Ariyan_124
you need money nock to me
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post on tradfi win Your prize...
Binance Square Official
·
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Posting di TradFi, Menangkan Hadiahmu!
Emas lagi koreksi dari puncaknya, saham-saham teknologi top lagi tertekan, dan komoditas lagi fluktuasi. Kalo kamu udah mantengin velas setiap hari, pasti punya pemikiran tentang pasar global. Ayo share pendapatmu! Buat konten asli dalam bahasa Inggris yang berhubungan dengan TradFi di Binance Square selama periode kampanye, dan dapatkan kesempatan untuk dapat bagian dari hadiah voucher!
Periode Kampanye
20 Mei, 11:00 – 28 Mei, 23:59 (UTC)
Gimana Cara Ikut?
Selama periode kampanye, terbitkan setidaknya 1 konten asli dalam bahasa Inggris di Square yang terkait dengan topik TradFi yang sudah diidentifikasi, dan dapatkan kesempatan untuk berbagi dalam hadiah voucher!
Periode Kampanye
20 Mei, 11:00 – 28 Mei, 23:59 (UTC)
Gimana Cara Ikut?
Selama periode kampanye, terbitkan setidaknya 1 konten asli dalam bahasa Inggris di Square yang terkait dengan topik TradFi yang sudah diidentifikasi, dan dapatkan kesempatan untuk berbagi dalam hadiah voucher!
Lihat terjemahan
Guys… this one really tested me 😩
It’s been more than 3 weeks holding $SIREN …
I’ve seen solid profits… and I’ve seen crazy drawdowns too.
Yeah, I’ll admit it I made a mistake.
Entered a bit too early… that’s my only regret.
But let me make one thing clear:
I’m not “stuck” here.
I’ve already covered a lot through other trades my followers know that.
What’s really painful?
👉 Funding fees… over $7K already gone 🥱😭
👉 And the trade is still in loss right now
Yeah… it’s tough. No sugarcoating.
But I still believe this:
Markets shake you before they reward you.
I’m expecting a dump and, maybe even a deep move…
But patience is everything here.
Not every trade is easy.
Not every move is instant.
Sometimes you just have to sit through the pressure…
control emotions… and trust your plan.
Also short on $RIVER target $9.
Still holding. Still focused. 😉$ETH
It’s been more than 3 weeks holding $SIREN …
I’ve seen solid profits… and I’ve seen crazy drawdowns too.
Yeah, I’ll admit it I made a mistake.
Entered a bit too early… that’s my only regret.
But let me make one thing clear:
I’m not “stuck” here.
I’ve already covered a lot through other trades my followers know that.
What’s really painful?
👉 Funding fees… over $7K already gone 🥱😭
👉 And the trade is still in loss right now
Yeah… it’s tough. No sugarcoating.
But I still believe this:
Markets shake you before they reward you.
I’m expecting a dump and, maybe even a deep move…
But patience is everything here.
Not every trade is easy.
Not every move is instant.
Sometimes you just have to sit through the pressure…
control emotions… and trust your plan.
Also short on $RIVER target $9.
Still holding. Still focused. 😉$ETH
$SOL mematuhi pemikiran terbalik dari "Orang lain takut, saya serakah", saya percaya bahwa $SOL, sebagai aset dengan biaya kinerja tinggi di antara koin mainstream, memiliki potensi jangka panjang yang kuat 📈. Oleh karena itu, saya memilih untuk secara bertahap mengalokasikan selama penarikan 🛒. Semakin besar penurunan, semakin besar ruang pemulihan di masa depan sering kali 💥. Pengembalian nilai aset mainstream adalah norma di pasar, jadi tetap sabar dan tidak perlu terlalu khawatir tentang fluktuasi jangka pendek 🙃.
🚨JANGAN BELI RUMAH TAHUN INI, KECUALI KALIAN SEORANG MILIARDER!
Saya telah menghabiskan 22 tahun dalam makro.
Saya telah melihat setiap siklus dari keruntuhan 2008 hingga puncak 2020.
Jika Anda berpikir pasar saat ini aman, Anda kehilangan pembekuan struktural.
Membeli pada 2026 adalah PERANGKAP, berikut alasannya:
Data Redfin menunjukkan ketidakseimbangan besar: 36,8% lebih banyak penjual daripada pembeli. Permintaan berada pada tingkat terendah sejak penguncian 2020.
Ini bukan penurunan normal, ini adalah kehilangan total dari kecepatan pasar.
Sebagian besar pemilik terjebak dalam 3% kertas. Dengan suku bunga tetap 30 tahun yang tercekik di ~6,5%, "biaya untuk pindah" sangat menghambat.
Kami tidak memiliki penemuan harga karena tidak ada yang mampu untuk pindah. Anda sedang membeli aset likuiditas rendah dengan harga stiker yang belum diuji oleh volume nyata.
Membeli sekarang berarti mengunci pembayaran bulanan yang brutal pada aset dengan potensi kenaikan yang terbatas.
Jika Anda terlever 5:1 pada rumah yang tetap datar sementara Anda membayar bunga 6,5%, Anda tidak sedang membangun ekuitas, ANDA SEDANG KEHILANGAN MODAL.
PERMAINAN MAKRO:
Tunggu fase kelelahan di akhir 2026/2027.
Itulah saat kerumunan "tunggu saja" menghadapi katalis kehidupan (perceraian, relokasi, pensiun) dan terpaksa menjual dalam ekonomi yang mendingin.
Itulah saat reset keterjangkauan sebenarnya terjadi.
Jika Anda harus membeli, lakukan seperti hiu:
– Uji stres pendapatan Anda untuk potongan 20%.
– Jaga LTV Anda tetap sehat (hindari ekuitas negatif).
– Hanya beli jika Anda bisa bertahan melalui dasawarsa yang datar.
Matematika tidak memiliki emosi. Jangan biarkan rumah impian Anda menjadi aset zombie.
Saya telah memanggil setiap puncak dan dasar utama selama lebih dari satu dekade.
Ketika saya melakukan langkah berikutnya, saya akan membagikannya di sini untuk dilihat semua orang.
Jika Anda masih belum mengikuti saya, Anda akan menyesal. Cukup lihat.
$XRP
Saya telah menghabiskan 22 tahun dalam makro.
Saya telah melihat setiap siklus dari keruntuhan 2008 hingga puncak 2020.
Jika Anda berpikir pasar saat ini aman, Anda kehilangan pembekuan struktural.
Membeli pada 2026 adalah PERANGKAP, berikut alasannya:
Data Redfin menunjukkan ketidakseimbangan besar: 36,8% lebih banyak penjual daripada pembeli. Permintaan berada pada tingkat terendah sejak penguncian 2020.
Ini bukan penurunan normal, ini adalah kehilangan total dari kecepatan pasar.
Sebagian besar pemilik terjebak dalam 3% kertas. Dengan suku bunga tetap 30 tahun yang tercekik di ~6,5%, "biaya untuk pindah" sangat menghambat.
Kami tidak memiliki penemuan harga karena tidak ada yang mampu untuk pindah. Anda sedang membeli aset likuiditas rendah dengan harga stiker yang belum diuji oleh volume nyata.
Membeli sekarang berarti mengunci pembayaran bulanan yang brutal pada aset dengan potensi kenaikan yang terbatas.
Jika Anda terlever 5:1 pada rumah yang tetap datar sementara Anda membayar bunga 6,5%, Anda tidak sedang membangun ekuitas, ANDA SEDANG KEHILANGAN MODAL.
PERMAINAN MAKRO:
Tunggu fase kelelahan di akhir 2026/2027.
Itulah saat kerumunan "tunggu saja" menghadapi katalis kehidupan (perceraian, relokasi, pensiun) dan terpaksa menjual dalam ekonomi yang mendingin.
Itulah saat reset keterjangkauan sebenarnya terjadi.
Jika Anda harus membeli, lakukan seperti hiu:
– Uji stres pendapatan Anda untuk potongan 20%.
– Jaga LTV Anda tetap sehat (hindari ekuitas negatif).
– Hanya beli jika Anda bisa bertahan melalui dasawarsa yang datar.
Matematika tidak memiliki emosi. Jangan biarkan rumah impian Anda menjadi aset zombie.
Saya telah memanggil setiap puncak dan dasar utama selama lebih dari satu dekade.
Ketika saya melakukan langkah berikutnya, saya akan membagikannya di sini untuk dilihat semua orang.
Jika Anda masih belum mengikuti saya, Anda akan menyesal. Cukup lihat.
$XRP
Lihat terjemahan
hi
Ariyan_124
·
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Bearish🚨DO NOT BUY A HOUSE THIS YEAR, UNLESS YOU’RE A BILLIONAIRE!
I’ve spent 22 years in macro.
I’ve seen every cycle from the 2008 crash to the 2020 blow-off top.
If you think the current market is safe, you’re missing the structural freeze.
Buying in 2026 is a TRAP, here’s why:
Redfin data shows a massive imbalance: 36.8% more sellers than buyers. Demand is sitting at the lowest levels since the 2020 lockdown.
This isn't a normal dip, it’s a total loss of market velocity.
Most owners are locked into 3% paper. With the 30-year fixed suffocating at ~6.5%, the "cost to move" is prohibitive.
We have zero price discovery because nobody can afford to move. You’re buying an illiquid asset at a sticker price that hasn't been tested by real volume.
Buying now means locking in a brutal monthly payment on an asset with capped upside.
If you’re levered 5:1 on a house that stays flat while you pay 6.5% interest, you aren't building equity, YOU’RE BLEEDING CAPITAL.
THE MACRO PLAY:
Wait for the fatigue phase in late 2026/2027.
That’s when the "wait it out" crowd hits life catalysts (divorce, relocation, retirement) and is forced to sell into a cooling economy.
That’s when the affordability reset actually happens.
If you must buy, do it like a shark:
– Stress-test your income for a 20% haircut.
– Keep your LTV healthy (avoid negative equity).
– Only buy if you can hold through a flat decade.
The math doesn't have emotions. Don't let your dream home become a zombie asset.
I’ve called every major top and bottom for over a decade.
When I make my next move, I’ll share it here for everyone to see.
If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it. Just watch.
I’ve spent 22 years in macro.
I’ve seen every cycle from the 2008 crash to the 2020 blow-off top.
If you think the current market is safe, you’re missing the structural freeze.
Buying in 2026 is a TRAP, here’s why:
Redfin data shows a massive imbalance: 36.8% more sellers than buyers. Demand is sitting at the lowest levels since the 2020 lockdown.
This isn't a normal dip, it’s a total loss of market velocity.
Most owners are locked into 3% paper. With the 30-year fixed suffocating at ~6.5%, the "cost to move" is prohibitive.
We have zero price discovery because nobody can afford to move. You’re buying an illiquid asset at a sticker price that hasn't been tested by real volume.
Buying now means locking in a brutal monthly payment on an asset with capped upside.
If you’re levered 5:1 on a house that stays flat while you pay 6.5% interest, you aren't building equity, YOU’RE BLEEDING CAPITAL.
THE MACRO PLAY:
Wait for the fatigue phase in late 2026/2027.
That’s when the "wait it out" crowd hits life catalysts (divorce, relocation, retirement) and is forced to sell into a cooling economy.
That’s when the affordability reset actually happens.
If you must buy, do it like a shark:
– Stress-test your income for a 20% haircut.
– Keep your LTV healthy (avoid negative equity).
– Only buy if you can hold through a flat decade.
The math doesn't have emotions. Don't let your dream home become a zombie asset.
I’ve called every major top and bottom for over a decade.
When I make my next move, I’ll share it here for everyone to see.
If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it. Just watch.
Lihat terjemahan
🚨DO NOT BUY A HOUSE THIS YEAR, UNLESS YOU’RE A BILLIONAIRE!
I’ve spent 22 years in macro.
I’ve seen every cycle from the 2008 crash to the 2020 blow-off top.
If you think the current market is safe, you’re missing the structural freeze.
Buying in 2026 is a TRAP, here’s why:
Redfin data shows a massive imbalance: 36.8% more sellers than buyers. Demand is sitting at the lowest levels since the 2020 lockdown.
This isn't a normal dip, it’s a total loss of market velocity.
Most owners are locked into 3% paper. With the 30-year fixed suffocating at ~6.5%, the "cost to move" is prohibitive.
We have zero price discovery because nobody can afford to move. You’re buying an illiquid asset at a sticker price that hasn't been tested by real volume.
Buying now means locking in a brutal monthly payment on an asset with capped upside.
If you’re levered 5:1 on a house that stays flat while you pay 6.5% interest, you aren't building equity, YOU’RE BLEEDING CAPITAL.
THE MACRO PLAY:
Wait for the fatigue phase in late 2026/2027.
That’s when the "wait it out" crowd hits life catalysts (divorce, relocation, retirement) and is forced to sell into a cooling economy.
That’s when the affordability reset actually happens.
If you must buy, do it like a shark:
– Stress-test your income for a 20% haircut.
– Keep your LTV healthy (avoid negative equity).
– Only buy if you can hold through a flat decade.
The math doesn't have emotions. Don't let your dream home become a zombie asset.
I’ve called every major top and bottom for over a decade.
When I make my next move, I’ll share it here for everyone to see.
If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it. Just watch.
I’ve spent 22 years in macro.
I’ve seen every cycle from the 2008 crash to the 2020 blow-off top.
If you think the current market is safe, you’re missing the structural freeze.
Buying in 2026 is a TRAP, here’s why:
Redfin data shows a massive imbalance: 36.8% more sellers than buyers. Demand is sitting at the lowest levels since the 2020 lockdown.
This isn't a normal dip, it’s a total loss of market velocity.
Most owners are locked into 3% paper. With the 30-year fixed suffocating at ~6.5%, the "cost to move" is prohibitive.
We have zero price discovery because nobody can afford to move. You’re buying an illiquid asset at a sticker price that hasn't been tested by real volume.
Buying now means locking in a brutal monthly payment on an asset with capped upside.
If you’re levered 5:1 on a house that stays flat while you pay 6.5% interest, you aren't building equity, YOU’RE BLEEDING CAPITAL.
THE MACRO PLAY:
Wait for the fatigue phase in late 2026/2027.
That’s when the "wait it out" crowd hits life catalysts (divorce, relocation, retirement) and is forced to sell into a cooling economy.
That’s when the affordability reset actually happens.
If you must buy, do it like a shark:
– Stress-test your income for a 20% haircut.
– Keep your LTV healthy (avoid negative equity).
– Only buy if you can hold through a flat decade.
The math doesn't have emotions. Don't let your dream home become a zombie asset.
I’ve called every major top and bottom for over a decade.
When I make my next move, I’ll share it here for everyone to see.
If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it. Just watch.
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