#bitcoin #Geopolitics 📉 Bitcoin is sandwiched between the Fed's "hawks" and oil at $120
The situation in the markets is heating up. While geopolitics dictates its rules, the crypto market is trying to maintain balance. Here are the main theses as of April 30, 2026:
1. The "toughest" Fed in recent years
The last meeting under the leadership of Jerome Powell was a real shock. For the first time since 1992, four members of the Fed expressed disagreement with the decision to leave rates unchanged. The market received a clear signal: there may be no "soft landing", and inflation is once again becoming enemy number 1.
2. Oil rally and war
Due to the conflict between the US and Iran, the price of Brent oil exceeded $120 per barrel - for the first time since the summer of 2022.
• Donald Trump is already putting pressure on the future Fed chairman Kevin Warsh, demanding a rate cut in June.
• The Kobeissi Letter warns: Europe has only a few weeks of aviation fuel left.
3. What about the price of
$BTC ?
Bitcoin is currently trading around $76,000, down about 2% in a day.
• Critical line: The price is struggling to hold the 21-day moving average (SMA) at $75,500.
• Who's buying? Data from exchanges shows that while small players are panicking and cashing out, whales are actively buying up the dips.
⚠️Forecast:
Risk assets are under pressure due to the return of inflation. If $75,500 is not held, we may see a deeper correction. However, the activity of large players hints that this "dip" is being viewed as an opportunity before the June changes in the Fed.