$RIVER Tous les TP faits ! seulement précision. continuez à imprimer de l'argent ! personne ne peut rivaliser avec ma précision ! 💸🏆🤑 Suivez-moi & ne perdez plus jamais
So far, Bitcoin’s price structure is closely matching previous cycles.
What the chart suggests: → Current move still looks like a relief rally → RSI is testing the same zone seen in past cycles → Another RSI rejection could bring further downside
Markets often repeat behavior, not headlines. Patience and risk control matter here 👀
Le Bitcoin se déplace à l'intérieur d'une structure haussière à long terme depuis 2009.
➤ Phase d'accumulation précoce → ignorée par la plupart ➥ Des bas plus élevés ont continué à se former ◦ la tendance est restée intacte ➟ Une compression à long terme s'est construite discrètement
Ce type de structure ne dure pas éternellement. Lorsque l'expansion commence, elle arrive généralement rapidement et de manière agressive 👀
• Des sommets arrondis répétés se forment → Modèle de distribution clair • Ligne de tendance majeure perdue ↘ L'élan devient baissier • Sommets plus bas + faible récupération ▸ Les vendeurs sont toujours en contrôle
À moins qu'EHT ne reprenne une résistance clé, le risque baissier reste élevé. Ce n'est pas de la force — c'est de l'épuisement.
Japan is carrying nearly $10 trillion in government debt, while Japanese government bond yields have moved to record highs across the curve.
For decades, Japan survived because interest rates stayed near zero. That protection is fading, and once yields rise, the pressure builds quickly.
Higher yields mean one thing → rising debt servicing costs. Japan cannot easily cut spending. Tax hikes risk slowing growth. Aggressive money printing risks crushing the yen and importing inflation.
This is where global markets come into focus.
Japan holds trillions in overseas assets. • More than $1 trillion in U.S. Treasuries • Hundreds of billions in global stocks and bonds
These positions made sense when domestic yields were near zero. Now, Japanese bonds finally offer real returns, while U.S. assets become less attractive after currency hedging.
At the same time, the yen carry trade is slowly unwinding.
Over $1 trillion was borrowed cheaply in yen and deployed into risk assets → equities → crypto → emerging markets
As rates rise and currency dynamics shift, those positions face growing stress.
Additional pressure points are forming: • U.S.–Japan yield spreads are narrowing • U.S. borrowing costs are rising regardless of Fed policy • The Bank of Japan continues tightening into fragile conditions
Japan is increasingly boxed in between debt stability and currency risk. There is no smooth exit path from here.
Historically, the outcomes narrow to three possibilities: → restructuring → inflation → prolonged financial stress
For nearly 30 years, Japanese yields acted as a hidden anchor for global rates. That anchor is weakening.
When this happens, the sequence is rarely random. Bonds tend to react first. Stocks follow with deeper moves. Crypto absorbs the sharpest volatility.
When markets finally react, it will be labeled “unexpected.” In reality, the signals have been building for some time.
This does not resolve the imbalance. It amplifies it.
Housing then becomes a policy trap.
Price declines become difficult to allow because of the impact on banks, consumers, and broader financial confidence. Liquidity is used to stabilize prices, increasing long-term risk.
This is how past housing cycles expanded before reversing.
Market history shows that stress often appears first in rates and credit, then flows into equities, with risk assets reacting more sharply.
This is not about short-term relief. It is about shifting risk forward.
Macro signals like this matter before they reach headlines 📊