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If Trump successfully 'takes over' the Federal Reserve, a financial tsunami sweeping the globe will be ignited from the United States, with the core trigger being two words: inflation!
The Federal Reserve is supposed to be the 'accelerator and brake' of the U.S. economy, and its independence is key to controlling inflation. Trump has already made it clear that he wants to hit the accelerator hard—forcefully cutting interest rates from over 4% to 1%. If a trusted chairman takes over, the Federal Reserve will likely ignore the current inflation rate of nearly 3% and stubbornly lower interest rates to stimulate the economy, laying the groundwork for disaster.
For the United States, three major adverse effects will emerge: first, the dollar will rapidly lose value, with interest rate cuts and government deficits soaring to 6% of GDP, leading to the inevitable depreciation of the dollar and a significant reduction in purchasing power; second, prices will be completely out of control, with dollar depreciation and tariffs skyrocketing from 2.4% to 18%, causing imported goods to surge and domestic inflation to flare up; third, history may repeat itself, with a replay of the 1970s when presidential pressure to lower interest rates triggered severe inflation, plunging the economy into chaos.
For the world, the impact will be even more devastating: as the world's currency, U.S. inflation will be transmitted globally through imports and oil prices, forcing everyone to pay the price; the core of countries holding dollar assets is their belief in the independence of the Federal Reserve. Once that trust collapses, dollar assets will be sold off, gold and other safe-haven assets will be frantically sought after, and global financial turmoil will ensue; during past crises, the Federal Reserve's dollar swap lifeline may be subjected to political conditions in the future, leaving countries without a safety net.
Essentially, political interference in professional central banks may create a temporary illusion of economic stimulus, but in the long run, it will ignite hyperinflation, completely destroying global trust in the dollar system, putting everyone's money at risk.
Will this American-style inflation storm first impact the cryptocurrency market or traditional finance? Will the loosening of dollar hegemony give rise to new safe-haven paths?
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