**Capital Is Rotating — And 2025 Is Proving Most Investors Wrong**
**2025 YTD performance looks nothing like the consensus trade.**
While most expected equities and crypto to dominate, **commodities quietly took the lead**, proving once again that markets don’t move together — **capital rotates first**.
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### 📊 **2025 YTD Performance Snapshot**
**🟡 Commodities (Clear Leaders)**
* **Silver:** +113%
* **Gold:** +65%
* **Copper:** +32%
Inflation hedging, supply constraints, and geopolitical risk are driving hard capital flows into real assets.
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**📈 Equities (Positive, But Lagging)**
* **Nasdaq:** +14.6%
* **S&P 500:** +12.5%
* **Small Caps:** +8%
Stocks are rising, but **momentum is selective**, concentrated in large caps and AI-related names.
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**🔻 Crypto (Still Under Pressure)**
* **Bitcoin:** −7.7%
* **Ethereum:** −12%
* **Solana:** −33%
Crypto is experiencing **capital outflows**, not because the cycle is dead — but because **liquidity has rotated elsewhere first**.
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### 🔍 **What This Means**
Markets move in **phases**, not in unison:
1. Capital flows into **safe & real assets**
2. Then into **equities**
3. Finally into **high-beta risk assets like crypto**
Crypto historically **lags early rotations** — but often **outperforms aggressively once liquidity returns.
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