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January 18 is shaping up to be a defining date for Ondo Finance and ONDO price, though not for the reasons many expect. The $772M token unlock has sparked intense debate, yet the real story sits beneath the surface. Crypto analyst Sarosh, known online as @SaroshQ2022, frames the event as a liquidity stress test rather than a final judgment. That distinction matters more than the headline number.
Unlocks often look dramatic when isolated from context. Sarosh argues that unlocks create optional liquidity, not automatic selling pressure. The market response during this window will reveal whether ONDO behaves like fragile speculation or durable infrastructure

Orderly Absorption Shows ONDO Finance Liquidity Depth.

The most constructive outcome centers on calm digestion. Sarosh describes a scenario where ONDO price holds structure, volume stays controlled, and selling pressure does not cascade. Such behavior would suggest alignment among longer-term holders and limited urgency from early stakeholders. Liquidity depth becomes visible only when supply increases without chaos.

ONDO price already reflects heavy pessimism after falling close to 80% over the past 12 months. That prior drawdown reduces the odds of panic selling during the unlock. Sarosh notes that emotional exits tend to happen earlier, when narratives collapse and liquidity is thin. This environment looks different

Orderly Absorption Shows ONDO Finance Liquidity Depth

The most constructive outcome centers on calm digestion. Sarosh describes a scenario where ONDO price holds structure, volume stays controlled, and selling pressure does not cascade. Such behavior would suggest alignment among longer-term holders and limited urgency from early stakeholders. Liquidity depth becomes visible only when supply increases without chaos.

ONDO price already reflects heavy pessimism after falling close to 80% over the past 12 months. That prior drawdown reduces the odds of panic selling during the unlock. Sarosh notes that emotional exits tend to happen earlier, when narratives collapse and liquidity is thin. This environment looks different.

$Ondo Liquidity Stress Test
What this really means is January 18th is a forced honesty moment for ONDO — not a verdict. A $772M unlock sounds terrifying when you read it in isolation, but unlocks don’t equal instant selling. They equal optional liquidity.The stress test is…
Short Term ONDO Price Flush That Still Stabilizes
3 Ways ONDO $772M Upcoming Unlock Could Play Out: One Is a Disaster
Table of Contents
Orderly Absorption Shows ONDO Finance Liquidity Depth
Short Term ONDO Price Flush That Still Stabilizes
Rare Failure Scenario Requires Broader Market Stress
January 18 is shaping up to be a defining date for Ondo Finance and ONDO price, though not for the reasons many expect. The $772M token unlock has sparked intense debate, yet the real story sits beneath the surface. Crypto analyst Sarosh, known online as @SaroshQ2022, frames the event as a liquidity stress test rather than a final judgment. That distinction matters more than the headline number.
Unlocks often look dramatic when isolated from context. Sarosh argues that unlocks create optional liquidity, not automatic selling pressure. The market response during this window will reveal whether ONDO behaves like fragile speculation or durable infrastructure.

Orderly Absorption Shows ONDO Finance Liquidity Depth
The most constructive outcome centers on calm digestion. Sarosh describes a scenario where ONDO price holds structure, volume stays controlled, and selling pressure does not cascade. Such behavior would suggest alignment among longer-term holders and limited urgency from early stakeholders. Liquidity depth becomes visible only when supply increases without chaos.

ONDO price already reflects heavy pessimism after falling close to 80% over the past 12 months. That prior drawdown reduces the odds of panic selling during the unlock. Sarosh notes that emotional exits tend to happen earlier, when narratives collapse and liquidity is thin. This environment looks different.

$Ondo Liquidity Stress Test

What this really means is January 18th is a forced honesty moment for ONDO — not a verdict. A $772M unlock sounds terrifying when you read it in isolation, but unlocks don’t equal instant selling. They equal optional liquidity.

The stress test is…
— Sarosh (@SaroshQ2022) January 15, 2026
In this case, volatility still appears, headlines still amplify fear, and supply does leak into the market. Structural damage, however, remains absent. Sarosh estimates this outcome carries roughly a 60% probability, making it the most likely path.

Short Term ONDO Price Flush That Still Stabilizes
A second path involves turbulence without lasting harm. ONDO price could experience a sharp knee jerk drop as unlocked tokens meet cautious demand. Sarosh outlines a possible 15% to 25% downside move before sellers exhaust themselves.

Such moves often feel worse than they are. Liquidity thins briefly, charts look uncomfortable, and sentiment dips again. Stabilization tends to follow once forced sellers clear. Sarosh assigns this scenario around a 25% chance and emphasizes that survival remains intact.
Timing also plays a role. This unlock arrives before the Ondo Summit, not after. Unlocks ahead of narrative milestones frequently reset positioning and remove weak hands early. That process can prepare the market for the next phase instead of ending it.

$ONDO #news #UnlockAlert