Latest US Stock Market Update: Mainstream divergence intensifies, how to hunt for alpha opportunities?
Big Players Update: $NVDA sees a short-term pullback due to pension fund reallocations, no need to panic; $AAPL remains above the 5-day line, no cracks in the bullish trend.
Semiconductors | Optical Modules: Chip stocks are experiencing severe divergence, currently blindly chasing highs offers low value.
On the contrary, this recent pullback in optical modules presents a rare dip-buying window.
AI + Application Infrastructure:
Institutions are going wild over Meta's AI transformation, likely to replicate Google’s deep V rebound trend.
AI software and drone sectors continue to show strong momentum, can keep buying in.
Energy: Electricity as the ultimate logic for AI remains unchanged, hold nuclear stocks for a rise.
Aerospace and Defense: Heavy selling due to negative news, significant pullback. Ahead of SpaceX’s IPO, the entire sector lacks core catalysts, making it difficult for any substantial moves in the short term.
Keep a close eye on the pullback in optical modules and AI applications with performance support, currently, the overall market is likely to continue trending upwards.
US stocks are like a no-brainer; you can just buy in and double your money!\n\nIn crypto, you're at risk of losing your principal 24/7.\n\nSo why are you still mooning over crypto instead of embracing stocks?
Friends from the Chinese community should be grateful for Duan Yongping's buy into $Pinduoduo.
After achieving results in his ventures and investments,
especially after moving to the US, he could've easily held onto US stocks like Apple, Nvidia, and Google for some solid gains, yet he still opts to hold Moutai and buy into Chinese stocks like Pinduoduo, and now he's backing the new wave of consumption with Pop Mart. Isn't that a kind of investment mindset?
This might be Mr. Duan's attempt to select the best companies among all domestic options…
Most people think that when the US tech sector is pumping, the A-share tech sector will follow suit; the logic is the same.
If you think like this, you’re bound to take a major hit.
In the US markets, it’s all about being accountable to shareholders. Companies rise because they exceed earnings expectations, buybacks, and dividends—essentially, you’re buying into a company that continually generates cash flow. According to this logic, the US market has a fast turnover, fierce competition, and it’s a winner-takes-all scenario. The market helps to directly weed out junk companies; you just need to scoop up excellent firms when the prices are low and never have to sell.
In contrast, A-shares are the opposite; they’re ultimately accountable to the companies themselves. When people invest, they’re essentially helping companies raise capital. Once a company goes public, its performance stabilizes with meager dividends and poor buybacks. Instead, many major shareholders cash out during bullish cycles, and poorly performing companies, with low delisting risks, get pumped by retail traders. Coupled with some local fund firms hyping things up, it ultimately leaves retail investors holding the bag. Now, with the rise of quant trading, it looks like A-shares are in a bull market, but the profit effects for regular folks are particularly bad. For skilled traders, though, it's a cash machine.
In the US market, you just need to research and pick ten companies you believe in for the long haul. These firms have good certainty, low volatility, and stable, ongoing returns.
A-shares, however, feel like playing DouDiZhu (a card game)—high volatility and way too much uncertainty: selling at the wrong time, getting trapped while bottom-fishing, sector rotations, national policies, and battling with retail funds. Each round of speculative hype requires you to sell in front of others, and you’ll face a lot of challenges along the way.
In short, people holding US stocks tend to be more laid-back, sipping tea and traveling.
Meanwhile, there’s just so much to learn when it comes to A-shares…
For instance, today’s A-share tech crash, while consumer real estate skyrocketed 😂
$ETH is currently a token that everyone in the crypto scene looks down on, and it’s not helping its own cause.
Still the same story, Ethereum has performed extremely poorly this round, and the rwa meme chain contracts have little to do with it; its own Layer 2 has already taken a hit from the crypto crowd.
Now, it's even cutting into Wall Street companies; savvy investors and capital are only eyeing Bitcoin and a few core exchange assets, ignoring everything else. If anyone is still dollar-cost averaging into ETH and encouraging you to buy, they are definitely trying to trap you.
Tiger, Futu just got wrecked by the domestic crackdown Thinking about some of the reasons behind this:
Maybe there's just not enough "liquidity" left Gotta look at companies in the AI sector like chips, storage, and liquid cooling with a rational eye Even though I'm still bullish on AI long-term
With AI blowing up, the top companies in all sectors are smashing earnings Stocks related to AI, both domestically and internationally, have been pumping hard We've shifted from earnings-driven valuations to liquidity-driven ones Everyone has moved their focus and positions over
Think of the funds in China and the U.S. as two reservoirs With giants like SpaceX and OpenAI going public soon in the U.S. It's bound to leak out through the cracks in the Chinese reservoir And domestic companies are already lacking foreign capital inflow for financing
Now with a full-on crackdown, we see from another angle That the current "liquidity" is still there, but it's a bit tight This year in the domestic stock market, there's a phenomenon where
Only the tech sector and indices are up While dividends, consumer, and financial stocks are performing poorly Any company even slightly related to AI can snag a high expected valuation
In the second half of this year, a bulk of companies' financing and IPOs will just need to stack on disappointing earnings (everyone's expectations are way too high) This feast where everyone was buying AI stocks to get rich will come crashing down
Because a liquidity-driven bull market will eventually have someone cashing out And when everyone is panicking, that's the best time to take your swing
A altcoin that has tanked by 700%, even after you sell, it could still drop another 30%.
Anyone holding onto altcoins hoping for a recovery is just dreaming.
Investing in assets and trading within your means is the most likely way to profit moving forward, and trading assets is a test of whether you’re a competent trader!
It's rare to stay up late once, so I’ll write a little bit of my own notes:
Investing is like being a person; you need to choose quality targets from the trash. Choose to be long-term friends with quality assets. For example, the cryptocurrency circle's $BTC $BNB A shares of Changjiang Power and Moutai, and the American stock market's $AAPL Nasdaq 100.
Focus your energy on things that don't require much skill; just buy when most people are afraid and sell a portion when the market is overvalued. Ordinary people should first achieve beta returns before discussing alpha returns. If you consistently underperform beta returns and learn from others, you may end up losing your principal, which is not worth it.
Waiting is also very important; it's better to be picky than to settle for less, and not to punish yourself for someone else’s short-term luck.
Have fewer personal directional opinions and follow the market rhythm more.
Attention is especially important in the present; choose to immerse yourself in a comfortable environment and invest in reliable targets.
Always remember to bet only through your own understanding!
The recent $币安人生 $RAVE ignited the altcoin market, and there will be more altcoins experiencing violent price surges. $ROBO has also started to stabilize and surge!