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The hardest part of bear trends is accepting that most moves up are just liquidity grabs or lower highs; not real trend changes.
It isn't easy because weâre conditioned to see every bounce as "the bottom."
So how do you actually tell when the trend might be changing?
You need acceptance above key levels.
To keep it simple:
I want to see candle closes above the H1 EMA200.
Thatâs where I start to shift bias.
Wicks above donât matter.
If price canât hold above that level, itâs just another bearish retest.
The same is true for bull trends after a bear trend (just reverse the logic)


