Everyone says Japan’s rate hike will drag down U.S. stocks and crypto — so why isn’t everyone shorting BTC at 87,000?

Some already are. AI models whisper about another 20% drop, pointing toward the 60K zone. Panic stories spread fast: liquidation fears, MicroStrategy doom scenarios, “life or death” narratives everywhere.

But markets have always played this game. When consensus becomes absolute, the counter-move often arrives. Big players thrive on moving against the crowd, harvesting fear without mercy. Veterans have already stepped aside, choosing caution over heroics — no one smart lingers under a collapsing wall.

Every trade, no matter how it’s dressed up, is still a wager on probability and timing. Personally, this cycle doesn’t feel like it should break 80K easily. True breakdowns usually come when optimism is loud, retail is fully committed, and the bull narrative feels unstoppable. When enthusiasm is already drained, sharp crashes lose their impact — there’s little left to squeeze.

Lately, countless “trading gods” have been exposed. On one DEX competition alone, a quarter of participants were wiped out within ten days. Leverage stripped away the illusion fast. In this market, legends fall quickly, and long-term profit is nothing mystical — just better execution, and better luck.

Technically, the picture remains tense. The daily chart shows a trend break and a bearish MACD, hinting at further downside. Rebounds into resistance favor shorts, while a clean hold above 80K could spark another recovery. The lower timeframes suggest tactical opportunities, but the broader structure still leans heavy.#BTC

One truth never changes: money isn’t earned forever, but it can be lost entirely. Sometimes, waiting is the smartest trade. When volatility dries up, doing nothing is also a position.

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