak;
Employment has slightly declined, and prices have risen moderately;
The government shutdown has disrupted economic activity and led to retail setbacks and increased demand for food assistance;
Due to the shutdown, a large amount of key economic data for October and November is missing, increasing the divergence within the Federal Reserve on whether to cut rates in December. However, recently, several heavyweight officials aligned with Powell's stance have publicly expressed support for a rate cut, raising market expectations for a rate cut in December to 85%, becoming an important catalyst for the market rebound.
2. The selling pressure on US stocks and crypto ETFs has significantly eased, and funds are beginning to flow back.
In the past few days, BlackRock's support for the BTC ETF has begun to show results. The selling pressure on US stock crypto concept ETFs has noticeably weakened, and some funds are starting to reposition themselves to buy at the bottom.
3. JPMorgan suddenly changes its stance: rate cuts will begin in December!
JPMorgan's economist team has significantly revised its previous viewpoint, changing from the original expectation of "rate cuts in January next year" to believing that the Federal Reserve will directly initiate rate cuts in December.
The reasons are:
Several heavyweight officials have recently publicly supported a rate cut;
The change in officials' stances is enough to alter pre-meeting expectations.
JPMorgan currently predicts:
A 25bp rate cut in December, and another 25bp cut in January next year.
4. USDC issued an additional 600 million U last night, rapidly enhancing market liquidity.
Summary: Multiple favorable factors are resonating, the current market has not yet stabilized, and if stability can be achieved, the crypto market will officially enter a recovery phase!
#加密市场反弹 #ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐
$BTC $ETH $SOL

The market has rallied! Politics, AI, and interest rate cut expectations are working together!
1. High-level talks between China and the United States have confirmed mutual visits.
2. Trump has signed an executive order to initiate the 'Genesis Mission', which aims to upgrade the U.S. research system driven by AI. This program is referred to as the 'largest integration of research since the Apollo program'. The Department of Energy will use AI to process the super datasets from its 17 national laboratories, fully opening government research data and computing power to universities, enterprises, and national security departments, accelerating breakthroughs in critical fields such as medicine, energy, and engineering.
3. San Francisco Federal Reserve President Daly has expressed support for interest rate cuts, with the current probability of a rate cut rising to 80%.
In summary: Uncertainty in the capital markets is gradually disappearing, with the cryptocurrency sector leading the gains in U.S. stocks, while liquidity in the crypto space is beginning to gradually return.
#ETH走势分析 #加密市场反弹 #美联储重启降息步伐
$BTC $ETH $SOL

Cryptocurrency Outlook for This Week: BTC Must Hold 88,000 to Have a Chance at 92,000!
1. This week is Thanksgiving week, and the U.S. stock market will only be open for three and a half days: closed on Thursday and half-day on Friday. Wednesday and Friday are at the end-of-month settlement window, where large funds like pensions will adjust their positions, which may amplify fluctuations in the stock and cryptocurrency markets. Additionally, under the short week context, overall expectations lean towards reduced volume.
2. BTC has rebounded from 80,000 to 88,000, and the core focus going forward is two points: whether the rebound can sustain and whether the market can provide a clear direction. 88,000–89,000 is a key resistance zone, previously a support, now a resistance. Only if it successfully breaks through and absorbs selling pressure can it challenge 92,000 and move upward; if it remains pressured below, we need to be cautious of a drop to 85,000 to test support.
3. On the macro front, this week focuses on two major points:
First, the White House and allies have proposed a new peace framework. If the situation eases, it will be a favorable factor for stabilizing the market;
Second, Nvidia's H200 chip exports to China have been discussed again; if there is progress, it will benefit semiconductors and boost risk assets. At the same time, U.S.-China negotiations are entering a critical stage ahead of Thanksgiving.
4. In terms of interest rate expectations, the probability of a rate cut on December 10 has risen back to about 70%, up from only 44% a week ago and a low of 26%. Contributing factors include the large non-farm payrolls report and dovish statements from Federal Reserve's number three official Waller.
This Tuesday, the September PPI will be released, while October non-farm payrolls and CPI have been postponed to mid-December due to the government shutdown, making it difficult to influence this decision. Meanwhile, officials will enter a quiet period, and the market will rely more on data and expected speculation.
Summary: Short week + reduced volume + end-of-month repositioning + panic sentiment, this week is crucial to see if BTC can break through 88,000–89,000, whether the rebound can continue, and whether positive developments occur in U.S.-China relations and geopolitical events, which will determine if the cryptocurrency market can continue to stabilize and strengthen.
#比特币波动性 #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH $SOL

Last night was the strongest BTC support this year!
1. The daily trading amount of the BlackRock Bitcoin ETF reached 8 billion, a historical high! Wall Street's main institutions are mainly buying. (Image)
2. In the past 8 hours, a cumulative issuance of 1 billion USDC has also created the shortest and largest minting history, and every minting quickly flowed into the exchange for bottom fishing. (Attached 3 images)
3. The bottom fluctuation range is currently basically confirmed to be 80600_85000. Without any positive or negative news, it will fluctuate in this range; if there are significant events, it will leave this range and continue to follow the trend.
The market has currently adjusted and stopped falling in the fluctuation range, wishing my brothers and sisters to make a fortune 🫡
#比特币波动性 #加密市场回调 #加密市场反弹

$BTC $ETH $SOL