🌎Markets are being pulled in opposite directions.
While inflation cools and rate-cut expectations build, the Fed remains cautious and the US dollar stays strong — keeping markets on edge.
📊 Key macro signals:
◽ US CPI slowed to 2.7% YoY, Core CPI to 2.6%
▪ Consumer confidence weakened (Michigan index 52.9)
▪ Inflation expectations (1Y) rose to 4.2%
▪ US unemployment climbed to 4.6%, the highest since 2021
👔Fed outlook:
NY Fed’s John Williams sees no urgency to cut rates, stating policy remains slightly restrictive despite softer labor data.
USD strength:
The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades near 98.70, its highest level since Dec 11.
⚠ Geopolitics back in focus:
Rising US–Venezuela tensions offset cautious optimism around Russia–Ukraine peace talks.
📌 Bottom line:
Markets remain guided by Fed expectations, USD strength, and geopolitical uncertainty — a mix that continues to drive volatility across assets.
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